LanceStern
Banned
It seems fitting that about a year ago, I made this exact same topic for a different SquareEnix title coming out on a Nintendo system: Final Fantasy III for the Nintendo DS. My stance was that people were overestimating what FFIII would be able to do SW wise and selling HW, so I decided to call the MC thread posters out to put their predictions in one topic to see who's right.
Now here we are, another year and Square Enix is once again looked upon to show whether 3rd parties can succeed on another Nintendo system that's appealing to out of the norm audiences. Like FFIII on the DS, some posters are believing in ginormous sales for the title in the first week alone (500k and up, unheard of) due to the Dragon Quest name and that it was released as a TV-adapter videogame earlier on to sell 500k itself.
My stance? It will do well, but not as much as people are touting it would, claiming it will be a million seller for the Wii in Japan 100% guranteed. While it is DQ, it's a spinoff in my eyes, and the amrket is just not there to pick up this title unless lapsed/new gamers are finally going to try out the new "family-friendly" approach of the title, coupled with the appealing Nintendo Wii.
With about a week until we get the info of it's release data, let's get started on predictions yes?
-Predict the first week sales of the title (sales that Media Create will show on Wednesday posting day)
- Predict the first month sales of the title (FOUR WEEKS of MC or Famitsu data added up since it's release)
- Predict it's LTD by the end of the year 2007 in Japan
- Predict it's LTD after one year of release (July 12th 2008 I think)
EDIT: You know what, throw in a second week sales prediction while you're taking the time.
*predictions can be in ranges of up to 20k. So you can't say it'll sell 100k - 150k it's first week. Must be 100k - 120k or 130k - 150k. 20k limit
* Exception to the rule is one year after release. You can give a less than greater than range of 50k
My predictions:
Your Predictions:
For nostalgic purposes, here's a link to the original prediction topic of FFIII: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?p=3735256#post3735256
Now here we are, another year and Square Enix is once again looked upon to show whether 3rd parties can succeed on another Nintendo system that's appealing to out of the norm audiences. Like FFIII on the DS, some posters are believing in ginormous sales for the title in the first week alone (500k and up, unheard of) due to the Dragon Quest name and that it was released as a TV-adapter videogame earlier on to sell 500k itself.
My stance? It will do well, but not as much as people are touting it would, claiming it will be a million seller for the Wii in Japan 100% guranteed. While it is DQ, it's a spinoff in my eyes, and the amrket is just not there to pick up this title unless lapsed/new gamers are finally going to try out the new "family-friendly" approach of the title, coupled with the appealing Nintendo Wii.
With about a week until we get the info of it's release data, let's get started on predictions yes?
-Predict the first week sales of the title (sales that Media Create will show on Wednesday posting day)
- Predict the first month sales of the title (FOUR WEEKS of MC or Famitsu data added up since it's release)
- Predict it's LTD by the end of the year 2007 in Japan
- Predict it's LTD after one year of release (July 12th 2008 I think)
EDIT: You know what, throw in a second week sales prediction while you're taking the time.
*predictions can be in ranges of up to 20k. So you can't say it'll sell 100k - 150k it's first week. Must be 100k - 120k or 130k - 150k. 20k limit
* Exception to the rule is one year after release. You can give a less than greater than range of 50k
My predictions:
First week: 108 - 120k
Second Week: 45-60k
First Month: 185 - 200k
LTD 2007: 280 - 300k
One Year: 350k < DQS LTD < 400k
Your Predictions:
: speedpop: 200k first week, LTD 2007: 1 million easily
For nostalgic purposes, here's a link to the original prediction topic of FFIII: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?p=3735256#post3735256