Correct.
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Wkd BO 0429-050116 - Winter (Soldier & Super Friends) is coming... does $200m+ WW
- Thread starter xaosslug
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Correct.
Maybe it will crawl past Alice.
Jungle Book will probably make another $100M domestic, even with Civil War launching. It will come down to how well the film holds internationally, and how well it performs in the territories it hasn't opened in yet. $900M is locked. Like Zootopia, if it misses $1B, it won't be by that much.
... really? that's... kinda huge no?
Yeezus H. Christ
Banned
Damn...what would be the final WW gross with those numbers?
If it lands at 700m or over by Monday (2nd weekend) it should pass 1 billion by the end of the 3rd weekend.
Has a good shot to top Avengers.
WAT? Isn't that kind of high?
Stopping Dennis Hopper, to start.
Not really. Iron Man 3 made $500M overseas by the end of its second weekend and Civil War is outpacing it in most regions.
Duuude, I don't know if you're being sarcastic but this is a lock for a billion at least.
It's a joke. I have this topping AoU.
Yeezus H. Christ
Banned
Have to agree. CW isn't piggybacking off of the highly acclaimed Avengers like WS did; it's following the tepidly-received Age of Ultron. The general audience undoubtedly is feeling some degree of superhero fatigue and will be wary of Marvel's next bland exercise in mediocrity.
I don't want to lowball like 3N16MA, so maybe $850-900 million at run's end? It'll do about BvS numbers at best if word-of-mouth is perfect, but anything less than stellar lands it at $830-ish. Still though, matching the gross of a movie featuring two of the largest characters of all time is no small feat.
I'd have recognized it as a joke but I was watching a FuturexmDCcomics video and got thrown.
Yeezus you better be joking too.
Folks, it's about to get lit.
What's the record?
I believe Furious 7 holds the record in the high 60s.
TetraxShards
Member
Folks, it's about to get lit.
Dis gon b gud.
Ant-Man out grossed BvS in China. Everything has gone upside down.
Pai Pai Master
Banned
Holy fuckballs
But Fantastic Four is coming home
Its insane. I have no idea what is going on. And no sign of superhero fatigue.
It's the smart play long term imo, the amount of resources that would need to be dedicated to it is too much when you are also dealing with Infinity War 1&2 at pretty much the same time development wise. That's not even going into potential spoilers that WILL be leaked by the production(If it's about the royal family coming to earth). It works best as an ending to phase 4 and gives it more time to develop/get a confident director pick.
Because Kevin Feige hates Ike Perlmutter, and since he engineered his coup and got away from Ike's grasp and doesn't need his approval to get Captain Marvel done he can kill Ike's pet project.
Or so the rumors go.
WaterAstro
Member
What was Keanu's budget? I want to see it do well. Probably will watch it after Civil War.
Furious 7's opening was 391M yuan, which was about $63M last year, but would work out to $60M now.
That was Sunday though.
milanbaros
Member?
Because the first set of characters are coming to an end. Disney need to think long term.
The next set will be Spider-Man, cap marvel Etc.
Version 3.0
Member
There's a $2 billion club? Who's in it?
Avatar, Titanic, and The Force Awakens
Avatar, Titanic, Force Awakens.
CaviarMeths
Member
$2b isn't happening in a summer as crowded as this one. It would need a couple months to itself like Avatar, Titanic, and Star Wars all had, and even then a stronger US dollar.
$1.5b is possible, but I wouldn't put money on it.
Titanic's 3D rerelease did huge business, especially in China. I think its original run was around $1.7b.
I had no idea... Cameron really did raise the bar.
Spider-Man's strong, but even he can't carry them to $2 billion. Come on, now.
New markets and holdovers are going to be quite a bit more than $110M unless you think that Civil War will receive BvS drops from holdover business. The markets opening this weekend made $45-50M for Age of Ultron last year, and Civil War has been tracking pretty close to AoU in most territories. Holdovers will do more than $70M off of a $200M start.
My guess:
$260-270M for existing markets through Thursday.
$90-100M for holdovers on the weekend.
$40-45M for the new markets.
$120M+ for China (based on the reports of possible $45M for Friday)
$200M+ domestic
$710-735M, with the possibility of more if overseas territories have good holds and either China or Domestic go beyond what I listed.
Gotta have at least one new franchise to spearhead Phase 4. Plus with the late additions of Spider-Man & Ant-Man 2, it kinda made sense to save Inhumans for the next phase (especially since it was supposed to be released post-IW, anyway).
It will get pushed back even further if Doc Strange or Black Panther do well enough for a sequel. Phase 4 already has slots automatically taken up by GOTG 3, and Spidey 2. I'm not entirely convinced that Cap is done with his "solo" films either.
Black Panther would likely see its sequel in 2021 given the typical 3-4 year gap between films in the same franchise. Having 2020 for Guardians Vol. 3, Inhumans, & Doctor Strange 2 would make sense (2 sequels, 1 new franchise).
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