• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

UK PoliGAF |OT3| - Strong and Stable Government? No. Coalition Of Chaos!

Status
Not open for further replies.

Theonik

Member
The Tories really are massively lacking anything even remotely positive for young people. And I don't really even mean students but basically anyone under 40. My (general) support for them hinges on my (general) support for free market over government intervention, but honestly if Labour had a leader that didn't cum at the thought of the British Rail logo I'd be right on the edge and I'm *me*.
Free markets literally brought you slavery and government intervention took it away. Things are not always so simple and in earnest most people don't support the 'free' market as much as they think they do. You are better off thinking about individual policy.
 
Without ideologically aligned younger voters, the Conservative party will atrophy, as the older right-wing voters die, leaving left/centre voters in the hands of Labour and LibDems. It's fine saying there'll be more older voters in the future, but a Labour voter isn't suddenly going to move into being a Conservative voter when they hit 65. Or at least, not a Corbyn Labour voter - it would be a major shift in political/moral alignment that can't just be waved-away by saying "Oh, they'll be more protective of their pension when they retire". A Blair-ite Labour voter may shift right, but not a Corbyn-ite.

Add that to the fact that the youth vote is - for the most part - Left wing socially and economically, and you have a voter base that can only shrink. The more right-wing the Conservatives go to play to their older base, the more they shorten the party's life-span.

Aye, that's fair enough. Of course I'm not suggesting it's some sudden step change when a voter reaches a certain age, but maybe more of a gradual thing over the course of their life. I'd say it's easier to be left wing economically when you don't actually own anything, so it makes sense for the youth vote to go that way. Your point about the new Corbyn voters is a good one though, I think the bolded puts it pretty succinctly.
 

Mr. Sam

Member
They'll be replaced by more old people though.

As Crab has previously pointed out though, old people may typically be more right wing than young people, but they're also more left wing than the old people who preceded them. A forty-year-old today who can't afford a place to live isn't going to suddenly turn Tory when they're sixty just because they have crow's feet.

Edit: This is why the housing crisis is particularly bad for the Tories because home ownership typically means a Tory vote. If nobody owns a home, then, well...

Also y'all hear about that couple fucking in the toilet next to Nicky Morgan?

Was this a separate incident to the two women in separate cubicles having a loud conversation about an MP with whom they participate in threesomes?
 

CCS

Banned
As Crab has previously pointed out though, old people may typically be more right wing than young people, but they're also more left wing than the old people who preceded them. A forty-year-old today who can't afford a place to live isn't going to suddenly turn Tory when they're sixty just because they have crow's feet.



Was this a separate incident to the two women in separate cubicles having a loud conversation about an MP with whom they participate in threesomes?

I'm going to pray to god that MP wasn't Michael Gove. Can you imagine?
 
As Crab has previously pointed out though, old people may typically be more right wing than young people, but they're also more left wing than the old people who preceded them. A forty-year-old today who can't afford a place to live isn't going to suddenly turn Tory when they're sixty just because they have crow's feet.

Edit: This is why the housing crisis is particularly bad for the Tories because home ownership typically means a Tory vote. If nobody owns a home, then, well...

You're the second person to say this, but I don't remember suggesting it would happen overnight like that!

The housing crisis is definitely bad for the Tories though, no argument there. They need to be addressing that ASAP (for basic humanitarian reasons first and foremost, but also from a cynical self-preservation point of view).
 
Free markets literally brought you slavery and government intervention took it away. Things are not always so simple and in earnest most people don't support the 'free' market as much as they think they do. You are better off thinking about individual policy.

Lol, thanks Theonik, I'll give that a go.
 

CCS

Banned
Imagine the kind of person who gets horny af at a Tory conference.


I M A G I N E

I for one find that listening to old men talk about free market capitalism turns me on.

"Mmmmmm, that's right, tell me about the efficient markets hypothesis you dirty boy"
 

Pixieking

Banned
Aye, that's fair enough. Of course I'm not suggesting it's some sudden step change when a voter reaches a certain age, but maybe more of a gradual thing over the course of their life.

I remember reading something years ago - like, 20/25 years ago - that said that the older someone gets, the more right-wing they get. A combination of nostalgia and decades of consumerism and work basically crushed the "young hippies" morals and politics until they nudge right, by some degree. I'm not entirely certain how true it ever was, but I think the hyper-partisanship of present-day politics, and the yawning chasm between the Left and the Right, means it's less and less likely now, and in the future. Like, how many people could ever see themselves voting for the party of Trump, or the party of May? The flip-side of this is perhaps that someone brought-up in a Religious Right household, or sent to Eton, is probably going to hold onto their beliefs tighter. :/
 

CCS

Banned
Actually, there's a question: would you rather go to a swingers party at the Labour, Tory, or Lib Dem conference?
 
I remember reading something years ago - like, 20/25 years ago - that said that the older someone gets, the more right-wing they get. A combination of nostalgia and decades of consumerism and work basically crushed the "young hippies" morals and politics until they nudge right, by some degree. I'm not entirely certain how true it ever was, but I think the hyper-partisanship of present-day politics, and the yawning chasm between the Left and the Right, means it's less and less likely now, and in the future. Like, how many people could ever see themselves voting for the party of Trump, or the party of May? The flip-side of this is perhaps that someone brought-up in a Religious Right household, or sent to Eton, is probably going to hold onto their beliefs tighter. :/

Haha, yeah, who'd ever do such a thing?

<cough>

Actually, there's a question: would you rather go to a swingers party at the Labour, Tory, or Lib Dem conference?

We've had the average ages for Labour and Tory. To answer this properly we're going to need the average age for Lib Dem members too.
 

Pixieking

Banned
Actually, there's a question: would you rather go to a swingers party at the Labour, Tory, or Lib Dem conference?

I feel the "average age" thing from last page is going to be the deciding factor here. :p

I'd be tempted to say Tory, because I've always had a thing for Penelope Keith (circa The Good Life), and that type seems more likely at a Tory Conference than Labour or LibDem.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
We've had the average ages for Labour and Tory. To answer this properly we're going to need the average age for Lib Dem members too.

In 2015, it was 66, 51, and 30 for Con, Lab, and Lib respectively. Labour has the widest age range - almost all Conservative members are 50+ and almost all Lib Dem members are below 50, which sort of makes me suspect that the Lib Dems are basically a party for young people too embarrassed to be full Conservative.

EDIT: nope, I just can't read. 30 was the average age of those signing up to the Lib Dems since 2017. The average age of the membership as a whole in 2015 was 59, so midway 'twixt Con and Lab.
 

Mr. Sam

Member
This thread is where the real political analysis happens. The MSM's too afraid to speculate which party has the highest proportion of swingers.
 
In 2015, it was 66, 51, and 30 for Con, Lab, and Lib respectively. Labour has the widest age range - almost all Conservative members are 50+ and almost all Lib Dem members are below 50, which sort of makes me suspect that the Lib Dems are basically a party for young people too embarrassed to be full Conservative.

Well that makes it easy then, definitely Lid De...

EDIT: nope, I just can't read. 30 was the average age of those signing up to the Lib Dems since 2017. The average age of the membership as a whole in 2015 was 59, so midway 'twixt Con and Lab.

Oh.

An interesting game CCS. The only winning move is not to play.
 
My point is, if you start tearing down that perception you will find that you are not really in support of the free market, but just don't want public trains.

Honestly Theonik, this is something I've given some degree of thought to, but since we're having this chat let's dispel a few misconceptions in your previous post...

Free markets didn't "literally give us slavery". Slavery existed before free markets, and it also exists in places with very little freedom in their markets. Furthermore, granting rights to humans is not a government intervention into a market now, is it? What you're railing against there is anarcho-capitalism, where the person with the biggest stick wins (but the idea, at least, is that people work together anyway as it's mutually beneficial to do so). Quite how you got there from me saying that that I have a "(general) support for free market(s)" is baffling to me, and that you go from saying that free markets created slavery to warmly educating me about how things aren't "black and white" had me almost drowning in the irony deluge.

Anyway, my addition of the word "(general)" there wasn't an accident. I acknowledge that the key benefit of markets operating is that of competition and choice to the consumer, and in areas where this isn't forthcoming (typically due to geographic realities) then government regulation can often be necessary, either in part (with regulations or caps) or in full (with nationalisation). The reality is that almost everyone thinks this, it's just where that balance point is varies from person to person. My expectation of where that point occurs is probably slightly to the right of the average, thus I consider myself to be more pro-free-market than most.

However, you've actually diagnosed me completely in reverse. It is free markets I like and it's actually not trains being nationalised that I hate. Personally I think most of the problems faced on the trains would be equally present with a nationalised rail system, and nationalising would have some benefits (staff treated better, less likely to jack up last minute faires) and some down sides (more union control who, whatever they say, care primarily about their jobs and not the customer experience). So generally I'd say it's a wash, and I basically don't care that much.

The reason I have a problem with Corbyn and his boys is that I worry that nationalising is to them what you think private ownership is to me, ie better without question and with no exceptions. Case in point, McDonnell stated his intent to nationalise the energy industry (and not pay shareholders market rate either, which is nice of him), and Corbyn wanted to cap fuel bill costs. The problem here is... well, look for yourself at these numbers. 95.17% of the average dual-fuel bill goes to the various costs incurred by the private companies. In fact, literally all of this comes from the gas bill, with electricity bills actually being lower than the costs to the suppliers, leading them to make a loss on electricity. We also have lower bills currently than all the other large economies in the EU with the exception of France, who have about a billion nuclear power stations, the clever fucks. So where's the justification for nationalising an industry that's working efficiently, providing a good service to customers compared to our neighbours, and has lots of competition? There isn't one. He's not even trying to make one.

The problem here is that there's an inherent drawback to any consumer services that get subsumed by the state, and that's that lack of competition. I get an exciting opportunity at work to experience what the 70's were like, because I'm currently dealing with BT Openreach. They're a private company but, due to historic reasons relating to back when BT was nationalised, they're the only company that can install fibre leased lines into offices. No one else is allowed to. They're shit. It's been almost 6 months now and our line's still not functioning. They never know what they're doing, the engineers don't know what the last ones did. Sometimes they phone up the day after they miss an appointment and say they couldn't gain access - even though it's an office that's open all day. They obviously don't give a fuck - and why would they? We literally can't go anywhere else. We have no choices. Now obviously not everyone's going to have this experience, and I daresay some people had simply wonderful experiences with BT in the 70's. But if you (I mean McDonnell, not you) want to remove from people any semblance of choice over who supplies them with services, there needs to be a better justification than "because nationalised", and he's not making it. He's not interested in making it. He's waging the ideological war that you think I'm waging, and I absolutely don't trust them with the economy as a result (not because they'd spend too much, but because they'd intervene in markets too much). The fact they still seem hesistant to acknowledge that a good chunk of Venezuala's problems are not simply due to oil prices and American imperialism but also top-down socialist policies regarding prices and supply is further evidence.

If Blair came along tomorrow and said "i'll leave the private sector doing it's thing, I'll add regulations where they're needed and provide greater welfare services and investment in schools and hospitals", I'd vote for him. It's worth noting that this is what he said in 1997, and then he won three elections, chiefly because people like me would vote for him. (The irony of the Tories being on the verge of announcing a bill cap isn't lost on me, and I'm not thrilled about that.)
 

TimmmV

Member
The Tories really are massively lacking anything even remotely positive for young people. And I don't really even mean students but basically anyone under 40. My (general) support for them hinges on my (general) support for free market over government intervention, but honestly if Labour had a leader that didn't cum at the thought of the British Rail logo I'd be right on the edge and I'm *me*.

Bring back the coalition. All is forgiven.

Also y'all hear about that couple fucking in the toilet next to Nicky Morgan?



You all doubted me.

Given the news about the average age of a Conservative party member, I'm not sure whether to be interested in this gossip or not
 

CCS

Banned
In 2015, it was 66, 51, and 30 for Con, Lab, and Lib respectively. Labour has the widest age range - almost all Conservative members are 50+ and almost all Lib Dem members are below 50, which sort of makes me suspect that the Lib Dems are basically a party for young people too embarrassed to be full Conservative.

EDIT: nope, I just can't read. 30 was the average age of those signing up to the Lib Dems since 2017. The average age of the membership as a whole in 2015 was 59, so midway 'twixt Con and Lab.

So I guess the best bet would be at the Labour Party conference.

Maybe they should add that to their recruitment material :p
 

PJV3

Member
A conservative swingers club would be like watching spiders mating, the sex might be nasty but you might get an orange stuffed in your mouth and die.
 

CCS

Banned
A conservative swingers club would be like watching spiders mating, the sex might be nasty but you might get an orange stuffed in your mouth and die.

Given past Tory adventures with stuffing objects into mouths, perhaps an apple might be more appropriate?
 

CCS

Banned
Like John and Edwina banging on the desks of Downing St you eventually learn to live with the imagery.

But i carry the scars to the grave.

I'd rather not think about them discussing Uganda together if that's alright :p
 

kmag

Member
May et al spent the week banging on about the success of the free market, but is going to introduce a price cap on energy, and two forms of government intervention in the housing market. There's a strange tension between announcing more council builds while propping up house prices with help to buy. If your whole purpose as a political party post Thatcher has been that the market is good the market is great, but you're unable now to demonstrate that in practice then you're in trouble.

The problem the Tories have is it's becoming increasingly difficult to sell the notion of untethered capitalism to an electorate which increasingly has little or no capital (this is especially true for younger voters). So they're left scrambling for versions of Corbyn style interventions which have been watered down to homeopathic levels.
 

CCS

Banned
Serious question: is there anyone in the world who enjoys listening to Theresa May's speeches? Like, even if I agreed with every single word she said, she's got less charisma than a piece of cardboard.
 

PJV3

Member
Serious question: is there anyone in the world who enjoys listening to Theresa May's speeches? Like, even if I agreed with every single word she said, she's got less charisma than a piece of cardboard.

No, she's in this position because the cream of the conservative party curdled and she was left to it.

She nearly wet herself when they laughed at one of her hilarious Conservative party related jokes.
 
Was that another Lee Nelson stunt? I quite like them. Very well done.

There's an art to a stunt like this and making it work, and he did it.
 
Am I the only one who laughed out loud when she said she looked around the cabinet and said she saw a team full of talent and compassion?
 

kmag

Member
That moron just turned a flat nonentity of a speech which would have barely gotten a forced 5 second standing ovation into something approaching a May tour de force. It's literally the only thing which would have gotten the crowd involved.
 

sohois

Member
May et al spent the week banging on about the success of the free market, but is going to introduce a price cap on energy, and two forms of government intervention in the housing market. There's a strange tension between announcing more council builds while propping up house prices with help to buy. If your whole purpose as a political party post Thatcher has been that the market is good the market is great, but you're unable now to demonstrate that in practice then you're in trouble.

The problem the Tories have is it's becoming increasingly difficult to sell the notion of untethered capitalism to an electorate which increasingly has little or no capital (this is especially true for younger voters). So they're left scrambling for versions of Corbyn style interventions which have been watered down to homeopathic levels.

There's a general issue with standard free market politicians in that all the low hanging fruit of neoliberalism has been plucked. If you want to continue to push freer markets you're going to end up in one of three positions: pushing something in direct conflict with another key value (high immigration/open borders), full on libertarianism, or ideas that seems weird and esoteric (basic incomes, Artificial Intelligence, Moon bases, etc.).

Since only a tiny percentage of voters and MPs are actual Libertarians, and policians in high places tend to be pretty centrist and populist, there simply isn't anyone to push strong free market ideas and the only free market stuff you see these days is people just arguing for lower taxes, as though that's all you need.

That being said, there is one area that is ripe for free market reforms, but as you say it is now going in the other direction: housing. The green belt, height restrictions, pointless design regulations, not using land value taxes are just some of the easy and obvious changes that could transform the housing market. But politicians won't touch it because house values.
 
Good to see security being incompetent, bloody hell.

Pretty funny stuff thankfully.

Looks like he got in via photographers? It's worked before.

But yeah. Should be properly worrying that at high security, that can happen to the PM. Or should it? He was unarmed and had credentials I guess. Still, poor form.


And ouuuch at the voice going. P45 and losing the voice, none of the message of her relaunch will get through will it
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom