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donny2112 · Nov 1, 2008

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Friday, November 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: October 5 - November 1 (4 weeks, September was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: November 13th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] - 123000

The Software Prediction thread is here.

Potential hardware impacting events in October:

PSP-3000 Bundles - $199 (10/14)

September's Result - thanks to NPD and sonycowboy

sonycowboy said:
HW Sales
PlayStation 2 173.5K
PlayStation 3 232.4K
PSP 238.1K
Xbox 360 347.2K
Wii 687.0K
Nintendo DS 536.8K

Top 10 SW Sales
Publisher Release Date Rank # Units
360 STAR WARS: THE FORCE UNLEASHED LUCASARTS Sep-08 1 610K
WII WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD NINTENDO OF AMERICA May-08 2 518K
360 ROCK BAND 2 MTV GAMES/ELECTRONIC ARTS Sep-08 3 363K
WII MARIO KART W/ WHEEL NINTENDO OF AMERICA Apr-08 4 353K
PS3 STAR WARS: THE FORCE UNLEASHED LUCASARTS Sep-08 5 325K
360 MERCENARIES 2: WORLD IN FLAMES ELECTRONIC ARTS Aug-08 6 297K
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE NINTENDO OF AMERICA Feb-07 7 243K
360 MADDEN NFL 09 ELECTRONIC ARTS Aug-08 8 224K
WII STAR WARS: THE FORCE UNLEASHED LUCASARTS Sep-08 9 223K
PS2 MADDEN NFL 09 ELECTRONIC ARTS Aug-08 10 158K

September Prediction Results: Units / Points

laserbeam · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 277k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 130k
[PS3] 175k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 675k

SIP YEK NOD · Nov 1, 2008

holy shit, already?

[360] 257k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 131k
[PS3] 185k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 775k

donny2112 · Nov 1, 2008

SIP YEK NOD said:
already?

With 4-week months, it's only about 2 weeks from the previous NPD release to the prediction thread getting posted.

Private Hoffman · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 245k
[NDS] 530k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 700k

apujanata · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 340K
[NDS] 580K
[PS2] 125K
[PS3] 205K
[PSP] 230K
[WII] 700K

I am changing my wild direction.

Flakster99 · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 275k
[NDS] 630k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 245k
[WII] 870k

Jethro · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 380k
[NDS] 650k
[PS2] 130k
[PS3] 290k
[PSP] 270k
[WII] 700k

Psychotext · Nov 1, 2008

All I know for certain is that Nintendo will find some way to screw my predictions again. :lol

Jokeropia · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 260k
[NDS] 465k
[PS2] 135k
[PS3] 195k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 650k

Casey120 · Nov 1, 2008

This time i will hit it right on the nosey because game addicted aliens from Planet Niburu channeled me yesterday with the following information :

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[360] 297k
[NDS] 486k
[PS2] 123k
[PS3] 205k
[PSP] 195k
[WII] 521k

There it is , believe !

boontje · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 280k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 675k

Btw, Iwata mentioned in its conference yesterday that Wii sold around 210k and DS around 140k last week. Source: http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/081031/03.html

B E N K E · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 240k
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 165k
[PSP] 195k
[WII] 500k

All the financial unrest has to have had some effect...

Duxxy3 · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 450k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 256k
[PS3] 225k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 575k

agm2502 · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 260k
[NDS] 580k
[PS2] 165k
[PS3] 230k
[PSP] 325k
[WII] 670k

WrikaWrek · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 360k
[WII] 610k
[NDS] 540k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 225k
[PS2] 150k

comedy bomb · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 395K
[NDS] 542K
[PS2] 170K
[PS3] 250K
[PSP]247K
[WII] 580K

Brakara · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 295k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 225k
[WII] 615k

Gaborn · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 265k
[NDS] 520k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 236k
[WII] 750k

laserbeam · Nov 1, 2008

boontje said:
Btw, Iwata mentioned in its conference yesterday that Wii sold around 210k and DS around 140k last week. Source: http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/081031/03.html

I think we will see similiar to last month or much higher sales for sure even if its 1 week less. Way too Many Wii arrived at stores in huge quantities.

Gaborn · Nov 1, 2008

laserbeam said:
I think we will see similiar to last month or much higher sales for sure even if its 1 week less. Way too Many Wiis arrived at stores in huge quantities.

This. I've heard too many anecdotal reports of massive shipments when there weren't any before to believe sales are going to be anything but earth shattering.

Osuwari · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 250k
[NDS] 520k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 195k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 635k

Restricted_Area · Nov 1, 2008

[360] 270k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 185k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 590k

rikitikitik · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 285k
[NDS] 515k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 205k
[PSP] 215k
[WII] 625k

jj984jj · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 295k
[NDS] 495k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 215k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 650k

donny2112 · Nov 4, 2008

[WII] 740K
[NDS] 515K
[360] 305K
[PSP] 235K
[PS3] 195K
[PS2] 155K

Mr.Potato Head · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 410k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 180k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 575k

Hyllian · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 260k
[NDS] 540k
[PS2] 170k
[PS3] 205k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 695k

Scott32020 · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300k
[NDS] 620k
[PS2] 180k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 695k

RBH · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 700k

dirtmonkey37 · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 320k
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 170k
[PSP] 190k
[WII] 550k

danwarb · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300k
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 600k

No_Style · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 600k

Bill Squabber · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 370k
[NDS] 420k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 330k
[PSP] 250k
[WII] 610k

Foil · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300k
[NDS] 520k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 230k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 680k

LiquidMetal14 · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 287k
[NDS] 544k
[PS2] 147k
[PS3] 231k
[PSP] 281k
[WII] 566k

Keikoku · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 400k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 750k

lowlylowlycook · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 260k
[NDS] 440k
[PS2] 144k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 190k
[WII] 680k

SuperSonic1305 · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 375k
[NDS] 513k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 278k
[PSP] 290k
[WII] 698k

UltimaPooh · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 500k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 350k
[WII] 700k

I'm being obtimistic about the 360.

cuate · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 270k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 215k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 710k

JoshuaJSlone · Nov 4, 2008

[Wii] 720K
[NDS] 495K
[360] 280K
[PS3] 235K
[PSP] 230K
[PS2] 150K

A note to those who have predicted X360 at 400K or higher: Do you realize it didn't even do that well last year, when it still had the Halo 3 bump going for it? It went from a 528K September to a 366K October.

Sean · Nov 4, 2008

[Wii] 735K
[NDS] 500K
[360] 290K
[PS3] 260K
[PSP] 220K
[PS2] 140K

Have a feeling Nintendo is gonna fuck up my predictions yet again.

Linkup · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 275k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 215k
[WII] 770k

UltimaPooh · Nov 4, 2008

A note to those who have predicted X360 at 400K or higher: Do you realize it didn't even do that well last year, when it still had the Halo 3 bump going for it? It went from a 528K September to a 366K October.

Price drop.

timetokill · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 288k
[NDS] 599k
[PS2] 133k
[PS3] 177k
[PSP] 241k
[WII] 704k

JoshuaJSlone · Nov 4, 2008

UltimaPooh said:
Price drop.

Even if we imagine X360 sold 0 units until the price drop took effect in September, its average rate of post-price-drop sales would be around 81K/week. Not sure why that rate would increase for month two.

Orgen · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 286K
[NDS] 529K
[PS2] 157K
[PS3] 198K
[PSP] 304K
[WII] 713K

akilshohen · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 300K
[NDS] 600K
[PS2] 200K
[PS3] 150K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 550K

nextgeneration · Nov 4, 2008

[360] 385k
[NDS] 535k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 195k
[PSP] 275k
[WII] 720k

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