Moor-Angol
Banned
if 733 units sold a week are "quite consistent sales" I would say that XBO sales are consistent...
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if 733 units sold a week are "quite consistent sales" I would say that XBO sales are consistent...
Moor-Angol
Banned
so in 10 days Splatoon 2 would have almost a 1:1 tie ratio ?
I suggest you should revise your prediction if you wanna get a chance to win
so in 10 days Splatoon 2 would have almost a 1:1 tie ratio ?
I suggest you should revise your prediction if you wanna get a chance to win
Switch is at 950k right now. Next week plus the week after that (both outside the prediction month) will add about 100k imo, so we're at 1050k. Then, adding the 355k I predict for the month of July puts it at 1405k. Splatoon selling 1050k would mean approximately a 75% attach ratio. That's high, but it is possible for Splatoon 2 imo.
Edit: By the way, ARMS just took the first spot in the amazon Japan daily sales ranking (and holding on to the third place as well), beating out DQXI for the moment. Seems like healthy day -1 sales from what little I can discern.
They both show consistency of sales, neither show consistent success though.
Sammy Samusu
Member
It's not like the game is suddenly stop to sell, given how it's trending, though (and with limited hardware sales due to shortages).
You're right, I should've included that. I have Nintendo tunnel vision.
Didn't say much last time people tried to predict when a new Direct would air based on the NCL page, but...
That "empty space" isn't one, and doesn't mean anything.
This is the page on May 19th: https://web.archive.org/web/2017051...tendo.co.jp/corporate/direct_links/index.html
Notice how there's exactly 12 links?
Well, what happens if you add the Pokémon Direct... yup, you get 13 links, with one "empty space". They didn't add one, it's just a result of them adding the Pokémon Direct. They're not trying to keep a round number of links on the page, so I'm not sure why everyone is taking those "spaces" as a sign a new Direct is coming.
That being said, I agree that a Splatoon 2 Direct is most definitely coming, but it's got nothing to do with blank spaces.
That "empty space" isn't one, and doesn't mean anything.
This is the page on May 19th: https://web.archive.org/web/2017051...tendo.co.jp/corporate/direct_links/index.html
Notice how there's exactly 12 links?
Well, what happens if you add the Pokémon Direct... yup, you get 13 links, with one "empty space". They didn't add one, it's just a result of them adding the Pokémon Direct. They're not trying to keep a round number of links on the page, so I'm not sure why everyone is taking those "spaces" as a sign a new Direct is coming.
That being said, I agree that a Splatoon 2 Direct is most definitely coming, but it's got nothing to do with blank spaces.
Better with increased shipments for first weeks.
Skullwaker
Member
Does anyone have an update for BotW vs TP? It has to be very close by now.
Skullwaker
Member
I meant physical sales. Of course shipped+digital will be over TP by now.
That being said, I wonder what the next game to pass is. I wanna say Spirit Tracks.
.Peléo;232976738 said:Japan only is something close to this:
Legend of Zelda 1.7m
Adventures of Link 1.6m
A Link to the Past 1.2m
Ocarina of Time 1.5m
Majora's Mask 730k
Wind Waker 900k
Twilight Princess 600k
Skyward Sword 400k
Skullwaker
Member
Legend of Zelda 1.7m
Adventures of Link 1.6m
A Link to the Past 1.2m
Ocarina of Time 1.5m
Majora's Mask 730k
Wind Waker 900k
Twilight Princess 600k
Skyward Sword 400k
Credits to Peléo for the image
Thanks!
I definitely thought TP was more in the 650k range, but that's really impressive that BotW has already surpassed it in a matter of 3 months. Next up is Majora's Mask.
She certainly inherited the capability of gauging coming gaming trends from the MC threads here. ;o)
I'm not expecting a whole lot from there either.
I see:
Last Mario trailer
ARMS DLC
Zelda DLC trailer/gameplay
Maybe Splatoon DLC
Release date FE W
Release date & Trailer for Xeno (unless it gets its own direct)
Release month & Trailer for whatever comes first between Kirby and Yoshi
In terms of new announcements, I can only really see AC and 1-2 third party game, and AA game. Maybe LM3. I don't think we'll see Metroid Prime
I thought Retro would be at E3 so now I have no idea what their announcement sched is like.
It'd be great to get a lot of big announcements though
Graphics Horse
Member
Yagami_Sama
Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017
Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 377.754
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 204.108
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 102.456
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 12.354
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 27.532
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 124.543
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 727.362
Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 377.754
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 204.108
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 102.456
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 12.354
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 27.532
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 124.543
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 727.362
thestopsign
Member
I could see Nintendo doing a September Direct to fill out the fall and maybe January. Then one in December/early January to fill out the Spring and tease something for the rest of the year. My predictions for now are:
October: Mario
November/December: Taiko/Dragon Quest XI/Minecraft/Xenoblade 2
Q1: Either Yoshi or Kirby, Tales of, one unannounced smaller game
Q2: Animal Crossing or Smash Bros, remaining Yoshi/Kirby game, one unannounced smaller game
I also expect Yokai Watch 4 (July 2018), Inazuma Eleven (H1 2018), Project Sphear (H1 2018), Project Octopath Traveller (H1 2018), and Fire Emblem Switch (H2 2018).
October: Mario
November/December: Taiko/Dragon Quest XI/Minecraft/Xenoblade 2
Q1: Either Yoshi or Kirby, Tales of, one unannounced smaller game
Q2: Animal Crossing or Smash Bros, remaining Yoshi/Kirby game, one unannounced smaller game
I also expect Yokai Watch 4 (July 2018), Inazuma Eleven (H1 2018), Project Sphear (H1 2018), Project Octopath Traveller (H1 2018), and Fire Emblem Switch (H2 2018).
Maybe Fire Emblem.
DecoReturns
Member
Hyrule Warriors had its own Direct, so maybe FE.
Don't think Mario needs one, but Xeno 2 is a maybe
Some reading material from Siliconera on a potential sub from MHW in Japan (check the update at the bottom): http://www.siliconera.com/2017/06/15/monster-hunter-world-might-come-subscription-fees-least-japan/
So this would be on top of PS+? Seems unlikely now that all the big three charge for online (or will charge).
That would be the most Capcom thing to do. I don't think it's going to happen because subscription for non MMOs is such an outdated concept but the fact that they refuse to deny it outright is hilarious.
It's almost like they are trying to kill multiplayer. Strange, but that's capcom for you.
What makes that unlikely? None of the big three share the online fee with 3rd parties.
Always thought online fees are hilarious for this very reason, publishers should want more players to play their games. A fee only helps drying up the communities faster.
AcademicSaucer
Member
Arms seems to be selling well on Amazon, hopefully it sells 80k atleast
Gotdatmoney
Member
Lmao. Capcom. And here I thought 1 million was possible.
Because of that very reason - not seen a sub fee for non MMO games recently. Especially since MHW would have no local multiplayer, forcing people to pay PS+ fees plus MHW subs seem like a surefire way to tank their sales.
So does putting it on the PS4, so I guess they will decide to have a subscription.
Makes sense. The PS2 games had a subscription fee IIRC.
You already have to pay to play online on PS4, a fee on top of that is nonsense.
At least for Dragon Quest X it makes sense.
Xbox One X will be released in Japan after all, Spencer had an interview with Famitsu, he considers Japan "an important market" and says they're "not giving up on it"
He does mention that its not coming out on November 7, but that there are plans on releasing it.
At least for Dragon Quest X it makes sense.
Xbox One X will be released in Japan after all, Spencer had an interview with Famitsu, he considers Japan "an important market" and says they're "not giving up on it"
He does mention that its not coming out on November 7, but that there are plans on releasing it.
Jarod McChicken
Member
Did you guys read the update at the end of the story ? Siliconera jumped the gun, there is obviously no fee. I would definitely bet MHW will introduce more paid content than previous entries though.
The Last One
Member
Ōkami;240912619 said:
I think that plus isn't required to play DQ X.
Yeah. I expect heavy monetization
Just to be clear, I'm including the platform holders in my criticism. Now that even Nintendo will jump on the inane "pay to use online you already paid for" bandwagon I'm just glad Switch being portable makes it easier to organize local multiplayer anywhere.
ugh,really
Eolz
Member
I think MH World will be close to SFV in terms of monetization.
But nah, no subscription.
I think that Xeno2 will get many videos like XCX got to detail its systems. Could get a mini direct in that regard.
But nah, no subscription.
I think that Xeno2 will get many videos like XCX got to detail its systems. Could get a mini direct in that regard.
OfficerRaichu15
Member
This may seem way to far away but how much of a chance will Mario O and Xenoblade Chronicles 2 open ahead of their Wii U predecessors and by how much?
I'm thinking 220k Mario
115k Xenoblade Chronicles 2
I'm thinking 220k Mario
115k Xenoblade Chronicles 2
The PS2 and Wii games all had subscriptions for online (1, G, Dos and Tri) . Only the 3DS games didn't, plus the PS3, Wii U and Switch remasters.
whyamihere
Banned
I think it's very very very likely that both do better than their WiiU counterparts.
XBO would kill for a consistent 733 units sold a week...
And in the end the Switch port of DQ Heroes I II will likely outsell the LTD of the XBO
Amazon pre-announced they were selling Switch + Arms bundles that went on sale at 10pm JP time last night. The order page went down 2 minutes prior to commence time due to high traffic, and errors lasted for over an hour. When the website came back online it was already sold out.
Seen lots of reports of twitter this morning of people walking in to retail stores and being able to buy Switch's. Hopefully this bodes well for Switch stock for this week.
Seen lots of reports of twitter this morning of people walking in to retail stores and being able to buy Switch's. Hopefully this bodes well for Switch stock for this week.
Lots of reports sounds like good news.