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[donny2112]

What is it?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Monday, May 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: April 1-28 (4 weeks, March was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: May 10th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PSV]
[WII]

Good/Bad Formatting

Good              Bad
[360] 400K        [360] 400 thousand
[360] 400,000     [360] 400.000
[360] 400000      [360] - 400000

Potential hardware impacting events in April:
Star Wars Kinect 320GB Bundle - $450, April 3 (26 days)


March's Results - thanks to Nirolak, Mpl90, and Nintendo

Hardware:

Xbox 360 - 371K (-14.3%)
PlayStation 3 - 337K (-7.7%) [PR Math]
Nintendo 3DS - 225K (-43.8%)
Nintendo Wii - 175K (-39.7%)[/B]

PSV: around 205k

March 2011 NPD thread
April 2011 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

 

[test_account]

That 205k Vita result is actually from February if i'm not mistaken? Although, i did see some talk in the NPD thread for March that an relieable source said that the Vita was around 200k, so it fits. But, in this article, Pachter says 125k:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...turn-to-profit-on-cost-cuts-sales-of-3ds.html

No idea what is correct.

 

[Refreshment.01]

[360] 309k
[3DS] 215k
[PS3] 252k
[PSV] 182k
[WII] 155k

I can edit the numbers anytime before the thread closes. Correct?

 

[A Human Becoming]

That 205k Vita result is actually from February if i'm not mistaken? Although, i did see some talk in the NPD thread for March that an relieable source said that the Vita was around 200k, so it fits. But, in this article, Pachter says 125k:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...es-of-3ds.html

No idea what is correct.

Some of the other numbers Pachter gives are different from the confirmed numbers:

PS3: 337k vs 325k
3DS: 240k vs 225k
Wii: 175k vs 235k

Also, the Vita number was extracted using NPD numbers from this chart:

~41K per week times five weeks is ~205k

 

[jvm]

That 205k Vita result is actually from February if i'm not mistaken? Although, i did see some talk in the NPD thread for March that an relieable source said that the Vita was around 200k, so it fits. But, in this article, Pachter says 125k:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...turn-to-profit-on-cost-cuts-sales-of-3ds.html

No idea what is correct.

They're mixing reported sales with his predictions. PSV was around 210K, IMO.

 

[Troll]

[360] 300k
[3DS] 350k
[PS3] 210k
[PSV] 100k
[WII] 200k

 

[BurntPork]

[360] 290k
[3DS] 160k
[PS3] 190k
[PSV] 120k
[WII] 125k

This won't be a very good month, imo.

 

[test_account]

Some of the other numbers Pachter gives are different from the confirmed numbers:

PS3: 337k vs 325k
3DS: 240k vs 225k
Wii: 175k vs 235k

Also, the Vita number was extracted using NPD numbers from this chart:

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/120427/img/07l.jpg

~41K per week times five weeks is ~205k

I actually forgot to check the other numbers up to eachother. That graph shows only from Februrary to March, that is why i got confused by it

They're mixing reported sales with his predictions. PSV was around 210K, IMO.

I see, thanks. I thought they spoke to him recently, especially hence the "citing NPD numbers".

 

[Megadragon15]

[360] 320K
[3DS] 200K
[PS3] 270K
[PSV] 170K
[WII] 145K

 

[donny2112]

I can edit the numbers anytime before the thread closes. Correct?

Before the deadline, yes.

 

[RukusProvider]

Would this be Star Wars 360 month?

 

[Goldmund]

I'm glad my commitment to copying the numbers of more successful people remained the final message in March's thread.

[360] 280,000
[3DS] 170,000
[PS3] 210,000
[PSV] 140,000
[WII] 150,000

 

[shinra-bansho]

[360] 290K
[3DS] 180K
[PS3] 190K
[PSV] 90K
[WII] 105K

 

[MatthewB92]

[360] 290k
[3DS] 230k
[PS3] 250k
[PSV] 180k
[WII] 160k

 

[Zero-Crescent]

[360] 285k
[3DS] 160k
[PS3] 200k
[PSV] 150k
[WII] 140k

 

[eBay Huckster]

[360] 300k
[3DS] 220k
[PSV] 140k
[PS3] 240k
[Wii] 140k

 

[donny2112]

Would this be Star Wars 360 month?

Yep, good point. Added into the OP as that could affect hardware sales for 360.

 

[BurntPork]

It seems like a lot of people didn't notice that there's one less week this month compared to March. :/

 

[bigtroyjon]

It seems like a lot of people didn't notice that there's one less week this month compared to March. :/

Even more people don't realize that the PS3 did 200K in April last year and along with the 360, has been down yoy every month in 2012.

 

[BurntPork]

Even more people don't realize that the PS3 did 200K in April last year and along with the 360, has been down yoy every month in 2012.

Really? Huh. I need to rethink my predictions, then.

EDIT: You're wrong about 360.

 

[andy_lhc]

[360] 298k
[3DS] 200k
[PSV] 130k
[PS3] 240k
[Wii] 140k

 

[bigtroyjon]

Really? Huh. I need to rethink my predictions, then.

EDIT: You're wrong about 360.

How am I wrong about the 360? It was down yoy all three months so far.

 

[BurntPork]

How am I wrong about the 360? It was down yoy all three months so far.

Sorry, I misunderstood you.

 

[michaelius]

[360] 280k
[3DS] 160k
[PSV] 120k
[PS3] 240k
[Wii] 120k

 

[noobie]

[360] 347k
[3DS] 185k
[PS3] 265k
[PSV] 152k
[WII] 135k

 

[IceDoesntHelp]

[360] 355k
[3DS] 225k
[PS3] 335k
[PSV] 190k
[WII] 115k

I'm ready to be wrong.

 

[Hammer24]

[360] 297k
[3DS] 187k
[PS3] 247k
[PSV] 177k
[WII] 167k

 

[orion434]

[360] 325K
[3DS] 225K
[PS3] 275K
[PSV] 175K
[WII] 150K

 

[Bruno MB]

[360] 290k
[3DS] 175k
[PS3] 255k
[PSV] 130k
[WII] 145k

 

[BurntPork]

[360] 355k
[3DS] 225k
[PS3] 335k
[PSV] 190k
[WII] 115k

I'm ready to be wrong.

You better be with those predictions.

 

[donny2112]

[360] 272K
[PS3] 200K
[3DS] 150K
[WII] 120K
[PSV] 100K

I'm glad my commitment to copying the numbers of more successful people remained the final message in March's thread.

You need to add 'K' to your predictions.

 

[Jokeropia]

[360] 270k
[3DS] 175k
[PS3] 200k
[PSV] 100k
[WII] 135k

 

[Adr1an]

[360] 335k
[3DS] 205k
[PS3] 270k
[PSV] 160k
[WII] 145k

 

[Jallopy]

[360] 305K
[3DS] 180K
[PS3] 270K
[PSV] 150K
[WII] 125K

 

[Wolfie5]

[360] 300k
[3DS] 175k
[PS3] 185k
[PSV] 135k
[WII] 125k

 

[Hiro_Kunimi_80]

[360] 300K
[PS3] 230K
[3DS] 190K
[WII] 130K
[PSV] 160K

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

[360] 240k
[3DS] 165k
[PS3] 190k
[PSV] 95k
[WII] 120k

 

[confuziz]

[360] 290K
[PS3] 230K
[3DS] 170K
[WII] 130K
[PSV] 110K

 

[donny2112]

Keeping it visible for those wanting to predict ...

 

[Jonsoncao]

[360] 290k
[3DS] 160k
[PS3] 220k
[PSV] 90k
[WII] 130k

 

[Dedication Through Light]

[360] 340K
[3DS] 245K
[PS3] 290K
[PSV] 215K
[WII] 160K

 

[jvm]

[360] 305K
[PS3] 240K
[3DS] 180K
[PSV] 150K
[WII] 120K

 

[MasterSheen]

[360] 320k
[3DS] 195k
[PS3] 230k
[PSV] 175k
[Wii] 160k

 

[Krev]

[360] 315K
[PS3] 290K
[3DS] 195K
[Wii] 155K
[PSV] 100K

 

[Elios83]

[360] 320k
[3DS] 185k
[PS3] 290k
[PSV] 140k
[WII] 140k

 

[Brakara]

[360] 275k
[3DS] 170k
[PS3] 225k
[PSV] 120k
[WII] 130k

 

[transience]

[360] 308k
[3DS] 205k
[PS3] 265k
[PSV] 126k
[WII] 135k

 

[archnemesis]

[360] 300k
[3DS] 165k
[PS3] 230k
[PSV] 125k
[WII] 110k

 

[Ydahs]

Time to restart that predictions streak!

[360] 305k
[3DS] 225k
[PS3] 265k
[PSV] 165k
[WII] 145k

 

[Goldmund]

[360] 272K
[PS3] 200K
[3DS] 150K
[WII] 120K
[PSV] 100K



You need to add 'K' to your predictions.

Oops, thanks. That's what I get for not pulling through with my skulduggery. Then again, let's change those numbers a little ...