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November 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes December 8th

Bruno MB

Member
There is only 23 minutes left, this means it its time to edit our predictions for the last time.

I still have Xbox One over PlayStation 4 and I don't know what to do :p
 

Bgamer90

Banned
[PS4] 1260K
[XB1] 1125K
[WIU] 280K
[3DS] 435K

I think it's going to be close (well, "close" for November) but it seems like the PS4 took the month.

Edit: Seems like some don't remember how the Wii U did last year. ;P
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
[PS4] 1260K
[XB1] 1125K
[WIU] 280K
[3DS] 435K

I think it's going to be close (well, "close" for November) but it seems like the PS4 took the month.

Edit: Seems like some don't remember how the Wii U did last year. ;P

Bro, me and Welfare posted the numbers in the first page... Anyway, Wii U sold 242,000 last year. 220,000 in 2013.
 

Sterok

Member
How well to toys to life games sell anyway? I don't remember hearing the numbers for those. DI and Skylanders obviously sell pretty well, but is Star Wars holiday fever enough to push the several months old DI up to >600K? Well, it's certainly not unbelievable.

Assuming the baseline for charting software this month is 600K and Minecraft is flat YOY, would that really put it in range to chart? I'd certainly believe it, and I can't think of much else that could beat it, but that would still be extremely impressive.

Hm, if Battlefront really did underperform, I wander if there's a chance that one of the sports titles beat it. Unlikely, but we've been surprised before.
 
Assuming the baseline for charting software this month is 600K and Minecraft is flat YOY, would that really put it in range to chart? I'd certainly believe it, and I can't think of much else that could beat it, but that would still be extremely impressive.

Infinity 3.0 and SuperChargers were both running at $35 or so for Black Friday, certainly an attractive enough price point to get in the range.

I'm super interested in seeing if this happens.
 

Bruno MB

Member
Alea iacta est!

I refined my numbers a bit (lowered Nintendo Wii U and 3DS) but I kept my bet on Xbox One winning the month.

I know it is quite unlikely, but that's the only way for the 10 extra points for correct order to be useful to me if I want to climb the ranks. I'm too far away from top 10 and there is only 2 predictions left.
 

freefornow

Gold Member
I hope it's not too late. Follow the format in the OP, lose the ":"

Well, the way I'm going with posting and editing my predictions and still not getting the format right after all this time and having errors kindly pointed out to me, then I dont deserve to participate in these prediction threads anymore:(

Too late to edit out the ":"

Rules are rules, and it's my stuff up.
 
October had all the Halo talk with it's numbers a week after launch and the PR associated with that.

November hasn't really had much outside of MS PR.

Yeah, it also ended up being a Black Friday deals talk as well. I mean, we were posting Black Friday deals/ads and everything in it.
 

Welfare

Member
Did last November cover those days ? If so I can see the numbers being down
NPD tracks months in a 4 or 5 week period starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday. Last year, November did not have the 1st (was in October's tracking) or the 30th (December), so the same amount of days were tracked for this year and last year (28).
 

RexNovis

Banned
Aight here are my SW predictions

  1. Call of Duty: Black OPS III (XB1, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
  2. Fallout 4 (PS4, XB1, PC)
  3. Star Wars: Battlefront (PS4, XB1, PC)
  4. Madden 16 (PS4, XB1, 360, PS3)
  5. NBA 2K (PS4, XB1, 360, PS3)
  6. FIFA 16 (PS4, 360, XB1, PS3)
  7. Disney Infinity 3.0 (360, WiiU, XB1, PS3, Wii, PS4, 3DS)
  8. Minecraft (360, XB1, PS4, PS3)
  9. Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, XB1, 360, PS3)
  10. Assassin's Creed Syndicate (PS4, XB1, PC)

I think Halo could possibly bump Assassin's Creed out of the top 10. Destiny could also be a potential contender given the holiday discounting it saw.
 
NPD tracks months in a 4 or 5 week period starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday. Last year, November did not have the 1st (was in October's tracking) or the 30th (December), so the same amount of days were tracked for this year and last year (28).
I think the point was they missed Sun-Mon of the Big Weekend this year, but it looks like the same happened last year, and I suspect that's always the case.
 

Welfare

Member
I think the point was they missed Sun-Mon of the Big Weekend this year, but it looks like the same happened last year, and I suspect that's always the case.

Yes it has always been like that when Black Friday is in the final week of November, which started happening consistently after 2008.
 
Hey, so does anyone have any projections on sales for Purple Tuesday this year?

95794-Day_Of_The_Tentacle_(CD_Dos)-3.jpg
 
Funny thing is I fully expect Sony to say something like "due to overwhelming demand, we are extending the promotion to Dec 31st" (or at least the 26th), if only to take advantage of the gift card purchases.

That would be mean.

Yes it has always been like that when Black Friday is in the final week of November, which started happening consistently after 2008.

And it's consistently on Fridays, too.
 
Then we really have black friday through december. Matching 299 might not bring a lead for Xbox, but it will soften the spanking.

Funny some people believed that MS would not match and sticked to the "we are not interested in sales but go for profitability" spencerism.

The gap in NA isn't big enough for such thoughts.

Also, too early to predict for December, depends on how November is, one more day until that. Also I wonder if MS will keep the price because while I see sony going back up, I don't think MS is found of raising the price two times in a row in the same holiday season after last years experience.
 

RexNovis

Banned
I didn't say numbers I was talking about chart rankings on websites.

.... How many times do we need to say the same damn thing? Look at my tag ye fools and despair. Then kindly cease and desist all reference to SW charts as a valid it meaningful metric for sales in any way.
 
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