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March 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 14th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
BruceLeeRoy
Banned
Haha nice Welfare.
LowlySmokeGuy
Banned
I just checked out the most recent critic review on there. AusGamers quote:
8/10. Seems legit.
BlackBuzzard
Banned
Welfare and Chobel crow lets go!
FullMetaltech
Member
After 6:30pm the Thread should be up. Probably get PR before that.
anexanhume
Member
We'll need to wait for some delicious pie, though for BB numbers.
Sangetsu-II
Member
Delicious Pie indeed, I think everyone just wants BB numbers, screw console numbers xD
I believe Steamspy collects much more data for numbers than Superdata.
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
3 hours and 54 minutes to NPD as of this post
Well not really, especially as steamspy covers just steam sales and uses one data source.
SuperData have a lot more data points that they obtain and analyse.
Just to clarify though, I'm not saying that makes them more accurate. At the end of the da it's still a rough estimate.
theprodigy
Member
Wait, why are people expecting Bloodborne to have anywhere near a 50/50 split between US and "Europe" (aka rest of the world outside Japan) when the install base is stacked in the latter's favor?
'cause Mmurica fuck yeah.
Yeah, BB has higher chances of quite higher sales in Europe than in US
Their goal is cover Steam sales only and apparently they do that very well using Steam Web API
I don't think Superdata has tools to estimate digital sales on console with the same level of accuracy.
EmptySpace
Banned
oh shoot it is npd day today.
interested in ff type-0, hardline and bloodborne sales.
interested in ff type-0, hardline and bloodborne sales.
slavesnyder
Member
Slowly the audience is filling the theatre. I love NPD-day.
Your point was that steamspy collects more data/numbers. But actually SuperData cover a wider market and say they collect more.
As to whether either are accurate is up for debate. But they both use hard data in most of their calculations.
Que?
FunkyPajamas
Member
ZhugeEX pls
Late prediction. It's a tradition of mine. I never really participate in the actual predictions until after it closes.
The main reason being that I don't care for anything other than PS4 and One. Its why you never see me in the rankings that donny does.
edit: geez guys I always do this. Come on, I don't have access to NPD!
NPD results are not released to subscribers for another ~12 minutes. (~_^)
Welfare
Member
Only 2 days late!
FunkyPajamas
Member
privitsan02
Member
Pretty much how it will be. No way Bloodborne will be topping the charts.
The amazon hourly charts is my guide....
*shrugs* Someone predicted for just PS4 and XB1 this time around. Just marked them down as predicting 0 for Wii U and 3DS. That could've been you!
I figured, it just seemed very coy with no comments attached
Fair enough. I did the same thing in the December and January thread and no one said anything. Maybe I may have mentioned it was a prediction. Can't remember tbh.
Na it's cool.
Sangetsu-II
Member
Fixed
Can't fix what is ultimately broken, but nice try though lol
slavesnyder
Member
Okay, if first place is at least equal, second is exclusive to PS4 and third heavy on PS4 - this should also mean a huge majority of total software sales for PS4 this month.
... but have you seen Tomb Raider!
Pathfinder
Member
I think people are too distracted with the new Star Wars teaser.
FunkyPajamas
Member
Consumed by Star Wars trailer, AoU teasers, Battlefront thread, BvS teaser of a teaser, etc.
Dsyndrome
Member
Hype Hype Hype.
Most folks are expecting the outcome mentioned above (PS4 wins, HL, BB, Type0 respectively); also, just not the same without Aqua
.
Welfare
Member
Hype doesn't start until the MS spin happens.
slavesnyder
Member
Last chance for Microsoft to win this gen. Huge, I mean HUGE marketing deal with EA, including exclusive DLC on Star Wars.
Come on, Phil, you can do that.
lightning2k3
Member
Rumor has it that Battlefront is going to Sony, since MS is sticking with COD.
Scully Scully Scoo
Member
sony is making the right moves in terms of marketing this gen, star wars is a HUGE grab that game is gona sell shit loads
Welfare
Member
Microsoft grabbed Tomb Raider marketing from Square Enix while Sony grabbed Star Wars marketing from EA.
Backwards ass gen.
slavesnyder
Member
SDCowboy
Member
I wonder if there will be a SW edition PS4.
Let's see who'll grab Assassins Creed Victory marketing. With how both line-ups are shaping up, I can see Ubisoft leaning towards Sony and vice versa this year.
I'll be surprised if there won't be, I mean that's like a gargantuan opportunity to sell a few consoles for Sony, with the hype around TFA and all.
Beside the twitter pic (which may or may not be official), MS has a big partnership with Activision and COD in November (traditionally COD releases within the first 2 weeks afaik?).
Battlefront releases on November 17th, and Halo 5 on October 27th.
You really think that MS (but particularly EA) has any interest in having a marketing deal with the 3rd FPS competitor in the same 3-4 week window, when Sony would give it a full push for the whole month?
Not that it's any guarantee at all, but beside the rumors, it also makes the most sense tbh, given that the (likely) calendar might look like:
Oct. 27th: Halo 5 (MS)
Nov. 3rd or 10th: COD Black Opps III (MS)
Nov 17th: Battlefront (Sony?)
Somewhere in that month we'll probably also see Rise of the Tomb Raider (MS) and the new Ass Creed (Sony?).