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Is 2008 a "make or break" year for Sony?

besada said:
I don't think anyone but the most delusional fanboys think Sony's going out of business because of the performance of the PS3, but considering how much the PS2 helped Sony's bottom line in their lean years, it's certainly not doing much to help the company.

True. But they knew all along that they would sell every console at a loss the first years.
 
Tobor said:
6 pages for a yes or no question. Awesome.

"yes" by the way.

neogaf1.gif
 
NeoUltima said:
Sony will do fine... Even if PS3 nearly cripples SCE, there will still be a PS4. Sony will just go Nintendo's route by selling the hardware at a profit from the outset. They tasted success in the past, and they crave more. They won't stop just because of one bump in the road.

Actually, another console would be based on shareholders decisions.
 
There's no way a machine that's been between 400 and 600 dollars is going to sell at the rate of the Wii. No way in hell

Sorry I meant it should be in the Wii's position , nobody expected the Wii to do this well....

In reality the PS3 should have sold like gangbusters initially to the early adopters, they had nothing to justify the sick price. They did just about everything they could have possibly done wrong. They are making amends now, but a third place finish is almost certain.

2008 will certainly sell more PS3's with the nice lineup that is coming and we all benefit as the 2 "bottom feeders" will throw everything they have at us to carve out a little more market share. The Wii is in a category all by itself.

Competition is good :lol
 
Guybrush Threepwood said:
Not really.

Nintendo has had much worse years, and look where they are now.
Nintendo has never ever posted a loss. SCEI posted the biggest fiscal year loss in videogame history (bigger than the worst year of the Xbox) in 2007, and 2008 is so far looking to beat that record.
ForzaItalia said:
I'm assuming those consoles were making money. Is the PS3? (Serious question as I don't know for sure)
SCEI financial results from PS2 release through September 30 2007:
Code:
FY      Result
2001    -409,000,000
2002    623,000,000
2003    939,000,000
2004    650,000,000
2005    404,000,000
2006    75,000,00
2007   -1,969,000,000
2008   -1,078,000,000 (Q1+Q2 only)
Totals  -765,000,000
The net result is a $765 million loss, and this is despite all the money gained from PS2, PSP and the final years of PS1. Even if PS3 has the most incredible turnaround ever and ends up performing like the PS2, they will have a hard time breaking even on the system.

Fortunately for Sony, their other divisions are doing well right now so as long as they're fine with supporting a money-eating gaming division they'll be able to stay in the business.
Philthy said:
Is Metal Gear really a game that will sell a system? Is it comparable to a new Grand Theft Auto, Halo, God of War, Mario, Final Fantasy etc?
MGS is a level below GTA, Halo, Mario and FF saleswise, but God of War is a level below MGS.
 
Since I don't expect PS3 to grab more than 1/3 of market share eventually, no I don't think this is the make or break year for them. 2008, however, its the make or break year for their first party games.

Sales wise anyway. If Sony's 1st party games (excluding GT5) don't sell, Phil Harrison is in trouble. And it will be a shame. Sony has been giving more creative freedom to its 1st party studio than MS and Nintendo.

BTW I don't agree the notion that Sony Playstation need to beat Nintendo. Sony is competing with MS in a race to win the digital living room. People who own Wii or DS will still need a media center, and its going to be either the Sony solution or the MS solution. You don't need a PS3 for the Sony solution, you just need to use Sony gear to wire the house with their (uPnP etc) standards.
 
Threads like this make me think of the PS3 as a GameCube successor.

Threads like this should be closed on sight.
 
Jokeropia said:
Nintendo has never ever posted a loss. SCEI posted the biggest fiscal year loss in videogame history (bigger than the worst year of the Xbox) in 2007, and 2008 is so far looking to beat that record.
SCEI financial results from PS2 release through September 30 2007:
Code:
FY      Result
2001    -409,000,000
2002    623,000,000
2003    939,000,000
2004    650,000,000
2005    404,000,000
2006    75,000,00
2007   -1,969,000,000
2008   -1,078,000,000 (Q1+Q2 only)
Totals  -765,000,000
The net result is a $765 million loss, and this is despite all the money gained from PS2, PSP and the final years of PS1. Even if PS3 has the most incredible turnaround ever and ends up performing like the PS2, they will have a hard time breaking even on the system.

Fortunately for Sony, their other divisions are doing well right now so as long as they're fine with supporting a money-eating gaming division they'll be able to stay in the business.
MGS is a level below GTA, Halo, Mario and FF saleswise, but God of War is a level below MGS.

So do you have that in notepad and just copy paste it?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=9108174&postcount=507
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=9136890&postcount=962
 
mr stroke said:
Could a bad 08 turn the Playstation name into the next Dreamcast?
that is an impossible scenario for the following reason; even if the worst case happened and PS3 turned into a Dreamcast or even worse, that will imply on PS3 and not the PS family as a whole or its future. sure, success and failure have their effects on future planning, but Sony as an entity and force can take a Dreamcast hit and keep going. even if they laid off a bit, they will come back. it's what they do. Sony is a high-tech consumer company. this is their business.

having said that, whatever the future may hold, I don't think any company is as stupid as to repeat the little faults they did with PS3 and to a lesser extent, with PSP- though PSN's development worries me.

there is only up hill to go from here.
 
GauntletFan said:
Actually, another console would be based on shareholders decisions.
You are the kidding?
6kydf6x.gif


This is what I mean. Sony coming in 99th place wouldn't matter because just like Nintendo, the brand is very strong and there is a lot of money that can be made off it. One canyon in the road doesn't mean you can't grapple to the other side eventually.

Nintendo was crying in the N64+GC era. And now they're kicking ass like nobodies business. Change is a part of nature, it is wired in our core and our societies reflect that. Especially in this business? You can lose overnight.
 
CrushDance said:
You are the kidding?
6kydf6x.gif


This is what I mean. Sony coming in 99th place wouldn't matter because just like Nintendo, the brand is very strong and there is a lot of money that can be made off it. One canyon in the road doesn't mean you can't grapple to the other side eventually.

Nintendo was crying in the N64+GC era. And now they're kicking ass like nobodies business. Change is a part of nature, it is wired in our core and our societies reflect that. Especially in this business? You can lose overnight.

Dont steal Kittowny's schtick.
 
Borys said:
Threads like this make me think of the PS3 as a GameCube successor.

Threads like this should be closed on sight.
I don't agree. it is a valid question and can be a good discussion. the problem is, too many kids and morons around can ruin any thread. now it would be great if those could be shot dead instead.
 
Mojovonio said:
Dont steal Kittowny's schtick.
I've been using this for a long ass time! And only when making sarcastic/joke comments.

Anyway. 2008 is "the year" for one simple reason. Games. Last year it could be argued that there really wasn't much out there for the system, but now? Even if some titles slip to 2009...there's a lot of high quality stuff left.
 
Has anybody asked if this is a make or break year for Microsoft yet? Personally, I don't think MS did as well last year as they should have, and I think if Sony does "make" it this year, MS could be right bad to where they were with the original xbox.
 
Emiru said:
:lol

R u facking kidding me? you think any of those will get AAA?

LBP will get 8.5 at highest because it will be innovative but shallow

MGS4 will get high 8s because people are loyal to the series even though the gameplay has not changed much in 9 years.

Killzone will fail just like KZ1 because its made by crappy devs, 1up even played it and said it played like the first, which is not good.

Resistance will get good score really high 8s close to nine but not quite

Home? LOL

2008 year of the ps3? These are the delusions I was talking about.
Good lord, how is this guy not banned? What a trainwreck of a posting history
 
fanduck said:
Has anybody asked if this is a make or break year for Microsoft yet? Personally, I don't think MS did as well last year as they should have, and I think if Sony does "make" it this year, MS could be right bad to where they were with the original xbox.
I think they had their make or break year last year. The software "maked" a lot of money, the hardware just "breaked".
 
Well, I'm definitely enjoying this thread. Lots of mini-meltdowns. Anyway, a couple points:

Ashhong said:
Nobodys calling 2007 a scratch. But it was their first year. How the hell is that a consoles make or break year?
The first year is always the "make or break" year for a console. I can't think of any example where a console sold either really well or really poorly the first year, then suddenly had its fortunes reversed the next. The best example I can think of is the DS, but that was because of software that opened it up to a whole new market, which leads me to point 2:


KingJ2002 said:
Yes... but sony has a killer lineup this year

Tekken 6
Gran Turismo 5
Metal Gear Solid 4
Final Fantasy XIII
Killzone 2 (the first might have been average... but the second has turned into a system seller)

and who knows what other surprises they have in store.\

if these games dont do it... might as well ride this wave out.
None of these games will do anything more than a temporary bump in sales. That's just how sequels work. It's the same reason a new Mario or Zelda doesn't push Nintendo's hardware anymore. It's the games that come out of nowhere that are the real system sellers. Stuff like GTAIII, Halo, Brain Age, Wii Sports. Fresh software that draws new audiences in, that's what pushes hardware. Unless it's a sequel that completely redefines a franchise (FFVII, GTAIII), and even then, it doesn't always help (OoT, RE4). Also, you don't get to say KZ2 is a system seller before it's out, especially after you should have learned your lesson with the first game.


I think a lot of you need to give up on the dream that the PS3 is going to suddenly blast through the stratosphere and follow in the PS2's legacy. It's probably not going to happen. I know it's hard after getting used to being the undisputed champion for so long, but you have to let go.
 
Emiru said:
:lol

R u facking kidding me? you think any of those will get AAA?

LBP will get 8.5 at highest because it will be innovative but shallow

MGS4 will get high 8s because people are loyal to the series even though the gameplay has not changed much in 9 years.

Killzone will fail just like KZ1 because its made by crappy devs, 1up even played it and said it played like the first, which is not good.

Resistance will get good score really high 8s close to nine but not quite

Home? LOL

2008 year of the ps3? These are the delusions I was talking about.

Quoting this all the way from page 3. Wow.

I'm too scared to read the rest of this thread now.
 
Lagaff said:
Every year , Every system
/Thread.

Even the Wii and 360 need to keep games and services coming in order to continue with sales and increase market share. Every year is a trial for every system.
 
Emiru said:
:lol

R u facking kidding me? you think any of those will get AAA?

LBP will get 8.5 at highest because it will be innovative but shallow

MGS4 will get high 8s because people are loyal to the series even though the gameplay has not changed much in 9 years.

Killzone will fail just like KZ1 because its made by crappy devs, 1up even played it and said it played like the first, which is not good.

Resistance will get good score really high 8s close to nine but not quite

Home? LOL

2008 year of the ps3? These are the delusions I was talking about.

"Get AAA"

?
 
Perhaps it's not a make it or break it year for Sony but I dont think they are going to rebound in 2008 either. For those saying that their AAA games are going to push the console; I dont see. Most of the gamers that the oncoming games cater to are already in the 360 camp. While i think that MGS4 will be an awesome game; if memory serves me correct aside from MGS the series has never pushed consoles. Most of the other games are niche and the biggest system seller of them all is also going to be on the 360.

All hope is already lost in Japan, it seems over there they populus picks a console and just runs with it. Regardless of what happens i doubt Sony will go into the next generation with the same gmeplan they had in this one. I know people hate to hear it but i believe that both the next xbox and Playstation will mimick Nintendos idea with the Wii.
 
Emiru said:
:lol

R u facking kidding me? you think any of those will get AAA?

LBP will get 8.5 at highest because it will be innovative but shallow

MGS4 will get high 8s because people are loyal to the series even though the gameplay has not changed much in 9 years.

Killzone will fail just like KZ1 because its made by crappy devs, 1up even played it and said it played like the first, which is not good.

Resistance will get good score really high 8s close to nine but not quite

Home? LOL

2008 year of the ps3? These are the delusions I was talking about.


wow...so much hate.
 
*American perspective, can't speak on anywhere else*

To quote something I actually read here before, I believe that Sony's biggest problem right now seems to be the stench of failure surrounding it....Wii is THAT SYSTEM to have right now, the 360 has found a solid, loyal bigger then niche market in young to middle ages males...and Sony is just that oddball out.

I just personally find it very hard to imagine that people are going to be buying PS3's next year, and just being excited about them, the same way that people were with the Wii or even 360 this year....it just doesn't have "it" right now.
 
Dunlop said:
Sorry I meant it should be in the Wii's position , nobody expected the Wii to do this well....

In reality the PS3 should have sold like gangbusters initially to the early adopters, they had nothing to justify the sick price. They did just about everything they could have possibly done wrong. They are making amends now, but a third place finish is almost certain.

2008 will certainly sell more PS3's with the nice lineup that is coming and we all benefit as the 2 "bottom feeders" will throw everything they have at us to carve out a little more market share. The Wii is in a category all by itself.

Competition is good :lol
false... I called this shit from the beginning and everyone thought I was crazy not here on gaf but on other forums.
 
CrushDance said:
/Thread.

Even the Wii and 360 need to keep games and services coming in order to continue with sales and increase market share. Every year is a trial for every system.
Yes but Sony needs to work damn hard this year in order to make a mark... i will say that it wont get terribly bad because of the Blu-ray player. That thing is the systems saving grace if things go downhill. The system wont go to Dreamcast or gamecube levels because of it. No matter what anyone says Blu-ray combined with the PS3 was a key component to the PS3 and to the Blu-ray format itself.
 
Liara T'Soni said:
*American perspective, can't speak on anywhere else*

To quote something I actually read here before, I believe that Sony's biggest problem right now seems to be the stench of failure surrounding it....Wii is THAT SYSTEM to have right now, the 360 has found a solid, loyal bigger then niche market in young to middle ages males...and Sony is just that oddball out.

I just personally find it very hard to imagine that people are going to be buying PS3's next year, and just being excited about them, the same way that people were with the Wii or even 360 this year....it just doesn't have "it" right now.
Its all "mind share" and Sony doesn't have it right now.
 
They have a chance to atleast be relevent. I don't see them catching the Wii though, that one is in a different leauge. I think they will steal some market share from Microsoft.
 
Jirotrom said:
Its all "mind share" and Sony doesn't have it right now.

I don't see how they're gonna get it either.

Honestly, I think that some people are overrating the power of MGS.....I do not believe that that fanbase is as prominent as it was in the past. I may be proven wrong, whatever, but Sony fans are acting like this and (LOL) Little Big Planet are gonna be some shut down the industry type shit, and I personally just don't see it happening. I'd actually expect GT5 to be bigger then both of these. If I was Sony though, I'd place as much emphasis on KZ2 as possible, KZ1 be damned, they NEED this to be the "Halo killer" that fans think it will be.
 
Liara T'Soni said:
I don't see how they're gonna get it either.

Honestly, I think that some people are overrating the power of MGS.....I do not believe that that fanbase is as prominent as it was in the past. I may be proven wrong, whatever, but Sony fans are acting like this and (LOL) Little Big Planet are gonna be some shut down the industry type shit, and I personally just don't see it happening. I'd actually expect GT5 to be bigger then both of these. If I was Sony though, I'd place as much emphasis on KZ2 as possible, KZ1 be damned, they NEED this to be the "Halo killer" that fans think it will be.
I find it weird that people think LBP will be a system seller. MGS4 is a possibility because its been hyped more than the previous entries and many people see it as Sony's hope. Imo FF XIII is the game the PS3 needed or even a remake of VII. That teaser vid of VII at E3 way back had people so excited and hype and I know quite a few people including myself that would have dropped 600 if not more day one if that game was a launch game.
 
I hope they can turn it around, but at the same time, I am glad they have had to swallow some pride, much like Nintendo had to back in the day and are now a better company for it.

MGS4 and one more price drop is all I'm awaiting until I'm in the PS3 game.

But to answer your question, I definitely think this will be a year where Sony can gain some momentum and gain some ground back. Though I still think they'll be in 3rd all the way through this generation.
 
theBishop said:
They are the only next-gen game in town. I would believe Japanese don't care about next-gen except that Dynasty Warriors was able to push PS3 above the Wii in November. This bodes well for better games like MGS4, GT5 (teh realz), FF13, WKS, etc.
Not that old next-gen shit all three consoles are the same gen and it's current anyway. Why not refer to it as being the more viable HD plattform?

Plus Dynasty Warriors, price drop, a new and cheaper model with a new colour and the (re)introduction of rumble put PS3 above Wii. MGS 4 will not do a whole lot for PS3. The only guaranteed massive games are GT5 and FF13.

krypt0nian said:
You aren't really stupid enough to believe this are you?
It's hyperbole, but most big games for 360 see a release for PC as well. Either being multi-plat from the beginning (CoD etc.) or getting ported later on (GoW, VP). If you have a gaming PC and a PS3 you don't really need a 360 to play most games (sans Nintendo of course).

Jokeropia said:
Nintendo has never ever posted a loss. SCEI posted the biggest fiscal year loss in videogame history (bigger than the worst year of the Xbox) in 2007, and 2008 is so far looking to beat that record.
Didn't Nintendo once posted a net loss in one quarter? I'm pretty sure they did.

tino said:
BTW I don't agree the notion that Sony Playstation need to beat Nintendo. Sony is competing with MS in a race to win the digital living room. People who own Wii or DS will still need a media center, and its going to be either the Sony solution or the MS solution. You don't need a PS3 for the Sony solution, you just need to use Sony gear to wire the house with their (uPnP etc) standards.
Really? I'll be getting a PS3, but for the games. There are better solutions for a media center than either PS3 or 360.

jett said:
If they don't make it, it will be a two-console race come 2009.
Wii is in another race altogether.

Metalmurphy said:
Some people think AAA means 90%+ on review scores....
Well what else would AAA be? Otherwise it could just be AA or A, no?
 
There is no way Sony will be able to get out of the number 3 slot this generation unless either the Wii or 360 somehow manage to lose their steam, which doesn't seem likely.

That said, I think the PS3 is going to come into its own this year, and I think it already has to a degree. I've had one since June but I didn't touch the thing for months. These days I'm on the thing daily, it's actually a really great piece of hardware and I'm happy I own one.
 
Metalmurphy said:
A Triple A title has got nothing to do with reviews... LAIR is a Triple A title that bombed in reviews.
There are a couple of ways the phrase "AAA game" could be interpreted, and a high quality (ie high reviewed) game would be one of them. Another is what you're getting at, where "AAA game" means something that had a lot of money, time, and energy sunk into it. Still another would be "AAA game" meaning a game that sells very well.

LAIR is one of these, and definitely not the other two.
 
jman2050 said:
Also, why are people pinning the hopes of the system on MGS4, a game that probably won't even beat Resistance in lifetime sales. FFXIII? GT5? Sure. But not MGS4.

about time somebody mentions this. i don't get either, if we're talking about overall sales and not hardcore-gaf-members sales
 
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