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Media Create Sales: Week 16, 2017 (Apr 17 - Apr 23)

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
I mean the Switch did almost 5 months of 3DS in it's launch month. The 3Ds didn't do particular well in either NA or EU which is which Japan stands at a 3rd of it's total install base. There's plenty to be improved upon there.

3DS was a very weak player outside Japan. if there wasn't Pokemon last year it would be already in irrelevancy. Software sales were much bigger problem than hardware.
 

noshten

Member
3DS was a very weak player outside Japan. if there wasn't Pokemon last year it would be already in irrelevancy. Software sales were much bigger problem than hardware.

I don't think Switch will have an issue outselling the 3DS in 3-4 year. Simply put the hybrid nature of the device ensures it would be popular in Japan. In terms of the West there is no doubt that this launch has been magnitude times larger than the 3DS launch.

I've said at the beginning of the year that I expected it to be a front-loaded device there due to the nature of the first year lineup:

The main thing I'm expecting is Western games to be entirely focused about running the game in portable mode - rather than concentrating on fidelity of the docked mode. Simply put I think Western Devs do want an additional million sold and half of that could be done on a device with 10-20 million install base in Japan LTD.
Personally I expect around 5-10 million sales within the first year for the Switch at minimum with the device being especially front-loaded in Japan. It's only limiting factor is the price - I don't think the size of the Switch will be much of an issue as long as it has Splatoon, MK8, YK, Pokemon, new Mario, MH and DQ within it's first year... This type of lineup predisposes huge releases around holidays.

One thing I do wonder is if Western Devs might sell Switch games at a lower price point if it's infact something that does get the "worst" ports - essentially in docked mode. Could pricing for the games be similar to 3DS game pricing or even cheaper for 3rd parties. That's the main thing I'm deliberating - a price of 7000-9000 yen in Japan is pretty steep for compared to the price of certain 3DS games.

Anyhow this is probably going to piss a lot of people off in the West... but on the other hand I think having a strong Japanese Market as the 3DS/Vita are essentially limiting their respective audiences due to weaker hardware. There is currently around 30 million handheld devices in Japan - even if half of this audience transitions to Switch it would be more than Wii U sold world wide in it's entire lifespan. This is potentially too big of an audience for 3rd parties to ignore unless their games/ports completely tank on the Switch. I think portable sport games are a thing that is lacking at the moment so that's also an interesting moment for 3rd parties.
I don't know a lot is riding on the Switch being successful in Japan, WW is anyone's guess and would probably depend on the price of this Nintendo Console Tablet device. Also in the future what type of supplemental devices and hardware can be provided is another interesting aspect, on top of the greater capacity to market via smartphone games/social media/esports..



This year is pretty important for Nintendo - if Splatoon 2 takes off the way I expect it to. They might need to have at least 5-6 million Switches supplied to Japan for the first fiscal year. To me a lot rides on Splatoon 2 being the secondary launch of the Switch in Japan and ensuring the device is a hit with younger audience. The other major factor is that Splatoon 2 needs to drive subs for their online services - so Splatoon 2 becoming a major eSport and a national passtime in Japan in terms of both playing and viewing is going to provide a major boost long term.
Right now Switch is set to outpace 3DS until the price drop by a considerable amount(my guess is going to be around 300-500K). It's just a matter of whether Splatoon 2 is enough to repeat the type of performance 3DS had after the price drop.
Personally I think this December is going to be huge, bigger than 3DS's first December.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
But that's old, Sony announced that device back in December.
 

jonno394

Member
If Sony is releasing a new handheld in the next year then surely we'll get some sort of hint in their forecasts for the next year, like If they suddenly expect a huge amount more gaming hardware income than last year?
 
2 million for MHXX is already low enough and they failed to hit the target.
4 million for REVII is already low enough and they still failed to hit the target.

Why don't u also said that SFV also miss the target by acceptable margins lol.

You deciding which one title is more important compared to the others is another level of deflection lol.

And now you're arbitrarily calling the expectations low enough. Please, your agenda is failing.

SFV is still 20% behind expectations two years later or so. Thats a failure.

I think anyone with a brain knows that RE HD remakes are more important commercially than how BoF6 did on mobile or Sengoku Basara. Are you even trying anymore?

I genuinely don't think Japanese had any really effect in the West. PS4 dominated out of the gate because Xbox One was a PR disaster. Especially when the biggest games are releasing on Xbox as well.

I think you're wrong. Playstation has always had a clear audience for Japanese games and hence users that seek to play them. Its always been like this. There are many (take a poll on GAF) that mainly play Japanese games or look forward to them and the success of many of these games is a testament to that. Its an additive affect, trying to quantify would be silly considering the amount of variables in play.
 

Fisico

Member
I think anyone with a brain knows that RE HD remakes are more important commercially than how BoF6 did on mobile or Sengoku Basara. Are you even trying anymore?


Hum for the former I'd argue that Capcom might have been looking for a huge perfomer on mobile that they've yet to get and these ones are making much more money than the 7th port/remake of Resident Evil.

They didn't went at it properly but that's a much bigger commercial prospect than remasters (we've yet to see anything about Resident Evil 2 Remake)
 

Kanann

Member
About Vita 2:

Isn't it reasonable or plain stupid to make it just for the niche market or just to split the cake from Switch?
 
About Vita 2:

Isn't it reasonable or plain stupid to make it just for the niche market or just to split the cake from Switch?
The dedicated handheld market ain't big enough for two players anymore. A Vita 2 would only have a chance releasing alongside the Switch.
 

Oregano

Member
I think you're wrong. Playstation has always had a clear audience for Japanese games and hence users that seek to play them. Its always been like this. There are many (take a poll on GAF) that mainly play Japanese games or look forward to them and the success of many of these games is a testament to that. Its an additive affect, trying to quantify would be silly considering the amount of variables in play.

If you asked GAF they'd probably tell you Vita is super popular too. GAF is ridiculously out of sync with the market.
 

Principate

Saint Titanfall
And now you're arbitrarily calling the expectations low enough. Please, your agenda is failing.

SFV is still 20% behind expectations two years later or so. Thats a failure.

I think anyone with a brain knows that RE HD remakes are more important commercially than how BoF6 did on mobile or Sengoku Basara. Are you even trying anymore?


I think you're wrong. Playstation has always had a clear audience for Japanese games and hence users that seek to play them. Its always been like this. There are many (take a poll on GAF) that mainly play Japanese games or look forward to them and the success of many of these games is a testament to that. Its an additive affect, trying to quantify would be silly considering the amount of variables in play.

Same GAF the predicted Widlands and For Honor Bomba. Not to mention Switch Bomba 3DS bomba and the vita to rule the market. Barely ever talks about COD and for which Japanese games ridiculously over-represented in popularity?

GAF is by every account an awful barometer and is extremely out of touch. It's always been like that.
 

casiopao

Member
And now you're arbitrarily calling the expectations low enough. Please, your agenda is failing.

SFV is still 20% behind expectations two years later or so. Thats a failure.

I think anyone with a brain knows that RE HD remakes are more important commercially than how BoF6 did on mobile or Sengoku Basara. Are you even trying anymore?

You mean ur own agenda there? Always saying nothing wrong is Capcom when they had been disappointment almost every year? There is nothing wrong with saying that Capcom made good game but idiotic business moves there.

RE last series is able to reach 6 million. And you called 4 million not low enough? Lol.

MH is always one of their biggest performer and now they are not even able to reach 2 million in the time, which Capcom themselves set to get.

Maybe some brain should work on your head if you said REHD is more important than BoF6 when it is supposed to Capcom big mobile push to the market there and it flop like trash.
 

Principate

Saint Titanfall
Resident Evil's sales is a large blow regardless of how you look at it. This is Capcom's highest selling franchise per individual major release. It doesn't come out often. It released on 3 reasonably successful platforms. It's performing worse than the average worldwide MH release which is exclusive to the 3DS.

There's no way if your Capcom, you look at that and go "this is fine".
 
If you asked GAF they'd probably tell you Vita is super popular too. GAF is ridiculously out of sync with the market.

Same GAF the predicted Widlands and For Honor Bomba. Not to mention Switch Bomba 3DS bomba and the vita to rule the market. Barely ever talks about COD and for which Japanese games ridiculously over-represented in popularity?

GAF is by every account an awful barometer and is extremely out of touch. It's always been like that.

I'm not saying GAF represents the market lol
I'm saying you can even see it on GAF. The Japanese success is evidence of Playstation having such an audience.

You mean ur own agenda there? Always saying nothing wrong is Capcom when they had been disappointment almost every year? There is nothing wrong with saying that Capcom made good game but idiotic business moves there.

RE last series is able to reach 6 million. And you called 4 million not low enough? Lol.

MH is always one of their biggest performer and now they are not even able to reach 2 million in the time, which Capcom themselves set to get.

Maybe some brain should work on your head if you said REHD is more important than BoF6 when it is supposed to Capcom big mobile push to the market there and it flop like trash.

In the same post I've said SFV was a failure.

Are you being dumb? RE6 shipped 4.9 million in 5-6 months, including the holidays. RE7 shipped 3.5 million in 3 months.

MH missed its expectation by 300k and that was not even a mainline title.

Oh and whats the excuse for Sengoku. I ain't even buying the tripe that BoF6 was some big mobile push by Capcom.
 
Resident Evil's sales is a large blow regardless of how you look at it. This is Capcom's highest selling franchise per individual major release. It doesn't come out often. It released on 3 reasonably successful platforms. It's performing worse than the average worldwide MH release which is exclusive to the 3DS.

There's no way if your Capcom, you look at that and go "this is fine".

snLy2Zw.jpg
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png
 

mclem

Member
I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png

Monster Hunter 5 coming as IMAX exclusive.

Still with the same assets
 

casiopao

Member
I'm not saying GAF represents the market lol
I'm saying you can even see it on GAF. The Japanese success is evidence of Playstation having such an audience.



In the same post I've said SFV was a failure.

Are you being dumb? RE6 shipped 4.9 million in 5-6 months, including the holidays. RE7 shipped 3.5 million in 3 months.

MH missed its expectation by 300k and that was not even a mainline title.

Oh and whats the excuse for Sengoku. I ain't even buying the tripe that BoF6 was some big mobile push by Capcom.

And you thought RE7 is going to had that leg? I had zero trust that it would even reach RE6 5 million sales right now.

And MH still missed its expectation. Whats so hard to understand there? it mean it underperformed.

Sengoku while not a huge IP, showed how many IP of Capcom had falter. I mean, comparing the current Capcom IP list vs last gen, this gen had shown how many dead IP from Capcom there.

And you may keep fighting your fight there on BoF6 not being important there when it is literally the new mainline title for BoF which crash and burn in mobile market there.

I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png

Well, Capcom said everything is fine there.^^ No problemo guys.^^
 

Mokujin

Member
I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png

Is it me or that paragraph reads like Capcom getting further into the madness?
 

Oregano

Member
I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png

Are you telling me we're getting a remaster of the Street Fighter film to go with Ultra Street Fighter 2?
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
I'm not saying GAF represents the market lol
I'm saying you can even see it on GAF. The Japanese success is evidence of Playstation having such an audience.
.
Sure JP games do better on PS4, but at the same time, didn't FFXV actually do quite well on XB1?

Also to the whole Capcom discussion, there's no question that Capcom isn't doing well. While they're still making profits, basically all of their franchises are stagnant or declining.

MHXX is probably partly franchise fatigue of gen 4 imo. Being an expansion of a spinoff and the 5th traditional MH game on 3DS, 1.7M isn't all that shabby imo. Still something for Capcom to look into.

RE7 is disappointing. With franchises, you typically want to grow. Given that RE7 has clearly sold much less than RE6, and didn't even meet the very lowered expectations, that's just not a good look for the franchise. Especially when RE7 was actually reviewed well and RE6 wasn't. I honestly think it'd be worth it to go back to the action oriented gameplay, at least in a subseries.

HD ports doing well is nice supplementary income but doesn't come close to solving any of their main problems.

DR4 doing badly isn't that surprising. It looks kind of mediocre and didn't have the benefit of launch that DR3 had.

MHStories seems unfortunate. It looks like they put a lot of effort into making a good product, but it didn't click with the audience they were looking for. 300K isn't that bad, but they put a lot more investment than that. Maybe it'll do alright in the West. If MHStories were to outsell MH4U in the West, that'd be an accomplishment right?

Most importantly though, where are the upcoming games from Capcom? If I'm not mistaken, apart from Great Ace Attorney 2, USF2HD & Disney Afternoon Collection, they have nothing announced that they're working on? I'm sure MH5 or something is in the works, but that's a paltry amount of games they're seemingly working on. I feel that given their output is so small they either need to have their games be huge successes or they're not in great shape. Like there's not even a game in development to say "oh that'll do well" or anything. In terms of new IPs this generation, what have they even done? I guess they tried MHStories & the Great Ace Attorney spinoffs, but anything else (Gaist Crusher back in the day too)?
 

KtSlime

Member
It's kind of funny how bad things have turned out for Capcom recently when less than 10 years ago many were hailing Capcom and their western focus as the one of the more progressive and correctly orientated Japanese gaming companies. A few years really changes a lot in this industry.
 

cheesekao

Member
Sure JP games do better on PS4, but at the same time, didn't FFXV actually do quite well on XB1?
FFXV did well in general. SE has yet to comment on the platform split. IIRC the split was around 7:3 in the US NPD. WW numbers will only skew that number in the PS4's favor even further.
 
Most importantly though, where are the upcoming games from Capcom? If I'm not mistaken, apart from Great Ace Attorney 2, USF2HD & Disney Afternoon Collection, they have nothing announced that they're working on? I'm sure MH5 or something is in the works, but that's a paltry amount of games they're seemingly working on. I feel that given their output is so small they either need to have their games be huge successes or they're not in great shape. Like there's not even a game in development to say "oh that'll do well" or anything. In terms of new IPs this generation, what have they even done? I guess they tried MHStories & the Great Ace Attorney spinoffs, but anything else (Gaist Crusher back in the day too)?

Mahvel's coming, man.
 

noshten

Member
Are we still in honeymoon or is Switch for real?

I mean there is still the major system seller thats coming up in July coupled with Minecraft being on a Nintendo handheld for the first time, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe being a huge upgrade over MK7, a new franchise that has portable local multiplayer build in and the most popular Zelda in decades. That ensures that the honeymoon period might last until the beginning of next year at the very least.
 
I know you all really love debating Capcom platform stuff, so I've created this specially manufactured compilation image to help foster 30 pages of discussion.

capcom30pagedebate94s6h.png
Aren't they releasing a monster hunter movie. PS4/PC basically confirmed for it.

They aren't wring with RE movie franchise though as not only it is the highest grossing and most successful video game franchise, it is alao HUGE in China.
 
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