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donny2112 · Oct 31, 2010

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Tuesday, November 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: October 3-30 (4 weeks, September was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: November 16th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[NDS] 500K        [NDS] 500 thousand
[NDS] 500,000     [NDS] 500.000
[NDS] 500000      [NDS] - 500000

~~The Software Prediction thread is here.~~

Potential hardware impacting events in October:
PSPgo price drop $199 - October 25

September's Results - thanks to Nirolak

Nirolak said:
The Top 10 sellers (in order, publisher and platform in parentheses):
01. Halo: Reach (Microsoft, Xbox 360) - 3.3 Million
02. Madden NFL 11 (Electronic Arts, Xbox 360, PS3, PS2, Wii, PSP) - Over 477k for sure, perhaps up to 550k-600k-ish (we lack the September 2009 Wii/PS2/PSP numbers to fully calculate from)
New! 03. Dead Rising 2 (Capcom, Xbox 360, PS3, PC) - 370,000
04. NHL 11 (EA, Xbox 360, PS3)
05. FIFA Soccer 11 (EA, Xbox 360, PS3, PS2, PSP, Nintendo DS)
New! 06. Kingdom Hearts: Birth By Sleep (Square Enix, PSP) - 225,000
07. Mafia II (Take 2 Interactive, Xbox 360, PS3, PC)
08. Spider-Man: Shattered Dimensions (Activision Blizzard, PS3, 360, NDS, Wii)
New! 09. Metroid: Other M (Nintendo, Wii) - 173,000
10. Call Of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Activision Blizzard, Xbox 360, PS3, PC)

Outside of Top 10:
Guitar Hero: Warriors of Rock (All Platforms) - 86,000 [This means all Top 10 titles >86k]

Xbox 360: 483,989 Units (Up 37% Year Over Year)
DS: 403,000 Units (Down 23% Year Over Year)
PS3: 312,000 Units (Down 37% Year Over Year)
Wii: 254,000 Units (Down 45% Year Over Year)
New! PSP: 106,624 Units (Down 44% Year Over Year)

Sep-09 -> Oct-09 transition:

Code:

      Sep-09  Oct-09   % change
360     352K    250K   - 29%
NDS     524K    458K   - 13%
PS3     492K    321K   - 35%
PSP     190K    175K   -  8%
WII     463K    507K   + 10%

September Prediction Results

Nirolak · Oct 31, 2010

donny2112 said:
Potential hardware impacting events in October:
PSPgo price drop $199 - October 25

Bwahahahahahahahaha.

Strike · Oct 31, 2010

So we're still doing this?

Hazaro · Oct 31, 2010

Hardware I thought was still reported, so yes?

Osuwari · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 420k
[NDS] 420k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 100k
[WII] 250k

we did get HW numbers last time so this can work out still.

Speevy · Oct 31, 2010

Xbox 360: ????
PS3: ??
Wii: ???
PSP: ?
DS: ?????

Megadragon15 · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 350K
[NDS] 330K
[PS3] 250K
[PSP] 75K
[WII] 280K

N.A · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 400k
[NDS] 340k
[PS3] 270k
[PSP] 90k
[WII] 220k

starsky · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 400k
[NDS] 325k
[PS3] 230k
[PSP] 105k
[WII] 205k

Jive Turkey · Oct 31, 2010

Speevy said:
Xbox 360: ????
PS3: ??
Wii: ???
PSP: ?
DS: ?????

Tee-hee.

SonicX_Zero · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 400k
[NDS] 385k
[PS3] 285k
[PSP] 97k
[WII] 255k

timetokill · Oct 31, 2010

Damn, I didn't do last month, and due to the all the npd crappiness

i gotta remember to do it this month at least. i had almost made it the whole year with predictions too

LiquidMetal14 · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 376k
[NDS] 444k
[PS3] 301k
[PSP] 103k
[WII] 304k

u_neek · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 380k
[NDS] 400k
[PS3] 290k
[PSP] 120k
[WII] 320k

Aad · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 450,000
[NDS] 410,000
[PS3] 290,000
[PSP] 120,000
[WII] 280,000

Scott32020 · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 435k
[NDS] 400k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 95k
[WII] 300k

Jokeropia · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 338k
[NDS] 360k
[PS3] 295k
[PSP] 100k
[WII] 280k

Baki · Oct 31, 2010

[PS3] 289K
[360] 330K
[Wii] 250K
[NDS] 344K
[PSP] 96K

Goldmund · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 440,000
[NDS] 395,000
[PS3] 300,000
[Wii] 220,000
[PSP] 82,000

Saiyar · Oct 31, 2010

[360] 350k
[NDS] 325k
[PS3] 250k
[PSP] 100k
[WII] 225k

orion434 · Nov 1, 2010

[360] 400K
[NDS] 375K
[PS3] 300K
[PSP] 100K
[WII] 250K

Hammer24 · Nov 1, 2010

[360] 400K
[NDS] 425K
[PS3] 265K
[PSP] 125K
[WII] 285K

WaltJay · Nov 1, 2010

[360] 415k
[NDS] 400k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 85k
[WII] 350k

donny2112 · Nov 2, 2010

[360] 352K
[NDS] 380K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 96K
[WII] 242K

And since we aren't doing an official software prediction thread, here are some guesses. :lol

WII Just Dance 2 - 150K (Just Dance 1 launched at ~10K in November 2009)
WII Wii Party - 125K (Wii Music launched at 80K and probably sold >1m)
360 Halo: Reach - 400K
360/PS3 Medal of Honor: Modern Warfare Edition - 1000K (EA said they sold to consumers 2m in the first two weeks. If that was 100% true, it would be more like 1.5m with 351K sold in the U.K. and probably not much elsewhere. But it's EA.

)

Gamemaster_ca_2003 · Nov 3, 2010

[360] 400k
[NDS] 380k
[PS3] 365k
[PSP] 79k
[WII] 320k

balladofwindfishes · Nov 3, 2010

Let's not forget Wii Party was released.
It may impact Wii sales more than you think.

Pooya · Nov 3, 2010

donny2112 said:
[360] 352K
[NDS] 380K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 96K
[WII] 242K

And since we aren't doing an official software prediction thread, here are some guesses.

WII Just Dance 2 - 150K (Just Dance 1 launched at ~10K in November 2009)
WII Wii Party - 125K (Wii Music launched at 80K and probably sold >1m)
360 Halo: Reach - 400K
360/PS3 Medal of Honor: Modern Warfare Edition - 1000K (EA said they sold to consumers 2m in the first two weeks. If that was 100% true, it would be more like 1.5m with 351K sold in the U.K. and probably not much elsewhere. But it's EA. )

since I'm more interested in software sales, I do that too :lol :

[360] 378K
[NDS] 352K
[PS3] 285K
[PSP] 94K
[WII] 265K

Software - all formats:
Medal of Honor: 689k
Halo Reach: 446k
Fallout New Vegas: 438k
Dead Rising 2: 118k
Fable 3: 286k

donny2112 · Nov 4, 2010

miladesn said:
Fable 3: 286k

I always forget about Fable. I forgot about Fable 2 in its release month, too. :lol

sciplore · Nov 4, 2010

[360] 380K
[NDS] 400K
[PS3] 305K
[PSP] 100K
[WII] 385K

I did shitty last time hopefully I can do better this time.

Averon · Nov 4, 2010

[360] 420K
[NDS] 375K
[PS3] 310K
[PSP] 75K
[WII] 275K

I NEED SCISSORS · Nov 4, 2010

[360] 400K
[NDS] 450K
[PS3] 330K
[PSP] 55K
[WII] 400K

Instro · Nov 4, 2010

[360] 320k
[NDS] 400k
[PS3] 300k
[PSP] 100k
[WII] 280k

donny2112 · Nov 4, 2010

It looks like the October results are delayed until Tuesday, November 16.

Any problem with delaying the cutoff date for predictions until Tuesday November 9th?

Brakara · Nov 4, 2010

[360] 350k
[NDS] 315k
[PS3] 240k
[PSP] 90k
[WII] 200k

confuziz · Nov 5, 2010

[360] 350K
[NDS] 370K
[PS3] 295K
[PSP] 85K
[WII] 290k

timetokill · Nov 5, 2010

[360] 390k
[NDS] 375k
[PS3] 270k
[PSP] 94k
[WII] 260k

VegaShinra · Nov 5, 2010

[360] 370k
[NDS] 355k
[PS3] 265k
[PSP] 95k
[WII] 239k

donny2112 · Nov 5, 2010

donny2112 said:
Any problem with delaying the cutoff date for predictions until Tuesday November 9th?

No one complained, so the deadline is now moved back to Tuesday, November 9th at 5 p.m. EST.

scottnak · Nov 6, 2010

[360] 341k
[NDS] 357k
[PS3] 234k
[PSP] 73k
[WII] 273k

NeoUltima · Nov 6, 2010

[360] 366k
[NDS] 330k
[PS3] 265k
[PSP] 78k
[WII] 220k

Ydahs · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 390k
[NDS] 350k
[PS3] 250k
[PSP] 90k
[WII] 240k

rostocker · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 377k
[NDS] 333k
[PS3] 253k
[PSP] 89k
[WII] 250k

archnemesis · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 333k
[NDS] 366k
[PS3] 248k
[PSP] 88k
[WII] 220k

perfectchaos007 · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 400K
[NDS] 400K
[PS3] 400K
[PSP] 40K
[WII] 400K

It's not a joke post

Zero-Crescent · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 340K
[NDS] 350K
[PS3] 250K
[PSP] 100K
[WII] 275K

jj984jj · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 380k
[NDS] 376k
[PS3] 281k
[PSP] 95k
[WII] 247k

Road · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 333k
[NDS] 322k
[PS3] 266k
[PSP] 88k
[WII] 255k

Orgen · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 398k
[NDS] 376k
[PS3] 251k
[PSP] 94k
[WII] 238k

skedar897 · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 400K
[NDS] 350K
[PS3] 265K
[PSP] 80K
[WII] 280K

jonnybryce · Nov 7, 2010

[360] 418K
[NDS] 380K
[PS3] 310K
[PSP] 70K
[WII] 290K

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