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Official January NPD Prediction Thread - closes Friday Feb 8

Skilotonn

xbot xbot xbot xbot xbot
Metalmurphy said:
This happening on the first month is a bit hilarious isn't it? :p

Hilarious?

Nah, not at all...

All the big dogs (and I mean, ALL the big dogs) look like they all got hit with supply constraints while the PlayStation Family was the only one without supply problems, and everyone still was within breathing distance of each other...

But don't let me stop your celebration!
 

Parl

Member
Wii and DS have made me a hefty chunk on TheSimExchange.com with how much I put into shorting them. Should have predicted in the prediction thread, but couldn't be bothered this month.
 

shifty100

Banned
Hey this great, 360 fanboys fall into the party line and dictate shortages as why the PS3 outsold it. lol talk about bad losers, this NPD is great just for the bullshit excuses from 360 fans.


' but there were shortages' 360 fanboy chant for the month confirmed.


:D :lol
 

Timan

Developer
Damn, I was calling bullshit on the shortages, but I can't find a 360 (other than tard pack) at bestbuy or circuitcity.com
 

Innotech

Banned
shifty100 said:
Hey this great, 360 fanboys fall into the party line and dictate shortages as why the PS3 outsold it. lol talk about bad losers, this NPD is great just for the bullshit excuses from 360 fans.


' but there were shortages' 360 fanboy chant for the month confirmed.


:D :lol
I dont even have a 360 and I can tell you thats exactly what happened here.
 
Skilotonn said:
Hilarious?

Nah, not at all...

All the big dogs (and I mean, ALL the big dogs) look like they all got hit with supply constraints while the PlayStation Family was the only one without supply problems, and everyone still was within breathing distance of each other...

But don't let me stop your celebration!
Who's celebrating?

I meant it's hilarious since "2008 is the year of the PS3" as everyone was saying.

Oh wait, it's you again thinking I have an agenda :lol ... idiot.
 

Replicant

Member
Innotech said:
:lol

wait, are you serious?

:lol Well, yes. Some of us actually have lives and don't monitor the amount of hardware available on the nearest game shop. So I'm sorry for having difficulty in believing that those consoles are actually having shortages.
 

Mojovonio

Banned
what time is it, M$?

Its THAT time.

future4.jpg
 

Kittonwy

Banned
CubeRevolution said:
Wii: 274,000
PS3: 270,000
PS2: 265,000
DS: 252,000
PSP: 30,000
360: 229,000

Software:
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (Xbox 360): 328,000
Wii Play: 298,000
Guitar Hero III (Wii): 240,000 in sales (Ldt. 1,5 m)
Super Mario Galaxy: 172,000
Rock Band (Xbox 360): 171,000 in sales
Guitar Hero 3 (Xbox 360): 167,000
Burnout Paradise: 144,000
Call of Duty 4 (PS3): 139,000
Mario Party DS: 138,000
Mario & Sonic at the Olympics: 133,000

Ldt:
Metroid Prime 3: Corruption: 626,000
Carnival Games: 655,000
Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles: 300,000
Wii Play: 4.4 million

Wii's nunchuk: 375,000 in January

SO AWESOME.
gladtomeetya.gif
 

scottnak

Member
Off by 531300 :lol
Hedging a few to the extremes (low & high) definitely didn't work out...
Everything middled out. Sigh.
 
shifty100 said:
Hey this great, 360 fanboys fall into the party line and dictate shortages as why the PS3 outsold it. lol talk about bad losers, this NPD is great just for the bullshit excuses from 360 fans.


' but there were shortages' 360 fanboy chant for the month confirmed.


:D :lol

Here is what Sony's own definition was last March in regards to being supply constrained. So by Sony's own standards, the 360 was supply constrained and not "in-stock".

"The industry standard for a product to be considered to be in an "in-stock" position for a store is 30 units per store. This would be the level you would see for a PS2 or Xbox 360. At this level, retailers will feature a product in their weekly advertising circulars. If you are not at this level, retailers can't guarantee consumers will find one if they go into the store and they most likely won't support your product in weekly ads. Although you can indeed find PS3s in stores currently, we are no where near an "in-stock" position. 300,000 PS3s were sold into retailers the final week of March, so you should see increased marketing support from retailers in April."
 

Mojovonio

Banned
shifty100 said:
Hey this great, 360 fanboys fall into the party line and dictate shortages as why the PS3 outsold it. lol talk about bad losers, this NPD is great just for the bullshit excuses from 360 fans.


' but there were shortages' 360 fanboy chant for the month confirmed.


:D :lol

I seeee your trueeee colors....
 

scottnak

Member
*shrug* Quick perusal, THere are like 3 or 4 people who stayed hovering around the 200ks.
I'm willing to bet sonycowboy did the best... Insider information maybe?? Hmm!
 
What's up with NPD this week. No extra software numbers, no prediction results, no cheesemeister to update the OP in the MC thread, no sonycowboy, I haven't seen JJSlone around either....

Sales-agers am cry. :(
 
shifty100 said:
Hey this great, 360 fanboys fall into the party line and dictate shortages as why the PS3 outsold it. lol talk about bad losers, this NPD is great just for the bullshit excuses from 360 fans.


' but there were shortages' 360 fanboy chant for the month confirmed.


:D :lol
After about 13 months of "costs more" and "wait for game xxx" its a refreshing change.
 

spwolf

Member
OldJadedGamer said:
Here is what Sony's own definition was last March in regards to being supply constrained. So by Sony's own standards, the 360 was supply constrained and not "in-stock".

"The industry standard for a product to be considered to be in an "in-stock" position for a store is 30 units per store. This would be the level you would see for a PS2 or Xbox 360. At this level, retailers will feature a product in their weekly advertising circulars. If you are not at this level, retailers can't guarantee consumers will find one if they go into the store and they most likely won't support your product in weekly ads. Although you can indeed find PS3s in stores currently, we are no where near an "in-stock" position. 300,000 PS3s were sold into retailers the final week of March, so you should see increased marketing support from retailers in April."


and we laughed at them. as we laugh now.

I suggest to all poor fellows who cant find 360 in their local stores, to buy them online - you dont even have to pay sales tax, imagine!

Considering how popular Live! is, you have to wonder why wannabe 360 owners dont know how to use the "Internet".
 
spwolf said:
I suggest to all poor fellows who cant find 360 in their local stores, to buy them online - you dont even have to pay sales tax, imagine!
I'd never buy a 360 online just in case it was DOA. :lol
 
sionyboy said:
What's up with NPD this week. No extra software numbers, no prediction results, no cheesemeister to update the OP in the MC thread, no sonycowboy, I haven't seen JJSlone around either....

Sales-agers am cry. :(

Happy Valentine's Day! Numbers tonight.
 
Number of contestants: 152

GAF Aggregate said:
[PS2] 187,032; Expected Range = 101,000 to 340,000
[PSP] 218,435; Expected Range = 130,000 to 340,000
[PS3] 174,962; Expected Range = 110,000 to 275,000
[360] 229,797; Expected Range = 135,999 to 400,000
[NDS] 398,477; Expected Range = 250,000 to 567,000
[WII] 339,694; Expected Range = 180,000 to 515,000

Disqualified for late or outlying predictions: Arthas, Chumly, Digital-Hero, DSWii60, Forgotten Ancient, Kolgar, Vieo.

NPD said:
[WII] 274k
[PS3] 269k
[PS2] 264k
[NDS] 251k
[PSP] 230k
[360] 230k

1. sonycowboy - 179,000
2. kbear - 198,000
3. botticus - 230,000
4. Minsc - 234,000
5. Timedog - 246,000
6. Psychotext - 253,000
7. Jackano - 268,000
8. felipeko - 276,000
9. womfalcs3 - 283,000
10. _Alkaline_ - 286,000
11. cyclonekruse - 288,000
12. sionyboy - 292,000
13. JJConrad - 293,000
14. llonesmiz - 303,000
15. AniHawk - 311,000
16. Concept17 - 313,000
17. rhfb - 316,000
17. TwinsDad - 316,000
19. toxk_02 - 322,000
20. ICallItFutile - 324,000
21. turtle553 - 331,000
22. starship - 333,000
22. AirBrian - 333,000
24. Belgorim - 338,000
25. nextgeneration - 343,000
26. DayShallCome - 344,000
27. Restricted_Area - 346,000
28. Jiggy37 - 347,062
29. SuperBanjo - 348,000
30. Clever Pun - 354,000
31. Copycat_Wannabe - 356,000
32. Brakara - 358,000
33. _leech_ - 368,000
34. squatingyeti - 373,000
34. deftangel - 373,000
36. JoshuaJSlone - 375,000
37. apujanata - 378,000
37. Strike - 378,000
39. rikitikitik - 383,000
39. jamesinclair - 383,000
41. Sviatoslav - 386,000
42. Bending_Unit_22 - 388,000
42. John Dunbar - 388,000
42. toonface - 388,000
42. BuzzJive - 388,000
46. devilscallmedad - 395,000
47. GAF Aggregate - 395,945
48. seattle6418 - 396,000
49. Ydahs - 398,000
50. archnemesis - 403,000
50. mike23 - 403,000
52. NeoUltima - 408,000
52. Frankfurter - 408,000
54. Kurosaki Ichigo - 411,000
55. gollumsluvslave - 413,000
55. ZeroEdge - 413,000
55. Chibbi Brady - 413,000
58. Odysseus - 416,000
58. dammitmattt - 416,000
60. frankthurk - 418,000
60. doicare - 418,000
62. legend166 - 420,000
63. TheKurgan - 423,000
64. handofg0d - 428,000
64. Sindou_Hikaru20 - 428,000
64. rage1973 - 428,000
64. CrisKre - 428,000
68. Rekwest - 431,000
69. Soka - 436,000
70. donny2112 - 438,000
70. mr_bishiuk - 438,000
70. argon - 438,000
70. Pachter - 438,000
74. danwarb - 441,000
75. sh4mike - 446,000
76. Jokeropia - 448,000
77. Orgen - 449,000
78. soma27 - 450,000
79. kefka2030 - 451,000
80. Anasui Kishibe - 453,000
81. RBH - 455,000
82. Bildi - 460,000
83. Nolan. - 461,000
84. blitz64 - 463,000
84. Region-FreeWii - 463,000
86. ThatHurt - 468,000
87. Provider - 473,000
88. Heidir - 476,000
89. megaman511 - 478,000
89. RevoDS - 478,000
91. gamergirly - 480,000
92. kottila - 483,000
92. Gekkonidae - 483,000
92. Brak - 483,000
95. jey_16 - 488,000
95. beermonkey@tehbias - 488,000
97. crimsonheadGCN - 493,000
98. jjgames - 498,000
98. N.A - 498,000
100. rostocker - 499,000
101. perfectchaos007 - 503,000
102. jarrod - 508,000
103. Anerythristic - 511,000
104. VanMardigan - 513,000
105. flipping_heck - 518,000
106. Spiegel - 523,000
107. andy_lhc - 528,000
107. Frillen - 528,000
107. laserbeam - 528,000
110. scottnak - 531,300
111. DenogginizerOS - 541,000
112. Flakster99 - 548,000
112. Gexecuter - 548,000
114. SIP YEK NOD - 551,806
115. Slavik81 - 553,000
116. CitizenCope - 556,000
116. AlphaWolf - 556,000
118. - 558,000
119. djtiesto - 563,000
120. Nicktals - 564,000
121. L0st Id3ntity - 568,000
121. stotch - 568,000
123. cuate - 573,000
124. D.Lo - 578,000
124. RattleHead_ - 578,000
124. AlteredBeast - 578,000
127. Fladam - 579,000
128. Thunder Monkey - 583,000
128. HocusPocus - 583,000
130. Hammer24 - 584,000
131. Gaborn - 591,000
132. OliveJuice - 595,000
133. skulpt - 610,000
134. Agent Icebeezy - 616,000
135. moku - 618,000
135. schuelma - 618,000
137. boontje - 628,000
138. dyls - 633,000
139. choodi - 638,000
139. Lobster - 638,000
141. Linkhero1 - 648,000
141. Billias - 648,000
143. Phoenix 2.0 - 658,000
144. MidiSurf - 676,000
145. Penguin - 678,000
146. GhaleonEB - 682,000
147. The M.O.B - 688,000
148. Broadbandito - 707,000
149. Nallen - 708,000
150. Suburban Cowboy - 728,000
151. Ike - 738,000
152. The Interrobanger - 747,000
153. theSimExchange - 750,000
154. Domino Theory - 1,295,000
155. DeaconKnowledge - 1,702,000

Without PS2 for benefit of theSimExchange...

44. GAF Aggregate - 318,977
76. Pachter - 364,000
124. theSimExchange - 486,000
 

Kolgar

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Number of contestants: 152
Disqualified for late or outlying predictions: Arthas, Chumly, Digital-Hero, DSWii60, Forgotten Ancient, Kolgar, Vieo.

What? Was I late? Is the cut-off at 5 p.m. or something?

Damn, I would have been #7 or #8 too.
 
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