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March 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 15

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Deleted member 125677

Unconfirmed Member
[360] 280K
[3DS] 250K
[PS3] 240K
[PSV] 40K
[WIU] 90K
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
Is there a way to know when NPD won't be released on the 2nd thursdayh of the month? I know it happens sometimes, always throws me off.
The linked Google Sheet in the OP gives the periods. The second Thursday after the ending Saturday is the date the data comes out.
 

donny2112

Member
Is there a way to know when NPD won't be released on the 2nd thursdayh of the month? I know it happens sometimes, always throws me off.

As jvm said, the default is second Thursday after the end of the reporting period (not the second Thursday of the month). When it's changed in the past, it's either been for "software upgrades" or sometimes if there's a Federal holiday that week. We'll sometimes get notice about a delay beforehand but not always.
 

UberTag

Member
[360] 284k
[3DS] 165k
[PS3] 219k
[PSV] 34k
[WIU] 92k

NPD TOP 10 PREDICTIONS

1. BioShock Infinite
2. Tomb Raider
3. Gears of War: Judgment
4. God of War: Ascension
5. Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon
6. StarCraft II: Heart of the Swarm
7. MLB 13: The Show
8. SimCity
9. Call of Duty: Black Ops II
10. The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct
 
[360] 255k
[3DS] 235k
[PS3] 235k
[PSV] 30k
[WIU] 75k

Feel fine on everything other than 3DS, I think Luigi's Mansion is going to do pretty big numbers but I don't know how far that pushes the 3DS...
 
What a great way to open the thread!

Surprised to see so many ~70k predictions, yall don't believe in Monster Hunter its power?

The 70k WiiU/35k Vita predictions probably mostly come from people who don't take into account the number of weeks counted and just use the previous month's numbers as a baseline. I'd be surprised if Wii U did below 80k this month. 100k seems pretty unlikely but who knows.
 
The 70k WiiU/35k Vita predictions probably mostly come from people who don't take into account the number of weeks counted and just use the previous month's numbers as a baseline. I'd be surprised if Wii U did below 80k this month. 100k seems pretty unlikely but who knows.

Weekly average is almost always lower in March compared to February and one week more typically isn't enough to offset the drop.


Please check historical data posted on previous page of this thread

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=52974369&postcount=43
 
Weekly average is almost always lower in March compared to February and one week more typically isn't enough to offset the drop.


Please check historical data posted on previous page of this thread

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=52974369&postcount=43

The idea is more that those two platforms are about as low as they can go for a weekly average I don't see the Wii U dipping below 16k per week this month nor Vita below 8k. Wii had some software releases which while niche, should cushion any fall it might have in its current position.
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
Pachter's expectations:

Xbox 360 - 290K
PS3 - 260K
3DS - 195K
Wii - 85K
Wii U - 55K
PS Vita - 42.5K
 
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