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[donny2112]

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, February 8th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: January 4 - January 31 (4 weeks, December was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: February 12th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)


Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Good              Bad
[360] 234K        [360] 234.5K
[360] 234,000     [360] 234.000
[360] 234567      [360] - 234000

The Software Prediction thread is here.


Potential hardware impacting events in January:

Available stock for Wii/DS? (See below charts)


December's Result - thanks to NPD and EviLore

PS2 410K
PS3 726K
PSP 1.02M
X360 1.44M
Wii 2.15M
DS 3.04M


WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 1.46M
360 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 1.33M*
WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD 999K
WII MARIO KART W/ WHEEL 878K
WII GUITAR HERO WORLD TOUR 859K*
360 GEARS OF WAR 2 745K*
360 LEFT 4 DEAD 629K
NDS MARIO KART 540K
PS3 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 533K
WII ANIMAL CROSSING: CITY FOLK 497K*

Dec-07 -> Jan-08 transition:

      Dec-07   Jan-08   % change
360   1,260K     230K      - 82%
NDS   2,470K     251K      - 90%
PS2   1,100K     264K      - 76%
PS3     798K     269K      - 66%
PSP   1,060K     230K      - 78%
WII   1,350K     274K      - 80%

December Prediction Results: Units / Points


December Week 5 - January Week 3 (NPD tracking weeks) in the U.S. (source: Nintendo)

(thanks to Shiggy for the pointing these out)

 

[billy.sea]

[360] 290K
[NDS] 380K
[PS2] 190K
[PS3] 210K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 460K

 

[FateBreaker]

[360] 450K
[NDS] 700K
[PS2] 190K
[PS3] 250K
[PSP] 290K
[WII] 610K

 

[h3ro]

[360] 350K
[NDS] 600K
[PS2] 180K
[PS3] 205K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 600K

 

[kmfdmpig]

[360] 355K
[NDS] 420K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 195K
[PSP] 300K
[WII] 590K

 

[N.A]

[360] 250K
[NDS] 380K
[PS2] 170K
[PS3] 200K
[PSP] 230K
[WII] 520K

 

[reaver18]

I hate these stupid prediction threads. everytime I see this thread I think NPD results are out.

 

[h3ro]

I hate these stupid prediction threads. everytime I see this thread I think NPD results are out.

No 500 Errors = No NPD results.

 

[Link]

I hate these stupid prediction threads. everytime I see this thread I think NPD results are out.

Rule of thumb: NPD results are always out on Thursdays.

 

[Private Hoffman]

[360] 260K
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 120k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 560k

 

[FairyD]

[360] 350K
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 285k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 385k
[WII] 660k

 

[Randy Lanzarote]

[WII] 580k
[NDS] 460k
[360] 280k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 220k
[PS2] 150k

 

[lowlylowlycook]

[360] 260K
[NDS] 360K
[PS2] 190K
[PS3] 190K
[PSP] 240K
[WII] 310K

Maybe you missed the chart that shows Nintendo selling 250k or so Wiis in week 3 of January.

[edit] Isn't everyone who predicts 450k or lower for the Wii predicting zero or negative Wii sales in week 4?

 

[LiquidMetal14]

[360] 302k
[NDS] 700k
[PS2] 208k
[PS3] 281k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 789k

 

[MarkusRJR]

[360] 345k
[NDS] 470k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 270k
[PSP] 310k
[WII] 610k

 

[Jokeropia]

[360] 325k
[NDS] 525k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 225k
[WII] 700k

 

[duderon]

[WII] 760k
[NDS] 480k
[360] 290k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 190k
[PS2] 100k

 

[GhaleonEB]

I hate these stupid prediction threads. everytime I see this thread I think NPD results are out.

I always thought the thread titles did a pretty good job distinguishing between results and predicions....

 

[jj984jj]

[360] 315k
[NDS] 455k
[PS2] 145k
[PS3] 235k
[PSP] 250k
[WII] 615k

 

[choodi]

[360] 280K
[NDS] 600K
[PS2] 100K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 220K
[WII] 750K

 

[No_Style]

[360] 275K
[NDS] 350K
[PS2] 175K
[PS3] 200K
[PSP] 225K
[WII] 500K

 

[Jonsoncao]

[360] 290k
[NDS] 370k
[PS2] 130k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 650k

 

[botticus]

Maybe you missed the chart that shows Nintendo selling 250k or so Wiis in week 3 of January.

[edit] Isn't everyone who predicts 450k or lower for the Wii predicting zero or negative Wii sales in week 4?

That or they think Nintendo is really inflating their internal tracking.

 

[Scott32020]

[360] 315K
[NDS] 500K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 205K
[PSP] 200K
[WII] 650K

 

[billy.sea]

Are we allow to change the prediction once we posted them?

 

[duderon]

Are we allow to change the prediction once we posted them?

Yes, until the deadline.

 

[lowlylowlycook]

[Wii]625k
[DS]500k
[PSP]200k
[360]315k
[PS3]220k
[PS2]120k

[edit]
Were there supply constraints on the 360 last January?

 

[Fuzzy]

That or they think Nintendo is really inflating their internal tracking.

What was the name of Nintendo's tracking service and do they still own it?

 

[Link]

What was the name of Nintendo's tracking service and do they still own it?

SIRAS

Yeah, they still own it.

http://www.siras.com/html/about/about.shtml

 

[Brakara]

[360] 325k
[NDS] 475k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 250k
[WII] 550k

 

[Flakster99]

[360] 230K
[NDS] 540K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 210K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 650K

 

[jarrod]

lol. It's way easier now that NCL gave away their platforms.


[360] 290K
[NDS] 450K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 580K

 

[RevoDS]

Been a long time since I took part in these but what the heck

[WII] 600,000
[NDS] 475,000
[360] 280,000
[PS3] 220,000
[PS2] 130,000
[PSP] 255,000

 

[SimpleDesign]

[360] 330K
[NDS] 450K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 240K
[PSP] 220K
[WII] 650K

 

[Sindou_Hikaru20]

[360] 210k
[NDS] 465k
[PS2] 180k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 190k
[WII] 570k

 

[betterman]

[360] 220K
[NDS] 490k
[PS2] 140k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 205k
[WII] 535k

 

[donny2112]

Are we allow to change the prediction once we posted them?

As duderon said, yes, until the predictions are closed.

[edit]
Were there supply constraints on the 360 last January?

According to Microsoft, yes, and they said those supply constraints continued into February, too, IIRC.

 

[boontje]

[360] 270k
[NDS] 470k
[PS2] 125k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 180k
[WII] 680k

 

[Danthrax]

[360] 288k
[NDS] 460k
[PS2] 82k
[PS3] 140k
[PSP] 163k
[WII] 585k

 

[gollumsluvslave]

[360] 285K
[NDS] 385K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 215K
[PSP] 210K
[WII] 585K

I think this month is a bit of a lottery - so hard to predict the Wii

 

[jibblypop]

[360] 245K
[NDS] 350k
[PS2] 190k
[PS3] 210k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 550k

 

[WaltJay]

[360] 215k
[NDS] 300K
[PS2] 155K
[PS3] 165K
[PSP] 195K
[WII] 315K

 

[Osuwari]

[360] 230K
[NDS] 330K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 180K
[PSP] 220K
[WII] 320K

 

[starsky]

[360] 290k
[NDS] 330k
[PS2] 170k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 480k

 

[Salami Inferno]

My first prediction!

[360] 250K
[NDS] 400K
[PS2] 180K
[PS3] 190K
[PSP] 175K
[WII] 450K

 

[SuperBanjo]

[360] 330K
[NDS] 450K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 230K
[WII] 530K

 

[andy_lhc]

[360] 310K
[NDS] 450K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 200K
[PSP] 190K
[WII] 550K

 

[AndresON777]

[360] 380K
[NDS] 550K
[PS2] 110K
[PS3] 195K
[PSP] 125K
[WII] 700K

 

[DoomGyver]

[360] 245K
[NDS] 430K
[PS2] 130K
[PS3] 230K
[PSP] 260K
[WII] 695K

 

[Rolf NB]

[360] 280k
[PS2] 109k
[PS3] 218k
[PSP] 240k
[NDS] 430k
[WII] 620k