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donny2112 · Nov 1, 2009

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, November 8th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: October 4-31 (4 weeks, September was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: November 12th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[360] 234K        [360] 234.5K
[360] 234,000     [360] 234.000
[360] 234567      [360] - 234000

The Software Prediction thread is here.

Potential hardware impacting events in October:

September's Results - thanks to NPD and EviLore

EviLore said:
PlayStation 2 146.0K
PlayStation 3 491.8K
PSP 190.4K
Xbox 360 352.6K
Wii 462.8K
Nintendo DS 524.2K

HALO 3: ODST (360; Sep-09) 1.52M
WII SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS (WII; Jul-09) 442.9K
MADDEN NFL 10 (360; Aug-09) 289.6K
MARIO & LUIGI:BOWSER'S INSIDE STORY (NDS; Sep-09) 258.1K
THE BEATLES:ROCK BAND* (360; Sep-09) 254.0K
MADDEN NFL 10 (PS3; Aug-09) 246.5K
MARVEL:ULTIMATE ALLIANCE 2 (360; Sep-09) 236.0K
BATMAN:ARKHAM ASYLUM* (PS3; Aug-09) 212.5K
GUITAR HERO 5* (360; Sep-09) 210.8K
THE BEATLES:ROCK BAND* (WII; Sep-09) 208.6K

(*includes CE, GOTY editions, bundles, etc. but not those bundled with hardware)

Sep-08 -> Oct-08 transition:

Code:

      Sep-08  Oct-08   % change
360     347K    371K   + 10%
NDS     537K    491K   -  9%
PS2     174K    136K   - 22%
PS3     232K    190K   - 18%
PSP     238K    193K   - 19%
WII     687K    803K   + 17%

September Prediction Results

MikeE21286 · Nov 1, 2009

This is a big one......

[360] 375k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 425k
[PSP] 190k
[WII] 475k

confused · Nov 1, 2009

first time, so I'm probably way off

[360] 340K
[NDS] 510K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 300K
[PSP] 150K
[WII] 600K

See how I do

WaltJay · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 350k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 90k
[PS3] 400k
[PSP] 165k
[WII] 450k

inner-G · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 360k
[NDS] 576k
[PS2] 61k
[PS3] 501k
[PSP] 212k
[WII] 476k

Scott32020 · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 355k
[NDS] 505k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 395k
[PSP] 175k
[WII] 495k

micromagic · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 320k
[NDS] 540k
[PS2] 108k
[PS3] 380k
[PSP] 180k
[WII] 420k

frankie_baby · Nov 1, 2009

never usually bother but i'll have a go

[360] 295k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 320k
[PSP] 165k
[WII] 590k

LiquidMetal14 · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 344k
[NDS] 502k
[PS2] 136k
[PS3] 387k
[PSP] 202k
[WII] 403k

shinshero · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 310k
[NDS] 480k
[PS2] 118k
[PS3] 415k
[PSP] 183k
[WII] 422k

boontje · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 290k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 320k
[PSP] 160k
[WII] 600k

Taurus · Nov 1, 2009

[WII] 600k
[NDS] 500k
[PS3] 330k
[360] 310k
[PSP] 170k
[PS2] 110k

Wii number is going to be really tough one...

Biff · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 330K
[NDS] 550K
[PS2] 150K
[PS3] 420K
[PSP] 200K
[WII] 450K

Kinda thinking sales for the most part moved horizontally in October.. Will be very interesting to see what kind of impact UC2 had on PS3 sales.

TTP · Nov 1, 2009

donny2112 said:
Potential hardware impacting events in October:

Wondering why Uncharted 2 isn't mentioned there. Perhaps it's not considered to be "hardware impacting"?

Jokeropia · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 350k
[NDS] 520k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 400k
[PSP] 170k
[WII] 495k

timetokill · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 290k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 99k
[PS3] 340k
[PSP] 133k
[WII] 425k

TTP said:
Wondering why Uncharted 2 isn't mentioned there. Perhaps it's not considered to be "hardware impacting"?

It's not.

TTP · Nov 1, 2009

timetokill said:
It's not.

Hm... ok

Linkup · Nov 1, 2009

[360]370k
[NDS]530k
[PS2]140k
[PS3]460k
[PSP]190k
[WII]500k

Sadist · Nov 1, 2009

[360]368k
[NDS]600k
[PS2]135k
[PS3]406k
[PSP]180k
[WII]481k

shinshero · Nov 1, 2009

timetokill said:
It's not.

It is, just like Killzone 2.

Killzone 2 had an impact on PS3 hardware sales in February and I expect Uncharted 2 to have a similar if not greater effect.

expy · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 324K
[NDS] 530K
[PS2] 120K
[PS3] 375K
[PSP] 195K
[WII] 445K

Averon · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 320K
[NDS] 600K
[PS2] 110K
[PS3] 370K
[PSP] 175K
[WII] 440K

vicissitudes · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 305k
[NDS] 480k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 380k
[PSP] 165k
[WII] 450k

pseudocaesar · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 365k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 90k
[PS3] 450k
[PSP] 160k
[WII] 470k

AnIco · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 300K
[NDS] 490K
[PS2] 110K
[PS3] 380K
[PSP] 200K
[WII] 450K

Woodsy · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 320K
[NDS] 640K
[PS2] 120K
[PS3] 520K
[PSP] 220K
[WII] 450K

Orgen · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 298K
[NDS] 452K
[PS2] 113K
[PS3] 369K
[PSP] 196K
[WII] 547K

red shoe paul · Nov 1, 2009

[360] 360K
[NDS] 480K
[PS2] 100K
[PS3] 350K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 420K

Jonsoncao · Nov 2, 2009

xbox wont be so high as 300k yet PS3 will surpass 400k

you guys are way off

Elios83 · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 280k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 410k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 450k

andy_lhc · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 320K
[NDS] 470K
[PS2] 110K
[PS3] 380K
[PSP] 230K
[WII] 530K

Jonsoncao · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 280k
[NDS] 480k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 360k
[PSP] 195k
[WII] 520k

AlternativeUlster · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 330k
[NDS] 540k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 340k
[PSP] 180k
[WII] 650k

slayzz · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 320
[NDS] 550
[PS2] 150
[PS3] 400
[PSP] 200
[WII] 450

Saiyar · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 300k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 350k
[PSP] 150k
[WII] 525k

starsky · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 375k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 450k
[PSP] 165k
[WII] 480k

starsky · Nov 2, 2009

slayzz said:
.

You need to add the 'k' in your prediction.

scottnak · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 324k
[NDS] 519k
[PS2] 109k
[PS3] 407k
[PSP] 170k
[WII] 551k

choodi · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 280k
[NDS] 420k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 350k
[PSP] 150k
[WII] 370k

donny2112 · Nov 2, 2009

TTP said:
Wondering why Uncharted 2 isn't mentioned there. Perhaps it's not considered to be "hardware impacting"?

I used to list all the "big" games in a month, but that never really seemed to have much of an impact. The only way I'd list a game as a big system mover now is something like Halo 3 (not ODST or Halo 4; i.e. the first Halo game on the 360 when Xbox was defined by Halo), MGS4, or FFXIII. Huge stuff that lots of people might buy a system for alone.

SonicX_Zero · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 375k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 400k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 700k

VegaShinra · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 350k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 112k
[PS3] 415k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 500k

rikitikitik · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 277k
[NDS] 526k
[PS2] 111k
[PS3] 348k
[PSP] 144k
[WII] 449k

Megadragon15 · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 350
[NDS] 570
[PS2] 120
[PS3] 365
[PSP] 160
[WII] 425

thestopsign · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 310k
[NDS] 490k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 400k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 470k

user_nat · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 300k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 400k
[PSP] 200k
[WII] 500k

Thunder Monkey · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 280,000
[NDS] 570,000
[PS2] 120,000
[PS3] 385,000
[PSP] 145,000
[WII] 535,000

Sure why not?

TTP · Nov 2, 2009

donny2112 said:
I used to list all the "big" games in a month, but that never really seemed to have much of an impact. The only way I'd list a game as a big system mover now is something like Halo 3 (not ODST or Halo 4; i.e. the first Halo game on the 360 when Xbox was defined by Halo), MGS4, or FFXIII. Huge stuff that lots of people might buy a system for alone.

Gotcha. I thought the "potential" implied some flexibility in deciding what to put there. I understand you'll only list the obvious system movers from now on

kadotsu · Nov 2, 2009

[360] 315k
[NDS] 470k
[PS2] 115k
[PS3] 370k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 400k

NeoUltima · Nov 2, 2009

In case you all didn't notice...which looking at a lot of these numbers it would seem you haven't...September was a 5 week period. October is only 4 weeks.

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