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(Software) September 2010 NPD Predictions - Closes Oct. 10

donny2112

Member
We're predicting for five games that will hopefully either be in the Top 5 for the month or at least get numbers for.

Games/Format:

[360 Dead Rising 2]
[360 Halo: Reach]
[PS3 Dead Rising 2]
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS]
[WII Metroid: Other M]

[Total SW $ in millions]


Code:
Good                          Bad
[360 Dead Rising 2] 200K      [360 Dead Rising 2] 200 thousand
[360 Dead Rising 2] 200,000   [360 Dead Rising 2] 200.000
[360 Dead Rising 2] 200000    [360 Dead Rising 2] - 200,000
The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Sunday, October 10th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: August 29-October 2 (5 weeks, August was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: October 14th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)


Code:
                               Jul 2010  Aug 2010

[Total SW $ in millions]            438       404

Number of days available for new releases:
360/PS3 Dead Rising 2 - 5 days
360 Halo: Reach - 19 days
PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS - 26 days
WII Metroid: Other M - 33 days
 
No Dead Rising 2?

That might be a more fascinating case study than Madden's second month that we're fairly likely to get numbers for one way or another.
 
Nirolak said:
No Dead Rising 2?

That might be a more fascinating case study than Madden's second month that we're fairly likely to get numbers for one way or another.

Wasn't counting on it doing as well. I can throw it in to replace Madden 11, though. Software predictions are a lot more "for kicks" with only getting the Top 5 now, anyways. :)
 
donny2112 said:
Wasn't counting on it doing as well. I can throw it in to replace Madden 11, though. Software predictions are a lot more "for kicks" with only getting the Top 5 now, anyways. :)
Yeah, either is perfectly fine, but I was just thinking out loud since it's been one of the biggest "I have no idea how this will do" situations in a long time for me.

Edit:

[360 Dead Rising 2] 275,000
[360 Halo: Reach] 3,700,000
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 75,000
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 180,000
[WII Metroid: Other M] 120,000
 
[360 Halo: Reach] 4,000,000
[360 Dead Rising 2] 200,000
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 85,000
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 220,000
[WII Metroid: Other M] 175,000
 
Both Maddens will probably be in the top 5, along with and Reach. Dead Rising 2 with only 5 days and Metroid to fight for the other 2 spots.

We'll definitely rely on someone to tell us sales of Kingdom Hearts, though.


Edit: apparently I forgot to reload before posting. lol Anyway...
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 250k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3800k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 100k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 100k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 125k
[Total SW $ in millions] 600

I think HAWX2 will be 100k-200k too, no?
Can we expect Civ 5 or FF14 numbers?
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 270,000
[360 Halo: Reach] 1,200,000
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 99,000
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 80,000
[WII Metroid: Other M] 320,000
 
[360 Halo: Reach] 3800k
[360 Dead Rising 2] 230k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 70k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 200k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 160k

[Total SW $ in millions] 580
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 190,000
[360 Halo: Reach] 2,250,000
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 90,000
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 95,000
[WII Metroid: Other M] 140,000

[Total SW $ in millions] 700
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 225,000
[360 Halo: Reach] 3,250,000
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 150,000
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 95,000
[WII Metroid: Other M] 125,000

[Total $550]
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 210k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3500k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 150k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 65k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 140k

[Total SW $ in millions] 666
 
Kind of sad Civ V numbers will be non-existent or insanely lowballed. I know more people who bought that game over anything else, even Halo.
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 450k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3150k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 175k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 160k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 120k

[Total SW $ in millions] 600

Edit: do people really think Dead Rising 2 will do that much worse than the first one? According to reviews, this one doesn't seem to be a dud like Lost Planet 2... Also, the XBLA game (Case Zero) has been a great success.
 
Brakara said:
[360 Dead Rising 2] 450k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3150k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 175k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 160k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 120k

[Total SW $ in millions] 600

Edit: do people really think Dead Rising 2 will do that much worse than the first one? According to reviews, this one doesn't seem to be a dud like Lost Planet 2... Also, the XBLA game (Case Zero) has been a great success.
Case Zero is only 5 bucks...
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 150K
[360 Halo: Reach] 3800K
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 65K
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 125K
[WII Metroid: Other M] 300K

[Total SW $ in millions] 600
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 250k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3500k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 150k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 125k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 150k

[Total SW $ in millions] 625
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 223K
[360 Halo: Reach] 3540K
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 99K
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 120K
[WII Metroid: Other M] 133K

[Total SW $ in millions] 620
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 300K
[360 Halo: Reach] 3400K
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 170K
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 100K
[WII Metroid: Other M] 230K

[Total SW $ in millions] 650
 
[360 Dead Rising 2] 222k
[360 Halo: Reach] 3333k
[PS3 Dead Rising 2] 99k
[PSP Kingdom Hearts: BBS] 188k
[WII Metroid: Other M] 222k

[Total SW $ in millions] 633
 
Gazunta said:
[360] Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga'Hoole 1.3million

...I'll get my coat :(

Unless there's not a Wii/DS version, shouldn't those versions sell significantly more than a 360 version?
 
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