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Pachter Predicts: Xbox One outsold PS4 in September (dance, you puppets)

Pachter's "prediction" is so absolutely LOL worthy.... it isn't even funny anymore.
The Xbone numbers won't even be near the PS4 sales.

So it's actually unbelievable that even here, in this thread, we can see posts like:



Big LOL!
Seriously

Are you going to combust if it turns out to be right?
 

MRMagoo

Neo Member
competition is king....

all the people hoping for PS4 to wipe the floor with Sony, will in the end regret it, history is littered with evidence of how bad companies can act when they are the dominant force..

One could argue that is already happening depending on how you view things...

Firmware updates?

Features added?

PSN is just well.... a joke and Xmas is looming and will likely get even worse

of course Sony would deny any link to those not being updated because of their dominance...

but that is not the question, the question should always be..

Would the PS4 still be as it is if they were in Microsoft position in terms of sales?

Yeh PS1 and PS2 did just fine while stomping the competition tho didnt they.
 

sublimit

Banned
Well i don't know if he's right or wrong but September was the month i bought my PS4 (because of the Destiny bundle.)

But i'm based in Europe.
 
Well the fact the WiiU is not doing too well kinda blows your idea out of the water already doesnt it.

No, because the WiiU has zero third party support while everyone knows that the overwhelming majority of third party games will be released on PC, PS4 and XB1.

Edit: stupid autocorrect
 
Just because I act like who I am on GAF doesn't mean I'm not a competent white collar professional deserving of my pay cheque.

Pach is clearly more than competent in many aspects of his career. It's just that he doesn't bring that to his console predictions, for some reason.

I get the feeling that his videogame market analysis is like his 10th priority or less

He wasn't even aware what the new 3DS was at all as of like 2 weeks after its announcement
 
competition is king....

all the people hoping for PS4 to wipe the floor with Sony, will in the end regret it, history is littered with evidence of how bad companies can act when they are the dominant force..

One could argue that is already happening depending on how you view things...

Firmware updates?

Features added?

PSN is just well.... a joke and Xmas is looming and will likely get even worse

of course Sony would deny any link to those not being updated because of their dominance...

but that is not the question, the question should always be..

Would the PS4 still be as it is if they were in Microsoft position in terms of sales?

What an exaggeration. There is competition, its just the Xbone is getting outsold every month in US/UK.

But yeah, Xbone is flat-lining in Europe and Japan. Maybe more firmware updates are needed...
 

romulus91

Member
t, Sony is coasting, at best, into this holiday season. They may have the more powerful console, but they really have to pull their socks up and get off their ass. The threads regarding PSN problems and lack of solid updates with requested features are increasing in frequency around here.

if we are using threads as a metric... MS is already bankrupt
 

Rurunaki

Member
When you wrote this, did you for one moment consider taking into account current and upcoming ps4 games?

I like how he listed Xbox One launch itlesand future titles for Microsoft, but only the white Playstation 4 Destiny Bundle for Sony as his argument for the overall systems' value.
 

Duxxy3

Member
Well the fact the WiiU is not doing too well kinda blows your idea out of the water already doesnt it.

Not really.

PS4 and XB1 have, largely, the same lineup of games. They are directly comparable. Wii U has a fraction of the support that the PS4/XB1 have. It's not comparable.
 

EGM1966

Member
One interesting point for me is the element of Destiny having performance parity.

So in this case consumers wanting the game were given option to get it for free with XB1 without having to accept any performance hit.

Although Sony did have exclusive maps for online, something that's proven a draw historically.

Nonetheless I wonder if the game being at parity eroded draw of PS4 version given price difference?
 

Tak3n

Banned
What an exaggeration. There is competition, its just the Xbone is getting outsold every month in US/UK.

But yeah, Xbone is flat-lining in Europe and Japan. Maybe more firmware updates are needed...

answer the question then...

do you honestly believe the PS4 would be in the exact state it is now if roles were reversed?
 
One interesting point for me is the element of Destiny having performance parity.

So in this case consumers wanting the game were given option to get it for free with XB1 without having to accept any performance hit.

Although Sony did have exclusive maps for online, something that's proven a draw historically.

Nonetheless I wonder if the game being at parity eroded draw of PS4 version given price difference?

It should be an interesting example of what co marketing can or can't do. Albeit not perfect as I'm sure XB1 has better demographics per capita for bungie FPS games
 
I don't think it's so much as parity, but rather the fact that the Halo audience is on Xbox.

From a consumer perspective, Sony betting on Destiny clearly only meant one thing, which was that Sony wanted that Halo audience.

However, just because Sony wants it doesn't mean they'll move over significantly, since Halo is still on Xbox and Destiny is multiplatfrom.

Destiny was always going to be a boost to XB1 as well. It's just that Sony marketed it so hard to be associated with PS4 that Sony reaps the benefits even though they went into it with the handicap of not having Halo.
 

MRMagoo

Neo Member
It's funny when people roll out this 'competition is good' tripe and you reply to them, 'cool but what about the PS1/2 era', probably the best in gaming, and there's no answer to it.

Because they dont actually think competition is good they just dont like which side is winning, if it was the other way around they would all be making doomed ps4 articles.
 

MRMagoo

Neo Member
No, because the WiiU has zero third party support while everyone knows that the overwhelming majority of third party games will be released on PC, PS4 and XB1.

Edit: stupid autocorrect

Hmmm so its the third party games that make a system good? Because all I keep seeing is people say once MS release their exclusives it will start selling more than the PS4, if its exclusives then the WiiU is currently the better console for that, if its multiplats then the PS4 is the go to console, the xbox one is the sitting in the middle not doing anything special in either at the moment.
 
Thread is a goldmine of quotes. Among my favourites are the posts implying that Sunset Overdrive is a reason to pick up an Xbox either in September or the next couple of months.

I'm sure it will be a quality title - but I feel it's safe to say that it will be a non event when we look back in a couple of years. I'd like to be wrong, and insomniac to reap some benefit for doing something unique. But I'm getting Fuse vibes all over again. Microsoft marketing machine will prevent it from being a complete disaster.

With regards to the actual thread, I'd like to believe that someone who is paid real dollars for developing insights and advising on investment strategy, is doing their research, due diligence and is keeping personal preference out of it. At this stage I'm not sure Pachter is doing this. He is either woefully ignorant to the reality of the market at the moment, poor at forecasting or really wants his pals at MS to chalk up a win off the back of some retail promotions.

I have no idea which of these it is, and I'll be very surprised if he is correct.
 
answer the question then...

do you honestly believe the PS4 would be in the exact state it is now if roles were reversed?

No, I think the PS4 would be in a worse state, of course I'd think that? It wouldn't be selling as much!

But I know what you mean - I'd actually think if the PS4 was getting outsold 2:1 it would lead to a gen of less games like wILD, Trine, Bloodborne, The Tomorrow Children, No Man's Sky and one where there's more a focus on titles like Titanfall, first-person shooters and big cinematic experiences like Ryse from 3rd party devs. The latter is not something that is good.
 

MRMagoo

Neo Member
Bullshit.

Well I guess I win that one then, nice rebuttal. Maybe you can explain why its good to have competition then? explain why PS1 and PS2 where the best gens even tho it was complete domination ? Its not a fanboy things its a factual thing. Try making some points that prove me wrong.
 
Pachter's "prediction" is so absolutely LOL worthy.... it isn't even funny anymore.
The Xbone numbers won't even be near the PS4 sales.

So it's actually unbelievable that even here, in this thread, we can see posts like:



Big LOL!
Seriously

Why? PSN is still a joke compared to Live. MS have been updating the thing like nothing we have seen before, not to mention the heavy focus on exclusives and price cuts.
 
Well I guess I win that one then, nice rebuttal. Maybe you can explain why its good to have competition then? explain why PS1 and PS2 where the best gens even tho it was complete domination ? Its not a fanboy things its a factual thing. Try making some points that prove me wrong.

Not a fact at all... the generation before was much much much better. Rose tinted glasses and all...
 

GlamFM

Banned
Well I guess I win that one then, nice rebuttal. Maybe you can explain why its good to have competition then? explain why PS1 and PS2 where the best gens even tho it was complete domination ? Its not a fanboy things its a factual thing. Try making some points that prove me wrong.

Sorry, but the notion that competition isn´t a good thing is not worth discussing.
 
Insomniac is like the western Platinum. They make great games that don't sell much.

Spyro sold very well. Ratchet and Clank still sells as well so no they are not the Western Platinum.

Insomniac used to be my favourite studio (hard to believe that now) but after stuff like Fuse, Resistance and the recent RC games its hard to see why I did do that. I hope the new RC brings the series back to its best form.
 
The Xbone and Wii U sell badly compared to the Neogaf favorite and people think it's a good thing. The more competition the more gamers are valued.

Competition is a great thing. Ps4 is doing well, while Microsoft and Nintendo are practically giving consoles away by comparison. That's the reality of real competition. If Microsoft and Nintendo were doing equally as well, consumers would be worse off because there would be no urgency to move consoles like their has been this year.
 

Tak3n

Banned
Yes "dude", if competition is so important then explain the PS1 and PS2 era where they trounced the competition by miles and is known as the golden years of console gaming.

I will answer that....

different generation (I know cop out) but back then there was not the acceptance of giving consumers almost Early Access games...

lets be honest in todays generation both parties are as guilty as sin to shipping unfinished products (Early Access)

back in those days you bought the disc and it had to work, there was not option to patch, no option of after market promises.... it simply had to work and had to work well, perfect... so the pressure was off to a certain extent, they could do these games to their timeframe as they could not release after market solutions

I can almost guarantee if that was to happen today it would no be remembered so fondly, because the infrastructure was/is completely different

it is like saying why did so many more people die before penicillin was discovered.
 
MS price matching their competitor with a different sku is giving the console away? You were right.. the quotes in this thread are great.

Eh, hyperboles in threads like this are common.

This thread becomes a lot more jovial if we don't take every quote seriously. It's bad for one's health otherwise.
 
Competition is a great thing. Ps4 is doing well, while Microsoft and Nintendo are practically giving consoles away by comparison. That's the reality of real competition. If Microsoft and Nintendo were doing equally as well, consumers would be worse off because there would be no urgency to move consoles like their has been this year.

No that's playing second base. Surrendering brand priority. The urgency is always there, the closer the competitors, the higher the effort. A marathon runner won't aim for first from the back of the pack, he'll build his own personal success. The top runners whom are close together will push harder the closer they are and near the finish line.
 

Ace001

Member
Yes "dude", if competition is so important then explain the PS1 and PS2 era where they trounced the competition by miles and is known as the golden years of console gaming.

Because competition or not, sony were making money by selling games. Good games equals more sales and more money. No competition needed.
 
MS price matching their competitor with a different sku is giving the console away? You were right.. the quotes in this thread are great.

Price matching? I can walk into JB Hifi tomorrow, and pick up an Xbox One for $100 less, and it comes with more games bundled. That's not even a great special - just an everyday bundle.
Keeping in mind that it launched $50-100 more expensive with nothing... Then yes, by comparison I stand by what I said even if it exaggerated.
 

VeeP

Member
What an exaggeration. There is competition, its just the Xbone is getting outsold every month in US/UK.

But yeah, Xbone is flat-lining in Europe and Japan. Maybe more firmware updates are needed...

I really hope this wasn't sarcasm. Because Microsoft is killing it with firmware updates and supporting the console/os, as well as bringing great games (FH2, MCC, etc.).

PSN & the PS4 OS meanwhile are incredibly basic. Driveclub servers are still shit. Hell, Plus users can't even download the game yet because Evolution is trying to fix the servers/prevent an overload of new users.

I don't own a Xbox One. I own a PS4. But I know where Sony is dropping the ball and where Microsoft is picking it up and running with it.
 

tuna_love

Banned
Price matching? I can walk into JB Hifi tomorrow, and pick up an Xbox One for $100 less, and it comes with more games bundled. That's not even a great special - just an everyday bundle.
Keeping in mind that it launched $50-100 more expensive with nothing... Then yes, by comparison I stand by what I said even if it exaggerated.
Xbox one and ps4 are same price at jbhifi?
 
No that's playing second base. Surrendering brand priority. The urgency is always there, the closer the competitors, the higher the effort. A marathon runner won't aim for first from the back of the pack, he'll build his own personal success. The top runners whom are close together will push harder the closer they are and near the finish line.

Nice in theory, but I feel that PS2 generation was great for me as a consumer. I bought an Xbox a few months after it came out for nearly half the price and with a whole bunch of games.
 
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