• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Bitcoin community in panic as major exchange goes AWOL.

Status
Not open for further replies.

paile

Banned
Oh and I heard the same sort of crap when I bought in with bitcoin when it was $15. I bought $2000 worth. I pulled out when the price dropped to $10. The same nonsense was heard then as it is now, it's doomed, you're going to lose your money rah rah rah. I did lose money, because I listened to average joe sceptic.

Had I stayed in and not listened to people similar to the sceptics in this thread, I would have turned $2000 into $130,000 in the space of a couple of years.

I'm well aware of the average joe mindset. It's why they are forever average joe's.
 

KHarvey16

Member
I still can't understand the concept of mining bitcoins out of power consumption of a GPU to generate coins which is creating money out of nothing. Isn't that what cooking the books is for wall street folks? Is mining like printing money? if anyone can print money isn't that a recipe for the biggest meltdowns in finance history on a yearly basis rather than a decade basis like a regulated market?

All fiat money is printed out of nothing. Crypto currency is actually quite a bit more restrictive since there's a finite amount and you actually need to perform the work to generate it. And no, people cannot just create it on their own as the entire network of people using the currency locally store every transaction ever made and it all has to agree.
 

Leunam

Member
We are witnessing the failure of a company the government would deem "too big to fail" (self.Bitcoin)
(252|67) submitted 3 hours ago by PotatoBadger
110 commentsshare[l=c]
This is a free market. These exchanges have been operating in the closest thing we've had to a financial free market in a long time.
There won't be a bail out for Mt. Gox. It will simply fail as a company.
Right now, their failure is taking a hit on the overall market. But you know what? Anyone who wasn't a customer of Mt. Gox still has their full amount of bitcoins. Nobody is being robbed to bail out an incompetent company. The only losers here are Mt. Gox and those who voluntarily chose to do business with them.
This is a free market speed bump. It sucks right now, but because the crappy companies (Gox) can go bankrupt while the good companies (Bitstamp, Coinbase, etc.) succeed, the entire Bitcoin ecosystem will grow stronger with time. Regulators think that a market should be patched together with bail outs rather than left alone to adapt and develop. Let's prove them wrong.
Cheers :)


5/5

Top rated comment in that thread:

The government let fail thousands of banks and related companies that would meet your definition of "too big fail". The truth is that the only companies "too big to fail" are those so large and so intertwined financial with so many other companies that the failure of the one company could lock credit markets and cause a chain reaction of insolvency through a large number of companies.

It's unlikely that any businesses of significant size will fail as a result of Gox disappearing. No contagion effect, no "too big to fail".

And a response:

Op says MtGox was too big to fail. The bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers determined that it was a lie.

The market cap of Bitcoin is $6bn. Lehman Brothers Holdings went into bankrupcy despite a bank debt of $613 billion and $155 billion in bond debt.

Bitcoin, and especially Mt. Gox, is a drop in the fucking ocean and the government couldn't care less if it implodes. OP is a fucking idiot.

At least there's a little sanity over there.
 
Oh and I heard the same sort of crap when I bought in with bitcoin when it was $15. I bought $2000 worth. I pulled out when the price dropped to $10. The same nonsense was heard then as it is now, it's doomed, you're going to lose your money rah rah rah. I did lose money, because I listened to average joe sceptic.

Had I stayed in and not listened to people similar to the sceptics in this thread, I would have turned $2000 into $130,000 in the space of a couple of years.

I'm well aware of the average joe mindset. It's why they are forever average joe's.

For what its worth, i believe you can do it if you have the determination(like ima asume you have from your posts). I aplaud that you have learned not to let the majority dictate what you do. Real success in all aspects of life comes from carving the path you take with your own hands.
 

Lunar15

Member
Someone traded for the wrong card:

Image.ashx
 

Nivash

Member
All fiat money is printed out of nothing. Crypto currency is actually quite a bit more restrictive since there's a finite amount and you actually need to perform the work to generate it. And no, people cannot just create it on their own as the entire network of people using the currency locally store every transaction ever made and it all has to agree.

But that's the point of real currency. It's supposed to be worthless in itself because there's no point in wasting resources on what at the end of the day is just a symbol anyway. Their value comes from state actors guaranteeing that value.

The funny thing is that I can swear that the argument back when Bitcoin launched was that a finite reserve would keep the value stable, as compared to the ever-present inflation that occurs with real currencies. Instead Bitcoin, if it's a currency, is the most volatile currency that has ever existed.
 

Stet

Banned
Oh and I heard the same sort of crap when I bought in with bitcoin when it was $15. I bought $2000 worth. I pulled out when the price dropped to $10. The same nonsense was heard then as it is now, it's doomed, you're going to lose your money rah rah rah. I did lose money, because I listened to average joe sceptic.

Had I stayed in and not listened to people similar to the sceptics in this thread, I would have turned $2000 into $130,000 in the space of a couple of years.

I'm well aware of the average joe mindset. It's why they are forever average joe's.

Based on the details you've given in this thread, over the long term you've made an income of $27 and lost $713.67 with an investment of $2020.

That's an actual ROI of -35.33%! Congrats!
 

KHarvey16

Member
But that's the point of real currency. It's supposed to be worthless in itself because there's no point in wasting resources on what at the end of the day is just a symbol anyway. Their value comes from state actors guaranteeing that value.

The funny thing is that I can swear that the argument back when Bitcoin launched was that a finite reserve would keep the value stable, as compared to the ever-present inflation that occurs with real currencies. Instead Bitcoin, if it's a currency, is the most volatile currency that has ever existed.

It's deflationary by design, so I don't see how anyone could have argued that the finite supply meant it would be stable.
 

Timedog

good credit (by proxy)
You can lol all you want but the joke is seriously going to be on you guys if I bump this thread in a year telling everyone my scheme worked and I'm now as loaded as all fuck, driving a high class sports car, looking hot as all fuck :)

And I have to do it. I have to pull this off. I've got a point to prove to this skeptical, cynical world.

Anyway, my scheme. It's basic compounding. 2% roi daily (averaged over time) is equivalent to an annual interest rate of 730% a year. The compound factor is daily.

A 2% roi can be achieved with a few successful trades a day on a bitcoin market such as BTC-e. Losses can be minimised through conditional stop loss orders if the price falls below the line of support. The majority of trades should be successful through the use of solid good chart analysis fundamentals and not letting emotion get in the way of strategy.

So I say a millionaire within a few years? Ok.

Use the following parameters in this compound interest calculator - http://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php

Annual Rate 730%
Compound Rate Daily

A base of $1000, getting a 2% roi daily will return 1.3 million after 1 year.

The question is can one actually achieve 2% daily? I achieved 17% daily averaged over the last week. I'm confident enough.
Whoa, what is this post...
 
Dear MtGox Customers,

In the event of recent news reports and the potential repercussions on MtGox's operations and the market, a decision was taken to close all transactions for the time being in order to protect the site and our users. We will be closely monitoring the situation and will react accordingly.

Best regards,
MtGox Team

They updated the site with this. Wow. Protect the site and its users? Give me a break.
 

Jenga

Banned
just you wait you knuckleheads one day I JENGA, will be rich on VIRTUAL CURRENCY, while YOU AVERAGE GAF POSTERS who still believe in THE GOVERNMENT OF LIERICA will be poor and stupid on FIAT CURRENCY


rand paul '16
 

Makai

Member
It's deflationary by design, so I don't see how anyone could have argued that the finite supply meant it would be stable.
There are a few goldbugs in the cryptocurrency community. I was listening to one of their popular apologists (can't remember the name, but his initials are AA and he's European), and his hypothesis was that the volatility of Bitcoin would go away as the money supply rises. It's not fair to compare the stability of the dollar to Bitcoin because the dollar is too big! :,(

He went as far as to present Bitcoin as an alternative to "volatile" currencies in the third world. Of course, all of the example currencies he gave were more stable than Bitcoin. Does anyone agree with his hypothesis? Even for the inflationary cryptocurrencies, I wouldn't bet on stability rivaling a managed currency.
 

Makai

Member
just you wait you knuckleheads one day I JENGA, will be rich on VIRTUAL CURRENCY, while YOU AVERAGE GAF POSTERS who still believe in THE GOVERNMENT OF LIERICA will be poor and stupid on FIAT CURRENCY


rand paul '16
Thank you all. The satire in this thread has entertained me all morning. I know it's old news to most of you, but I laugh hard when I am reminded that this company's name is Magic: The Gathering Online eXchange.
 
Their value comes from state actors guaranteeing that value.
In what way do state actors guarantee the value? I'm honestly curious. There are, I believe, three factors that make the money of the place I'm living in special:

1) I can use it to pay taxes.
2) Debtors are forced to accept it as payment for debts.
3) Everybody is using it, because it's there and everybody is using it.
Of course, for foreign currencies, none of that holds—they aren't special in the same way here.

Anyway, I'm not seeing which part there guarantees a certain value. There is no guarantee that I can buy a certain amount of something (say bread or gold) for a certain amount of money, to the best of my knowledge. In fact, I can usually buy less for the same amount after some time passes. I suppose, living in a reasonably decent place, I can rest assured that there won't be any hyper-inflation any time soon and that there won't be any wild short-term swings in value, which is rather convenient. Were you referring to this ability of state actors to influence the value through corrective measures to hit, for example, certain target inflation rates, when you talked about "guaranteeing that value"?
 
There are a few goldbugs in the cryptocurrency community. I was listening to one of their popular apologists (can't remember the name, but his initials are AA and he's European), and his hypothesis was that the volatility of Bitcoin would go away as the money supply rises. It's not fair to compare the stability of the dollar to Bitcoin because the dollar is too big! :,(

He went as far as to present Bitcoin as an alternative to "volatile" currencies in the third world. Of course, all of the example currencies he gave were more stable than Bitcoin. Does anyone agree with his hypothesis? Even for the inflationary cryptocurrencies, I wouldn't bet on stability rivaling a managed currency.

The problem is that such people think that "stable" only means that the value of something can't decrease.

Although stable would mean that the bitcoin boom in the last years wouldn't be possible in the first place.
 

Nivash

Member
It's deflationary by design, so I don't see how anyone could have argued that the finite supply meant it would be stable.

I think the argument was that it would start cheap, deflate as it was mined (rewarding early adopters and driving the value up from the minuscule amounts it started off with) and then stabilize as production dwindled. This would probably already have happened if not for the rampant speculation and hoarding, which no-one even discussed as a problem as far as I can recall.

I mean a lot of the arguments for Bitcoin back then were based in libertarian ideology after all. Its proponents were people who were convinced the Fed was responsible for the banking crash and that the infinite supply of "fiat currency" would soon render it completely worthless.
 

Timedog

good credit (by proxy)
Dogecoin grows at 5.2 billion coins per year. It's a static growth.

Wouldn't that eventually become deflationary?

Also how does mining work if there is an almost infinite amount of mining that can be done but a finite amount of coins that can be dished out for that highly variable amount of mining work?
 

Alucrid

Banned
You can lol all you want but the joke is seriously going to be on you guys if I bump this thread in a year telling everyone my scheme worked and I'm now as loaded as all fuck, driving a high class sports car, looking hot as all fuck :)

And I have to do it. I have to pull this off. I've got a point to prove to this skeptical, cynical world.

Anyway, my scheme. It's basic compounding. 2% roi daily (averaged over time) is equivalent to an annual interest rate of 730% a year. The compound factor is daily.

A 2% roi can be achieved with a few successful trades a day on a bitcoin market such as BTC-e. Losses can be minimised through conditional stop loss orders if the price falls below the line of support. The majority of trades should be successful through the use of solid good chart analysis fundamentals and not letting emotion get in the way of strategy.

So I say a millionaire within a few years? Ok.

Use the following parameters in this compound interest calculator - http://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php

Annual Rate 730%
Compound Rate Daily

A base of $1000, getting a 2% roi daily will return 1.3 million after 1 year.

The question is can one actually achieve 2% daily? I achieved 17% daily averaged over the last week. I'm confident enough.

1.3 million? what kind of shit sports car are you going to buy with that? a miata?

Wouldn't that eventually become deflationary?

Also how does mining work if there is an almost infinite amount of mining that can be done but a finite amount of coins that can be dished out for that highly variable amount of mining work?

it's inflationary since they're allowing an increase in the money supply each year
 

Makai

Member
Wouldn't that eventually become deflationary?

Also how does mining work if there is an almost infinite amount of mining that can be done but a finite amount of coins that can be dished out for that highly variable amount of mining work?
Q1: Yes, assuming economic activity with dogecoins grew at a faster rate than the currency. I think the inflation rate is like 5%, though. Economic activity will probably grow slower than that. I'm not sure we'll discover a set it and forget it algorithm that can replace a central bank. It's not a bad idea if you're a monetarist.

Q2: More work is required to mine additional coins as the money supply increases.
 

huxley00

Member
MT Gox CEO made an announcement just a bit ago, not sure what it means

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/25/bitcoin-mtgox-ceo-idUSL1N0LU12G20140225

"Feb 25 (Reuters) - Mt. Gox, once the world's largest bitcoin exchange, is "at a turning point," CEO Mark Karpeles told Reuters in an email, as the trading website remained down on Tuesday after halting withdrawals earlier in February.

In an emailed response to a question of whether the Tokyo-based exchange was dead, Karpeles said: "We should have an official announcement ready soon-ish. We are currently at a turning point for the business. I can't tell much more for now as this also involves other parties."

The digital marketplace operator said earlier this month that it had detected "unusual activity" and its office in Tokyo was empty on Tuesday, barring a handful of protesters saying they had lost money in the virtual currency.

Six leading bitcoin exchanges distanced themselves from Mt. Gox in a statement, calling the exchange's activities a "tragic violation of the trust of users of Mt. Gox.""
 
In what way do state actors guarantee the value? I'm honestly curious. There are, I believe, three factors that make the money of the place I'm living in special:

1) I can use it to pay taxes.
2) Debtors are forced to accept it as payment for debts.
3) Everybody is using it, because it's there and everybody is using it.
Of course, for foreign currencies, none of that holds—they aren't special in the same way here.

Anyway, I'm not seeing which part there guarantees a certain value.

There is never any guarantee that any social construct will have any certain value in perpetuity. However, the government's ability to literally place you in a cage if you do not pay your taxes in a designated currency will always create a demand for that designated currency so long as the government retains its power to cage people. The value of currency can move relative to the value of real goods and services offered for sale if the amount of currency changes relative to the amount of goods and services offered for sale. Assuming we are talking about a fiat currency, this is not difficult to manage, because the government can easily control the supply of currency through its fiscal (spending and taxing) powers. It can inject currency by spending, and it can drain it by taxing. Historically, instances of hyperinflation are rare, and are usually rooted in quick disruptions in the supply of goods available for sale.

There is no guarantee that I can buy a certain amount of something (say bread or gold) for a certain amount of money, to the best of my knowledge. In fact, I can usually buy less for the same amount after some time passes. I suppose, living in a reasonably decent place, I can rest assured that there won't be any hyper-inflation any time soon and that there won't be any wild short-term swings in value, which is rather convenient. Were you referring to this ability of state actors to influence the value through corrective measures to hit, for example, certain target inflation rates, when you talked about "guaranteeing that value"?

It would be the government's ability to manage currency supply while imposing tax obligations to drive demand. Only the government can effectively manage money in this way.
 

Nivash

Member
In what way do state actors guarantee the value? I'm honestly curious. There are, I believe, three factors that make the money of the place I'm living in special:

1) I can use it to pay taxes.
2) Debtors are forced to accept it as payment for debts.
3) Everybody is using it, because it's there and everybody is using it.
Of course, for foreign currencies, none of that holds—they aren't special in the same way here.

Anyway, I'm not seeing which part there guarantees a certain value. There is no guarantee that I can buy a certain amount of something (say bread or gold) for a certain amount of money, to the best of my knowledge. In fact, I can usually buy less for the same amount after some time passes. I suppose, living in a reasonably decent place, I can rest assured that there won't be any hyper-inflation any time soon and that there won't be any wild short-term swings in value, which is rather convenient. Were you referring to this ability of state actors to influence the value through corrective measures to hit, for example, certain target inflation rates, when you talked about "guaranteeing that value"?

All of the points you listed, actually. This is the point behind legal tender: by law, it is always guaranteed that you will be able to use it as currency - there will never be a situation where a shopkeeper or debtor will go: "Dollars? Screw you, we only take Pounds here!" in the currency's respective home country. So you're guaranteed that the money you have is worth what it says on the bills.

Then there's the fact that the supply is at any given time limited by law. You can't print your own money (that's counterfeiting). You legally also can't destroy it, although this is obviously a rather rare problem and seldom enforced. So you know that the money you have will not drastically change value overnight because of supply reasons.

And finally, while the value over time will change due to inflation, like you said, the government is guaranteeing that the changes take place over long time frames - years, at the very least - and won't be so drastic that you seriously have to take them into account when you buy things like food or pay your rent.

In the end you have a currency with a predictable, guaranteed value because a state actor is enforcing it through legislation and regulation.
 

GeoNeo

I disagree.
[–]mtreme 28 points 8 hours ago
I want to start off by saying that I've been waiting for this moment for a while. I knew it was bound to happen sooner or later, as soon as we weren't able to withdraw our coins from Mt. Gox weeks ago. I stupidly had my life's savings in bitcoin, and when the price started to fall, I converted to dollars and watched the price plummet. I lost $357,000. Not to try to earn a bunch of sympathy or anything but this was not only my money but it was going to be my 5 year old son's education fund which i took out of fidelity about 1 year ago to mess with bitcoins. I dont know what the fuck to do any more. I'm sitting here on reddit looking for comfort or just something but I don't know what I'm going to do now at all. I don't have shit to live for any more and the only thing I have left is just talking about it here I guess. I can't express what I'm feeling right now. THat shit was just sitting there and I couldn't take it out how could this whole shop just pack up and dissapear? I don't know if anyone here knows the facts or whats going on but I want to or if you have any slighest shred of evidence that its possible they arent really gone please et me know here. if im never going to see my money again all of it im going to either kill myself which i dont want to do because i want to live even though i have nothing to live for now, except my son who is now completely fucked

From reddit thread. Damn feel sorry for him...
 

KHarvey16

Member
There are a few goldbugs in the cryptocurrency community. I was listening to one of their popular apologists (can't remember the name, but his initials are AA and he's European), and his hypothesis was that the volatility of Bitcoin would go away as the money supply rises. It's not fair to compare the stability of the dollar to Bitcoin because the dollar is too big! :,(

He went as far as to present Bitcoin as an alternative to "volatile" currencies in the third world. Of course, all of the example currencies he gave were more stable than Bitcoin. Does anyone agree with his hypothesis? Even for the inflationary cryptocurrencies, I wouldn't bet on stability rivaling a managed currency.

I think the argument was that it would start cheap, deflate as it was mined (rewarding early adopters and driving the value up from the minuscule amounts it started off with) and then stabilize as production dwindled. This would probably already have happened if not for the rampant speculation and hoarding, which no-one even discussed as a problem as far as I can recall.

I mean a lot of the arguments for Bitcoin back then were based in libertarian ideology after all. Its proponents were people who were convinced the Fed was responsible for the banking crash and that the infinite supply of "fiat currency" would soon render it completely worthless.

Sounds like you're both describing similar arguments. It's really pretty baffling that hoarding wouldn't be considered in the case of a deflation! I thought that was expected behavior when something like that happens with any other currency.

Did the proponents of these arguments explain why the value is so volatile but the expansion of supply is fairly steady over time? I could see if coins were created haphazardly and in large quantities but the whole system is designed to introduce coins at a predictable rate as far as I understand.
 

Divvy

Canadians burned my passport
From reddit thread. Damn feel sorry for him...

Guy not only puts his life savings but his son's education fund in a completely unregulated, unsecure currency and exchange. It's hard to feel sympathy for that.
 

kick51

Banned
anyone can post anything on reddit

but there are a lot of dumb people out there. Never put in anything other than disposable income. It's repeated a billion times a day, in every guide, in most conversations.
 

IceCold

Member
Guy not only puts his life savings but his son's education fund in a completely unregulated, unsecure currency and exchange. It's hard to feel sympathy for that.

This is how I feel. How dumb can you be? I hope he learns from this experience. I feel bad for the kid.
 

Damaniel

Banned
From reddit thread. Damn feel sorry for him...

Textbook example of why you shouldn't put all of your eggs in one basket. Especially not 357k of them into the lala-libertarian cryptocurrency basket. He'll never see his money again. (He certainly shouldn't commit suicide, though - that would only be worse for his son.)

Does this remind anyone else of E.V.E online and trusting people with cyber resources?

Of course it does. The same types of people that are attracted to EVE are attracted to cryptocurrency, and a subset of those people are sociopaths who use the cover of anonymity provided by these markets to screw other people to their benefit. That's why I wouldn't touch that game with a 10-foot pole; it's libertarian economic and social philosophy taken to its natural conclusion.
 
From reddit thread. Damn feel sorry for him...
Be careful with these sob stories because a lot of them are bogus. I know he isn't asking for donations directly but people can tip on reddit and it is common for people to make up stories to draw tips. Having said that, do I doubt that there are similar stories are out there that actually have happened? No doubt. A lot of people are out big money and it could have life changing repurcussions for them. That's why you have suicide hotline threads pop up in time of crisis.
 

Makai

Member
Sounds like you're both describing similar arguments. It's really pretty baffling that hoarding wouldn't be considered in the case of a deflation! I thought that was expected behavior when something like that happens with any other currency.

Did the proponents of these arguments explain why the value is so volatile but the expansion of supply is fairly steady over time? I could see if coins were created haphazardly and in large quantities but the whole system is designed to introduce coins at a predictable rate as far as I understand.
I think the idea is that it's acting as a commodity now, but will act as a currency in the future. According to him, the magnitude of the volatility spikes will decrease over time until they become manageable, but I don't buy it.
 

Chittagong

Gold Member
Hahaha, I have seem this before

operations continued as WinCapita until 7 March 2008. On this day, the web site of the company went offline[7] and the chief suspect, Hannu Kailajärvi, consequently disappeared from the public.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WinCapita

Even after Kailajärvi's disappearance, many club members still had faith in the club, forwarding reassuring emails to each other. In March 2009 the biggest Finnish newspaper Helsingin Sanomat published an article[15] about the wild-running conspiracy theories surrounding WinCapita. Many former members still believed that the club had been legitimate and that the police and the Ministry of the Interior were concealing evidence. It was stressed in the report that the chief suspect Hannu Kailajärvi had reportedly already admitted in the questionings that the operation had been fraudulent.

Then...

Kailajärvi was arrested in early December 2008 in Nässjö, Sweden. He had been hiding in a small cottage that had been acquired for him by a Sweden-residing person with a Finnish name. Kailajärvi was believed to have lived at least half a year in the cottage, telling his neighbours that he was renovating the house for a famous Finnish opera singer. Swedish police found three mobile phones in the cottage, and an Internet connection had been installed.[13][14]
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom