QuickSilverD
Member
Recent annalist have predicted that Sony will ship 6 million units this year, that same analyst also predicted that PCVR headset (Oculus and Vive) would have sold half of that in the same year, or about 3 million units.
To my knowledge neither Valve nor Facebook have said how many actually headsets they have sold so we can only speculate and if we do it would seem that HTC Vive has sold about 100,000 units so far while Facebook is rumored to expect to sell about 400,000 units of the Oculus by year's end.
Assuming Facebook meets its rumored mark and HTC can double its sales during the holidays (getting to 200,000 Vives sold), then we could say that about 600,000 PCVR headsets were sold in 2016, if you do the math that is 5 times less than the analyst predicted and seeing how the buzz for VR seemed to have almost completely died down and these companies are not sharing sales figures, that VR or at least PCVR is doing poorly compared to what was expected.
Now if the same ratio of disappointment holds true for PSVR as well (selling 5 times less than analysts were predicting then it should sell about 1.2 million, but this were prediction made before the Playstation Pro was announced to be release this year. Now unlike most I don't think the Pro will cannibalism PSVR too badly, specially since it is coming a month after but I do think it will have a negative effect.
So in conclusion, I believe that by December 31st Sony will have shipped and sold to costumers about 1 million PSVR units, about half during the launch month and the rest during the holidays.
To my knowledge neither Valve nor Facebook have said how many actually headsets they have sold so we can only speculate and if we do it would seem that HTC Vive has sold about 100,000 units so far while Facebook is rumored to expect to sell about 400,000 units of the Oculus by year's end.
Assuming Facebook meets its rumored mark and HTC can double its sales during the holidays (getting to 200,000 Vives sold), then we could say that about 600,000 PCVR headsets were sold in 2016, if you do the math that is 5 times less than the analyst predicted and seeing how the buzz for VR seemed to have almost completely died down and these companies are not sharing sales figures, that VR or at least PCVR is doing poorly compared to what was expected.
Now if the same ratio of disappointment holds true for PSVR as well (selling 5 times less than analysts were predicting then it should sell about 1.2 million, but this were prediction made before the Playstation Pro was announced to be release this year. Now unlike most I don't think the Pro will cannibalism PSVR too badly, specially since it is coming a month after but I do think it will have a negative effect.
So in conclusion, I believe that by December 31st Sony will have shipped and sold to costumers about 1 million PSVR units, about half during the launch month and the rest during the holidays.
