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Official 2011 MLB Thread - Scott Proctor on to get some posts in

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CygnusXS said:
Columns left to right:

Actual Win %: The team's actual record YTD.
1st Order Win %: Takes a team's Runs Scored and Runs Allowed YTD and applies a Pythagorean win expectancy matrix to those numbers to determine how many wins that team should have based solely on their run differential.
2nd Order Win %: Similar to 1st Order, except instead of RS and RA, it uses Equivalent Runs Scored, which is designed to account for random variation in run differentials by putting the team's peripheral stats through a run expectancy matrix.
3rd Order Win %: Same as 2nd Order, except it adjusts the expected runs scored/allowed for strength of schedule, and gives you an expected winning % that is supposed to be the most luck neutral.
D1: The win differential between Actual and 1st Order
D2: The win differential between Actual and 2nd Order
D3: The win differential between Actual and 3rd Order

So for example, looking under D3, the Pirates have won 6.4 more games than their expected 3rd Order wins.
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Got it. Thanks man, really cool stuff.
 
Adam Dunn did hit into two double plays, but he also didn’t strike out for the first time since June 18. It was just the fourth time in June that Dunn didn’t strike out in a game and in one of those games he was just pinch hitting.
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];
 
ReyesAllStar.png


ASG voting ended yesterday. If Jose Reyes didn't make it as a starter I say overhaul the whole voting process.I blame lack of proper education
 
Nemesis121 said:
NY 6 out of 10...

5 Yanks

1 BK Dodgers...
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The glamour of NYC has always drawn sports players. I'm thinking that will change with the decentralized media coverage we will have from now on. For a long time Chicago was the only town that could compete with NYC but the Cubs and White Sox were badly managed and never were really competitive.
 
Looking over Mariano's stats... it's incredibly strange how his peripherals, luck, xFIP, etc., all jump around wildly, but his ERA has been incredibly consistent. It's not what you'd expect at all. I'm sure there are like a billion articles written about that already, but I'm interested to see how the hell he is managing that.
 
How would you like to be a Japanese star pitcher stuck in Mississippi in July going downhill fast? I hope they removed any swords from his locker.

The Braves’ hopes of trading Kenshin Kawakami have steadily eroded since his demotion to Double-A Mississippi, where the veteran Japanese pitcher got rocked and made an early exit from his latest start Wednesday. He gave up seven runs, six hits (one homer) and two walks in two innings of a 12-0 loss at Huntsville. He had one strikeout and left after facing three batters without recording an out in the third inning.
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verbum said:
How would you like to be a Japanese star pitcher stuck in Mississippi in July going downhill fast? I hope they removed any swords from his locker.
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Oh this isn't about kei igawa at all!
 
Meh, can't copy and paste but I like how that SN list has a link to the 10 most inglorious moments in baseball and then says Joba got attached by bugs rather than attacked.
 
I made the mistake of calling in to one of our local radio stations and talking about this when they were discussing how a shortened season would benefit the NBA and/or MLB. Cue misinformed radio guys screaming at me about how there was no way the second half of the NBA season almost didn't matter even though it's pretty clear that (a) that's true in general, (b) it was true this year, and (c) people know it's true, which is why most casual fans stop watching regular season games halfway through. I didn't even get to my actual point about how cutting the MLB season would be a terrible idea :(
 
verbum said:
How would you like to be a Japanese star pitcher stuck in Mississippi in July going downhill fast? I hope they removed any swords from his locker.
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....and you would be making 7 million dollars. I would gladly be stuck in Mississippi. Fuck, i'd do it for a little over 1% of his salary!
 
Windu said:
....and you would be making 7 million dollars. I would gladly be stuck in Mississippi. Fuck, i'd do it for a little over 1% of his salary!
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You'd do it for close to $7000 a year? Wow.
 
sf2fanatic said:
There thats better..105k can still live a good life in Cali...70k is like borderline these days.
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yeah thats why i said a little over 1%. I would not do it for 70k.
 
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