What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, September 4th. (Sept. 3rd is a U.S. holiday.) Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: July 29-August 25 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: September 6th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT; Possibility of it being delayed due to Labor Day, but this would be the normal release time.)
IMPORTANT: As of May 2012's results, NPD is now directly including Wal-Mart data in their totals. Previously they were only estimating for Wal-Mart, so there could be some significant changes in relative performance compared to previous years.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in August:
Release of 3DSXL on August 19 @ $200 - 7 days
Release of 3DS New Super Mario Bros. 2 on August 19 - 7 days
July's Results - thanks to Nirolak, Petrae, and bigtroyjon
July 2011 NPD thread
August 2011 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, September 4th. (Sept. 3rd is a U.S. holiday.) Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: July 29-August 25 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: September 6th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT; Possibility of it being delayed due to Labor Day, but this would be the normal release time.)
IMPORTANT: As of May 2012's results, NPD is now directly including Wal-Mart data in their totals. Previously they were only estimating for Wal-Mart, so there could be some significant changes in relative performance compared to previous years.
Format:
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[360] 300K [360] 300 thousand
[360] 300,000 [360] 300.000
[360] 300000 [360] - 300000
Potential hardware impacting events in August:
Release of 3DSXL on August 19 @ $200 - 7 days
Release of 3DS New Super Mario Bros. 2 on August 19 - 7 days
July's Results - thanks to Nirolak, Petrae, and bigtroyjon
That'd make the numbers to use for predictions ...
360 - 203K
PS3 - 140K
3DS - 131K
WII - 70K
PSV - 48.5K (average of range endpoints)
July 2011 NPD thread
August 2011 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive