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……forgetit · Jan 16, 2016

You guys know the drill. Just like every other year there are films that for whatever reason don't just fail, but fail colossally. Whether it was a budget too high, or them film being outright garbage this is where we try to predict which film will lose the most money of the year.

Before we talk about this year, let's crown last year's winner.

Take your pick:

Jupiter Ascending
Steve Jobs
Fantastic Four
Pan
Blackhat
Tomorrowland

I was right!

Okay, now that that's out of the way, I personally think this:

Why? The easy answer is it stars Chris Hemsworth and that dude can't catch a break and no one cares about a Snow White sequel without our incredibly bland snow white.

So what do you think GAF?

George Oscar Bluth II · Jan 16, 2016

That Egyptian Gods movie.

Dash_Riprock · Jan 16, 2016

This has flop written all over it. Maybe if it had come out a few years ago when WoW wasn't bleeding subscribers.

NDP_Mulcair · Jan 16, 2016

Dash_Riprock said:
This has flop written all over.

+1

Wacraft is going to bomb for sure. Video game movies are wildly inconsistent and can be spectacular failures.

half a moon · Jan 16, 2016

The Hateful 8 is bombing pretty hard right now

Bobby Roberts · Jan 16, 2016

You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

Markitron · Jan 16, 2016

George Oscar Bluth II said:
That Egyptian Gods movie.

I'd say this as well, judging by how bad that trailer was. I suppose it depends on the budget though.

George Oscar Bluth II · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

They put that kinda budget into that movie?

C'mon, WB.

Svafnir · Jan 16, 2016

Star Wars: Rogue One

Tarzan.

Dash_Riprock · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

Butt it has Samuel L. Motherfucking Jackson in it!

Magwik · Jan 16, 2016

Norm of The North should be off to a decent start

kurahador · Jan 16, 2016

Thanks to how shit the first one was. Jungle Book will recoup the losses however.

Good Job Bob · Jan 16, 2016

Batman v Superman

Count of Monte Sawed-Off · Jan 16, 2016

George Oscar Bluth II said:
That Egyptian Gods movie.

This has to be one. Nothing about it looks good.

……forgetit · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

And just like every year, I'm reminded of incredibly strange studio decisions.

Dash_Riprock · Jan 16, 2016

Good Job Bob said:
Batman v Superman

...Please

I don't see it doing much better than MoS.

Donos · Jan 16, 2016

180mil Tarzan is new to me.lol damn. you could make a decent comic hero flick with that money. or anything you want. why Tarzan... how much is Deadpool?

Markitron · Jan 16, 2016

Good Job Bob said:
Batman v Superman

Even if that film is Fantastic Four bad, it will still make 400 million

Donos said:
180mil Tarzan is new to me.lol damn. you could make a decent comic hero flick with that money. or anything you want. why Tarzan... how much is Deadpool?

Deadpool is really low budget, 50-60 million I think. Considering how violent they wanted it to be, and the resulting rating, it was the only way it was getting made.

Ridley327 · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

But it's from David Yates, who did the Harry Potter films! He's a big name because of that!

This is probably an executive's thought process.

Toxi · Jan 16, 2016

Tarzan and Gods of Egypt both look like terrible bombs.

TheExhaustedWalrus · Jan 16, 2016

Deadpool.

Kenzodielocke · Jan 16, 2016

Good Job Bob said:
Batman v Superman

You're delusional.

What did he mean by this? · Jan 16, 2016

Star treck beyond
Warcrafy

George Oscar Bluth II · Jan 16, 2016

Ridley327 said:
But it's from David Yates, who did the Harry Potter films! He's a big name because of that!

This is probably an executive's thought process.

I wonder if that was the same thought process when Disney got Mike Newell for Prince of Persia.

……forgetit · Jan 16, 2016

TheExhaustedWalrus said:
Deadpool.

Deadpool was made for pennies. If all the internet people who love him go see the movie it'll make money.

bud · Jan 16, 2016

Spork4000 said:
Steve Jobs

really? $28m gross on a $30m budget. not exactly a success, but putting it in a list of biggest box office bombs of the year is a bit of a stretch.

NDP_Mulcair · Jan 16, 2016

Donos said:
180mil Tarzan is new to me.lol damn. you could make a decent comic hero flick with that money. or anything you want. why Tarzan... how much is Deadpool?

"Because the 1999 Disney Tarzan animated movie sold $448.2 million in the box office on a $190 million (including P&A) budget! The 1999 Disney animated film made a profit therefore this one will too!"

- Typical studio exec

Penguin · Jan 16, 2016

Good Job Bob said:
Batman v Superman

Dash_Riprock said:
...Please

I don't see it doing much better than MoS.

This is one of those weird feedback loops from being on GAF too much isn't it?

I'm gonna say... depending on the budget... Assassin's Creed

Dash_Riprock · Jan 16, 2016

Spork4000 said:
Deadpool was made for pennies. If all the internet people who love him go see the movie it'll make money.

Like all the internet people who loved Snakes on a Plane?

gamz · Jan 16, 2016

half a moon said:
The Hateful 8 is bombing pretty hard right now

It's at 61M WW on a 44M budget. Not exactly a flop, but it's going to have to fight to break even when you factor in the marketing costs.

strafer · Jan 16, 2016

Batman

ashecitism · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

Holy fuck, really? Didn't even know about the movie. So, we're getting two Jungle Book movies by two separate studios and a Tarzan movie with 180m budget lol

……forgetit · Jan 16, 2016

bud said:
really? $28m gross on a $30m budget. not exactly a success, but putting it in a list of biggest box office bombs of the year is a bit of a stretch.

I know it wasn't huge, but it had a fairly big marketing budget so I included it to show an example of a really good movie that can bomb hard.

Dash_Riprock said:
Like all the internet people who loved Snakes on a Plane?

Not sure if you're joking, but yeah, basically.

Into · Jan 16, 2016

I am not all that sure about Batman vs Superman. Im sure comic nerds are salivating at it, but the more casual viewer might just see that as some sort of comic book wank fest and not bother with it. Or be confused as to why 2 good guys are against each other. Not having Bale makes it seem like a dumb spinoff, not a "real" Batman movie.

Warcraft will probably tank hard. Almost everyone knows what WoW is, or has some little understanding of a game that makes people addicted. Overall i dont think the perception of Warcraft is good amongst non WoW players.

Ridley327 · Jan 16, 2016

George Oscar Bluth II said:
I wonder if that was the same thought process when Disney got Mike Newell for Prince of Persia.

At least Yates came up with a good backup plan by being the easy go-to choice for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. Newell appears to be in director jail right now.

kurahador · Jan 16, 2016

Oh yeah forgot another one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Lynn's_Long_Halftime_Walk_(film)
An all star 120 fps war comedy/drama movie by Ang Lee.

bud · Jan 16, 2016

Dash_Riprock said:
Like all the internet people who loved Snakes on a Plane?

i think the problem there was that it took too long to come out after the initial trailer was released. by the time it finally came out, no one cared anymore about those motherfuckin' snakes on that motherfuckin' plane.

kurahador said:
Oh yeah forgot another one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Lynn's_Long_Halftime_Walk_(film)
An all star 120 fps war comedy/drama movie by Ang Lee.

lee doing 120fps films before cameron. sensational.

NDP_Mulcair · Jan 16, 2016

Into said:
I am not all that sure about Batman vs Superman. Im sure comic nerds are salivating at it, but the more casual viewer might just see that as some sort of comic book wank fest and not bother with it. Or be confused as to why 2 good guys are against each other. Not having Bale makes it seem like a dumb spinoff, not a "real" Batman movie.

Warcraft will probably tank hard. Almost everyone knows what WoW is, or has some little understanding of a game that makes people addicted. Overall i dont think the perception of Warcraft is good amongst non WoW players.

Execs seem to think that video game movies will be the next big fad, like comic book movies were.

I think that realization is about to come to a bitter, crushing end as Warcraft bombs the hardest this year.

Video game movies have ALWAYS been a bad idea at the box office.

kswiston · Jan 16, 2016

Warcraft is currently the most anticipated Hollywood film of the Year in China. That combined with Wanda buying Legendary and the fact that it will get Jurassic Worlds release date makes me think it will be big there. Probably in the rest of East Asia as well. That should be enough to ensure it is not this years winner even if it flops domestically .

My money is on Tarzan if we are looking at actual dollars to budget and not just percentages.

Ceallach · Jan 16, 2016

bud said:
really? $28m gross on a $30m budget. not exactly a success, but putting it in a list of biggest box office bombs of the year is a bit of a stretch.

I think it's more of a case of "why all these fucking steve jobs movies?"

I think BvS is going to underperform, but it won't bomb. Hopefully it shows DC we dont want this Snyder grimdark bullshit.

WarCraft is going to bomba for sure though

gamz · Jan 16, 2016

I'm going with Tarzan.

I still believe that Jones will deliver on Warcraft and has a shot at doing well WW. I can't write it off just yet based on the talent in charge.

Bobby Roberts · Jan 16, 2016

kurahador said:
Oh yeah forgot another one.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Lynn's_Long_Halftime_Walk_(film)
An all star 120 fps war comedy/drama movie by Ang Lee.

This won't bomb. It likely wont' be a huge blockbuster, but it won't bomb, either.

And yeah, as K-Swiss points out, Warcraft might do disappointing numbers stateside, but international will likely clean the fuck up. That film isn't going to bomb.

Dash_Riprock · Jan 16, 2016

NDP_Mulcair said:
Execs seem to think that video game movies will be the next big fad, like comic book movies were.

I think that realization is about to come to a bitter, crushing end as Warcraft bombs the hardest this year.

Video game movies have ALWAYS been a bad idea at the box office.

Only because the people making them (especially the writers) never played them and thus had no respect for the source material. That may finally start to change as 80s/90s kids start entering the workforce.

gamz · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
This won't bomb. It likely wont' be a huge blockbuster, but it won't bomb, either.

And yeah, as K-Swiss points out, Warcraft might do disappointing numbers stateside, but international will likely clean the fuck up. That film isn't going to bomb.

Again, he's another filmmaker I can't write off just yet. Not without seeing a trailer for it yet. He is a solid name WW.

Zukkoyaki · Jan 16, 2016

There's going to be a 180 million dollar Tarzan film while Pacific Rim 2 struggles to be greenlit?

Hollywood really confuses me sometimes.

foxtrot3d · Jan 16, 2016

George Oscar Bluth II said:
That Egyptian Gods movie.

Ding. Ding. Ding.

When the trailer played before The Force Awakens the entire theater erupted in laughter at how bad it looked. That alone is enough to tell me its chances.

BKJest · Jan 16, 2016

gamz said:
It's at 61M WW on a 44M budget. Not exactly a flop, but it's going to have to fight to break even when you factor in the marketing costs.

It's easily gonna break even once it is released in Europe. But it suerly is a disappointment.

Slayven · Jan 16, 2016

Bobby Roberts said:
You guys should keep your eye on Warner Brothers' 180mil Tarzan movie.

Why?

Isn't there a not Disney Jungle book happening?

jackdoe · Jan 16, 2016

Definitely Tarzan and/or the Jungle Book, but I don't think WB or Disney would be too upset as their other movies would absorb the loss.

George Oscar Bluth II · Jan 16, 2016

Ridley327 said:
At least Yates came up with a good backup plan by being the easy go-to choice for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. Newell appears to be in director jail right now.

That's true. Newell hasn't made a film since 2012 and I think that one had a limited release. He and Disney seemed to be placing a lot of hope on Prince of Persia being a guaranteed success like Pirates of the Caribbean and it really didn't pay off. His two big studio films really didn't do him any favours.

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