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Rumor: Microsoft is interested in buying AMD

What do you think of this proposed buyout?


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In a perfect world what you say would be true. All companies would have the mindset of AMD in which most things they produce are opened up for anyone to see and use. Then you have companies who have a vested interest in their own brand strength. Any R&D is going to produce multiple variants of the same product to varying degrees of effectiveness. You don't bet your entire budget on one possible outcome.
We live in a non-perfect world where this is already common practice. Sony has camera sensors in smartphones made by other companies. AMD is offering Intel CPUs in their Quantum box. Samsung sells to countless competitors. Microsoft develops for other OS, even in a market (like mobile) where their own OS struggles. It's not about idealism. It's about money.

You can still make that money back by selling the second best product while keeping the best for yourself. Think of it as if Nvidia made Maxwell but also sold to other people. They could keep the big chip for themselves and only sell the cutdown version to everyone else. They'd still make the money back for the R&D as long as the cutdown version was still better than everything else on the market other than their own offering of the full chip.

So in the completely hypothetical scenario imagine if Microsoft offered GCN 1.0 level chips for licensing but retained 1.1 and 1.2 (or eventually 1.3?) for their own console and PC video cards. This isn't a stretch to imagine considering all the R&D that goes into D3D and yet they are keeping it proprietary as well (Hell with DX12 they are even cutting out their own customers on Windows 7 and 8).

By not selling your best offering (or selling your second best offering for a higher price than similar level technologies from competitors), you likely lose business. These are mostly custom SoCs with relatively older tech, with improvements here and there built to specification. If you are offering a lower level of tech for a similar price, you won't get the bid.

There are plenty of companies who might not be interested in consumer versions of APUs now that will be much more interested when a console manufacturer comes to them with a potential contract of dozens of millions of units.

Turning down that business isn't in the best interest of making money.

This would also mean that they could tweak D3D and GCN so that they work best together and not as well on competitors GPUs and APIs respectively. Not to mention that Microsoft would gain control of the Mantle API which is Open source. Kronos group is using it to create the Vulkan API (DX12 equivalent successor to OpenGL). With Microsoft in control of Mantle, what would stop them from closing off Mantle and having a very strong negative impact on Mac OS, Linux, and SteamOS compatibility moving forward? Just a thought.

Unless you have more specifics about the relationship and / or licenses involved with Vulkan's preliminary work being based on Mantle, then I believe it's safe to assume this isn't a real threat. Vulkan is Khronos-wide at this point and as far as I know has only been described as being past the boost AMD's work on Mantle gave in the beginning. I don't really believe the other Khronos companies would jump on board if this was a possibility.
 
Wouldn't microsoft just... keep selling the parts to Sony and Nintendo? Microsoft and Sony work together all the time outside the console business. So much overreaction in the thread.

The potential for bullshit is there, and given Microsoft's previous track record, it's worrying.
 
Microsoft has spent decades dealing with antitrust lawsuits, and in recent years is trending towards making their proprietary tech more open, not less. The last thing they'd do in the event of an AMD buyout is make moves to cripple the competition, whether that's consoles or APIs.
 
ITT: people don't understand how Khronos standardization works.

Anway, I still have no idea why Microsoft would buy AMD. If anything, they seem to be cutting back on costly HW efforts in favour of a focus on services.
 
Wouldn't microsoft just... keep selling the parts to Sony and Nintendo? Microsoft and Sony work together all the time outside the console business. So much overreaction in the thread.

There are almost assuredly long term contracts in place MS would have to honor, either the continued supply of parts or possibly a massive penalty for breach of contract.
 
Please, the downfall of Nokia is not connected to Microsoft. The ship was already dead way before Elop.

When Elop joined Nokia was still the worlds biggest seller of smartphones and most of the measures he made essentially stirred the company's value downwards after it had stabilized and slightly grown in the two years prior to his hiring.

http://bgr.com/2013/09/03/microsoft-nokia-merger-analysis/

Just when Nokia had finally gotten its act together and put a out a phone with truly modern software and competitive specs against the iPhone, Elop cancelled any further development of the platform and released the phone anyways even though it was DOA.

Not to mention that Microsoft gave Elop 25 million payout when he rejoined them.

There's no solid evidence to prove that Elop was indeed conspiring with Microsoft to enable them to purchase Nokia for a much lower value, but I'll be damned if every single sign doesn't point in that direction.
 
ITT: people don't understand how Khronos standardization works.

Anway, I still have no idea why Microsoft would buy AMD. If anything, they seem to be cutting back on costly HW efforts in favour of a focus on services.

What HW effort did they cut?
 
This thread really went off the rails.

tumblr_lvt2klDywe1qbrgydo1_500.png

Anybody remember what the original topic was? /s
 
When Elop joined Nokia was still the worlds biggest seller of smartphones and most of the measures he made essentially stirred the company's value downwards after it had stabilized and slightly grown in the two years prior to his hiring.

When you consider that the only Smartphone makers that actually made a profit are Samsung and apple, and the others, even HTC, struggle, I can't possibly agree with your statement. The only reason Nokia was still selling well at that time was due to the tail end of the feature phone and emerging market phone. Elop's changes kept Nokia afloat and helped them make the best phones they have done in years.
 
In a perfect world what you say would be true. All companies would have the mindset of AMD in which most things they produce are opened up for anyone to see and use. Then you have companies who have a vested interest in their own brand strength. Any R&D is going to produce multiple variants of the same product to varying degrees of effectiveness. You don't bet your entire budget on one possible outcome.

You can still make that money back by selling the second best product while keeping the best for yourself. Think of it as if Nvidia made Maxwell but also sold to other people. They could keep the big chip for themselves and only sell the cutdown version to everyone else. They'd still make the money back for the R&D as long as the cutdown version was still better than everything else on the market other than their own offering of the full chip.

So in the completely hypothetical scenario imagine if Microsoft offered GCN 1.0 level chips for licensing but retained 1.1 and 1.2 (or eventually 1.3?) for their own console and PC video cards. This isn't a stretch to imagine considering all the R&D that goes into D3D and yet they are keeping it proprietary as well (Hell with DX12 they are even cutting out their own customers on Windows 7 and 8).


This would also mean that they could tweak D3D and GCN so that they work best together and not as well on competitors GPUs and APIs respectively. Not to mention that Microsoft would gain control of the Mantle API which is Open source. Kronos group is using it to create the Vulkan API (DX12 equivalent successor to OpenGL). With Microsoft in control of Mantle, what would stop them from closing off Mantle and having a very strong negative impact on Mac OS, Linux, and SteamOS compatibility moving forward? Just a thought.

We'll have to see but I feel like MS has been moving toward open source given .net opening up recently. I think they realize they need this to compete. Nadella's still new in his position but I think he's more open towards open source than Ballmer ever was.
 
You aren't understanding that Vulkan contains Mantle code as it's backbone. If Microsoft owns that code they can halt Vulkan, not just fuck with it, halt its use because they would own source code.

AMD gave the Mantle specification to the Khronos Group "with no strings attached" in order to create Vulkan. The most AMD could do to "fuck with" Vulkan would be to withhold their future support. Well I guess they could do worse if they pretended to support Vulkan but instead tried to gum up the works.

Here is a YouTube link discussing Mantle's contribution to Vulkan. (@2m 17s for relevant quote if direct link doesn't work)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF7gENO6CI8&feature=youtu.be&t=2m17s
 
ITT: people don't understand how Khronos standardization works.

Anway, I still have no idea why Microsoft would buy AMD. If anything, they seem to be cutting back on costly HW efforts in favour of a focus on services.

Read:

Three trends are driving a resurgence in machine learning. First, data of all kinds is growing exponentially. Second, researchers have made big improvements in the mathematical models used for machine learning. Finally, GPUs have emerged as a critical computational platform for machine learning research.

These drivers are resulting in game-changing improvements in the accuracy of these models. That’s because GPUs allow researchers to train these models with more data – much more data – than was possible before.

Even using GPUs, the process of training these models by digesting mountains of data takes weeks. Replicating this training process using CPUs is possible – in theory. In reality it would take over a year to train a single model. That’s just too long.

Reducing training time is important because the field is evolving fast. Researchers must accelerate through design and training cycles quickly to keep up. GPUs just cost less, too. The hardware is cheaper and sucks up much less power.

Microsoft Research has just deployed a computer system packed with NVIDIA GPUs. This GPU computing infrastructure is allowing its scientists and engineers to drive innovation and discovery in a range of areas.

These include: computer vision and object recognition, speech analysis, data modeling in fields such as environmental sciences, and machine learning optimization.

Link

Soak in that last paragraph. Those all enable productivity technology.

It's not a huge leap to assume bringing GPU R&D for cloud computing in house may have significant cost savings over time for Microsoft as they vie to maintain their leadership position in cloud-based productivity software and services.
 
I'm really LTTP here but a more viable scenario would see AMD spin off its GPU business in to a separate entity which could then be sold to the highest bidder. Sort of like a reverse ATI acquisition. Discussed here.

Currently AMD denies that anything is in the works but they have to at least be thinking about all possible solutions to the problems that they have. I for one don't see AMD suddenly becoming stronger just because they slim down but someone is obviously mulling it over.
 
When Elop joined Nokia was still the worlds biggest seller of smartphones and most of the measures he made essentially stirred the company's value downwards after it had stabilized and slightly grown in the two years prior to his hiring.

http://bgr.com/2013/09/03/microsoft-nokia-merger-analysis/

Just when Nokia had finally gotten its act together and put a out a phone with truly modern software and competitive specs against the iPhone, Elop cancelled any further development of the platform and released the phone anyways even though it was DOA.

Not to mention that Microsoft gave Elop 25 million payout when he rejoined them.

There's no solid evidence to prove that Elop was indeed conspiring with Microsoft to enable them to purchase Nokia for a much lower value, but I'll be damned if every single sign doesn't point in that direction.

I mean, yes Nokia was kinda looking OK in 2010... but so was fucking RIM (BlackBerry); they had just had their highest selling year ever. I don't think there was a captain in the world that could steer either of those ships to safety.
 
It certainly could happen I but this bit...
The battle for video game console space is very strong. If Microsoft bought AMD, then Sony would be faced with a bad set of choices: put money in Microsoft’s pocket every time it sells a PlayStation, or try to create an entirely new platform by using technologies from Intel, Nvidia, ARM or Imagination Technologies.
...makes absolutely no sense at all.

It's an everyday occurrence for companies to exchange goods/money with companies that are direct competitors in some area and if this was to happen, the suggestion that it would affect either company to such an extent is pure nonsense. That reasoning was daft enough, all on it's own, to stop me clicking on the link to read their remaining stupidity.

I'd also say that if this did happen that I'm really not convinced that the console business would play any part in them considering doing this as I really don't see that end of the business being Microsoft's priority. I can see the reasons in them wanting to own a company such as AMD and I can see even more reasons for them wanting to do that than I can see for them wanting to be in the console business.

It's an incredibly expensive and highly volatile line of business and I see it making more sense for them to start producing Xbox chips for PCs nest time if this was true. I can't imagine that Sony really wants to be laying out billions on developing another new console but I don't really see them as having the same alternatives that Microsoft have.

It would be interesting to read up if proper news hits about this at some point though.
 
Maybe Microsoft could salvage the trainwreck that is AMD right now. Who knows? At least they will get people to work on drivers.
 
Read:



Link

Soak in that last paragraph. Those all enable productivity technology.

It's not a huge leap to assume bringing GPU R&D for cloud computing in house may have significant cost savings over time as Microsoft tries to accelerate innovations in the capabilities of its services.
I started doing GPGPU computing back in 2005 and am quite familiar with machine learning.

The thing about GPU computing, is that it really illustrated the power and cost-efficiency of using commodity consumer hardware (or HW derived from it, with the main research spending still on the consumer side) to do HPC. I don't see why you'd need to build that HW yourself to offer services on top of it, or even large advantages which could be derived from doing so.
 
But it is the BACKBONE!

Yes, they can fuck up Vulkan. And they can fuck Sony, Nvidia, Intel and Steam also, it all adds up.

They can't "fuck up Vulkan". Unfettered access to mantle has already been given to Khronos group by AMD themselves unconditionally, which is the foundation of Vulkan, and the development is also by Khronos group. AMD or MS-AMD would be but one voice amongst scores of companies involved in its development and standards. MS aren't even a part of the Khronos group right now
 
Microsoft buys AMD

1. Stop selling chips for PS4, where is your God now Sony?
2. Sell chips for PS4 but with secret timer in one of the metal layers (like the metal layer in Xbox hides 2.5TFlop dGPU) which goes bad within 24 hrs of first use - BOOM Sony has their own RROD fiasco. Who is your God now Sony?
3. Microsoft locks DirectX features and shuts out Nvidia, which in turn weakens Sony's alternative. Bow down to Microsoft.
4. Microsoft then makes Windows run slower on Intel CPUs weakening them also. Global domination.

Sony FATALITY.
Nvidia FATALITY.
Intel FATALITY.

Microsoft wins.

Dumbest post I've seen here in a while, especially the first two points.
1. Contracts, how do they work?
2. They'd be sued into oblivion by Sony.
 
1: Ha. Warchest.
2: Ha ha. Double Warchest.

The days of bleeding billions to prop up Xbox are done. Investors aren't having that shit.
They'd just be saving Sony anyway.
 
AMD is more likely to die than survive independently...so I think that would probably be a bigger potential problem!
 
oh yeah, Microsoft/Google buying hardware companies always end so well for the users, market and business in general. The future starts now again.
 
I started doing GPGPU computing back in 2005 and am quite familiar with machine learning.

The thing about GPU computing, is that it really illustrated the power and cost-efficiency of using commodity consumer hardware (or HW derived from it, with the main research spending still on the consumer side) to do HPC. I don't see why you'd need to build that HW yourself to offer services on top of it, or even large advantages which could be derived from doing so.

Just using my imagination...

MS will continue building more datacenters, and maybe more devices, that will require graphics cards in significant volume. They maybe could even sell their GPUs to hardware manufacturers at discounts in exchange for deals where MS software and services must be featured on the hardware.

Additionally, I imagine there is room for tighter integration between datacenter hardware and online services for improved performance, efficiency, and security. Those three qualities are likely among primary drivers of business decisions when choosing where to safely store data, as well as the capabilities afforded turn data into useful insights at the lowest cost. I'm certain Microsoft is looking for a competitive edge as they bet their entire business on the cloud.

*shrugs*
 
3dfx had their own bundle of issues that can't simply be pushed on d3d. That's a totally different thread though.

I'm by no means attributing the downfall of 3dfx on d3d alone if at all. Just talking about examples where features were vendor specific and/or software/api specific.
 
Anway, I still have no idea why Microsoft would buy AMD. If anything, they seem to be cutting back on costly HW efforts in favour of a focus on services.

They just sold their advertising division and Bing maps. Meanwhile they seem to be hell bent on getting Hololens to market and have just introduced 3 new Surface Pro 3s. Seems like hardware is in favor once again.
 
It'd be weird, but ms could drop the price of the Xbox without any damage then. Share holders would prefer the profit though. Bigger than that, they could make a very cheap pc now. An amd surface closer to cost could be dope.
 
Shareholders don't really care about the profit for Microsoft, the shareholders are more concerned about what Microsoft's business model in 10 years time is going to be realistically. AKA they're hoping Microsoft will transform its business model into something like Adobe's.


The console division won't really move the dial with them, and any fool can see that supporting Microsoft's efforts to increase the Xbox's install base is the right business move
 
If this is true...I can't help but wonder if MS is going to make a long-term play for self-driving car technology, specifically creating taylored suite with a processor and accompanying software (OS). With their knowledge of spacial processing Nvidia is already developing their Tegra processors for the future market. MS has the talent pool to develop software for such applications and AMD could put them in a position to be a big player in this developing industry.
 
Why would they want to compete with Intel on the other part of AMD? They make a boat load of cash with intel.

I am just not seeing where this helps them now. Hardware is irrelevant and makes little profit and in fact requires significant continuous investment and training.

Look at their VR strategy...work with everyone. They learned for the HD DVD vs Blue Ray crap years ago. Hardware business sucks. Not seeing this as a way to go unless they got some kind of idea on a device that will sell 100s of millions. The exception of course is Apple which is a hardware business but they are in a niche and but they do make bank. MS is all over the place...which you could look as diversified. Maybe thats their reason to invest down that hardware hole. Man I would want no part of AMD.
 
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