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Study: Obese men and women have <1% chance of attaining a normal weight (mod edit OP)

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KarmaCow

Member
Some of the wording in the articles makes me think these statistics deal with all obese, not just those attempting to lose weight.

It does mention biological changes after living an unhealthy lifestyle for so long but yea, it does sound more general than people permanently physically being unable to lose weight.
 

woolley

Member
But what percentage of obese people give an honest effort to lose the weight? Most people I've seen try some stupid diet for a week and then go back to eating shitty foods, or work out once or twice and give up when they don't see instant results. The percentage is so low because at least from what I've seen most obese people don't have the will or desire to lose their weight.
 
Just because roadblocks are mental doesn't mean they aren't real.
There isn't a magical way to become skinny and fit again. You have to work at it and get the help you need if you can't handle the mental stress yourself.

I don't feel superior, because what I did wasn't anything to brag about. It just is. I just don't feel much empathy because I actually worked to help myself. My weight gain wasn't even because of eating habits but at the end of the day I was still grossly obese and all the empathy in the world didn't help me lose weight until I decided I would change things.

At the same time I realize I sound like one of those bootstraps people so self reflection is probably in order.
 

PBY

Banned
There's a difference between accepting obese people and accepting the obesity epidemic.

Shaming individuals for their weight seems extremely misguided to me.

Besides, it's pretty clear that societal factors are causing a preponderance of obesity, not a sudden onset of laziness in the entire populations of dozens of countries.

Obviously. I totally agree with all of this. I'm more referring to -and I'm going to be reductionist here- certain situations of people coming out and being proud of being "curvy" and attempting to re-label obesity.

One one hand - I feel like this is a tremendous help for self-worth, acceptance, etc.

On the other hand - I feel like it can potentially hand-wave away serious health conditions, and hurts the fight against obesity.

Open to being educated, just something I think is a fine line.
 

Reebot

Member
Hate studies like this.

Its a fact that any human is capable of loosing weight. The psychological challenge exists, yes, but its wildly inaccurate to say "<1%" as if its chance. Or out of the person's hands. Or something that can't be overcome.

Its not. Its a personal health choice anyone, barring extreme mental or physical illness, can make. Publicly condoning defeatism does nothing to help anyone.
 
But what percentage of obese people give an honest effort to lose the weight? Most people I've seen try some stupid diet for a week and then go back to eating shitty foods, or work out once or twice and give up when they don't see instant results. The percentage is so low because at least from what I've seen most obese people don't have the will or desire to lose their weight.

Dosnt help that the diet industry is full of riddles and mysteries instead of science.
 

Nivash

Member
Curious to know if the data set focused on people who attempted to lose weight.

The article is unclear if it's just a sample of obese and morbidly obese people, or a subset of that sample who have weight loss as an active goal.

I don't think there's ever been an argument that an obese person maintaining status quo would necessarily result in a good chance for becoming not-obese.

It accounts for everyone, whether they're trying or not. The study approaches it from a prevention standpoint to evaluate whether or not the current approach is effective. It's evidently not. Based on that standpoint, failing to convince people that they need to lose weight in the first place is still a failure.

If you look into it a bit closer the numbers aren't as cataclysmic. The study mentions that you have a 22% chance to retain a weight loss of 5% for 5 years. So basically, you have a 22 % chance of losing weight and keeping it off. The problem is that 5 % isn't enough to get you back to a healthy weight. If you're 180 cm tall and weigh 100 kg you have a BMI of 30,9. In order to get back to a healthy BMI of less than 25, you need to lose at least 20 kg - or in this case, 20 % of you total body mass. That's no small feat.
 
Whenever the weight issue comes up, overweight GAF always seems to be like that comic with the punchline "that's totally why I don't have a girlfriend".
 

Husker86

Member
Am I, or anyone else for that matter, supposed to care?

At a less than 1% sucess rate your method is pretty much confirmed garbage at doing anything more than giving you a false sense of superiority for doing it.

The success rate is less dependent on what is required and more on the mindset of the person, right?

I don't think there is anything wrong with the method proposed for losing weight, it's all about whether or not the person truly wants to try.

I don't know how to put that without sounding like "they're all lazy", because that's not what I'm implying; our nutritional education and shitty marketing tactics don't exactly make eating healthy easy...but calling the method for losing weight "garbage" is not very factual.
 

Nickle

Cool Facts: Game of War has been a hit since July 2013
Maybe if we had good health education instead of the fucking food pyramid, people would know how to lose weight. I didn't know about calories until 2014.
 

farisr

Member
It's one of the easiest things to change about yourself.

understood_that_referk8s9i.gif
 

KingGondo

Banned
But what percentage of obese people give an honest effort to lose the weight? Most people I've seen try some stupid diet for a week and then go back to eating shitty foods, or work out once or twice and give up when they don't see instant results. The percentage is so low because at least from what I've seen most obese people don't have the will or desire to lose their weight.
Thanks for comparing your admittedly anecdotal experiences to an actual scientific study. That's helpful.

At the same time I realize I sound like one of those bootstraps people so self reflection is probably in order.
I know that it takes hard work and I'm not arguing that. But this is an area in which broad societal changes will be far more effective than standing on a mountaintop and belittling people for their supposed lack of willpower.

Hate studies like this.
Sorry that the facts don't fit your preexisting simplistic worldview.
 
Curious to know if the data set focused on people who attempted to lose weight.

The article is unclear if it's just a sample of obese and morbidly obese people, or a subset of that sample who have weight loss as an active goal.

I don't think there's ever been an argument that an obese person maintaining status quo would necessarily result in a good chance for becoming not-obese.

It doesn't focus on those trying to lose weight.
 
It's habit.

That's why people have a hard time, because they were clearly never taught how to properly eat and teach their body, "No, I don't need anymore food".

We are people of habit, and when you're fat as a kid and taught horrible eating habits at young ages it's going to be incredibly hard to change those habits as you grow older.

When I lost weight I went on a strict caloric deficient diet for two months and lost around 30 pounds. Relatively speaking that wasn't too hard. I was miserable, but it was the following two years and now that are a struggle as I try to lose more weight, let alone maintain the weight loss.
 

Cagey

Banned
Given how this thread is going, "obese people have less than 1% chance of successfully losing weight from diet and exercise and lifestyle changes!" is going to pop up with regularity on GAF from here on out, taking a number out of context given the lack of clarity whether the study limited its dataset to obese people trying to lose weight versus obese people.

Wonderful for discourse!

EDIT:
Am I, or anyone else for that matter, supposed to care?

At a less than 1% sucess rate your method is pretty much confirmed garbage at doing anything more than giving you a false sense of superiority for doing it.

I am sure your experience is 100% representative for the 99% of people who don't manage it.

Obviously they are just lazy and incompetent compared to you.

So easy 1% of people manage to do it!
 

LogicStep

Member
I don't need empathy, I need a better plan. I have lost a lot of weight but gained it back. I need more focus. but thats just me.

Look at it as a lifestyle change instead of diets or whatever that is short term, gotta look at it as something for the long haul. Helps me lose weight. I'm not obese though...
 

Reebot

Member
Maybe if we had good health education instead of the fucking food pyramid, people would know how to lose weight. I didn't know about calories until 2014.

Uh, that one's on you my friend. Calories ain't a big secret.

I agree with the overall sentiment though, health education should be revamped and given priority. Once I realized how simple eating right actually is loosing weight wasn't hard.

Sorry that the facts don't fit your preexisting simplistic worldview.

Sorry the rest of my post blows out your cute pithy remark.
 

Alexlf

Member
If I'm reading it right this study is very misleading. It's saying that given 210 obese people, 1 will lose weight. So in other words, this includes people not trying to lose weight.

It says nothing about the difficulty. If someone can link the full study and prove me wrong please do, but according to their own school press that seems to be what they are saying.
 

farisr

Member
When I lost weight I went on a strict caloric deficient diet for two months and lost around 30 pounds. Relatively speaking that wasn't too hard. I was miserable, but it was the following two years and now that are a struggle as I try to lose more weight, let alone maintain the weight loss.

I'm curious about this, in this time period, were/are you still doing a caloric deficient diet and not seeing any results anymore, or are you having a hard time doing a caloric deficient diet now?
 

Morts

Member
If I'm reading it right this study is very misleading. It's saying that given 210 obese people, 1 will lose weight. So in other words, this includes people not trying to lose weight.

It says nothing about the difficulty. If someone can link the full study and prove me wrong please do, but according to their own school press that seems to be what they are saying.

This is what I got. If the study said the whole sample was actively trying to lose weight I missed it.
 
If I'm reading it right this study is very misleading. It's saying that given 210 obese people, 1 will lose weight. So in other words, this includes people not trying to lose weight.

It says nothing about the difficulty. If someone can link the full study and prove me wrong please do, but according to their own school press that seems to be what they are saying.
The study also does not take into account those who put the weight back on, which is the vast majority.

So you have a <1% chance of losing the weight, and then a tiny chance of keeping it off long term.
 
If I'm reading it right this study is very misleading. It's saying that given 210 obese people, 1 will lose weight. So in other words, this includes people not trying to lose weight.
That's not really misleading. Its a health problem with supposedly the simplest possible solution ever. The fact that only 1% of people manage to deal with it is a problem.
 

KingGondo

Banned
When I lost weight I went on a strict caloric deficient diet for two months and lost around 30 pounds. Relatively speaking that wasn't too hard.
This, followed by this:

I was miserable, but it was the following two years and now that are a struggle as I try to lose more weight, let alone maintain the weight loss.
I dunno man. Sounds hard to me.
 

Miletius

Member
That suggests that the best approach would be gradual weight loss instead of a crash diet like so many people try. You get someone down to where they've got a stable weight and then cut out 100 calories a day.

I agree that prevention would be much better.

Yes. A gradual approach and reduction in consumption is the best way to lose weight and maintain that weight loss. Some people will argue that calories, or carbs, or sugar is what is causing the obesity epidemic and I'm not here to argue that. But I think that almost everybody can agree that in the case of the severely overweight or obese, the single best thing you can do to lose weight is to reduce your portion sizes -- gradually so that you become accustomed to eating less food.

Are you really? I'd say a lack of empathy is one of the defining characteristics of people here.

When it comes to weight loss, I agree. Other topics, not as much.
 

tcrunch

Member
That sure sounds hopeless.

"We can't fix it, just prevent it"

That isn't hopeless at all, it's reality. Obesity is a systemic problem, and changing people's environments and training them as kids to go for healthy foods instead of junk is a far more effective means of ending the problem, instead of just running around shouting "calories in calories out" at grown adults, who have significant issues changing learned behaviors. The obesity results for children have been an issue for years, so we should not be surprised that we now have a bunch of obese adults with unchangeable bad eating habits.

Obesity as a systemic issue is the approach being adopted by US nutrition education programs as well, after 20+ years of trying just the informative approach with adults (some kid education was going on too, don't get me wrong, but the focus is now entirely toward enabling families to raise their kids better and stop the problem before it starts).
 

Nickle

Cool Facts: Game of War has been a hit since July 2013
Uh, that one's on you my friend. Calories ain't a big secret.

I agree with the overall sentiment though, health education should be revamped and given priority. Once I realized how simple eating right actually is loosing weight wasn't hard.
I knew what a calorie was, I just didn't know that it was pretty much solely responsible for weight loss. I didn't know weight loss was so simple.
 

Opiate

Member
That's pretty much all you need to do, the study doesn't refute that.

What it does suggest is that willpower, in this regard, is mostly an illusion.

People can "just lose weight, it's so simple" in the same way it's simple to rise out of poverty. "Just go back to college, get a good degree, and then aggressively go job hunting. It's really straightforward!"
 

Reset

Member
Most people who end up being obese start off on that path during childhood, and a lot of them dont even make it to adolescence before being obese.

But yeah, its def those kids fault entirely. Sorry fatass, your own damn fault, enjoy the death at 50!

Ok? Then lose some weight when you get older and can control what you eat. The study isn't saying it's impossible for fat people to get a normal weight.
 

Nivash

Member
If I'm reading it right this study is very misleading. It's saying that given 210 obese people, 1 will lose weight. So in other words, this includes people not trying to lose weight.

It says nothing about the difficulty. If someone can link the full study and prove me wrong please do, but according to their own school press that seems to be what they are saying.

Again, it's approaching the problem from a preventive medicine standpoint. When you do that the only thing you look at is whether or not your current efforts are effective - in this case what society does to promote healthy weight. If that approach fails because it can't convince people to lose weight it still fails. Lack of personal motivation is not considered an excuse, it's just proof that the current approach doesn't get people motivated.
 
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