Support NeoGAF

Greenpanda · Jul 1, 2006

donny2112 said:
The real variable is if the DS game buying public will fork over the console price of the game to play it. I'm counting on the Final Fantasy (PS2) buying public to show up in force, though.

I dunno, the PS2 Final Fantasies were brand new games, though.

I think FF III might not be quite as hot as commodity in Japan as it seems to NA/Euro gamers. For nearly everyone outside of Japan, FF III seems brand new because we've never played it and don't know much about it.

But in Japan, it's a remake of a game that some people HAVE played, or at least know something about. A great graphical overhaul, sure, but it's still an older/existing game.

ethelred · Jul 1, 2006

Greenpanda said:
I dunno, the PS2 Final Fantasies were brand new games, though.

I think FF III might not be quite as hot as commodity in Japan as it seems to NA/Euro gamers. For nearly everyone outside of Japan, FF III seems brand new because we've never played it and don't know much about it.

But in Japan, it's a remake of a game that some people HAVE played, or at least know something about. A great graphical overhaul, sure, but it's still an older/existing game.

Certainly it's a remake, but I don't think that lack of novelty is going to hurt it as much as you seem to think here -- it is, after all, the remake that the PS2-FF-buying Japanese public voted for. When they were asked which Final Fantasy they'd like to see remade, this is the one they picked. So I think there's definitely quite a bit of interest there.

And while many people have played it... it's also important to keep in mind that the game has never been ported to another system. FFI, II, IV, V, and VI have all received multiple ports and rereleases, so you just can't draw a direct comparison between what they did on the GBA and what FFIII will do.

I think in most respects it'll still feel brand new even in Japan. It's a fairly major overhaul, about twenty times more major than that received by any prior FF, beyond just the extensive graphical change; it's the game they voted for; and it just hasn't been kept on the market in Japan like all the others.

Tim the Wiz · Jul 1, 2006

First Week: ~400k
First Month: ~700k
Lifetime: ~1.2m

Bizarro Sun Yat-sen · Jul 1, 2006

How many copies did the PS1 remake of Dragon Quest 4 sell? Something like 1.2 million, wasn't it? Anyway, I predict FF3 will do 75% of whatever DQ4 did.

Greenpanda · Jul 1, 2006

ethelred said:
And while many people have played it... it's also important to keep in mind that the game has never been ported to another system. FFI, II, IV, V, and VI have all received multiple ports and rereleases, so you just can't draw a direct comparison between what they did on the GBA and what FFIII will do.

Oh, yeah, I agree it'll definitely do a lot more than the GBA releases

. Besides the fact that it's a more substantial remake, as you said, FF III hasn't been re-released in ages (since the original Famicom release, in fact). I'm sure there are plenty of Japanese gamers who haven't played it, either!

jj984jj · Jul 1, 2006

How much did DQVr sell?

ethelred · Jul 1, 2006

jj984jj said:
How much did DQVr sell?

1.6 million.

jj984jj · Jul 1, 2006

ethelred said:
1.6 million.

Then I expect this to break 1 million by the time all is said and done.

duckroll · Jul 1, 2006

I'm a firm believer that the low price of DS software (especially those with huge legs) is a big contributing factor to non-gamers and the mainstream. Considering FF3's price, I'm almost certain people that expect it to fall into the same category as Nintendo first-party titles will be sorely disappointed. The game will be a huge success if it passes a million.

Frankfurter · Jul 1, 2006

Amir0x said:
man you guys are underestimating this. It's Final Fantasy remake, and it's on DS! Anything is possible! The sky! The heavens! The universe and more!

First week: 650,000
First month: 1,300,000
First year: 2,400,000
Lifetime: infinity

A remake on a handheld selling more than the main series on PS2? Highly unlikely imo...

I'll say sth. along these lines:

First week: ~300k
First month: ~600k
First year: ~900k
Lifetime: ~1m

duckroll · Jul 1, 2006

Frankfurter said:
A remake on a handheld selling more than the main series on PS2? Highly unlikely imo...

You took this seriously?

Originally Posted by Amir0x:

:lol :lol :lol :lol

Bo130 · Aug 1, 2006

According to GameFront, japanese retailers have ordered a total of 400-450k Final Fantasy III games for the releasedate (24.08.06)

donny2112 · Aug 1, 2006

Day 1 sellout? Maybe retailers need to be convinced that non-non-games can still sell on the DS.

thefro · Aug 1, 2006

Wow, that's way too few copies, even assuming the DS/FFIII bundles aren't counted in that.

Calidor · Aug 1, 2006

first week: 320k
first month: 550k
total: 800k

donny2112 · Aug 1, 2006

Any confirmation of the number of FFIII bundles being released August 24th? Is the max still assumed to be 100K?

worldrunover · Aug 1, 2006

1st week: 400K
first month: 600K
Year's end: 1.5 million

Kintaro · Aug 1, 2006

Hmmm... well, I'll go for broke.

1st Day: 250k
1st Week: 500k
1st Month: 1.5m
1st Year: 3m

Hell, why not? First main series FF on a Nintendo system since FFVI, which happens to be the most popular system in the country, and a full on complete remake with full on hype? Aim for the sky! :lol

Endgegner · Aug 1, 2006

First Week ~400
First Month ~700
First Year ~1. 1 Million

heidern · Aug 1, 2006

1st week: 620K
1st year: 1.3M

I think this game will go down very well since it fits in with the DS philosophy of attracting people who used to play games. In fact it's appeal I think mirrors that of New Super Mario Bros. The NES era gamers that left the industry are perfect candidates for this game. Combining the appeal of the early FFs with some of what made FF7 appeal to a wider audience I think this game could be very important for the industry. Being a remake will limit it, and FF has been on the decline, but with it being on the DS which is shattering sales records I wouldn't be surprised if the game hit 2 million(although I don't expect it to)

toonface · Aug 1, 2006

I'd say:

~350k 1st week
~500k 1st month
~800k 1st year

polg · Aug 1, 2006

300 => 1st Week
700 => 1st month
1.5mil => by the end of 2006

eudaemonic · Aug 1, 2006

Ooooooh!

The only sale I actually care about is mine.

Amir0x · Aug 1, 2006

duckroll said:
You took this seriously?

i am serious except for the infinity part!

Moor-Angol · Aug 1, 2006

Kurosaki Ichigo said:
All of you missed that FFXII handed 75% of the total sales on launch week? :/

and you forget that the worst handed S-E game on DS is around 37% (Children of Mana) ?

i predict 250k for first week, 450k first month, 750k end of 2006

jj984jj · Aug 1, 2006

Amir0x said:
i am serious except for the infinity part!

They aren't shipping enough to meet your first week prediction.

Amir0x · Aug 1, 2006

jj984jj said:
They aren't shipping enough to meet your first week prediction.

duh, time distortion

but basically the first week is a 'everything they manage to ship' prediction

PantherLotus · Aug 1, 2006

First week: 365,000
Month: 520,000
End of the year: 875,000
Lifetime: 1.6 mill

thestopsign · Aug 1, 2006

Well, if that is true. I'm thinking that it might do 300,000 or so. Just what I predicted a few weeks ago. I'm now thinking that it might be able to get up over a million though. It should get a bump from when Pokemon comes out at the end of September, right as it's numbers are going to start falling to 20,000 or so. I think it will get numerous bumps every 2 weeks or so, and then get moderate sales during New Years (that is what Japan celebrates right?), moving it to 1,000,000. After that I don't think it will get anymore revivals.

Smiles and Cries · Aug 1, 2006

500k first week
900k first month
2.8m first year

these are facts I've been to the future

Fireblend · Aug 1, 2006

I'm sure it'll do great, regardless of the exact number.

Vic · Aug 1, 2006

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=112639

FIRST ROUND BRRRRRRRUUUUUUUUU

donny2112 · Aug 1, 2006

Did you happen to see post 62 of this thread posted 2.5 hours before that thread? Yeah.

Vic · Aug 2, 2006

donny2112 said:
Did you happen to see post 62 of this thread posted 2.5 hours before that thread?

No, that's why ive posted thet link

Shard · Aug 2, 2006

Clever Pun said:
what date exactly does it come out? how many days is it on sale in its first month?

Too many people, that is the problem.

Grampa Simpson · Aug 2, 2006

400k first week.

After that it depends on if the game is any good or not.

A Link to the Past · Aug 2, 2006

It's gonna do really well in its first week, maybe 400k-500k by people who already own a DS and the extra shipments.

I think that it'll have more legs than a standard FF game, because of the fact that there aren't enough DS Lites for people to buy in launch week.

I expect it to end up near or at 2 million.

thefro · Aug 2, 2006

bmf said:
400k first week.

After that it depends on if the game is any good or not.

We already know the game is good.

FFIII Famicom is awesome.

apujanata · Aug 2, 2006

First week: 350K
First four weeks: 600K
End of the year: 900K

sprsk · Aug 2, 2006

square titles fall off pretty quickly it seems

700k 1st week

first four weeks 1mill

end of the year 1.4 mill

edit fixed

A Link to the Past · Aug 2, 2006

sp0rsk said:
square titles fall off pretty quickly it seems

700k 1st week

first four weeks 1mill

end of the year 1.4 mill

edit fixed

While it won't sell as much as FFXII, it'll sell for longer because there's less DS Lites for FF fans to buy.

Pureauthor · Aug 2, 2006

It's sell more than FFXII.

More, I tell you.

1.5 million when all's said and done.

starship · Aug 2, 2006

First week = 420k
First month = 800k
End of the year = 1.3m
Lifetime = 1.5m

GoutPatrol · Aug 2, 2006

First Week-600K
First Month-900K
End of the year-1.15 million
Lifetime-1.30 million

TheKingsCrown · Aug 2, 2006

First week 400k
Long Term 1-1.5 million

jarrod · Aug 2, 2006

LanceStern said:
FFI, II, IV etc have all done less than 300,000 (LTD) on the popular GBA system.

They were also outsourced ports and it was their 4th respective releases. FF3 isn't exactly comparable.

LanceStern said:
Children of Mana (DS) was expected to do huge numbers as well, and while it does have long legs, it still did relatively low (inching to 300,000).

A genre divergent, low budget, outsourced spinoff of a C-grade franchise was expected to do huge numbers? News to me...

jesusraz · Aug 2, 2006

Well, didn't New Super Mario Bros. 'only' have 800,000 units pre-ordered from retailers, then ended up selling 900,000 in the first week? Shipments can increase...

I'm going with 500,000 for FFIII in the first week

Pureauthor · Aug 2, 2006

Quite frankly, I'm going with however many units they managed to ship by the time August 24 rolls around.

donny2112 · Aug 2, 2006

Pureauthor said:
Quite frankly, I'm going with however many units they managed to ship by the time August 24 rolls around.

Ding, ding, ding! We have a winner!

Assuming that lowball number of 400K-450K is correct.

apujanata · Aug 21, 2006

Since 24 August is just around the corner, I'm reminding people who wanted to predict, but haven't done so, in this official topic.

Participant (up to post 100, alphabetized) :

A Link to the Past (not complete)
Amir0x
apujanata
Archie
Barf_the_Mog
Bizarro Sun Yat-sen (not complete)
bmf (not complete)
Bo130
Calidor
charlequin
cvxfreak
donny2112
duckroll (not complete)
Endgegner
flipping_heck
Frankfurter
GoutPatrol
Greenpanda
heidern (not complete)
ibu
ioi
jesusraz (not complete)
jj984jj (not complete)
Joe Molotov
kia
Kintaro
LanceStern
loosus
Meier
Moor-Angol
neo2046
Nutter
Oblivion (not complete)
PantherLotus
PhoenixDark
polg
Pureauthor (not complete)
Razoric
SailorDaravon
salva
Smiles and Cries
sp0rsk
stalker (not complete)
StephaneC
Stopsign (revision)
TheKingsCrown (not complete)
Tim the Wiz
toonface
worldrunover

Support NeoGAF

We need an OFFICIAL FINAL FANTASY III (DS) Prediction Topic

Banned

Member

Banned

Banned

Banned

He's a pretty swell guy in my books anyway.

Member

He's a pretty swell guy in my books anyway.

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Worships the porcelain goddess

Member

Junior Member

Member

Member

Member

Banned

Banned

He's a pretty swell guy in my books anyway.

Banned

Professional Schmuck

Member

Member

Banned

Please help me with my bad english

Member

Please help me with my bad english

XBLAnnoyance

Banned

Banned

Member

Member

force push the doodoo rock

Banned

Member

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH

Forgotten in his cell

Banned

Banned

Member

Member

Member

Member

Similar threads