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[B-Dubs]

Play this now

The Iowa Caucuses are confusing. Both sides have their own rules and regulations as to how it is run. For the GOP it's essentially a secret paper ballot while for the Dems it's a public math war. No one really knows how it works, which is why desmoinsdem over at Bleeding Heartland has provided a series of articles explaining it:

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/01/27/how-the-iowa-caucuses-work-part-1-the-basics/

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/01/29/how-the-iowa-caucuses-work-part-2-barriers-to-participation/

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/01/30/how-the-iowa-caucuses-work-part-3-democratic-caucus-math/

If this doesn't help don't worry. The DesMoines Register also has an entire page to not only explaining the caucus system, including a nifty video, but links that will allow you to follow along with the results in real time--even if you don't have a TV.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/01/29/how-follow-live-coverage-iowa-caucus-night/79504380/

While the state normally doesn't matter, this year it can and will make or break the nomination fights of a few candidates, Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump specifically.

RESULTS

Clinton 26
Sanders 21

Cruz 8
Trump 7
Rubio 7
Carson 3
Paul 1
Bush 1

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Rep

RESULTS

Here are some prior results from 2008 so you can get an idea of how these things often shake out:

Hillary was second in polling in 2008 but due to some tricky maneuvering by the Obama campaign you can see she was knocked down to third. Expect her to follow Obama's playbook to the letter.

Despite McCain's loss, to both Huckabee and Romney, he would go on to win the nomination and the privilege of losing to Obama in November.



Just remember, what matters is turnout across the state. A candidate can have the most voters and still not win in Iowa, that's just how it is. So when it comes to results, expect the unexpected.

 

[Bowdz]

My Christmas in February.

No matter the result, I am so freaking excited that the 2016 political season is finally upon us.

Also, amazing OT Dubs. Truly glorious, believe me.

 

[HylianTom]

Damn nice OP; this makes it seem real. We're finally here!

 

[serikson45]

Let America's Fate be decided.

 

[Xe4]

Great OP. Should be interesting to say the least.

 

[Arkos]

Bahaha great OP. I think Jorah may be my favorite. Robert is also great

Edit: man Santorum can just suck a railroad spike

 

[zethren]

Amazing OP! Will be following this thread closely.

Andherewego.gif

 

[dramatis]

We're finally here.

It's been a long road. I thought after the Republican primaries of 2012 it couldn't get worse, but they did.

Good job on the thread, B-Dubs.

 

[uncelestial]

Quick reminder that Hillary is a conservative.

 

[Deadly Cyclone]

Welcome to Iowa!

 

[Haly]

Hillary was second in polling in 2008 but due to some tricky maneuvering by the Obama campaign you can see she was knocked down to third. Expect her to follow Obama's playbook to the letter.

Could you or someone go into a little detail about this, or if there's some kind of link that summarized their strategy for Iowa?

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Quick reminder that Hillary is a conservative.

Quick reminder that according to this website, 2012 Obama is more authoritarian than Mike Huckabee.

 

[CoolOff]

Quick reminder that Hillary is a conservative.

This is sort of ignorant. In the US political context, she's not a conservative. You could take many right-wing politicians from Sweden and they'd by down to the left from Bernie, that doesn't mean they're socialists.

 

[Rootbeer]

The op is greatly entertaining

 

[B-Dubs]

Could you or someone go into a little detail about this, or if there's some kind of link that summarized their strategy for Iowa?

This is mostly about Hillary's Iowa ground game, but it goes a bit into what Obama did.

 

[dehydratedbabies]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3-aAx4SOn0

I'm nervous and excited, like that guy who fires his arrow by mistake. Please, Bernie supporters of Iowa, please make this happen.

By what time should the winners be announced, tomorrow night or Tuesday morning?

 

[chaislip3]

Fantastic OP, as usual. I'm curious to see how this turns out.

 

[RumblingRosco]

So, will some of the Republicans drop out after Iowa or not?

 

[Thatonemoor]

Reading the OP with the knowledge of what Jaime Lannister and Cersei Lannister do with one another has burned a unwanted image in my brain.

 

[thepotatoman]

If Hillary wins Iowa, the Democratic primary is 100% over.

If Trump wins Iowa, the Republican primary is 95% over, with a little hope left that things might change after a potential winnowing of the field.

So, have fun deciding the world's future, Iowa.

 

[mugoldeneagle03]

Bravo OP

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Small bit of what Hillary Clinton has done as a Senator and Secretary of State

Clinton introduced eight pieces of legislation with the clear purpose of expanding and protecting women’s access to reproductive health care.

Clinton introduced the Paycheck Fairness Act in 2005, 2007, and 2009 to address the gender pay gap.

Clinton waged a multiyear effort​ — and even blocked the nomination of an FDA head with Sen. Patty Murray — to pass a breakthrough in birth control access: the law that made emergency contraception available over the counter.

Clinton helped launch the National Campaign to Prevent Teen and Unplanned Pregnancy, which supports access to birth control, family planning, and sex education.

Clinton helped beat back a proposal to define birth control (including IUDs) as abortion, saving federal funds for certain medical providers.

As senator, Clinton introduced the legislation to restore funding to the UN Population Fund. President Bush suspended funding for it, but as secretary of state Clinton helped lead the U.S. in overturning the Bush administration's policy.

In an unprecedented move as secretary of state, Clinton launched the federal Office of Global Women's Issues, which aims to integrate women as central partners in decisions about foreign policy.

Clinton started myriad global programs that help women and girls survive extreme hardship in rural areas, as well as enter fields such as business and public service.

https://www.plannedparenthoodaction...ton-and-bernie-sanders-compare-womens-health/

 

[Purkake4]

Quick reminder that Hillary is a conservative.

We're gonna need a bigger graph. Enhance.

 

[fantomena]

If my GoT theory is right, Hillary will lose in the end (might get killed by whoever is Tyrion), Bernie will win after loosing, O'Malley will kill Trump after Trump threatens to burn the White House, Carson will be beaten by Bernie and Santorum will be killed by Carson.

 

[Armaros]

If my GoT theory is right, Hillary will lose in the end, Bernie will win after loosing Martin will kill Trump after Trump threatens to burn the White House, Carson will be beaten by Bernie and Santorum will be killed by Trump.

So the Presidency will get invalidated and we get President Paul Ryan and the world lives happily ever after. :^)

 

[Bronx-Man]

I'm just here to see how many GOP candidates drop out after this week.

 

[Downhome]

Live coverage...

http://live.reuters.com/Event/Election_2016

Trump is on stage giving a giant check to a vets group, sweepstakes-style. Check is for 100k to Partners for Patriots. Trains service dogs

 

[Brinbe]

Hyped as hell! Finally some actual votes will be cast. First day down the road to Clinton V. Trump.

 

[Team Alucard]

Iowan here.

Davenport will feel the bern monday night.

Spoiler

or at least I will

 

[eBay Huckster]

Quick reminder that Hillary is a conservative.

quick reminder that the "political compass" hasn't updated any of its questions in more than a decade and is a festering pile of shit in general

 

[DeadlyParasite]

Even as a Canadian I can appreciate how important this election cycle is. Eager to see the results.

 

[fantomena]

So the Presidency will get invalidated and we get President Paul Ryan and the world lives happily ever after. :^)

No, Bernie will get stabbed by the DNC, but the polls will resurrect him. He will kill Carson in the battlefield, he must fix a pact between the estabilishment and the anti-estabilishment by marrying the most estabilshment person in USA.

 

[CoolOff]

I'm just here to see how many GOP candidates drop out after this week.

 

[Henry Jones Jr]

Looking forward to voting on Monday. Hope the result is good!

 

[zethren]

I'm just here to see how many GOP candidates drop out after this week.

The bottom half for sure, though I think Rand Paul and Bush could stick it out a little longer. If they all don't start dropping after Monday, it's only a matter of time.

 

[RoKKeR]

Cruz as Joffrey is perfect.

 

[maquiladora]

Yes! This should be fun.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

So the Presidency will get invalidated and we get President Paul Ryan and the world lives happily ever after. :^)

Ryan's Supreme Court justices will overturn child labor laws, but he'd still be much better than anyone from the GOP that's running (now that Pataki is out), lol.

 

[rjinaz]

Great work OP!

 

[enzo_gt]

Man I know the PoliticsGAF OTs are usually on point but this is superb.

 

[gutter_trash]

oh man, the quotes in the OP are gold

 

[TheLostBigBoss]

Bernie should have been Ed Stark

Also isn't their actually going to be a huge blizzard on monday?

 

[B-Dubs]

Bernie should have been Ed Stark

Also isn't their actually going to be a huge blizzard on monday?

Unless the weather report changed that's going to be Tuesday night. If it is on Monday now I'll need to add it to the OP.

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

No blizzard brahs, stop spreading establishment misinformation.

 

[dramatis]

Unless the weather report changed that's going to be Tuesday night. If it is on Monday now I'll need to add it to the OP.

National Weather Service says winter storm late Monday night to Tuesday morning as of this morning.

Probably subject to change.

 

[gutter_trash]

National Weather Service says winter storm late Monday night to Tuesday morning as of this morning.

Probably subject to change.

 

[ivysaur12]

Thank god we're finally starting this fucking election.

 

[TheLostBigBoss]

No blizzard brahs, stop spreading establishment misinformation.

the one weather report they don't want me to see?

 

[Murder. She Wrote]

Threads like these make me love this place. Hopefully Bernie wins

 

[Real Hero]

You Americans really drag this process out