What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Saturday, June 14th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
Important: I'm assuming that NPD release will be delayed until Monday, June 16 as it was last year when NPD release fell during E3 week. If NPD release is NOT delayed, then the prediction deadline will be moved up to Wednesday, June 11.
Edit:
Looks like it will be delayed until the Monday after E3, so the June 14th closing time would stand. Thanks, jvm!
NPD Coverage: May 4-31, 2014 (4 weeks, April was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Monday, June 16th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT) (See IMPORTANT note above)
Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in May:
Microsoft announced XB1 Kinect-less SKU for $400 to be released June 9 - May 13 (19 days)
Watch Dogs (PS4/XB1) - May 27 (5 days)
Mario Kart 8 (Wii U) and MK8 Wii U hardware bundle $330 - May 30 (2 days)
April's Results - thanks to Aquamarine and various angles
April 2013 NPD thread
May 2013 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Saturday, June 14th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
Important: I'm assuming that NPD release will be delayed until Monday, June 16 as it was last year when NPD release fell during E3 week. If NPD release is NOT delayed, then the prediction deadline will be moved up to Wednesday, June 11.
Edit:
Looks like it will be delayed until the Monday after E3, so the June 14th closing time would stand. Thanks, jvm!
Note: This is a quote from a note sent to me by an analyst for Stifel:
So, yes, release on Monday following E3.
NPD Coverage: May 4-31, 2014 (4 weeks, April was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Monday, June 16th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT) (See IMPORTANT note above)
Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[PS4] 300K [PS4] 300 thousand
[PS4] 300,000 [PS4] 300.000
[PS4] 300000 [PS4] - 300000
Potential hardware impacting events in May:
Microsoft announced XB1 Kinect-less SKU for $400 to be released June 9 - May 13 (19 days)
Watch Dogs (PS4/XB1) - May 27 (5 days)
Mario Kart 8 (Wii U) and MK8 Wii U hardware bundle $330 - May 30 (2 days)
April's Results - thanks to Aquamarine and various angles
[PS4] 199K
[XB1] 115K
[3DS] 106K
[360] 71K
[WIU] 48K
[PS3] 35K
April 2013 NPD thread
May 2013 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive