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donny2112 · Apr 5, 2009

We're predicting for five games that I'm reasonably sure will be in the Top 10 or at least we will probably get numbers for.

Games/Format:

[360 Halo Wars]
[360 Resident Evil 5]
[PS3 Resident Evil 5]
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars]
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum]
[Total SW $ in millions]

Code:

Good                      Bad
[360 Halo Wars] 400K      [360 Halo Wars] 400 thousand
[360 Halo Wars] 400,000   [360 Halo Wars] 400.000
[360 Halo Wars] 400000    [360 Halo Wars] - 400,000

The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Sunday, April 12th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: March 1 - April 4 (5 weeks, February was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: April 16th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Code:

                         Jan 2009    Feb 2009

[Total SW $ in millions]      677         734

Days available in tracking period (new releases):
360/PS3 Resident Evil 5 - 23 days
360 Halo Wars - 33 days
NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars - 19 days
NDS Pokemon: Platinum - 14 days

MikeE21286 · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 550k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 550k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 400k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1000k

PSGames · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 600k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 600k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 200k
[PS3 Killzone 2] 300k

Koopakiller · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 590k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 640k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 420k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 550k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 3000k

Guled · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 500k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 800k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 250k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1050k
[PS3 Killzone 2] 200k
[Total SW $] 950 million

donny2112 · Apr 5, 2009

Don't forget to predict for the Total SW $. Getting within 10% of the actual value nets you 10 bonus points. Also, Killzone 2 is not on the list, so if you just copied the list of the guy above you, you may want to update it.

thestopsign · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 650k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 700k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 225k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1230k
[Total SW $ in millions] 870k

Keikoku · Apr 5, 2009

No KZ2 ?

FateBreaker · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 1000k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 800k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 550k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 200k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1300k
[PS3 Killzone 2] 200k
[360 Star Ocean The Last Hope]

Karma · Apr 5, 2009

Where is KZ2? It will do at least 300k.

dolemite · Apr 5, 2009

360 Halo Wars] 1100k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 800k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 800k
[Total SW $ in millions] 700k

Truespeed · Apr 5, 2009

Karma said:
Where is KZ2? It will do at least 300k.

There you go,

[PS3 Killzone 2] 800k

Ether_Snake · Apr 5, 2009

Should have last month's NPD results in the OP as well as how many days the games had been out in the market, and if possible the list of games and their sales and days on the market of the same period the previous year.

RyuHayate · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 750K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 500K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 450K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 200K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1200K
[Total SW $ in millions] 820K

donny2112 · Apr 5, 2009

Ether_Snake said:
Should have last month's NPD results in the OP

For any games that came out last month, I do. However, this month is all new releases. Notice that I do have that information for the software $, though.

Ether_Snake said:
if possible the list of games and their sales and days on the market of the same period the previous year.

For a yearly release like Madden that could work. Most other games aren't as regular, though.

WaltJay · Apr 5, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 550k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 250k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 750k
[Total SW $] 995 million

shykyoichi · Apr 6, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 725k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 850K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 475k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 240k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1350K
[PS3 Killzone 2] 350k
[Total SW $ in millions] 845K

Jonsoncao · Apr 6, 2009

just FYI, there are only 700k ppl on 360 RE5 leaderboard(those who completed chapter 1)

dunno the number for ps3 but sure some of you guys' predictions are too optimistic

Askia47 · Apr 6, 2009

Jonsoncao said:
just FYI, there are only 700k ppl on 360 RE5 leaderboard(those who completed chapter 1)

dunno the number for ps3 but sure some of you guys' predictions are too optimistic

Are those worldwide rankings? or just US rankings? I don't have a copy of the game for 360 or PS3.

AdventureRacing · Apr 6, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 700K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 750K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 320K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1350K
[Total SW $ in millions] 850

Jonsoncao · Apr 6, 2009

Askia47 said:
Are those worldwide rankings? or just US rankings? I don't have a copy of the game for 360 or PS3.

worldwide

timetokill · Apr 6, 2009

Jonsoncao said:
just FYI, there are only 700k ppl on 360 RE5 leaderboard(those who completed chapter 1)

dunno the number for ps3 but sure some of you guys' predictions are too optimistic

So it becomes an issue of how many people with Xbox 360 go on Live and have bought RE5.

Rand al Thor 19 · Apr 6, 2009

The 360 gamertag tracking site mygamercard.net has RE5 being played by 140k and Halo Wars at 122k if you sort by just american tags. When The Force Unleeashed came out it posted 130k users and did 600k in that month's NPD. Using that data RE5 should be above 600k and Halo Wars should be just around that mark. The question for RE5 is how high it can go?? In Oct of last year Fable 2 came out and posted 150k users and 800k in that month's NPD. Looks like RE5 won't be higher than Fable 2 but it should be fairly close.

Brakara · Apr 7, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 600k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1150k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1000

Blablurn · Apr 7, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 630k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 780k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 330k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1300k
[PS3 Killzone 2] 360k

boontje · Apr 7, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 550k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 700k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 475k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1100k
[Total SW $ in millions] 920

adamsapple · Apr 7, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 660k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 600k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 350k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k

andy_lhc · Apr 8, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 640K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 700K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 550K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 280K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 950K
[Total SW $ in millions] 850K

UltimaPooh · Apr 8, 2009

Wasn't there a press release that said Halo Wars sold over a million copies?

Better make those predictions higher.

botticus · Apr 8, 2009

UltimaPooh said:
Wasn't there a press release that said Halo Wars sold over a million copies?

Better make those predictions higher.

Worldwide.

UltimaPooh · Apr 8, 2009

Gotcha.

pseudocaesar · Apr 8, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 600k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[PS3 Killzone 2] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 800k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1000k

manueldelalas · Apr 8, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 700k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 700k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 700k
[PS3 Killzone 2] Not in top ten

botticus · Apr 8, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 600k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 300k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 900k
[Total SW $ in millions] 750

Hammer24 · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 590k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 720k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 490k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 325k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 650k
[Total SW $ in millions] 975

RBH · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 525k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 700k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 590k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 225k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 800k
[Total SW $ in millions] 850

donny2112 · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 404K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 400K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 260K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 125K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1005K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1050

Gadfly · Apr 9, 2009

donny2112 said:
[360 Halo Wars] 404K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 400K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 260K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 125K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1005K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1050

Why KZ2 is not listed?

Flakster99 · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 594K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 480K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 380K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 245K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1305K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1210

donny2112 · Apr 9, 2009

Gadfly said:
Why KZ2 is not listed?

There are a lot of new games that should be fun to predict for and that should either make the Top 10 or that we should at least get the numbers for. I still think Killzone 2 has a very good shot of being in the Top 10, though. If you want to predict for Killzone 2 for yourself outside of the counted software predictions, go ahead.

Edit:
Note to self: Calculate last month's prediction results this weekend.

billy.sea · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 500K
[360 Resident Evil 5] 450K
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 380K
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 160K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 750K
[Total SW $] 850 million

Aaron Strife · Apr 9, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 550k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 650k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 350k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1200k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1100

The M.O.B · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 400k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 420k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 666k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 210k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 450k
[Total SW $ in millions] 840

MotherFan · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 400k
[360 Resident Evil 5]450k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 400k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 150K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 790K
[Total SW $ in millions] 650
[PS3 Killzone 2] 350k

Stop It · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars]450k
[360 Resident Evil 5]500k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5]425k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars]375k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum]900k
[Total SW $ in millions] 975

OldJadedGamer · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 320k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 250k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 200k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 220K
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 680K
[PS3 Killzone 2] 90k

Gadfly · Apr 11, 2009

donny2112 said:
There are a lot of new games that should be fun to predict for and that should either make the Top 10 or that we should at least get the numbers for. I still think Killzone 2 has a very good shot of being in the Top 10, though. If you want to predict for Killzone 2 for yourself outside of the counted software predictions, go ahead.

Edit:
Note to self: Calculate last month's prediction results this weekend.

Well, to be honest I would have likes to "get" people to make a prediction for KZ2. Many people have weaseled their way out of saying what exactly would be a poor/ok/good/excellent showing and no matter what the result, I expect them to say: "oh, yeah, this is better than I expected".

as for my own prediction, I have called for 1.2 m total Feb and March. I don't think this will happen though.

Brakara · Apr 11, 2009

Maybe I'm reading it wrong, but it looks to have sold ~500k in its first 30 days.

http://kotaku.com/5205711/sony-killzone-2-sales-have-exceeded-our-expectations

Gbeav · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 500k
[360 Resident Evil 5] 530k
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 500k
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 600k
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 750k
[Total SW $ in millions] 650

kefka2030 · Apr 11, 2009

[360 Halo Wars] 611,681
[360 Resident Evil 5] 756,315
[PS3 Resident Evil 5] 513,561
[NDS GTA: Chinatown Wars] 451,846
[NDS Pokemon: Platinum] 1,235,513
[Total SW $ in millions] 766

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