• Hey Guest. Check out your NeoGAF Wrapped 2025 results here!

(Hardware) August 2009 NPD Predictions - Closes September 7

donny2112

Member
Extra day to predict this month, but still predict early to be sure not to be late! :)

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Monday, September 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: August 2-29 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: September 10th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Note: NPD release may be delayed due to Labor Day in the U.S.

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:
Good              Bad
[360] 234K        [360] 234.5K
[360] 234,000     [360] 234.000
[360] 234567      [360] - 234000
The Software Prediction thread is here.


Potential hardware impacting events in August:

PS3 price cut Aug. 20 - $399 160GB, $299 80GB
360 price cut Aug. 28 - $299 Elite, $249 Pro


July's Results - thanks to NPD and EviLore

EviLore said:
PlayStation 2 108K
PlayStation 3 121.8K
PSP 122.8K
Xbox 360 202.9K
Wii 252.5K
Nintendo DS 538.9K


Wii SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS (WII) 508.2K
NCAA FOOTBALL 10 (360) 376.5K
NCAA FOOTBALL 10 (PS3) 237.4K
WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD* (WII) 164.3K
MARIO KART W/ WHEEL (WII) 156.6K
MARIO KART DS (NDS) 132.2K
POKEMON PLATINUM VERSION (NDS) 116.4K
FIGHT NIGHT ROUND 4 (360) 116.4K
NEW SUPER MARIO BROS (NDS) 101.8K
EA SPORTS ACTIVE BUNDLE (WII) 96.8K

(*includes CE, GOTY editions, bundles, etc. but not those bundled with hardware)

Jul-08 -> Aug-08 transition:

Code:
      Jul-08  Aug-08   % change
360     205K    195K    -  5%
NDS     608K    518K    - 15%
PS2     155K    144K    -  7%
PS3     225K    185K    - 18%
PSP     222K    253K    + 14%
WII     555K    453K    - 18%

July Prediction Results
 
[360] 220k
[NDS] 512k
[PS2] 90k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 105k
[WII] 260k



This is going to be a very interesting end to the year, starting this month.
 
Just some placeholder guesses, this month require far more thought. When did the PS3 slim itself launch?

[360] 210k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 115k
[WII] 260k
 
lowlylowlycook said:
Just some placeholder guesses, this month require far more thought. When did the PS3 slim itself launch?

[360] 210k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 115k
[WII] 260k

The official launch date is September 1st.
 
lowlylowlycook said:
Just some placeholder guesses, this month require far more thought. When did the PS3 slim itself launch?

[360] 210k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 180k
[PSP] 115k
[WII] 260k

Most stores received them on the 25th. People also need to remember that the PS3 was doing 30k a week before the price drop. It likely sold 60k or less the first 2 weeks.
 
[360] 212k
[NDS] 513k
[PS2] 90k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 112k
[WII] 205k

See can i get better than 91st place this my second entry
 
Karma said:
Most stores received them on the 25th. People also need to remember that the PS3 was doing 30k a week before the price drop. It likely sold 60k or less the first 2 weeks.

Almost an entire month would be the same rate as usual and maybe even less due to anticipation of the Slim. Stores that have gotten the Slim Early wont impact the numbers much in the 4 possible days of early release. If the regular ones were as rare as people have liked to say the price drop wont have impacted much


[360] 200k
[NDS] 530k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 140k
[PSP] 122k
[WII] 256k
 
[360] 215k
[NDS] 540k
[PS2] 105k
[PS3] 205k
[PSP] 125k
[WII] 245k

I don't know what to do about ps3 predication lol...On one hand it had 11 days of pricedrop...on the other hand people were waiting for slim...
 
NeoUltima said:
I don't know what to do about ps3 predication lol...On one hand it had 11 days of pricedrop...on the other hand people were waiting for slim...

Also there were reports of some places selling out of fatties, right?
 
lowlylowlycook said:
Also there were reports of some places selling out of fatties, right?

Was happening pre pricecut if the reports were true just based on no more supply coming in. It really is hard to predict the PS3 this month because sell outs are not such a big deal if they are because Sony was not restocking.
 
Ah, so it is just 4 weeks for August? Since Monday is the 31st I assumed this would be another 5 week month...
 
Top Bottom