Truth is you will know the answer before then .
So you can make the year earlier lol .
Hah That would be some shit.
Truth is you will know the answer before then .
So you can make the year earlier lol .
Yeah, I'll quote you when I win.Always am, but I love taking chances Can we call this an official avatar bet for 2022?
If Nintendo plays their cards well enough, I could maybe see 100m, but 130m seems nuts.
Yeah, I'll quote you when I win.
Switch is nowhere as big as Wii was, I don't see how it could hit such a number. I see Switch under 100 million lifetime.
What even is this argument?If it can sell, 100m, what's to stop it from selling 130? If it sells 100 million, that means it's a behemoth and a cultural phenomenon. Why wouldn't that be able to sell the extra 30?
While I think 130 million may be a bit high, you have to at least give Switch one holiday season before we decide if it's as big as Wii or not. Holiday season creates mindshare and Wii launched in November. Switch is doing incredibly well for a console that launched in March. This upcoming holiday may well push it over the edge.
Basis of either of these 3 statements?
I think Switch is considerably more appealing than 3DS which suffered from a poor start. I think it'll do more and close to Wii, but probably not 30M more than Wii.
Maybe the Switch family of systems.
They're selling what they can produce for now.
They can drop the price when supply improves.
They have actually essentially increased the price of the system going into the holidays
They know what's coming
Well people are actually buying it in the first year, so I wouldn't be too surprised if it beat that.very optimistic prediction. It would be surprising if it could even hit 3DS numbers.
Avatar bet aside, I think the Switch will sell at least 70 million units. It has a killer library already and it's bound to get cheaper. I'd totally buy one if I had the cash andpossibly contribute to my loss :^(
Wii 2: Portable Boogaloo
very optimistic prediction. It would be surprising if it could even hit 3DS numbers.
Crazy expectations. The console is way too expensive to reach those numbers, if Nintendo lower the price over the years the switch will reach 100m eventually.
2017 ($300) 13m - Stock problems.
2018 ($300) 30m - Pokémon, GTA V and COD at the end of the year and Nintendo Land 2 free with every console.
2019 ($250) 50m - Animal Crossing, Smash 5 and 2D Mario. New Switch.
2020 ($200) 68m - Mario Kart 9 and Splatoon 3 bundles. FFVII and RE2 remake.
2021 ($200) 85m - BOTW 2 and Pokémon MMORPG.
2022 ($150) 100m - Mario Galaxy 3, Switch Sports. Switch Mini.
I think Switch can hit 130m but not in 2022.
3DS is a low bar, imo. It is sure to hit that numbervery optimistic prediction. It would be surprising if it could even hit 3DS numbers.
Put me down for 90m. See you guys in 2020.
Wait... 90m by 2020? Goddamn, and I thought I was optimistic by betting 50m by then.
Yes it is too high, there isn't enough data to support 130m by 2022 being plausible.This is extremely bullish. Assume Switch will sell 15m by the end of 2017; this is much more than Nintendo is projecting, but let's say so. That leaves 115m in the next four years, or an average of almost 29m per year.
That average is better than the best year Wii ever had. Only two years of DS surpassed 29m, and its best four-year period didn't average this much. And if Switch hits that number on time, even a Wii-like crash afterwards wouldn't stop them from selling millions and millions more units
So in other words, Credit Suisse is predicting Switch will be the fastest-selling and best-selling video game console of all time. This isn't impossible, but it definitely doesn't match their reasoning that "it sells like a handheld console". They don't seem to understand the import of their own prediction, which makes it less likely to be well-founded in data.
Im betting 100m by 2020.
Nintendo does from time to time make consoles that sell a shitload in a relatively short period of time (i.e. not 10 years), but if this prediction came true it would literally make the Switch the 3rd best-selling console in the history of humane kind. That's a bold prediction half a year into a system's life
I predicted 200M LTD last month. Increasingly looking like I'll be right. Naysayers be damned. lol