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(Hardware) May 2010 NPD Predictions - Closes June 6

jvm

Gamasutra.
Here we go.
Code:
           GAF_Agg    GAF_spec    WEDBUSH   EEDAR
1. NDS      432K        420K       450K      400K
2. WII      357K        348K       330K      245K
3. 360      199K        191K       190K      185K
4. PS3      187K        185K       175K      180K
5. PSP       66K         68K        65K       55K
6. PS2       --K         --K        40K       --K
Wow.
 

donny2112

Member
jvm said:

What's "wow" about it, other than PSP, but that's "normal" expectations now? EEDAR seems a little out of the norm with their Wii prediction, though. Wouldn't that be a drop from April? Black Wii/WSR bundle, SMG2 anti-bump?
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
donny2112 said:
What's "wow" about it, other than PSP, but that's "normal" expectations now? EEDAR seems a little out of the norm with their Wii prediction, though. Wouldn't that be a drop from April? Black Wii/WSR bundle, SMG2 anti-bump?
Yeah, the EEDAR is pessimistic all around. And I still am astounded at PSP not finding a floor yet.
 
The delay in releasing the figures was really due to a change in internal systems? thats rather unreal in terms of big business and companies...

Anyway. I think EEDER is right on the money for DS, I didnt recall anything big released
 

user_nat

THE WORDS! They'll drift away without the _!
Are the predictions closer than usual? Seems like everyone is thinking along the same lines.
 

user_nat

THE WORDS! They'll drift away without the _!
user_nat said:
[360] 220k
[NDS] 450k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 80k
[WII] 400k

Results:

PlayStation 3 154.5K
PSP 59.4K
Xbox 360 194.6K
Wii 334.8K
Nintendo DS 383.7K

I actually managed to over estimate everything. Yay.
 
We still overestimated the PSP :lol

Honestly, I'm pretty sure PS2 is outselling it now. I really wish we were still getting PS2 numbers.

Sony is in such a weird position... Japan seems to like the PSP pretty well, but nobody outside of Japan wants anything to do with it :lol
 

Aad

Member
Aad said:
[360] 170,000
[NDS] 400,000
[PS3] 160,000
[PSP] 60,000
[WII] 350,000

Xbox 360 194.6K
Nintendo DS 383.7K
PlayStation 3 154.5K
PSP 59.4K
Wii 334.8K

Not bad.

Relative Errors
[360] 12.6%
[NDS] 4.2%
[PS3] 3.6%
[PSP] 1.0%
[WII] 4.5%
[Total] 1.2%
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
jvm said:
[NDS] | 425K - 383.7K | = 41.3K (10.8% error)
[WII] | 340K - 334.8K | = 5.2K (1.6% error)
[PS3] | 190K - 154.5K | = 35.5K (23.0% error)
[360] | 180K - 194.6K | = 14.6K (7.5% error)
[PSP] | 63K - 59.4K | = 3.6K (6.1% error)

Total: 100.2K (8.9% relative error)
 

Jonsoncao

Banned
[360] 200k (5.4k)
[NDS] 400k (23.7k)
[PS3] 180k (25.5k)
[PSP] 60k (0.6k)
[WII] 350k (15.2k)

Total diff: 70.4k

not bad, not bad at all
 

donny2112

Member
May 2010 NPD Prediction Results

Units

1. Aad - 62,200
2. Jonsoncao - 63,000
3. Brakara - 74,200
4. opticalmace - 76,400
5. doicare - 89,200
6. botticus - 92,200
6. SuperBanjo - 92,200
8. jvm - 100,200
9. pitseleh - 100,800
10. SonicX_Zero - 101,800
10. Pachter - 101,800
12. SirSwirl - 103,400
13. scottnak - 109,000
14. Orgen - 111,600
15. rostocker - 112,800
16. GAF_Agg - 113,700
17. lowlylowlycook - 116,800
18. starship - 117,200
19. confuziz - 118,000
20. Hyllian - 121,200
21. MikeE21286 - 121,400
22. N.A - 121,800
22. Road - 121,800
22. thestopsign - 121,800
25. dragct - 122,600
25. Zero-Crescent - 122,600
27. boontje - 123,000
28. Megadragon15 - 127,200
29. Strike - 131,800
30. bakemono - 133,000
31. sciplore - 134,500
32. Saiyar - 136,800
32. the nightman cometh - 136,800
34. LiquidMetal14 - 139,600
35. KuwabaraTheMan - 141,000
36. Jokeropia - 142,200
37. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 142,600
37. rayner - 142,600
39. Sadist - 144,800
40. Jesse2040 - 145,600
41. timetokill - 146,200
42. modulaire - 146,800
43. Ydahs - 147,600
44. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 148,600
45. JoshuaJSlone - 151,200
46. VegaShinra - 151,400
47. hxa155 - 153,000
48. archnemesis - 156,800
49. andy_lhc - 159,200
50. Baki - 173,800
51. dexterslu - 175,000
52. jj984jj - 179,000
53. TTP - 182,000
54. Osuwari - 195,000
55. nico - 196,400
56. NeoUltima - 197,600
57. Scott32020 - 198,000
58. WaltJay - 201,800
59. donny2112 - 202,800
60. Hammer24 - 207,700
61. Kinitari - 212,200
62. Garjon - 223,000
62. MiDNiGHTS - 223,000
62. user_nat - 223,000
65. Koodo - 226,000
66. crazy monkey - 232,200
67. skedar897 - 233,000
68. Gamemaster_ca_2003 - 237,600
69. seady - 243,000
70. JoseJX - 247,200
71. Rekwest - 259,600
72. apujanata - 285,000
73. selig - 344,800
74. miladesn - 363,000
75. Flakster99 - 388,000
76. perfectchaos007 - 442,800

NPD_201005_bin.png



Points

Code:
     May 2010                    Last 3 Months                Overall 2010
1.   Aad                121.8    Hiro_Kunimi_80      302.75   Hiro_Kunimi_80      471.47
2.   Jonsoncao          117.18   Jesse2040           286.11   BLaZiN PRopHeT      447.43
3.   doicare            110.31   Jonsoncao           284.47   dragct              442.7
4.   SuperBanjo         107.97   dragct              284.26   Jesse2040           440.94
5.   botticus           107.39   doicare             283.19   doicare             432.5
6.   Brakara            105.8    Saiyar              281.71   Pachter             431.42
7.   pitseleh           103.62   confuziz            278.99   user_nat            429.74
8.   SonicX_Zero        103.05   starship            276.59   confuziz            425.97
9.   Pachter            102.25   Jokeropia           275.56   Saiyar              425.1
10.  Orgen              102.07   BLaZiN PRopHeT      271.16   bakemono            424.71
11.  opticalmace        101.79   bakemono            268.78   JoshuaJSlone        424.41
12.  SirSwirl           101.74   lowlylowlycook      266.49   starship            419.83
13.  N.A                101.21   Brakara             266.26   Jokeropia           419.3
14.  scottnak           100.91   Pachter             265.87   Gamemaster_ca_2003  416.32
15.  starship           100.75   Strike              265.4    Jonsoncao           416.21
16.  confuziz           100.75   boontje             260.32   SuperBanjo          416.06
17.  dragct             100.72   Orgen               259.97   scottnak            412.68
18.  Zero-Crescent      100.72   scottnak            258.16   SirSwirl            411.21
19.  Saiyar              99.92   rostocker           256.47   boontje             410.36
20.  rostocker           99.67   JoshuaJSlone        255.49   WaltJay             408.99
21.  Jokeropia           99.65   user_nat            255.25   JoseJX              406.88
22.  Sadist              99.51   Gamemaster_ca_2003  254      modulaire           406.6
23.  timetokill          98.95   JoseJX              252.49   N.A                 406.59
24.  lowlylowlycook      98.52   SuperBanjo          252.04   Brakara             406.08
25.  Strike              98.49   Aad                 251.43   Strike              405.98
26.  bakemono            98.09   pitseleh            251.08   rostocker           403.05
27.  Jesse2040           98.02   WaltJay             249.54   donny2112           402.17
28.  modulaire           97.34   Hammer24            248.52   timetokill          401.43
29.  MikeE21286          96.76   timetokill          247.47   Road                400.02
30.  Megadragon15        96.11   NeoUltima           247.14   Orgen               398.21
31.  KuwabaraTheMan      95.85   nico                246.93   hxa155              395.08
32.  VegaShinra          95.65   Megadragon15        246.18   rayner              394.28
33.  rayner              95.62   Road                243.36   jvm                 394.25
34.  Hiro_Kunimi_80      94.9    N.A                 243.15   NeoUltima           394.14
35.  Ydahs               94.74   hxa155              242.26   Hammer24            391.98
36.  boontje             94.44   andy_lhc            242.06   Megadragon15        390.29
37.  the nightman cometh 94.44   donny2112           241.81   Koodo               388.63
38.  skedar897           94.36   apujanata           240.94   andy_lhc            387.44
39.  dexterslu           94.26   modulaire           240.23   Aad                 384.81
40.  andy_lhc            94.17   jvm                 238.91   jj984jj             381.57
41.  jj984jj             93.69   Rekwest             237.3    Osuwari             380.19
42.  jvm                 93.23   Ydahs               235.58   Scott32020          379.95
43.  BLaZiN PropHeT      92.91   skedar897           233.48   Ydahs               373.86
44.  JoseJX              92.44   rayner              232.38   Sadist              370.66
45.  Osuwari             91.86   sciplore            228.11   Garjon              369.44
46.  LiquidMetal14       91.12   Osuwari             227.85   VegaShinra          365.05
47.  nico                90.6    SirSwirl            227.34   skedar897           364.38
48.  Road                90.58   Sadist              219.88   archnemesis         354.24
49.  Koodo               90.39   jj984jj             219.59   crazy monkey        349.08
50.  thestopsign         90.39   Koodo               219.12   lowlylowlycook      346.14

Congratulations, Aad! :D
 
MikeE21286 said:
[360] 215k
[NDS] 425k
[PS3] 195k
[PSP] 50k
[WII] 325k

edit: oh yeah, SMG2 did come out this month didn't it :D

Got the order right, but some under-performance by the HD consoles messed me up. Overall not too terrible.
 
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