Fanboys were saying this movie could hit 200m OW. It won't even come close.
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Batman v Superman Friday Boxoffice Estimate: $82M
- Thread starter Biggest-Geek-Ever
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Fanboys were saying this movie could hit 200m OW. It won't even come close.
It hasn't stopped the Transformers movies. Good reviews don't always matter, particularly for spectacle films like this. It won't have super legs, but it will still make a ton.
ElBoxyBrown
Banned
Them Twilight movies. Lions Gate probably looks at this list everyday and weeps of the good times.
Markitron
Is currently staging a hunger strike outside Gearbox HQ while trying to hate them to death
Lol. The YA genre seems to be dying off finally.
Man of Steel's multiplier is misleading since WB separated Thursday previews from the Weekend gross. Since BvS' opening will count the Thursday gross, the apples to apples number for Man of Steel is 2.26.
Domestic total / opening weekend
No way it hits that.
It's fairly possible and I think having the review embargo not held up until release day was somewhat of a mistake on WB's part. Man of Steel was decent but not necessarily a box office darling and it probably divided more people than sold them on the concept. The novelty of having Batman in there might not last.
Transformers is an exception since Michael Bay practically has the critic-proof shield of being the king of the lowest common denominator. On the other hand, properties that have tried to cash in on similar circumstantial tropes like Transformers such as Battleship and G.I. Joe perform mediocre at best (though the latter at least has a modest budget to offset it).
Dash_Riprock
Member
The same fanboys who said this would get 80%+ on RT, and are now saying that "critics don't matter!"
Mrs. Manky
Banned
A couple I met at the barber shop this morning said that they went to see "Batman". Not "Batman v Superman". It's probably just a shortcut name, but considering that the husband was rocking this sweet Batman logo fitted cap, I think they went for the Batman.
Afro Samurai
Banned
All the 2016 movies and limited amount of money and people chose to see Batman v Superman?
There's Deadpool, Zootopia, Captain America Civil War, X-Men Apocalypse, Finding Dory, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.
There's Deadpool, Zootopia, Captain America Civil War, X-Men Apocalypse, Finding Dory, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.
Gordon Shumway
Banned
But will Rotten Tomatoes score go over 50%?
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
300's domestic total was $210.6M and its opening weekend was $70.9M. Divide the former by the latter and you get the number shown. Rinse and repeat.
Indeed. I kind of didn't want to mess around with that one since that $12M Thursday gross was tickets bought by Walmart and sold in their stores. We never got a figure of how many of those tickets were sold, but second hand sources at the time suggested they didn't sell anywhere close to all of them.
I lowballed since you'd technically get $120M from BvS if its Thursday previews to full weekend matched up with The Force Awakens (where previews accounted for about 23% of the weekend).
I agree that something around $170M seems likely though.
The multiplier is 2.39 if you just drop the 12M from the film's total gross. I suppose something between 2.30-2.35 is more reflective of reality if we count unsold Walmart tickets.
I think most were saying it could hit that if it had good buzz and reviews. It's had the opposite of that so the $200m ow dream is dead.
ElBoxyBrown
Banned
People really want to see Wonder Woman.
Shadow-Link
Banned
We knew it was having a good opening weekend it's freaking Batman vs Superman, but after seeing the movie I believe this will have a huge drop because word of mouth.
illmatic22
Banned
Great start. It'll be interesting to see how it does OW.
I'm sure all 4 people who said that have egg on their face now. Most predictions were 160-170.
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
Markitron
Is currently staging a hunger strike outside Gearbox HQ while trying to hate them to death
This post makes no sense.
Nemesis121
Member
Age of Ultron made a ton and that is up there with the worst comic book movie i have ever seen, why can't this cluster fuck make money?
What did he mean by this?
Member
Not fanboys. If The Avengers team up could hit 200 then the first team up of Batman and Superman should have. They are both momumental film events.
Of course, not anymore
funny enough, the TV situation is the opposite
goofy fun with The Flash & dark grim with Daredevil/Jessica Jones
Sgt. Kabukiman
Banned
It's weird, i hated the movie but I still want it to succeed somewhat. I don't want DC to scrap all of their plans even though they should definitely postpone Justice League and get rid of Snyder. I'm expecting a big sunday drop and a bigger drop than Man of Steel for the second week-end. I don't see BvS doing that well internationally either but China might compensate for the rest of the world.
ryutaro's mama
Member
I turned on ASM2 during a flight back from London to Seattle. I was done probably 20 minutes in. Seriously, fuck the ASM series.
So glad that crap got ended.
Crankshaft
Member
I really enjoyed the movie, hell I might even watch it again this weekend.
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
lol. people sure went to see that movie didn't they?
Sgt. Kabukiman
Banned
Well, it did make more than 700 million dollars worldwide. It might not seem like much these days but it is a respectable number even though Sony was disappointed.
Pandora012
Member
Was is the abs? It was the abs.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Curious to see what the Friday-to-Saturday drop, and then the Saturday-to-Sunday drop looks like.
Could be early indicators as to whether or not the word of mouth on the thing is powerful enough to override the marketing blitz and the strength of the premise alone.
Could be early indicators as to whether or not the word of mouth on the thing is powerful enough to override the marketing blitz and the strength of the premise alone.
Praetorpwj
Member
The main consideration will be the strong opening weekend because that will reinforce the view that there is extreme public interest in these characters. A sharp 2nd week fall off is inevitable given the apparently divisive nature of the film but that will be interpreted as a failure of the specific product, not the franchise potential.
WB does have some explaining to do to its investors however. They should have released last year which would have given them time to assess public reaction and if necessary dump Snyder/retool Justice League without compromising the start date in April. Because they delayed for 6 months and committed to part one starting next month before seeing a dime of revenue from the franchise their hands are tied. However I think part 2 will see a lengthy delay which is why Terrio and Snyder are backing away from saying the films are linked anymore.
WB does have some explaining to do to its investors however. They should have released last year which would have given them time to assess public reaction and if necessary dump Snyder/retool Justice League without compromising the start date in April. Because they delayed for 6 months and committed to part one starting next month before seeing a dime of revenue from the franchise their hands are tied. However I think part 2 will see a lengthy delay which is why Terrio and Snyder are backing away from saying the films are linked anymore.
While preference of tone is one thing, the thing that really undoes much of DC's movies for me (except the first two Dark Knight movies) is that they're just not consistent at pulling it off. I'm a huge fan of the MCU but even when it has a jockular exterior it has a consistent nuance to it that allows me to believe in many of the stakes, and similarly the street level Netflix series like Daredevil and Jessica Jones that take place in that same universe can take a very serious, gritty tone and pull it off in an engaging matter.
I never really got invested in many of the characters or the stakes that recent DC movies present, and much of it ends up rather tone deaf.
Spider-man went from the biggest comic film property of all time to being outgrossed by every comic flick of 2014. Hence the disappointment.
It would be like Star Wars Rogue One making less than Star Trek Beyond.
BronsonLee
Member
Meaningless when Jurassic World took the weekend record with less than $20M in previews. Twilight just has more diehard fans.
It's telling that people can only cite Transformers when they talk about movies that are critically panned but still do well. It's rare that movies that are so unpopular with critics can stick around for awhile and it's something that Michael Bay has perfected and has no bearing on the prospects of this movie.
What's so funny? Those money's just about beat everything besides Harry Potter and Star Wars for early shows.
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