Team Alucard
Banned
I really can't wait to read your posts on election night
I will try to be here provided I don't get killed for wearing my MAGA hat on campus on election day.
I really can't wait to read your posts on election night
I really can't wait to read your posts on election night
It's telling when at best Donald Trump can only match Clinton during her absolute worst week of the campaign so far.
I will try to be here provided I don't get killed for wearing my MAGA hat on campus on election day.
It's telling when at best Donald Trump can only match Clinton during her absolute worst week of the campaign so far.
State polling lags National polling. You will see upward tick in all the states by next week which will reflect this.That's only one poll. Overall you could say that Hillary is maybe stabilizing, but not improving.
Also, Trump flipped Florida recently.
As it stands, right now, Trump would only have to flip NH to win.
That's only one poll. Overall you could say that Hillary is maybe stabilizing, but not improving.
Also, Trump flipped Florida recently.
As it stands, right now, Trump would only have to flip NH to win.
State polling lags National polling. You will see upward tick in all the states by next week which will reflect this.
I'd like to read your posts in the thread about his charity but they are conspicuously absent. No consequences for those either. Other than maybe a little whiplash from trying to spin too hard.I will try to be here provided I don't get killed for wearing my MAGA hat on campus on election day.
He already surpassed her twice. Around RNC convention and earlier in the year. April, I think.
Yup.
If Trump gains another 1% on her nationally it will put NH into play and get him to 270.
So now the sky isn't falling?
God damnit GAF are we shitting the bed or not?
People who support a white nationalist purely for being a white nationalist have no interest in any other factors.I'd like to read your posts in the thread about his charity but they are conspicuously absent. No consequences for those either. Other than maybe a little whiplash from trying to spin too hard.
Trump has never surpassed Clinton in electorate polling
Yup.
If Trump gains another 1% on her nationally it will put NH into play and get him to 270.
I'm optimistic for the debate, but I wouldn't underestimate Trump
https://twitter.com/FullFrontalSamB/status/778270057428246528?lang=en
https://twitter.com/FullFrontalSamB/status/778270258914144256?lang=en
I can't believe Trump is doing this well. I didn't think it was possible. I remember watching him announcing his candidacy and think this was a joke. Another goofball GOP thing. For the first time, I think this country may actually elect this doofus.
I mean, Bush was elected twice. It should never be underestimated how idiotic most of America truly is.
Untrue.
538 had him leading their forecast from July 30th-31st.
So why is the gap tightening every time I look at fivethirtyeight?
Yup.
If Trump gains another 1% on her nationally it will put NH into play and get him to 270.
That's what she did in August. It only works for so long. At some point, once you've been out of the spotlight long enough, people start to lose interest.
What happened was that she became the focus of the news media instead of Trump and therefore suffered in the polls. The conventional wisdom for this election cycle is that whoever is in the spotlight suffers as a result. Clinton should therefore embrace this and let Trump wallow at the centre of his own self-created shitstorms.
Hmm, ok... wasn't fivethirtyeight 100% accurate for the last election? I thought their track record spoke for itself. They're suddenly not reliable anymore?because fivethirtyeight has the "let's include everything" approach in a year where almost everything is shit
aggregate of aggregates still has literally everyone else above 65% Clinton and the biggest substantive difference between them is only 538's including shit like those weird Ipsos polls where Vermont goes for Trump
How does a 1% increase nationally mean it will put any particular state in play, much less NH?
because fivethirtyeight has the "let's include everything" approach in a year where almost everything is shit
aggregate of aggregates still has literally everyone else above 65% Clinton and the biggest substantive difference between them is only 538's including shit like those weird Ipsos polls where Vermont goes for Trump
That's only one poll. Overall you could say that Hillary is maybe stabilizing, but not improving.
Also, Trump flipped Florida recently.
As it stands, right now, Trump would only have to flip NH to win.
Exactly
Exactly
Hmm, ok... wasn't fivethirtyeight 100% accurate for the last election? I thought their track record spoke for itself. They're suddenly not reliable anymore?
Hmm, ok... wasn't fivethirtyeight 100% accurate for the last election? I thought their track record spoke for itself. They're suddenly not reliable anymore?
That's only one poll. Overall you could say that Hillary is maybe stabilizing, but not improving.
Also, Trump flipped Florida recently.
As it stands, right now, Trump would only have to flip NH to win.
I mean, they were, but does that mean that they'll be 100% accurate for this one.
How did he "flip" FL? Today's Monmouth and Saint Leo U has her up +4 and +2, respectively.
5 stages of grief.
Also, why would you trust 538 over random dudes on NeoGAF?