That makes no sense. Even if they test less than before, which is certainly not the case, the number of cases must inevitably decrease due to the lockdown. We also know that more than enough people in Italy respect the lockdown.
The principle of a lockdown is that people have almost only contact with people from their own household. For all other important things there are distance rules, mask duty and other regulations. If these rules are respected, then a lockdown can only lead to a decrease in the number of cases.
I can understand why people are always sceptical about good news, after all 99% of the media are already acting as if we are all already half dead. But it is up to each individual to inform themselves, to think for themselves and to draw the appropriate conclusions. If you look at it very rationally and go strictly by the facts, you can only come to the conclusion that the virus is being fucked in the ass in Italy.
Just trust numbers, facts and known models and don't let yourself be guided by emotions or money-hungry sensationalist media.
Haha I think you got me all wrong, go back and read any of the other posts I've made in here, I'm not guided by my emotions and most definitely not by the "money hungry sensationalist media". I've been a proponent for lockdowns and their efficacy from the beginning. I havent been speaking about this situation hyperbolically or fear mongering. I am not sceptical about good news.
I understand the need to trot out your schtick continuously in this thread and honestly for the most part your posts are a nice change compared to the typical doom and gloom, but your response to what I was talking about is misguided.
It was an example. The numbers in my example arent real. It was an example to illustrate that the amount of variables are so high that the numbers almost reach a point of worthlessness. As with the example
@Zefah pointed out, if one would look at the worlds numbers of positive cases they would be like "damn, Japan has barely any infections!". But is it because of the measures they've put in place or is it because they are simply not testing nearly as much?
In order for all these infection rate numbers to resemble any sort of across the board legitimacy there would have to be some sort of standardization happening. Every day each country tests 25,000 people, then we compare numbers or something like that. And even then there are so many variables involved (maybe one country mainly tested large urban areas vs another country that tested more rural areas) that can skew the numbers.
The whole point I'm trying to make is when people are posting these giant scoreboards showing one country higher on the list than another country, it is kinda silly. Those scoreboards have a tenuous tangibility at best. If anything they should be used to gauge what's happening within a country, not seeing how they stack up against another country.
As a footnote, I'm assuming it must be tiring but keep up the "outside the box" style of discussing the situations happening cause it is refreshing to see a different point of view. It is really easy to be caught in the mire of doom and gloom.
womfalcs3
listened to all of that and decided to pop in here to claim that 200,000 were going to die in the US according to Dr. Fauci. I think MSNBC should hire him.
www.huffpost.com
(true story)
