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March 2016 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 12th

No matter what UC4 does, Naughty Dog can't say shit about the games advertising budget. The game is near enough a month away and I see adverts every 5 minutes, that's a push and a half.
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
I will be bold here.

Less than 2 million.

Well Destiny sold almost 3 million in the launch month, and we know worldwide The Division did better first week... and looks like it showed better legs too in countries like UK and Japan.

The only problem are digital sales which are pretty big. :-/
 

sense

Member
yea i am thinking less than 2 million for division as well considering digital plays a bigger role nowadays especially with a game like this, maybe the xb1 bundles might put it over but i am thinking less than 2 million
 

allan-bh

Member
Well Destiny sold almost 3 million in the launch month, and we know worldwide The Division did better first week... and looks like it showed better legs too in countries like UK and Japan.

The only problem are digital sales which are pretty big. :-/

Judging by UK I can't see The Division selling more than 2 million on NPD.
 

CoG

Member
I've not looked at Amazon in a long time but it appears there's not an Xbox One in the hourly top 100, despite the "temporary price reduction."

For March, PS4 was #22 and Xbox down at #63.
 

Ricky_R

Member
Anyone remember this?

ejeytJ6.png

Uncharted being outsold by Halo shouldn't be a big deal...but the opposite? Hooo boy~

:D

Greenberg's ego took the biggest hit this gen.
 

allan-bh

Member
It's at 430,000 in UK in March. For sell 2 million in March NPD need to sell 4.65 times better.

I think is likely. This game is very attractive for the US market.

It's doing worse than Watch Dogs in UK.

Even with US being more favourable for The Division, 2 million+ seems too high.
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
It's doing worse than Watch Dogs in UK.

Even with US being more favourable for The Division, 2 million+ seems too high.

It's a good news that is doing worse than Watch Dogs in UK. This mean it has more marketshare in the rest of world. Remember, worldwide, The Division > Watch Dogs is a fact.

Watch Dogs in UK also sold only -7% less than Destiny first week, while first month it sold -38% less than Destiny in USA. ( or even less, since we talk about 4weeks of Destiny VS 6weeks of The Division)

Anyway we will see soon. :O
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Soo, we're less than 2 hours before the numbers are officially released. IIRC, this means NPD subscribers should have the sales data right now.
 

Theorry

Member
Xbox Wire is posting this.

Last week, on April 5, 2016, we were proud to announce that Quantum Break had launched worldwide to critical acclaim. Today, we are excited to share that Quantum Break was the #1 best-selling Xbox game around the world last week, and is now officially the biggest-selling new Microsoft Studios published IP this generation. In addition, last week Quantum Break was the #1 most played new game on Xbox, worldwide.

http://news.xbox.com/2016/04/14/39364/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Hmmm... why did they go from "best-selling" to "biggest-selling". That is not a term change that is meaningless. They're choosing those particular words for reasons.

Maybe it's the one that generated the most revenue due to digital sales? Just guessing randomly here.
 

joecanada

Member
When their competition for that title is Ryse and Sunset Overdrive, it fucking better be.

lol I always like to check out the reviews that they "choose to use" for these articles or boxcovers like GOTY covers... obviously I recognize most of these but it's never a set list of big reviewers for obvious reasons.....
 
Maybe it's the one that generated the most revenue due to digital sales? Just guessing randomly here.

I could see that. But still the competition is literally SO and RYSE. That is not lofty competition for a game launching with next to no competition and being promoted for 3 years.
 
Imo i think it did pretty good as a digital game. Not beating disc offcourse but better then usual because of the bonusses.

Would agree with that... but best-selling to biggest-selling?

So best-selling last week... sounds like total units sold last week (who knows if they included the Windows 10 code activations in that mix?)

Biggest-selling published IP this gen... is there some low price MS Studio game that was published this gen, where units could have been really high with low average selling price? And that QB may have sold fewer units but generated more revenues because of the higher price? All I can think of on this one. =/
 

Chobel

Member
In addition, last week Quantum Break was the #1 most played new game on Xbox, worldwide.

This tells us almost nothing, no? I mean how many new games released last week on XBO?
 

Welfare

Member
Would agree with that... but best-selling to biggest-selling?

So best-selling last week... sounds like total units sold last week (who knows if they included the Windows 10 code activations in that mix?)

Biggest-selling published IP this gen... is there some low price MS Studio game that was published this gen, where units could have been really high with low average selling price? And that QB may have sold fewer units but generated more revenues because of the higher price? All I can think of on this one. =/

Ori is MS published and sold for $20, but I don't know if that would count.
 

blakep267

Member
Would agree with that... but best-selling to biggest-selling?

So best-selling last week... sounds like total units sold last week (who knows if they included the Windows 10 code activations in that mix?)

Biggest-selling published IP this gen... is there some low price MS Studio game that was published this gen, where units could have been really high with low average selling price? And that QB may have sold fewer units but generated more revenues because of the higher price? All I can think of on this one. =/
Maybe Ori. It was $20 and seems to fit what your saying

But I've heard people say that Ryse sold really well at launch so I'm suprised to see QB sell more
 

Chris1

Member
Would agree with that... but best-selling to biggest-selling?

So best-selling last week... sounds like total units sold last week (who knows if they included the Windows 10 code activations in that mix?)

Biggest-selling published IP this gen... is there some low price MS Studio game that was published this gen, where units could have been really high with low average selling price? And that QB may have sold fewer units but generated more revenues because of the higher price? All I can think of on this one. =/

Ori? It has 600k owners on steam alone
 

Boke1879

Member
I mean the fact they are talking about QB just shows they have nothing positive to say about March. Now I'm interested to see how it all played out.

Maybe Division sold more on PS4 as a result.
 
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