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donny2112 · Jul 4, 2011

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Monday, July 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: May 29-July 2 (5 weeks, May was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: July 14th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:

[360]
[3DS]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[360] 400K        [360] 400 thousand
[360] 400,000     [360] 400.000
[360] 400000      [360] - 400000

Potential hardware impacting events in June:
3DS Zelda: Ocarina remake - June 19

May's Results - thanks to Nirolak/jvm

Hardware
Xbox 360: 270K (+39%) [Best Selling Console]
PlayStation 3: 177K (+15%) [Anita Frazier's Commentary: ((194.6K + 154.5K) * 1.28) - 270K]
Wii - 236K (-30%)
Nintedno DS - ~2x 3DS
Nintendo 3DS - 97K

Click to expand...

May-10 -> Jun-10 transition:

Code:

      May-10  Jun-10   % change
360     195K    452K   +132%
NDS     384K    511K   + 33%
PS3     154K    305K   + 98%
WII     335K    422K   + 26%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

Dedication Through Light · Jul 4, 2011

Didnt the new PS3 BLOPS bundle come out this past month too?

[360] 250K
[3DS] 140K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 210K
[WII] 200K

Megadragon15 · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 330K
[3DS] 115K
[NDS] 195K
[PS3] 170K
[WII] 285K

Danny 117 · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 230K
[3DS] 120K
[NDS] 150K
[PS3] 190K
[WII] 220K

ItWasMeantToBe19 · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 350k
[3DS] 180k
[NDS] 190k
[PS3] 250k
[WII] 210k

Haven't done this in a few months since I was so out of gaming and focused on other things in that time. Probably will be laughably far off.

MasterShotgun · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 230K
[3DS] 160K
[NDS] 180K
[PS3] 220K
[WII] 210K

First time doing this, so I wonder how I will fare.

noobie · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 325K
[3DS] 130K
[NDS] 210K
[PS3] 230K
[WII] 290K

Can we Edit it till the deadline?

watershed · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 270K
[3DS] 140K
[NDS] 200K
[PS3] 180K
[WII] 230K

legend166 · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 313k
[3DS] 116k
[NDS] 205k
[PS3] 200k
[WII] 260k

Kerrby · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 277K
[3DS] 120K
[NDS] 150K
[PS3] 210K
[WII] 240K

Duxxy3 · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 250K
[3DS] 190K
[NDS] 300K
[PS3] 280K
[WII] 220K

confuziz · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 330K
[3DS] 135K
[NDS] 215K
[PS3] 255K
[WII] 365K

andy_lhc · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 350k
[3DS] 130k
[NDS] 220k
[PS3] 210k
[WII] 260k

Brakara · Jul 4, 2011

[360] 315k
[3DS] 150k
[NDS] 250k
[PS3] 225k
[WII] 300k

Goldmund · Jul 4, 2011

Did I participate last month? I forget.

[360] 332,000
[3DS] 115,000
[NDS] 142,000
[PS3] 246,000
[WII] 165,000

EDIT: Apparently I have. Corrected 360 prediction.

donny2112 · Jul 5, 2011

noobie said:
Can we Edit it till the deadline?

Yes. The data isn't collected until the deadline.

The PS3 BlOps bundle came out a the beginning of the June period, but 1) the game has already been out for 6+ months before the bundle and 2) the PS3 is much less likely to be affected by an old game being bundled at this point. The OoT release, however, is the first biggish release on a new system, and it was so low last month that even a small absolute difference would be a big deal. :lol

Psychotext · Jul 5, 2011

Was there any particular reason for last year's 360 / PS3 bump?

I don't see any massive games that were released.

Credo · Jul 5, 2011

[360] 280k
[3DS] 110k
[NDS] 170k
[PS3] 180k
[WII] 190k

DarkestLight · Jul 5, 2011

[360] 410k
[3DS] 110k
[NDS] 240k
[PS3] 303k
[WII] 310k

Psychotext said:
Was there any particular reason for last year's 360 / PS3 bump?

I don't see any massive games that were released.

360 slim and older sku price drop, not sure about ps3

Definitely think it will be the end of microsofts year on year growth

Koopakiller · Jul 5, 2011

[360] 230k
[3DS] 114k
[NDS] 260k
[PS3] 158k
[WII] 240k

Psychotext · Jul 5, 2011

siyrobbo said:
360 slim and older sku price drop, not sure about ps3

Thanks.

perfectchaos007 · Jul 5, 2011

[360] 340K
[3DS] 150K
[NDS] 250K
[PS3] 290K
[WII] 270K

darkside31337 · Jul 5, 2011

[360] 280K
[3DS] 120K
[NDS] 160K
[PS3] 310K
[WII] 210K

Zero-Crescent · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 360K
[3DS] 145K
[NDS] 250K
[PS3] 320K
[WII] 290K

Sennorin · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 330K
[3DS] 150K
[NDS] 250K
[PS3] 240K
[WII] 300K

starship · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 350K
[3DS] 300K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 240K
[WII] 370K

TheyTookOurJobs · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 270K
[3DS] 135K
[NDS] 320K
[PS3] 250K
[WII] 175K

Did an optimistic prediction for the PS3 because of all the deals they've had on systems lately.

botticus · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 310k
[PS3] 230k
[WII] 275k
[NDS] 220k
[3DS] 150k

Jokeropia · Jul 7, 2011

[360] 335k
[3DS] 150k
[NDS] 250k
[PS3] 220k
[WII] 280k

donny2112 · Jul 8, 2011

Just over 3 days left to predict for June ...

UberTag · Jul 8, 2011

Time to work some magic.

[360] 323K
[3DS] 106K (yeah, Zelda on its own isn't going to salvage 3DS sales; probably got 3DS close to par with DS for a week but that's it)
[NDS] 205K
[PS3] 238K
[Wii] 411K (sales leader for the month despite NO games NO Xenoblade NO anything from Nintendo of America... but MUCHO Zumba Fitness)

I predicted a monster month for Wii when last month's NPD thread came out. Time to back up my words.

UberTag · Jul 9, 2011

We don't have a software prediction thread any more so I'll just throw my expected Top 10 software titles below for kicks. I'll assume everything released in June except for inFAMOUS 2 bombed which will make it more fun and easy to crunch.

01. L.A. Noire (360, PS3)
02. Duke Nukem Forever (360, PS3, PC) (still a bomb relative to stupidly ludicrous pre-release expectations)
03. inFAMOUS 2 (PS3)
04. Zumba Fitness: Join the Party (Wii, 360, PS3)
05. Call of Duty: Black Ops (360, PS3, Wii, NDS, PC)
06. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D (3DS)
07. Portal 2 (360, PS3, PC)
08. Wii Fit Plus (Wii) (re-emerges due to the influx of new Wii owners)
09. Mortal Kombat 2011 (PS3, 360)
10. Just Dance 2 (Wii)

jvm · Jul 9, 2011

[360] 338K
[NDS] 305K
[WII] 296K
[PS3] 235K
[3DS] 130K

archnemesis · Jul 9, 2011

[360] 320k
[3DS] 135k
[NDS] 260k
[PS3] 210k
[WII] 260k

donny2112 · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 320K
[WII] 300K
[NDS] 220K
[PS3] 215K
[3DS] 145K

3DS still well overpriced, but at least it has a game worth owning the system for now. Just needs a whole lot more of them (and a $50 price drop) to get normal people interested. :lol

skedar897 · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 330K
[WII] 310K
[NDS] 220K
[PS3] 230K
[3DS] 150K

Goldmund · Jul 10, 2011

donny2112 said:
[360] 320K
[WII] 300K
[NDS] 220K
[PS3] 215K
[3DS] 145K

3DS still well overpriced, but at least it has a game worth owning the system for now. Just needs a whole lot more of them (and a $50 price drop) to get normal people interested. :lol

They should have added a third 1D-screen at the bottom. The price wouldn't have mattered.

rostocker · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 322K
[NDS] 284K
[WII] 267K
[PS3] 209K
[3DS] 144K

pitseleh · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 330k
[3DS] 135k
[NDS] 215k
[PS3] 240k
[WII] 230k

Theonik · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 310k
[3DS] 120k
[NDS] 195k
[PS3] 215k
[WII] 250k

electroplankton · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 280,000
[3DS] 210,000
[NDS] 250,000
[PS3] 190,000
[WII] 270,000

tonitoni · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 320k
[3DS] 110k
[NDS] 180k
[PS3] 220k
[WII] 230k

TheNatural · Jul 10, 2011

I'm just going to guess 3DS since it's the only real interesting item there being a new platform. With the Zelda remake coming out, if it didn't boost June sales by about 25% that's not good. I'm going to bid 125,000 for the 3DS Bob.

Zeppelin · Jul 10, 2011

[360] 260K
[3DS] 120K
[NDS] 190K
[PS3] 180K
[WII] 210K

Elios83 · Jul 11, 2011

[360] 300K
[3DS] 150K
[NDS] 230K
[PS3] 225K
[WII] 225K

donny2112 · Jul 11, 2011

TheNatural said:
I'm just going to guess 3DS since it's the only real interesting item there being a new platform. With the Zelda remake coming out, if it didn't boost June sales by about 25% that's not good. I'm going to bid 125,000 for the 3DS Bob.

There are 5 weeks in June's NPD period compared to 4 weeks in May's NPD period. Therefore, a 25% total increase from May would mean that weekly sales were actually unchanged.

Donthizz# · Jul 11, 2011

[360] 289k
[3DS] 110K
[NDS] 183K
[PS3] 224K
[WII] 386K

SuperBanjo · Jul 11, 2011

[360] 330K
[3DS] 150K
[NDS] 280K
[PS3] 240K
[WII] 290K

IceDoesntHelp · Jul 11, 2011

[360] 320k
[3DS] 170k
[NDS] 280k
[PS3] 300k
[WII] 250k

airmangataosenai · Jul 11, 2011

Random Numbers:
3DS: 160k
NDS: 185k
PS3: 230k
360: 310k
Wii: 225k

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