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March 2011 NPD Prediction Thread (3DS launch) - Closes April 11

donny2112

Member
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Monday, April 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: February 27-April 2 (5 weeks, February was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: April 14th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:

[360]
[3DS]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[WII]

Code:
Good              Bad
[360] 400K        [360] 400 thousand
[360] 400,000     [360] 400.000
[360] 400000      [360] - 400000


Potential hardware impacting events in March:
3DS launched March 27th (7 days in tracking period)
Pokemon Black/White (w/ system bundle) - March 6 (28 days in tracking period)


February's Results - thanks to Nirolak/jvm/Pachter (Wedbush)

Hardware
Xbox 360 - 535K
Wii - 455K
PS3 - 403K
NDS - 454K
Feb-10 -> Mar-10 transition:

Code:
      Feb-10  Mar-10   % change
360     422K    338K   - 20%
NDS     613K    701K   + 14%
PS3     360K    314K   - 13%
WII     398K    558K   + 40%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive
 
[360] 420K
[3DS] 500K
[NDS] 450K
[PS3] 350K
[WII] 380K

EDIT: Forgot about Pokemon Black/White's launch, changed the DS' number to reflect it.
 
I'll be surprised if this goes on for much longer since NPD is going out of their way to make sure that the numbers stay secret. We might just have to stick to quarterly or yearly predictions instead.
 
[360] 550,000
[3DS] 900,000
[NDS] 600,000
[PS3] 420,000
[WII] 450,000

Been under predicting last few months. So I;m over predicting this month see how that does for me :)
 
Arent those rather high for the 3DS? I thought the US only received, what is that rumored, 1.2-1.5mln units? People are implying a complete sell out in 7 days! Of course, Im just saiyan...
 
Dedication Through Light said:
Im just saiyan...

DBZ+Vegeta+Finger_ad.jpg
 
[360] 490,000
[3DS] 700,000
[NDS] 310,000
[PS3] 380,000
[WII] 420,000

I really have no clue how well the 3DS will be selling initially, how deeply it will cut into the DS' numbers. Well, in general, I have no clue about these things, it's just fun to participate.
 
Goldmund said:
how deeply it will cut into the DS' numbers.

Good point!

Don't forget that Pokemon Black/White launched this month with > 1m sold in first day (or week?).

Added that into the OP. :)
 
[360] 498k
[3DS] 776k
[NDS] 484k
[PS3] 410k
[WII] 432k

Not too confident with the above numbers. Tough month to predict.
 
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