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[VOOK]

Well, it does kind of scream, "USE IT AGAINST ME!"

:|

 

[Busaiku]

Famitsu May 21-27
13. WII Super Paper Mario 17278 / 396145
19. WII Gentle Brain Training Wii 14630 / 156154

At the rates they're going, they may be able to reach about 500k+ and maybe 300k, which is not bad at all.

 

[Eteric Rice]

But that doesn't work, tho. :|

 

[Cheesemeister]

cvx, the update for the OP is on the last page.

 

[castle007]

DSL 123,140
Wii 69,748
PSP 26,358
PS2 11,814
PS3 8,998
Xbox360 2,219
GBM 310
GBASP 247
GC 226
DS 71
GBA 16

good Wii and DS numbers. Nothing new

 

[Ketchup Boy]

It's disgusting seeing how much market Nintendo is controlling. I mean I wanted them to become the market leader, but not control nearly the whole dang pie, just like maybe 40% of the pie. I feel the need to purchase a PS3 thinking it'll do something even though I know it won't.

 

[Earthstrike]

Having the top 30 separated fromt he next 20 by partial totals for how many games sold on each system is a bit of an eyesore. Unless that's being changed right now.

 

[cvxfreak]

cvx, the update for the OP is on the last page.

Done, thanks a lot.

 

[Cheesemeister]

Having the top 30 separated fromt he next 20 by partial totals for how many games sold on each system is a bit of an eyesore. Unless that's being changed right now.

Yeah, I typically just overwrite the top 30 tallies. =P Thanks for keeping the OP updated this week.

 

[Pureauthor]

It's disgusting seeing how much market Nintendo is controlling. I mean I wanted them to become the market leader, but not control nearly the whole dang pie, just like maybe 40% of the pie. I feel the need to purchase a PS3 thinking it'll do something even though I know it won't.

That's the way the Japanese market (and to a lesser extent, the rest of the world) works. Once you've decided on a winner, might as well go full steam behind it.

 

[Eteric Rice]

That's the way the Japanese market (and to a lesser extent, the rest of the world) works. Once you've decided on a winner, might as well go full steam behind it.

I wish they'd hurry up. I can only be so excited before my hype starts to slow down.

Needs new announcements stat!

 

[fly high ~ayunite~]

Same old, same old. TGS will be awesome.

 

[perfectchaos007]

Just got back from seeing Blue Man Group. ]

Lucky! I was in Orlando just a few days ago and I was so dissapointed that the Blue Man group would be there the NEXT week.

I wanted to see them so bad....

 

[Vinnk]

Comments on the report:That's very interesting. Were they so positive about it before the PS3 began to tank? I'm wondering if the failure of the Sony's system provides some motivation for the Japanese hardcore to take a harder look at the competition. It undeniably has a good lineup of games. This is the first positive news I've heard about the 360 in Japan in a long time.

I think it really started at TGS. Microsoft had a great showing. Blue Dragon looked great. The PS3 titles at the show were mostly not very impressive (other than DMC and MGS and some trailers) and a lot of the enthusiasm Sony had been building for the system was starting to dwindle. The hardcore where starting to look at their options.

But as I said the hardcore is a very small fraction of the game buying public. Many PS2 owners I know only bought it for 2 or 3 games (and a few just for the DVD player). It was (and still is) a hardcore system but most of the buyers would not call themselves active gamers. However.. EVERY person who buys a 360 is a gamer. There is no way in hell a casual gamer would buy this machine. Thus the attach rates are very high and 360 software hits the top 30 while PS3 (even with it's larger base) doesn’t as often.

Hey, Vinnk, if I say that your future wife's a lucky gal, will you check out the stock of the PW games?

And then buy me some?

All PW games are available and in good supply. Occasionally PW2 will sell out, but it is replaced fairly quickly.

As for buying games, if any of you want to buy PW3 or something, send me a PM, I am already sending 3 to the states, what’s a few more. And I buy from the shops, so it will be counted in MC.

 

[Cheesemeister]

Lucky! I was in Orlando just a few days ago and I was so dissapointed that the Blue Man group would be there the NEXT week.

I wanted to see them so bad....

They'd just added a few "preview shows" starting June 1st. If you were here after that, well...

 

[mj1108]

Why the DSL is still selling more than 100k/week?

Welcome to the last 16 months.

 

[PantherLotus]

This Week Sales:

Since 11/27/07:
27 Total Weeks of Next Gen sales.
21 Total Weeks of post-holiday sales.

360 - Established Trend: 2-4k. Next Gen Avg = 7,134. Post Holiday Avg = 3,986.
Wii - Mid-cycle: 54-76k. Next Gen Avg = 96,480. Post Holiday Avg = 70,952.
PS3 - Established Trend: 8-10k. Next Gen Avg = 33,731. Post Holiday Avg = 18,249.

Results, Analysis, & Expectations
● The 360's sales are insignificant. 2k-4k per week for the foreseeable future.

● The PS3's sales are insignificant. 6-11k per week for the foreseeable future.

● The Wii's sales are top-cycle. Trends show that this week or next week is the peak of the cycle. 65-75k is a realistic expectation for next week. Should hover between 50k-80k for the summer.


Expectations for 06/04 - 06/11
360 - 2.5k*
Wii - 73k*
PS3 - 9k*

* = within 5k estimation success the previous week.

This Week's Market Share:

LTD Market Share Week-to-Week

Date____               360             Wii             PS3
11/27-12/03:            25%             49%             26%
12/04-12/10:            24%             49%             27%
12/11-12/17:            21%             50%             29%
12/18-12/24:            17%             57%             26%
12/25-12/31:            16%             56%             28%
01/01-01/07:            15%             58%             27%
01/08-01/14:            14%             59%             27%
01/15-01/21:            14%             60%             26%
01/22-01/28:            13%             60%             26%
01/29-02/04:            13%             61%             26%
02/05-02/11:            13%             61%             26%
02/12-02/18:            13%             62%             26%
02/19-02/25:            12%             62%             25%
03/26-03/04:            12%             62%             26%
03/05-03/11:            12%             62%             26%
03/12-03/18:            11%             62%             26%
03/19-03/25:            11%             63%             26%
03/26-04/01:            11%             63%             26%
04/02-04/08:            11%             63%             26%
04/09-04/15:            11%             64%             26%
04/16-04/22:            10%             64%             25%
04/23-04/29:            10%             65%             25%
04/30-05/06:            10%             66%             24%
05/07-05/13:            10%             66%             24%
05/14-05/20:            10%             66%             24%
05/21-05/27:            10%             67%             24%
05/28-06/03:            09%             67%             23%

Significant Notes:
● The Wii has extended its lead to 1,694,226 over the PS3.
● 80.9k units sold this week. (The highest since golden week) Wii had 86.1% of all console sales.
● The Wii hit 2.6 million units.
● The Wii officially has two-thirds (67%) market share.
● The PS3 has sold less than 25k for 14 weeks in a row.
● 360 in single-digit market share.

 

[Cheesemeister]

● The Wii officially has two-thirds (67%) market share after next week.

It's already happened.

WII = 2,604,944
PS3 = 910,737
360 = 366,646

(910,737 + 366,646) * 2 < 2,604,944
2,554,766 < 2,604,944

Alternatively...

Total consoles = 2,604,944 + 910,737 + 366,646 = 3,882,327

Wii marketshare = 2,604,944 / 3,882,327 = 0.67097490757476121923784369528893

 

[BrodiemanTTR]

Man, total blown opportunity to not make Pac-Chart either a Paczombie or an eyeball this week.

 

[GaimeGuy]

I would just like to say one thing:

GO SUPER PAPER MARIO!

 

[Cheesemeister]

Man, total blown opportunity to not make Pac-Chart either a Paczombie or an eyeball this week.

Nobody asked.

 

[BrodiemanTTR]

So no Harvest Moon review then?

 

[Sharp]

Go Eye Training!

 

[PantherLotus]

It's already happened.

WII = 2,604,944
PS3 = 910,737
360 = 366,646

(910,737 + 366,646) * 2 < 2,604,944
2,554,766 < 2,604,944

Alternatively...

Total consoles = 2,604,944 + 910,737 + 366,646 = 3,882,327

Wii marketshare = 2,604,944 / 3,882,327 = 0.67097490757476121923784369528893

All that being said, I already knew that. I forgot to edit out the "next week" part from last week's post. Thanks for the catch anyway.

 

[Terrell]

Jeez, Wii sales to PS3 sales are over 8:1?! And people are still going on about how this generation hasn't been decided?!

 

[AdmiralViscen]

How long did PS2 shortages exist in Japan, after launch?

 

[Sharp]

Jeez, Wii sales to PS3 sales are over 8:1?! And people are still going on about how this generation hasn't been decided?!

Well, historically Japan has not decided the fate of the console wars.

 

[GaimeGuy]

Well, historically Japan has not decided the fate of the console wars.

Every console that has won in japan has won worldwide.

 

[Innotech]

Every console that has won in japan has won worldwide.

actually......thats true.
Scary isnt it?
(not for me)

 

[SouthernDragon]

Jeez, Wii sales to PS3 sales are over 8:1?! And people are still going on about how this generation hasn't been decided?!

Well, see, once the games hit on PS3, combined with a price drop and a higher adoption rate of HDTVs, the situation could flip.

*snicker*

 

[Terrell]

Every console that has won in japan has won worldwide.

Yeah, and before we get into it, folks, Super Nintendo DID beat Genesis worldwide, but it was close... and it was the only closely-competitive generation this industry has (and likely will) ever see.

 

[Innotech]

Well, see, once the games hit on PS3, combined with a price drop and a higher adoption rate of HDTVs, the situation could flip.

*snicker*

Ps3 catches up by 2011 confirmed.

 

[AdmiralViscen]

Yeah, and before we get into it, folks, Super Nintendo DID beat Genesis worldwide, but it was close... and it was the only closely-competitive generation this industry has (and likely will) ever see.

SNES vs Genesis wasn't close worldwide, only in the US. ~50M vs ~30M WW.

 

[DownLikeBCPowder]

Yeah, and before we get into it, folks, Super Nintendo DID beat Genesis worldwide, but it was close... and it was the only closely-competitive generation this industry has (and likely will) ever see.

I miss cool names for SEGA systems

 

[Terrell]

SNES vs Genesis wasn't close worldwide, only in the US. ~50M vs ~30M WW.

No, it was pretty close in Europe, too, from what I remember seeing, Japan put SNES over the hump. But whatever, the whole point was the stop the delusionals from starting that eternal debate over who actually "won" all over again. We can at least agree who won, though.

 

[Innotech]

Yeah, and before we get into it, folks, Super Nintendo DID beat Genesis worldwide, but it was close... and it was the only closely-competitive generation this industry has (and likely will) ever see.

yes but also Nintendo and Sega were roughly equally good developers. Nintendo always made a lot more money though with smarter hardware choices and better financial responsibility. but Sega was usually more creative and honestly outdid Nintendo in many genres. That really was a golden age of gaming and at least the two players are still making games. I would have loved to see Sega stay in the console race and continue duking it out today.

 

[Sharp]

Oh, I dunno, guys. I don't think we can just judge the situation based on historical precedent here. After all, Virtua Fighter 5.

 

[AdmiralViscen]

No, it was pretty close in Europe, too, from what I remember seeing, Japan put SNES over the hump. But whatever, the whole point was the stop the delusionals from starting that eternal debate over who actually "won" all over again. We can at least agree who won, though.

The SNES sold, what, 15 million in Japan? It didn't sell 20 million, only the PlayStations and DS have/will achieve that. Genesis/MD must have sold 2-3 million there, so at least 5-10 million of SNES' 20M lead came from US and EU.

 

[Terrell]

Oh, I dunno, guys. I don't think we can just judge the situation based on historical precedent here. After all, Virtua Fighter 5.

Ummm... didn't only ONE Virtua Fighter game ever break a million in Japan? And wasn't it chronically outsold by Tekken in the States? If we're trying to poo-poo on historical precedent, that is not the example to use.

 

[PantherLotus]

 

[AdmiralViscen]

Ummm... didn't only ONE Virtua Fighter game ever break a million in Japan? And wasn't it chronically outsold by Tekken in the States? If we're trying to poo-poo on historical precedent, that is not the example to use.

2 and 4 both did, I think.

 

[TheGreatDave]

Ummm... didn't only ONE Virtua Fighter game ever break a million in Japan? And wasn't it chronically outsold by Tekken in the States? If we're trying to poo-poo on historical precedent, that is not the example to use.

Virtua Fighter 5 is set to save the PS3.

 

[cvxfreak]

2 and 4 both did, I think.

Not 4.

 

[Sharp]

You all fail disgustingly at sarcasm.

 

[Deku]

There's too much backslapping in here.

 

[ethelred]

You all fail disgustingly at sarcasm.

It's because I was sent away.

There's too much backslapping in here.

I believe "circlejerking" is the term you're looking for.

 

[Terrell]

Virtua Fighter 5 is set to save the PS3.

How, are they going to pile up the unsold copies of the game to break the PS3's fall when it finally finishes plummetting on sales charts?

 

[miguel_c_hammer]

yes but also Nintendo and Sega were roughly equally good developers. Nintendo always made a lot more money though with smarter hardware choices and better financial responsibility. but Sega was usually more creative and honestly outdid Nintendo in many genres. That really was a golden age of gaming and at least the two players are still making games. I would have loved to see Sega stay in the console race and continue duking it out today.

Um... no. Sega has never been anywhere near Nintendo as a developer, not even in their "glory" days. In what ways exactly was Sega more "creative" than Nintendo? The only genres Sega "outdid" Nintendo in were the ones that Nintendo traditionally never touches, such as sports and RPGs.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

sales will reach a point exceeding the population of japan?

Heh. I keep track of when DS will catch up to PS2, but I think this one would be a bit further out.

It's disgusting seeing how much market Nintendo is controlling. I mean I wanted them to become the market leader, but not control nearly the whole dang pie, just like maybe 40% of the pie.

If 40% was enough to be market leader, were you expecting X360 to get more than 20%?

How long did PS2 shortages exist in Japan, after launch?

I'm not sure if it was constantly in shortage or if it was readily available for a short while before stock ran low due to international launch preparation, but you can see that according to Famitsu it was on a near-constant downward slope from week 19 through week 40, and shortly thereafter started staying regularly around 50K.

 

[ethelred]

Um... no. Sega has never been anywhere near Nintendo as a developer, not even in their "glory" days.

Sega's never been anywhere near Nintendo as a developer? That's a laugh, sorry.

In what ways exactly was Sega more "creative" than Nintendo? The only genres Sega "outdid" Nintendo in were the ones that Nintendo traditionally never touches, such as sports and RPGs.

Platformers, action, adventure, arcade, music/rhythm, shooters...