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(Hardware) July 2009 NPD Predictions - Closes August 9

-x.Red.x- said:
[360] 200 k
[NDS] 470 k
[PS2] 114 k
[PS3] 170 k
[PSP] 150 k
[WII] 300 k

Hey guys my first prediction post :D
Regrettably, not the first to count ... unless you edit. Use a format suggested in the OP.
 
[360] 220K
[NDS] 550K
[PS2] 145K
[PS3] 170K
[PSP] 150K
[WII] 350K

I did well last time so I hope to make it in the top 50 again.
 
[360] 210k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 120k
[PSP] 120k
[WII] 300k
 
crap there goes my prediction year, damn you Southern Hemisphere.

For posterity

[360] 210k
[NDS] 550k
[PS2] 100k
[PS3] 120k
[PSP] 100k
[WII] 320k

Edit: any chance I could have Gaf aggregate or something to not ruin my whole year?
 
July 2009 EEDAR Preview:

1. NDS - 600K
2. WII - 315K
3. 360 - 200K
4. PS3 - 125K
5. PSP - 124K
6. PS2 - 120K

Will add Pachter when it comes in.
 
July 2009 Wedbush Morgan Preview:

1. NDS - 590K
2. WII - 305K
3. 360 - 190K
4. PSP - 140K
5. PS3 - 135K
6. PS2 - 130K
 
Code:
        GAF         WMS         EEDAR
NDS     615K (1)    590K (1)    600K (1)
WII     337K (2)    305K (2)    315K (2)
360     209K (3)    190K (3)    200K (3)
PS3     136K (4)    135K (5)    125K (4)
PSP     134K (5)    140K (4)    124K (5)
PS2     119K (6)    130K (6)    120K (6)
 
apujanata said:
jvm,

Any URL for Pachter's and EEDAR's # ?
I suspect Gamasutra's news editors will be posting them shortly. EEDAR's numbers are the same as Jesse2040 in this thread, for what it's worth.
 
jvm said:
Gamasutra did an article. Cites Pachter (WMS) and Doug Creutz (Cowen).

Oh, crap! :lol

Cowen said:
The analyst is also slightly concerned about Electronic Arts. Though he says the publisher's Fall portfolio is "stacked" and likely to perform well, he calls the publisher's strategic, increasing focus on the Wii platform "particularly concerning", making him less confident about the publisher's next year than he is about the present one.

Why? Because Creutz sees Wii software growth hitting a downturn, and says sales of the hardware are "collapsing."

I await the GAF blowout thread.

The headline needs to read

Wii hardware sales "collapsing" as it's only selling better than PS2
 
donny2112 said:
Oh, crap! :lol



I await the GAF blowout thread.

The headline needs to read

I used to think that Pachter's are funny. I later on found out that Cowen (another prof. analyst like Pachter) is way more "funnier" (crazy) than Pachter. I can now see why Pacther are considered #1 among professional analyst, since he is much more "balanced" or "normal" compared to his peer.

I think this is the second time Cowen make a crazy statement, and all of them are related to Wii (Wii is a fad, durr).

Thanks for the URL, jvm.
 
donny2112 said:
Oh, crap! :lol



I await the GAF blowout thread.

The headline needs to read
If we compare the numbers to Nintendo's expectations (26 million) then the sales are collapsing. They aren't gonna revise them til the very last moment -- 3rd quarter results.
 
Not too many predictions this month. I missed to make one myself. I expect weekly sales on par with June. maybe slightly lower.
 
For the first time in months, I get to post the hardware prediction results in the hardware prediction thread. Thanks for not locking the thread this month, mods/Admins! :D

July 2009 NPD Hardware Prediction Results

Units

1. schuelma - 100,100
2. dragct - 100,500
2. PS3GamerKyle - 100,500
4. Brakara - 104,500
5. gamergirly - 109,500
6. nextgeneration - 112,500
7. llonesmiz - 113,100
8. N.A - 118,100
9. archnemesis - 118,500
10. Strike - 128,100
11. Chumly - 129,900
12. Frankfurter - 132,300
13. doicare - 133,100
14. billy.sea - 136,700
15. Jonsoncao - 138,900
15. Alcibiades - 138,900
17. Jesse2040 - 142,900
18. botticus - 143,900
19. JoshuaJSlone - 144,100
20. Thunder Monkey - 146,900
21. Psychotext - 149,500
22. Jokeropia - 150,900
23. Atreides - 152,900
24. Dolla Dolla - 153,100
25. RBH - 154,500
26. Hyllian - 154,900
27. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 155,900
28. apujanata - 159,900
29. lowlylowlycook - 160,100
30. sionyboy - 162,500
31. dammitmattt - 163,100
32. choodi - 163,500
33. SuperBanjo - 167,500
34. Pachter - 168,900
35. rikitikitik - 169,100
36. drkOne - 170,100
37. Scottlarock - 171,300
38. Hammer24 - 173,100
39. boontje - 173,900
39. NeoUltima - 173,900
41. laserbeam - 174,900
42. GhaleonEB - 177,100
43. Solsc - 178,300
44. jey_16 - 178,900
45. TwinIonEngines - 182,100
46. shykyoichi - 183,100
47. gregor7777 - 187,900
48. donny2112 - 188,900
48. jvm - 188,900
50. Linkup - 190,100
51. duk - 193,100
52. Saiyar - 198,100
53. -x.Red.x- - 200,700
54. danwarb - 202,500
55. rayner - 203,100
56. GAF_Agg - 203,800
57. No_Style - 208,100
58. scottnak - 209,900
59. Dynoro - 210,500
60. Orgen - 210,900
61. Gilgamesh - 213,100
61. meme - 213,100
63. timetokill - 218,500
64. andy_lhc - 218,900
65. ZeroRay - 222,500
66. bonesmccoy - 227,700
67. idlewild_ - 228,100
68. esc - 236,100
69. sciplore - 238,100
70. JoJo13 - 243,900
71. gollumsluvslave - 244,100
72. Chris1964 - 248,100
73. jamesinclair - 251,100
74. DaSorcerer7 - 254,500
75. bakemono - 258,100
75. VanMardigan - 258,100
77. skedar897 - 258,900
78. perfectchaos007 - 262,100
79. Megadragon15 - 263,100
80. The M.O.B - 273,100
81. jakncoke - 285,700
82. zero_suit - 288,100
82. Sadist - 288,100
84. LiquidMetal14 - 290,100
85. Ondore - 298,100
86. hemtae - 299,900
87. rostocker - 300,300
88. Zihark - 308,100
89. Ydahs - 309,100
90. Yazus - 310,500
91. gkrykewy - 318,100
91. operon - 318,100
93. Scott32020 - 337,300
94. jj984jj - 343,100
95. KuwabaraTheMan - 348,100
96. Feenix29 - 351,100
97. JosM88 - 358,100
98. WaltJay - 364,700
99. Brettison - 367,100
100. offshore - 367,300
101. deepbrown - 368,100
102. MiDNiGHTS - 378,100
103. daegan - 388,100
104. carlo6529 - 398,100
105. Gamemaster_ca_2003 - 418,100
106. SonicX_Zero - 423,100
107. azentium - 428,900
108. ZZMitch - 443,100
109. Mahew - 468,900
110. Sleeker - 575,100
111. Cimarron - 796,500

NPD_200907_bin.png


Points

Code:
     July 2009                   Last 3 Months                Overall 2009
1.   schuelma           129.97   gollumsluvslave     342.5    Jokeropia           744.85
2.   dragct             124.76   botticus            341.19   esc                 743.08
3.   archnemesis        122.72   Psychotext          336.06   doicare             735.61
4.   PS3GamerKyle       122.33   Strike              335.45   TwinIonEngines      730.24
5.   Brakara            121.67   nextgeneration      334.6    boontje             729.69
6.   N.A                120.14   Jokeropia           334.12   Atreides            719.77
7.   botticus           119.21   N.A                 333.91   JoshuaJSlone        717.88
8.   rikitikitik        118.92   Brakara             333.67   botticus            715.45
9.   Alcibiades         118.54   Jonsoncao           332.88   N.A                 713.18
10.  gamergirly         118.02   choodi              332.72   Brakara             711.52
11.  Linkup             117.37   TwinIonEngines      330.03   GhaleonEB           709.84
12.  Atreides           116.97   archnemesis         329.54   choodi              704.28
13.  lowlylowlycook     116.47   Pachter             329.05   Pachter             703.61
14.  danwarb            116.36   Jesse2040           326.86   Psychotext          701.47
15.  donny2112          115.76   Chumly              326.61   SuperBanjo          698.81
16.  jvm                115.56   Atreides            326.44   BLaZiN PRopHeT      697.6
17.  llonesmiz          115.31   SuperBanjo          326.15   Scott32020          695.89
18.  nextgeneration     115.11   BLaZiN PRopHeT      324.57   gollumsluvslave     694.47
19.  Scottlarock        114.68   esc                 324.22   Strike              693.45
20.  laserbeam          114.6    llonesmiz           323.47   Ydahs               690.48
21.  TwinIonEngines     114.41   jamesinclair        323.4    llonesmiz           690.39
22.  duk                114.27   doicare             322.76   Jesse2040           689.61
23.  timetokill         114.09   boontje             322.41   Jonsoncao           688.35
24.  skedar897          113.76   lowlylowlycook      321.61   Saiyar              688.31
25.  Pachter            113.63   JoJo13              321.35   Chumly              686.99
26.  Orgen              113.32   laserbeam           320.88   jvm                 685.6
27.  jamesinclair       110.48   Orgen               320.19   Orgen               685.23
28.  Jesse2040          109.55   JoshuaJSlone        319.55   Gamemaster_ca_2003  681.32
29.  billy.sea          109.16   jvm                 318.33   skedar897           680.08
30.  RBH                109.03   shykyoichi          316.39   Frankfurter         678.34
31.  sionyboy           108.59   RBH                 315.85   scottnak            676.64
32.  Chumly             108.4    Ydahs               315.33   andy_lhc            672.27
33.  Solsc              108.34   sionyboy            315.12   The M.O.B           664.61
34.  JoshuaJSlone       108.04   GhaleonEB           313.36   apujanata           664.09
35.  Hyllian            107.95   jakncoke            313.07   rostocker           663.27
36.  Dolla Dolla        107.83   scottnak            312.32   donny2112           662.66
37.  BLaZiN PRopHeT     107.69   bakemono            310.64   billy.sea           662.64
38.  Jonsoncao          107.55   jey_16              309.8    sionyboy            661.83
39.  Frankfurter        107.31   Hyllian             309.35   rikitikitik         659.1
40.  Psychotext         107.31   andy_lhc            309.14   jey_16              656.53
41.  Jokeropia          107.26   apujanata           308.84   RBH                 649.23
42.  SuperBanjo         107.15   billy.sea           308.71   bakemono            646.78
43.  perfectchaos007    107.1    Saiyar              308.23   jakncoke            644.37
44.  doicare            106.99   skedar897           307.51   lowlylowlycook      642.64
45.  dammitmattt        106.93   donny2112           306.41   Thunder Monkey      641.8
46.  Strike             106.81   Thunder Monkey      305.74   nextgeneration      640.18
47.  boontje            106.6    Sleeker             305.53   hemtae              638.41
48.  Thunder Monkey     106.52   rikitikitik         304.62   WaltJay             637.59
49.  NeoUltima          106.36   Frankfurter         303.6    perfectchaos007     624.91
50.  apujanata          105.82   VanMardigan         303.17   Linkup              624.34

Congratulations, schuelma! :D
 
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