Black Panther not even going to crack 300mil.
I love that we're arguing this now, in July 2017. I'm not being facetious, I think it's cool.
I think it has a really good shot of clearing $300 mil.
It's launching in a period with not a lot of competition
The pedigree behind and in front of the camera is really goddamned high
Coogler's two films are damn near flawless.
It's something we haven't seen in a superhero movie yet. It's utterly unique in that regard.
So you got something really new, under the umbrella of a widely trusted brand, helmed by one of the best directors currently working, with a frankly fucking AMAZING cast, opening with not much to challenge it for at least a month. Look at what Deadpool did in the same timeframe with an R-rating. Now imagine something a little more mainstream, with Marvel's marketing behind it, without that restriction on the audience size.
It's got a real shot, I think.