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Intel: future CPUs to be slower but more efficient

LilJoka

Member
The real problem is that there's literally zero competition on the desktop CPU market. I just checked and an i7 6700k is 375€ at my Amazon branch. The 5820k is 409€. Yikes!. And it isn't much better with graphic cards, Nvidia can charge as much as they want and they do it,a 970 is 350€

At this rate building a decent rig will be prohibitively expensive again as it was in 2000.

6700k price is inflated due to lack of stock, and possibly lack of demand too. Retailers feel they need to cash in fast, otherwise a new CPU will be released and itll be gameover for the Motherboard sales too.
 

Celcius

°Temp. member
In the future people may not upgrade when their cpu/mobo is obsolete but instead when it simply dies. Looks like we're going to find out what hardware company's hardware lasts a long time and who's doesn't.
2600k @ 4.6ghz + asus p8z68v pro gen3 still going strong here since 2011
 

LilJoka

Member
This is nothing new.. Intel started this process years ago. They haven't be been able to double chip speed year over year in over 10 years.

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/400710/the-end-of-moores-law/

And look at TDP?
Its TDP vs IPC, not just IPC.
i7 920 was 130W CPU, i7 2600K was 95W, that 26% drop in TDP and easily 10% increase in IPC. Imagine if the TDP was nearly the same? Compare a 2600K at 130W (maybe 4.3Ghz) to a stock i7 920, it will obliterate it.

Oh and dont forget, the 2600K has the TDP of an IGP included.
 

longdi

Banned
I dont know, but the overclocking of Intel past 4 generations of CPU are shitty where none can run at 5Ghz comfortably.

I think If Intel can fix their shitty <5Ghz clock wall, and add in more cores instead of iGPU, we still can get some powerful CPU.
 
Isn't this a bit of a spanner in the works for VR? Luckey's basically banking on the CPU's and GPU's getting stronger and cheaper over time. Now it seems stronger isn't going to happen with CPU's until someone can put Intel in a spot they're not confident in.
 

Dambrosi

Banned
I got a new PC with an i5-4690K last year, upgrading from a Phenom-II quad-core rig (which I still have). It seems like I'll have it for a long, long time, so I better look into overclocking it.

I haven't got any cooling solutions though.
 
Really wish I would have gone with an i7 over that i5 all those years ago. Then I wouldn't even consider upgrading until there was some huge leap.

I know what you mean, all that talk about i5 being be all and end all for gaming, luckily for me my psu went, shipped the PC back to the store and the courier smashed the whole PC up, so got a new PC and decided I should go for a 3770K.
 

Thoraxes

Member
5820K is one of the best deals going. Not that expensive, 6 cores, overclocks OK. Can do 3-way SLI on right motherboard. Can't beat that.
Bought mine on launch day @ $300.

Best upgrade I made, especially considering my old rig had a Phenom II X4 975 and I was on DDR2 RAM still lol.
 

Cybit

FGC Waterboy
...the fact they're even talking about quantum is insanity. If they ever make that a reality...holy crap. There aren't modern equivalents to what a fully function quantum processor is capable of doing.
 
From a business perspective, mobile devices continue to be more of a thing so efficiency is going to be much more important than speed. Meanwhile, on the desktop side, there's not much that consumers- even enthusiast ones like hardcore gamers- need more CPU power for than what we can already get. And if you are in a use case where you need shitloads of CPU power, whatever program you're running is probably already built to split its workload across multiple cores/processors/boxes, so if you can't scale up by getting more CPUs you can scale up by getting more powerful CPUs.

So yeah, while the main driving force here is basic laws of physics, it does work out well for them business-wise.
 

TSM

Member
The real problem is that there's literally zero competition on the desktop CPU market. I just checked and an i7 6700k is 375€ at my Amazon branch. The 5820k is 409€. Yikes!. And it isn't much better with graphic cards, Nvidia can charge as much as they want and they do it,a 970 is 350€

At this rate building a decent rig will be prohibitively expensive again as it was in 2000.

The fact that AMD hasn't been able to close the gap while Intel has been spinning it's wheels show how little low hanging fruit is left. Until a new paradigm arrives not much is likely to change.
 

clo1_2000

Banned
So you know about overclocking but you don't know how to assess CPU performance in today's games.

Or is this just stealth brag? :p

Not too hard with OC genie. I know enough to check the parts thread here and built my PC, but no, I basically just upgrade every 3-4 years and don't know shit about benchmarks.
 
I have to retire my 2500k..
MotherBoard won't let me have more than 8gb(Tried several sticks of memory) getting the same result everytime.

I need at least 16 gb of ram to properly run UE4 SDK these days.
 
Isn't this a bit of a spanner in the works for VR? Luckey's basically banking on the CPU's and GPU's getting stronger and cheaper over time. Now it seems stronger isn't going to happen with CPU's until someone can put Intel in a spot they're not confident in.
The flip side is that anyone with a minimum spec Oculus ready system can probably look forwards to a good number of years of support.
 
I have to retire my 2500k..
MotherBoard won't let me have more than 8gb(Tried several sticks of memory) getting the same result everytime.

I need at least 16 gb of ram to properly run UE4 SDK these days.

Just reminded me. Does the 2500K run on motherboards that have a max RAM capacity of 8GB? That is a tiny amount these days and will be another bottleneck soon enough.
 

Celcius

°Temp. member
Just reminded me. Does the 2500K run on motherboards that have a max RAM capacity of 8GB? That is a tiny amount these days and will be another bottleneck soon enough.

Nope, the p67 and z68 chipsets support 16gb just fine. I'm running 16gb with my 2600k.
 
...the fact they're even talking about quantum is insanity. If they ever make that a reality...holy crap. There aren't modern equivalents to what a fully function quantum processor is capable of doing.

My understanding may easily be wrong, but isn't that little more than a pipe dream with barely any ground gained still? Not that it won't happen but sort of a graphene situation minus the breakthroughs? Aka coming 10-20 years down the line if we're lucky.
 

Lebon14

Member
It sounds like some are misinterpreting Intel's statement as an indication that computer speed will not improve. My interpretation is that conventional processor technology has reached its peak. So Intel has to go back to the drawing board to explore fundamentally new technologies that will take a while to catch up to the old ones, but will eventually surpass them. Moore is just taking a break until they mature.

That's my way of seeing things too!

My i7 920 is going to set some kind of record!

8 years and counting..

Using an i7 950 here. But it's not overclocked and only "overclock" by using its own Boost function.
 

arevin01

Member
lol when you have no competition, you can afford to not invest the money to create more efficient CPU and at the same time better performance
 

Regiruler

Member
Not surprising.

Improved multitasking algorithms to compensate maybe? Although as far as I know, game logic is difficult to pipeline.
 

Burai

shitonmychest57
lol when you have no competition, you can afford to not invest the money to create more efficient CPU and at the same time better performance

They have plenty of competition. Just not from AMD.

It's only a matter of time before ARM ends up in a MacBook or a Surface.
 

RiverBed

Banned
Really? a 1TB 7200RPM cost about £40 and 1TB SSD is about £260. I don't see them dropping ~£200 this year.

Yes, I know. I read a compelling article talking about how SSD reached size parity with HDD and the next step is price. I should have elaborated that it isn't overall, but price per MB is in some examples very close to HDD prices. So it depends on the size of the HDD. I don't expect the average PC will have SSD by the end of this year (but many laptops do/will), but for some SSD offers, they can be just slightly more expensive. The very large SSDs are still way over priced, but at least we are seeing the horizon.

I also really want that to happen. Man, imagine the inevitable death of HDD and them being replaced with SSDs and other solid state solutions. :)
 
Everybody read the above, as it's the most important sentence that will be formed in this thread.

Until the next Einstein comes along to either resolve the Heat Problem or dramatically decrease the price of modern computer components (which will happen naturally... over decades' worth of time), there really is nothing that Intel or anyone can do to significantly push processor speeds beyond top-top end hardware. --Well, not without things literally erupting in flame.

By the way, if any of you do have any solutions to micro and nanoscopic heat management beyond "make it bigger" (that's not a solution), then you're the richest man on Earth walking and you should go patent that shit right now. And no, an ice cube on the CPU will not help.

I thought the solution was either graphene or diamond wafers? They're just expensive at the moment.
 

Theonik

Member
Gaming PCs are crazy environmentally unfriendly as it is. It shouldn't come as a surprise if governments around the world eventually limit the maximum power consumption of CPUs and GPUs. As our resources are dwindling, they have started to impose similar restrictions for all sorts of devices already.
Do you have any idea how much energy a PC consumes vs any of those other home appliances? We are taking orders of magnitude here and significantly lower efficiencies. If PCs were anywhere near as bad not only would they already be legislated upon they just would flat out not work.

Doesn't that kind of depend where you get your electricity from?
We get electricity from a renewable source, so I don't really see how a gaming PC for me would be environmentally unfriendly.
There is that as well though, I would argue that building more renewable plants to accommodate for increased power load is inherently environmentally unfriendly and overall we need to lower our energy consumption as well as switch to more sustainable energy.

Moore's Law is about transistor density and cost, it does not govern how those transistors are used in processor design (performance vs. power).
Transistor quantity actually, which does translate to density but not always in the sense that often Intel just made the die slightly larger.

I dont know, but the overclocking of Intel past 4 generations of CPU are shitty where none can run at 5Ghz comfortably.

I think If Intel can fix their shitty <5Ghz clock wall, and add in more cores instead of iGPU, we still can get some powerful CPU.
That's what Intel's enthusiast platform basically is. No iGPU, more cores and better TIM. Intel expects you to pay through the nose for them though, because AMD is not really competitive at the moment and to avoid cannibalizing Xeon sales.
Mind that the other two disadvantages you get there is a) You are stuck one generation behind mainstream so miss out on some IPC improvements and some newer tech on occasion and b) As processor nodes get smaller, even with better TIM the voltage tolerances and thermal densities also increase which make higher OC harder.
 
My i7 920 is going to set some kind of record!

8 years and counting..

Me too dog! Forever and ever.

i920 is still king for me.

Awww yiss, going 7 years strong.

Yep, 7yrs here too. Massively overclocked to 4.2GHz most of the time too. Basically.. until it 'goes/dies', I probably won't be upgrading. :S

Hell yea, almost 7 years for me too.

Though all this talk has got me thinking of upgrading my system, though perhaps I should just slap a couple extra sticks of ram and a new gpu instead. Still rocking my gtx 285 I got when I built my i7 920 system.
 

Kieli

Member
lol when you have no competition, you can afford to not invest the money to create more efficient CPU and at the same time better performance

Even if there was competition, it isn't like gamers are some super large cash source (even if, per product, they pay a nice premium).

Mobile with low TDP and high efficiency is where the moolah is, my friend.
 

Servbot24

Banned
If we need to take a brief step back to get efficiency right before moving forward with performance again, that is worth it IMO.

They don't have to innovative, they have a monopoly.

Innovation is what they're doing, what you want them to do is stay the course.
 

etta

my hard graphic balls
I dont understand those posts. Are You not playing demanding games on Your PC, because 2500k is already showing its age in games.
8 threads are a minimum for high performance gaming right now. I could understand 2600k@4.6, but 2500k is getting really old.

Are you perhaps assuming that I want to run the latest games at the highest settings?
I'm playing R6S on mostly High, some Very High just fine at 1080p/60 with a 2500K/680.
 
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