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donny2112 · Apr 5, 2009

Predict early, so you won't be late!

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Sunday, April 12th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: March 1 - April 4 (5 weeks, February was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: April 16th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[360] 234K        [360] 234.5K
[360] 234,000     [360] 234.000
[360] 234567      [360] - 234000

The Software Prediction thread is here (Halo Wars, Resident Evil 5, GTA, Pokemon).

Potential hardware impacting events in March:

PS2 price drop to $99 - April 1 (4 days)
Pokemon Platinum - March 22 (14 days)

February's Results - thanks to NPD and EviLore

EviLore said:
PlayStation 2 131K
PlayStation 3 276K
PSP 199K
Xbox 360 391K
Wii 753K
Nintendo DS 588K

Wii Fit w/ Balance Board (WII) 644K
Street Fighter IV* (360) 446K
Street Fighter IV* (PS3) 403K
Wii Play w/ Remote (WII) 386K
Killzone 2 (PS3) 323K
Wii Mario Kart with wheel (WII) 263K
Call of Duty: World at War* (360) 193K
Mario Kart DS (NDS) 145K
New Super Mario Bros (NDS) 144K
Guitar Hero World Tour* (WII) 136K

(*includes CE, GOTY editions, bundles, etc. but not those bundled with hardware)

Feb-08 -> Mar-08 transition:

Code:

      Feb-08  Mar-08   % change
360     255K    262K    +  3%
NDS     588K    698K    + 19%
PS2     352K    216K    - 39%
PS3     281K    257K    -  9%
PSP     243K    297K    + 22%
WII     432K    721K    + 67%

February Prediction Results: Units / Points

Andronicus · Apr 5, 2009

PlayStation 2 155K
PlayStation 3 308K
PSP 244K
Xbox 360 314K
Wii 751K
Nintendo DS 533K

Osuwari · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 420k
[NDS] 620k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 320k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 740k

thaOwner · Apr 5, 2009

Andronicus said:
PlayStation 2 155K
PlayStation 3 308K
PSP 244K
Xbox 360 314K
Wii 751K
Nintendo DS 533K

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Thats the format. You are doing it wrong.

adamsapple · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 290k
[PSP] 235k
[WII] 650k

Koopakiller · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 411k
[NDS] 792k
[PS2] 123k
[PS3] 311k
[PSP] 198k
[WII] 666k

w3stfa11 · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 460,000
[NDS] 660,000
[PS2] 160,000
[PS3] 360,000
[PSP] 300,000
[WII] 760,000

Remember, five weeks.

On The Edge of Insanity · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 410K
[NDS] 650K
[PS2] 170K
[PS3] 350K
[PSP] 235K
[WII] 700K

D4Danger · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 385k
[NDS] 665k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 290k
[PSP] 170k
[WII] 720k

Culex · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 410k
[NDS] 705k
[PS2] 220k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 160k
[WII] 795k

I predict yet another record month for the 360, non-holiday, and the Wii nearly hitting 800k. Modest gains for PS2 with price drop, too.

Lucis · Apr 5, 2009

Culex said:
I predict yet another record month for the 360, non-holiday, and the Wii nearly hitting 800k. Modest gains for PS2 with price drop, too.

It's March not Apr NPD

[360] 350k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 800k

Culex · Apr 5, 2009

Kirashi said:
It's March not Apr NPD

[360] 350k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 800k

My understanding was the March NPD had 4 days of the PS2 price drop, or maybe I'm mistaken.

GhaleonEB · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 428k
[NDS] 690k
[PS2] 179k
[PS3] 251k
[PSP] 219k
[WII] 823k

I think the 360 will keep the high sales trend from last month. Actually, my numbers are largely just keeping trends going, with a slight nudge up for the late PS2 cut.

Culex said:
My understanding was the March NPD had 4 days of the PS2 price drop, or maybe I'm mistaken.

Yup, it's in the OP.

Stop It · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 380k
[NDS] 595k
[PS2] 185k
[PS3] 225k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 750k

dolemite · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 500k
[NDS] 700k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 800k

Ether_Snake · Apr 5, 2009

This is confusing. The way the numbers are displayed anyway. Should have last year's real numbers, last month's real numbers, and the % change month over month and over the last year, etc.

Vinci · Apr 5, 2009

Why the hell not?

[360] 345k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 240k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 710k

kmfdmpig · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 505k
[PS2] 190k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 160k
[WII] 785k

lowlylowlycook · Apr 5, 2009

Hmmm, everyone so far is predicting a drop in the weekly Wii sales. I'll have to think about that.

donny2112 · Apr 5, 2009

Ether_Snake said:
This is confusing. The way the numbers are displayed anyway. Should have last year's real numbers, last month's real numbers, and the % change month over month and over the last year, etc.

I think I'm confused, now. :lol

The idea is to give last month's numbers (Feb-09) and then show the change that each console made between the same two months from the previous year (Feb-08 -> Mar-08). That way you can get an idea of whether this month is typically down/up/flat from the previous month.

Sadist · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 408K
[NDS] 651K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 270K
[PSP] 243K
[WII] 765K

MarzipaNMOS · Apr 5, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 620k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 280k
[PSP] 225k
[WII] 800k

BLaZiN PRopHeT · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 435k
[NDS] 650k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 825k

shykyoichi · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 490K
[NDS] 850K
[PS2] 185K
[PS3] 340K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 920K

FateBreaker · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 340k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 90k
[PS3] 280k
[PSP] 215k
[WII] 650k

Linkup · Apr 6, 2009

[360]380K
[NDS]760K
[PS2]190K
[PS3]270K
[PSP]215K
[WII]850K

FromTheFuture · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 120K
[NDS] 640K
[PS2] 150K
[PS3] 290K
[PSP] 170K
[WII] 780K

choodi · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 405K
[NDS] 750K
[PS2] 160K
[PS3] 265K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 920K

comedy bomb · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 390K
[NDS]625K
[PS2]175K
[PS3]300K
[PSP] 265K
[WII] 765K

billy.sea · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 370k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 130k
[PS3] 260k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 700k

duderon · Apr 6, 2009

[WII] 900k
[NDS] 693k
[360] 460k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 220k
[PS2] 177k

LiquidMetal14 · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 432k
[NDS] 687k
[PS2] 166k
[PS3] 297k
[PSP] 270k
[WII] 844k

duderon · Apr 6, 2009

GhaleonEB said:
[360] 428k
[NDS] 690k
[PS2] 179k
[PS3] 251
[PSP] 219k
[WII] 823k

I think the 360 will keep the high sales trend from last month. Actually, my numbers are largely just keeping trends going, with a slight nudge up for the late PS2 cut.

Yup, it's in the OP.

You forgot the 'k' on your PS3 prediction, Ghaleon. Unless you know of some massive PS3 shortage

Truespeed · Apr 6, 2009

duderon said:
You forgot the 'k' on your PS3 prediction, Ghaleon. Unless you know of some massive PS3 shortage

He also forgot an extra digit in addition to the 'k'

starsky · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 500k
[NDS] 750k
[PS2] 165k
[PS3] 350k
[PSP] 225k
[WII] 999k

Jonsoncao · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 440k
[NDS] 700k
[PS2] 210k
[PS3] 320k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 1040k

and thanks to donny for all the calculations

MikeE21286 · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 420k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 325k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 800k

Marvie_3 · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 210k
[NDS] 535k
[PS2] 180k
[PS3] 160k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 720k

GhaleonEB · Apr 6, 2009

duderon said:
You forgot the 'k' on your PS3 prediction, Ghaleon. Unless you know of some massive PS3 shortage

Gah, thanks. Whoops!:lol

Truespeed said:
He also forgot an extra digit in addition to the 'k'

Nope, just the 'k'. Unless I'm going blind. Which is possible.

BishopLamont · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 460,000
[NDS] 710,000
[PS2] 160,000
[PS3] 320,000
[PSP] 250,000
[WII] 1,000,000

AdventureRacing · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 475k
[NDS] 730k
[PS2] 190k
[PS3] 315K
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 860k

16 people have the PS3 closer to the 360 this month than last month. With killzone 2 coming out last month and halo wars coming out this month i thought that would be the other way around. I guess there is resi 5 but if anything with the price disparity i would expect it boost 360 more.

Who really knows though. I haven't been involved in this for a while

I am very interested to see how much of a boost the DS gets.

CHRP718 · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 100k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 360k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 700k

Jonsoncao · Apr 6, 2009

CHRP718 said:
[360] 100k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 360k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 700k

:lol :lol :lol

AdventureRacing · Apr 6, 2009

CHRP718 said:
[360] 100k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 360k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 700k

I guess gamers finally wised up to RROD hey?

No_Style · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 625k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 325k
[PSP] 240k
[WII] 650k

mujun · Apr 6, 2009

CHRP718 said:
[360] 100k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 360k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 700k

this post needs more stealth.

DogWelder · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 435k
[NDS] 725k
[PS2] 170k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 785k

LOCK · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 450k
[NDS] 700k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 330k
[PSP] 220k
[WII] 940k

Jokeropia · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 675k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 280k
[PSP] 205k
[WII] 800k

Salami Inferno · Apr 6, 2009

[360] 400k
[NDS] 525k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 325k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 700k

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