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(Wedbush) November NPD Preview & OFFICIAL Prediction thread

bdoughty

Banned
Frankfurter said:
Electronic Arts’ Need for Speed Carbon (360, PS2, Xbox, PC, PSP, GBA, DS, GC, PS3, Wii)

Is that some kind of new record? :lol Is NFS Carbon also available for cellphones? :D


Madden 2007 (360, PS2, Xbox, PC, PSP, GBA, DS, GC, PS3, Wii, Mobile, Arcade)

Throw in the update to their Arcade Game and you have a winner.


Yes it is the 2007 season

Madden NFL® Football: Season 2 (2007 Model) - A completely new game design and revamped play and features has transformed this game into the most exciting, easy-to-play football seen in coin-op. All the feedback Global VR has received from locations across the globe has now been incorporated into the new 2007 model, and gives the game a brand new look, new feel, and most importantly, more fun & excitement than ever!

Completely new game design makes playing the game as easy as moving a joystick! Madden: Season 2 features more trademark Madden features like QB Vision, Hit Stick and Truck Stick, plus unique play modes set it apart from any other version of Madden - It's now easy, it's fast and fun! All the stadiums, players and commentary that make football fun are in the game! All New Season Mode allows play for any team's real 2006-2007 schedule - All Madden Mode - Hardcore players will be able to test their skills and play a fierce competition! Training mode - Players can gain power ups and earn the right to historic teams like the '78 Steelers and '85 Bears 2006 - Comes with complete NFL 2007 Players / Teams Roster Update

FREE ONLINE TOURNAMENT SUPPORT! No charge to operators for the entire 2006 - 2007 Season! National events and Local Operator Tournaments to bring players into your location- Career Mode challenges players to compete against all 32 teams of the NFL with online stat tracking and nationwide leaderboards!
 

Odysseus

Banned
It's Patcher that does Wedbush, right? Dude smokes tons of crack.

No way 360 is anywhere even in the vicinity of 750K. If 750K is in New York, Xbox 360 is in Nebraska. I'll say anywhere from 450-550K.
 

LOCK

Member
NDS 950k
360 650k
PS2 600k
Wii 495k
GBA 400k
PSP 300k
PS3 200k
GC 100k
Xbox 50k

FF12: 1.2m
GoW: 900k
Zelda: 400k
GH2: 300K
RFOM: 150k

NSMB: 200K
Brain Age: 100k
Puppies: Billions
 

jarrod

Banned
Oh, and top new releases for each platform...

Gears of War: 1150k
Final Fantasy XII: 750k
Twilight Princess: 450k
Resistance: 100k

Vice City Stories: 400k
Final Fantasy III: 350k
Final Fantasy V Advance: 225k
 
Odysseus said:
Thursday, 5-ish PM Eastern. That's -5 Greenwich Mean Time.
Thanks!
So, if I'm correct, Western Europe should get the numbers at around midnight. I think I'll stay up late for this festivity. :D
 

Bo130

Member
I'm seeing a lot of 800-900k predictions for DS. Anyone think it'll pass the million?

And anyone has any hope for EBA? :)
 

donny2112

Member
Just a reminder:

There are 9 systems to predict for this month! Only a few posters have predicted for all nine. If you've already made a prediction, go back and count the number of systems you posted. If you don't have nine, figure out what you skipped and add it in.

PS3
PS2
PSP

360
XBX

WII
NDS
GBA
GCN
 

Arsenal

Member
Y'all are way underestimating the DS.

DS: 1,200k
360: 615k
PS2: 600k
GBA: 500k
Wii: 480k
PSP: 320k
PS3: 190k
GC: 60k
XBX: 10k

Gears will be the top game. Resistance *might* just break 100k.
 

borghe

Loves the Greater Toronto Area
Bo130 said:
I'm seeing a lot of 800-900k predictions for DS. Anyone think it'll pass the million?

And anyone has any hope for EBA? :)
no.. DS is still ramping up in the US. I expect it to do well over a million by next november though.

EBA will likely do just under 100K. Should finish the year out above 200K.
 

Orgen

Member
NDS - 883k
PS2 - 615k
360 - 596k
GBA - 552k
WII - 514k
PSP - 402k
PS3 - 189k
GCN - 97k
XBX - 14k

Games:

GoW - 830k
FF XII - 766k
Zelda - 432k
Resistance - 97k
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Why are some of you saying Wii might sell 400k or something? It was confirmed it got 600k sales already.
 

Jokeropia

Member
Oblivion said:
Why are some of you saying Wii might sell 400k or something? It was confirmed it got 600k sales already.
600k in NA during first 8 days. NPD is US only for the first 7 days. (And there was supposedly a restock on the 8th day.)
 

doicare

Member
Predictions:
360 520,000
Wii 480,000
PS2 550,000
PS3 250,000
DS 850,000
GBA 195,000
PSP 185,000
GC 60,000
Xbox 3,500
 

Razoric

Banned
Oblivion said:
Why are some of you saying Wii might sell 400k or something? It was confirmed it got 600k sales already.

600k in North America, not United States NPD. And IIRC at least one of those days wont even count in Novembers NPD.
 

JJConrad

Sucks at viral marketing
Last Month - Oct '06
DS = 360k
PS2 = 235k
360 = 218k
GBA = 169k
PSP = 130k

Did we ever get the other consoles?


Last Year - Oct '05
PS2 = 252k
GBA = 208k
DS = 136k
PSP = 132k
XBX = 110k
GCN = 102k

Last Year - Nov '05
GBA = 820k
PS2 = 531k
DS = 370k
PSP = 353k
360 = 326k
GCN = 272k
Xbox = 197k
 

GhaleonEB

Member
wow, they're holding steady with 360 predictions. last month they downgraded their prediction from 400k to 250k, this month held steady. i wonder if channel checks supported the prediction.

I'm too out of it to predict now, but I will later today.
 

djtiesto

is beloved, despite what anyone might say
PS3: 175k
PS2: 550k
PSP: 350k

GCN: 35k
GBA: 280k
DS: 800k
Wii: 500k

360: 650k
Xbox: 15k
 
NDS - 980,000
X360 - 600,000
Wii - 551,000
GBA - 542,000
PS2 - 535,000
PSP - 439,000
PS3 - 174,000
NGC - 83,000
XB - 11,000

1. Gears of War - 722,000
2. Final Fantasy XII - 709,000
3. Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess - 418,000

BTW these are the same anylists that kept predicting 400k X360s in Sept & Oct. They hav a history of overestimating X360s...
 

cvxfreak

Member
DS: 1,000,000
PSP: 300,000
GBA: 400,000

PS2: 500,000
GC: 100,000
Xbox: 15,000

360: 500,000
Wii: 475,000
PS3: 180,000

If does DS sell a million, I think DS sales in the US will for once have surpassed Japan in DS sales for the same timeframe.
 
Razoric said:
Wii sold 600k for all of NA and I believe a bit of that was outside the NPD for Nov right? I'm guessing 450k or a bit lower for actual U.S. NPD sales.

are most NPD sales numbers really around 25% inacurate? i would have figured them 50-100k max... what was the discrepancy between 360 official launch press releases and the NDS press releases and the real NPD records?
 
DS: 900k
360: 630k
Wii: 620k
PS2: 530k
GBA: 450k
PS3: 210k
PSP: 190k
GC: 65k
XBOX: 10k

Gears of War: 1.05m
FF XII: 925k
Twilight Princess: 540k

I don't think November would be the month where people "settle" for a 360 if they couldn't find a PS3 or Wii. If anything, that'll happen this month.
 

dyls

Member
NDS: 880K
360: 540K
WII: 510K
PS2: 500K
GBA: 490K
PSP: 310K
PS3: 210K
GCN: 75K
XBOX: 25K

FFXII: 1.1M
GOW: 900K
TP: 475K

No PS3 titles > 100K (R:FOM at 95K)
 

borghe

Loves the Greater Toronto Area
megaman511 said:
I don't think November would be the month where people "settle" for a 360 if they couldn't find a PS3 or Wii. If anything, that'll happen this month.
especially considering

a) there would only be seven days of "settling"
b) during many of those seven days there were actual replenishments and rumors of replenishments
c) many want the PS3 for blu-ray and others want the wii for the wiimote, neither of which is offered by 360

I think the whole "settling for 360" line is one that only exists among the analysts. If anything would have driven 360 sales, it would be 360 counter-promotions the weekend of 17-19, and black friday deals.
 
borghe said:
especially considering

a) there would only be seven days of "settling"
b) during many of those seven days there were actual replenishments and rumors of replenishments
c) many want the PS3 for blu-ray and others want the wii for the wiimote, neither of which is offered by 360

I think the whole "settling for 360" line is one that only exists among the analysts. If anything would have driven 360 sales, it would be 360 counter-promotions the weekend of 17-19, and black friday deals.


Or GASP .. people might want these consoles for the games..
 

borghe

Loves the Greater Toronto Area
DreamMachine said:
Or GASP .. people might want these consoles for the games..
I wasn't saying otherwise. just saying I don't think the sales, WHATEVER they might be, will have been driven by settling for an alternative.
 
Watch out, Michael Patcher has been wrong quite a bit lately.

He's been negative on TTWO . . . and their stock has risen 100% over recent lows. And he's said that Sony's PS3 troubles have been 'overstated'. Wrong on both counts, IMHO.
 

bycha

Junior Member
NDS - 980k
WII - 450k
PS2 - 515k
360 - 490k
GBA - 550k
PSP - 330k
PS3 - 185k
GCN - 80k
XBX - 3k

Gears of War: 690k
Final Fantasy XII: 900k
Twilight Princess: 380k
 

Arsenal

Member
Mrbob said:
These guys overshoot X360 by a large margin.

Expect about 480K for the 360 in November.

You realize that the original Xbox never sold less thank 500k in November (at least not until after the 360 was released). 750k is definitely too high, but less than 500k seems just as absurd to me.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
Arsenal said:
You realize that the original Xbox never sold less thank 500k in November (at least not until after the 360 was released). 750k is definitely too high, but less than 500k seems just as absurd to me.
The XBox sold ~460k in its second November. (2002)
 
NDS - 910k
360 - 560k
PS2 - 530k
GBA - 530k
WII - 525k
PSP - 350k
PS3 - 175k
GCN - 40k
XBX - 10k

Games:

FF XII - 900k
GoW - 750k
Zelda - 475k
Resistance - 90k

More interested in December numbers actually, providing Nintendo gets the supplies out there (and hopefully Sony as well)
 
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