I agree with all of your other points, but I don't think this is a fair statement. As much as I dislike it, NSMB is a huge title to have for launch, as is the casual-oriented stuff Nintendo showed. Pikmin 3 and P-100 are the bones thrown to the hardcore Nintendo fans, and Assassin's Creed III is pretty big, too. The immediate launch is not the problem. The problem, is as you stated, a failure to lay out the plan for the future. Certainly, Nintendo mentioned Together Better or whatever, but it didn't show that at all. How is it better? What software shows this? What have your major first party studios been doing?
Alright, yeah, "Launching with no games" isn't really fair. It's not absolutely horrible. I'm sure Pikmin 3 will be delightful, NSMBU looks like fun and makes huge leaps in improving the dull graphical presentation of previous NSMB games, and Nintendoland sounds like it just had an unfortunately terrible showing, but could actually be interesting.
But Nintendo's games all looked like they could easily be playable on the Wii, as they didn't look to take advantage of the graphical power and made pretty minuscule use of the controller screen, while the multiplatform games gave me no reason to buy a Wii just for them. It's not a bad launch lineup in and of itself, but it's a bad launch lineup in the context of illustrating why I should buy this new console.
Even then, I could probably forgive it if they'd showed what's coming up in the year or so after launch. Like when they revealed the Wii, they showed Metroid and Galaxy and Brawl, even though they didn't come out until a year later. Same with the Gamecube and Sunshine, Prime, Starfox Adventures, and Wind Waker. There wasn't even any of that.
It's also got the same problem that the Wii had: Everyone's waiting for the one big budget, AAA type game built from the ground up for the system that uses the controller in a way that's undeniably better than not having the controller. Zombi U probably presented the best concepts for using it, but that's not really the big budget AAA game, and we didn't even see real gameplay.
Really though, they could have made this conference significantly less bad by just reorganizing it.
- Start with NSMBU.
- Instead of having WB dudes out to talk about Arkham City, they should've just shown it in a montage of third-party games. And in that montage, they should've shown footage from the Wii U version, and how the Wiipad was being used, like the Wii U controller reveal last year.
- Put Just Dance, Wii Fit U, and Sing into one montage.
- Have a trailer for Nintendoland instead of Mr. Tutorial delivering one of the dullest stage demos ever. Just show people playing all the mini-games and highlight how the Wiipad is being used, again, like the Wii U controller reveal last year.
- End with Pikmin 3.
There you go. Still disappointing, but not nearly as terrible.