• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

THQ's stock drops 50% after earnings implosion, [Tanks 22%+ again, worth $7.95M]

sflufan

Banned
Wow it's actually still going down today.

Then they're going into de-listing territory again.

I still maintain that there was a deliberate strategy by management (as evidenced by the cancellation of the analyst Q&A after the earnings report and the refusal to give further earnings guidance) to drive the stock to the floor in order for the private equity firm (one of whose partners is a good buddy of Rubin's) to buy out the equity holders for peanuts plus the $100 million on long-term debt.

Thy would then hold on to it to squeeze as much as they can from CoH 2, Metro, and South Park and then either sell it piecemeal or shutter it.
 

HoosTrax

Member
Unfortunately, it seems highly possible to me that Relic will end up being bought by EA, and that'll be the end of that.

Volition...I don't know...would Rockstar (i.e. Take Two) try to grab them, or is that too redundant?

I'd rather Take Two get all of the IPs, lesser of various evils, but who knows.
 

quickwhips

Member
Microsoft or Sony should buy them and keep releasing saints row and darksiders as exclusives. I think they would be a best fit with microsoft honestly but im biased. Also southpark RPG.
 

carlos

Member
Wow it's actually still going down today.

Everything is going down today due to Romney losing, seriously, EVERYTHING

Going to be interesting to see where it finds a bottom when the market settles; oh and it's already in delisting territory, since they need their market cap to reach 15 million; they have 30 days to raise the cap (but they can ask for extensions too).
 
N

NinjaFridge

Unconfirmed Member
Microsoft or Sony should buy them and keep releasing saints row and darksiders as exclusives. I think they would be a best fit with microsoft honestly but im biased. Also southpark RPG.

Saints Row needs to be available to everybody man, games got too serious lately and SR was a much needed break from that.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
Unfortunately, it seems highly possible to me that Relic will end up being bought by EA, and that'll be the end of that.

Volition...I don't know...would Rockstar (i.e. Take Two) try to grab them, or is that too redundant?

I'd rather Take Two get all of the IPs, lesser of various evils, but who knows.

Volition and Rockstar seem like a perfect match. There are different Rockstar Studios, so I don't see why adding another with it's own open world universe (dunno if they would buy the Saints Row name), would be a bad thing. Red Dead, Grand Theft Auto, LA Noire, and Saints Row are all pretty different things but in the same sort of universe.
 

OneLetter

Member
Volition in Chicago

Champaign, actually. It's about 2.5 hours south of Chicago. It changes the demographic of people who may want to work there since it's not in a major city.

I really hope Volition comes out of this on top and all my former co-workers land on their feet if anything hits the fan.
 

Glass Rebel

Member
Unfortunately, it seems highly possible to me that Relic will end up being bought by EA, and that'll be the end of that.

Volition...I don't know...would Rockstar (i.e. Take Two) try to grab them, or is that too redundant?

I'd rather Take Two get all of the IPs, lesser of various evils, but who knows.

Why would EA be interested in a company primarily known for their strategy games?
 

HoosTrax

Member
Because strategy games were fairly successful back then and to get the C&C franchise, I assume. It's not really comparable.
Because Company of Heroes and DoW are fairly successful and to get those IPs. How it is not comparable.

Anyways, I really do hope your doubts are well-founded. We don't need one more corpse added to the studios-EA-killed.gif.
 

Patryn

Member
Then they're going into de-listing territory again.

I still maintain that there was a deliberate strategy by management (as evidenced by the cancellation of the analyst Q&A after the earnings report and the refusal to give further earnings guidance) to drive the stock to the floor in order for the private equity firm (one of whose partners is a good buddy of Rubin's) to buy out the equity holders for peanuts plus the $100 million on long-term debt.

Thy would then hold on to it to squeeze as much as they can from CoH 2, Metro, and South Park and then either sell it piecemeal or shutter it.

Wouldn't be the worst plan in the world.
 

Glass Rebel

Member
Because Company of Heroes and DoW are fairly successful and to get those IPs. How it is not comparable.

Anyways, I really do hope your doubts are well-founded. We don't need one more corpse added to the studios-EA-killed.gif.

1. CoH is not Relic's franchise but THQ's, they'd have to get that one as well.
2. DoW is not THQ's franchise but a license given out by Games Workshop. Would have to be negotiated again since GW probably has a bailout clause.
3. The way EA has been going for the last few years they're not into investing in "mid-tier" games (which Relic's games are, going by budget) but AAA(A) stuff or F2P/social.

I don't know, it could happen, I guess, but it doesn't seem likely. From all the big publishers I expect either 2K or Square-Enix to gobble up Relic, SEGA if they had any cash.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
Champaign, actually. It's about 2.5 hours south of Chicago. It changes the demographic of people who may want to work there since it's not in a major city.

I really hope Volition comes out of this on top and all my former co-workers land on their feet if anything hits the fan.

University of Illinois is there right? Doesn't seem too secluded.
 

HoosTrax

Member
1. CoH is not Relic's franchise but THQ's, they'd have to get that one as well.
2. DoW is not THQ's franchise but a license given out by Games Workshop. Would have to be negotiated again since GW probably has a bailout clause.
3. The way EA has been going for the last few years they're not into investing in "mid-tier" games (which Relic's games are, going by budget) but AAA(A) stuff or F2P/social.

I don't know, it could happen, I guess, but it doesn't seem likely. From all the big publishers I expect either 2K or Square-Enix to gobble up Relic, SEGA if they had any cash.
I guess in my mind, I put CoH right there with anything Blizzard has put out there, in terms of quality, but I see what you're saying -- the mindshare and prominence isn't quite up there.

I'd be ok with 2K taking them over, and it wouldn't seem out of place considering they already have a decent stable of stategy IPs like Civ and XCOM. SEGA seems to be doing ok with the TW franchise, not sure how they're doing financially overall.
 

excaliburps

Press - MP1st.com
I gather vultures like EA, Take-Two, etc. are just waiting for it to flatline before swooping in and buying IPs, assets at the cheap.

Although, not really surprised. When Joe Mad said he's leaving Vigil, I took that as a bad sign that Darksiders 2 didn't sell all that well.

Still, though, never fun when people lose their jobs...
 

ghst

thanks for the laugh
even if coh 2 does get squeezed out, it'll never have time to grow in to anything resembling a competitively balanced game.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
They already are insolvent - they just haven't filed the paperwork yet.

Well they must have enough money to keep giving their employees a check though. It's a matter of time, but I wonder exactly when that time is and what's even keeping them going currently. I would be surprised if nothing comes out about their assets being sold, or declaring bankruptcy within a month from now with the earning and stock value.
 

sflufan

Banned
Well they must have enough money to keep giving their employees a check though. It's a matter of time, but I wonder exactly when that time is and what's even keeping them going currently. I would be surprised if nothing comes out about their assets being sold, or declaring bankruptcy within a month from now with the earning and stock value.

You can have money to cover day-to-day operations and still be technically insolvent as your liabilities would oustrip your assets.
 
What's the consensus, do they have actual IP's that are worth just buying the whole company for? (I know their games, but I don't the details on which IP's are theirs or licensed or whatever)
 

OneLetter

Member
University of Illinois is there right? Doesn't seem too secluded.

Yeah, but when college isn't in session, the population drops almost in half. Granted, it's a great town if you want to start a family (ridiculously low cost of living), or live in a college town, but it's a very different life compared to living in/near a major city like most other studios.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
You can have money to cover day-to-day operations and still be technically insolvent as your liabilities would oustrip your assets.

I'm just wondering the point when they flat out cannot run day to day operations anymore and just have to say 'shut it down.'
 

HoosTrax

Member
even if coh 2 does get squeezed out, it'll never have time to grow in to anything resembling a competitively balanced game.
I can't imagine much real work is getting done, considering people are probably busy polishing resumes. At least they will have had more warning than 38 Studios people.
 

Deadly Cyclone

Pride of Iowa State
They aren't dead yet folks. :)

/notbias

Champaign, actually. It's about 2.5 hours south of Chicago. It changes the demographic of people who may want to work there since it's not in a major city.

I really hope Volition comes out of this on top and all my former co-workers land on their feet if anything hits the fan.

*Waves*
 

RPGCrazied

Member
Yeah. I guess its a safe bet THQ won't be around to much longer. I just hope a few IP's they have can be bought by someone else.
 

FLEABttn

Banned
I think THQ is beyond saving, but I the valuable IP's and teams could and would be rescued.

THQ has made some pretty dumb decisions while concurrently making some really neat IP. I hope the teams associated are rescued along with the IP's, when they are.
 

sflufan

Banned
Yeah. I guess its a safe bet THQ won't be around to much longer. I just hope a few IP's they have can be bought by someone else.

They won't be around as a publicly-traded entity, but they will exist for at least one fiscal year as a private entity owned by Crestview Partners LLC.
 
Oh wow, it just dropped to 1.23....

SinkingShip-2.jpg


Is it even possible to recover from this?
 

sflufan

Banned
One of the things I'd like people to keep in mind that the price of stock really has absolutely no impact on the current operations of a company. The stock price could go to absolutely zero and a company could keep running as if nothing had happened. This is because stock price has no effect on a company's revenues.

Stock price only becomes an issue when a company wants to issue new shares from its treasury to raise capital. In THQ's case, they are certainly not going to issue any new shares as a means of obtaining funding so from a management perspective, the stock price is pretty irrelevant.

I mean, if you're a THQ stockholder it sucks, but let's face it - you should have bailed from this stock a long time ago.
 

mneuro

Member
It sucks to see THQ go under, causing many people to lose their jobs. However, I can't help but be extremely excited at the opportunity for someone else to make a WWE game.
 
One of the things I'd like people to keep in mind that the price of stock really has absolutely no impact on the current operations of a company. The stock price could go to absolutely zero and a company could keep running as if nothing had happened. This is because stock price has no effect on a company's revenues.

Theoretically, maybe. But that talent pool (which was already thinning in a big way) is going to start draining even more quickly now. No reason to stay with the sinking ship if you are holding worthless options. And that does impact operations. Then, if the equity guys come in to sell off the IPs and assets, well...
 
One of the things I'd like people to keep in mind that the price of stock really has absolutely no impact on the current operations of a company. The stock price could go to absolutely zero and a company could keep running as if nothing had happened. This is because stock price has no effect on a company's revenues.

Stock price only becomes an issue when a company wants to issue new shares from its treasury to raise capital. In THQ's case, they are certainly not going to issue any new shares as a means of obtaining funding so from a management perspective, the stock price is pretty irrelevant.

I mean, if you're a THQ stockholder it sucks, but let's face it - you should have bailed from this stock a long time ago.

I'm waiting for the inevitable penny stock to buy in. Sound investment plan right here!
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
Down 29.25%, worth $7.27 million.

One of the things I'd like people to keep in mind that the price of stock really has absolutely no impact on the current operations of a company. The stock price could go to absolutely zero and a company could keep running as if nothing had happened. This is because stock price has no effect on a company's revenues.

Stock price only becomes an issue when a company wants to issue new shares from its treasury to raise capital. In THQ's case, they are certainly not going to issue any new shares as a means of obtaining funding so from a management perspective, the stock price is pretty irrelevant.

I mean, if you're a THQ stockholder it sucks, but let's face it - you should have bailed from this stock a long time ago.

Well, it can effect your ability to get a line of credit or other investment due to what it says about your company, but yes, in terms of direct impact that's true.
 
Top Bottom