End of 2020. So 3 yrs 10 monthsDear, it's 2017 already.
3 years
End of 2020. So 3 yrs 10 monthsDear, it's 2017 already.
3 years
Gaf isn't infallable. Case in pointEven 10 million by 2020 seems impossible. The reaction on GAF is what, 90-95% fiercely negative? You keep seeing people over and over say they are cancelling their preorders even. No way the first day will sell through with all those cancellations either at this point honestly.
1-1.5 mil of the initial 2 million day one sold out is a safe bet yeah?
and so, do you think non gaming hobbyists care if it's a hypbrid??
And? It's a hybrid system and those aren't.
Go to a mall and look around you at the hub of people and tell me after going there 4 days of the week for a few months how many people you even see playing phone gamesAnd? It's a hybrid system and those aren't.
Even 10 million by 2020 seems impossible. The reaction on GAF is what, 90-95% fiercely negative? You keep seeing people over and over say they are cancelling their preorders even. No way the first day will sell through with all those cancellations either at this point honestly.
1-1.5 mil of the initial 2 million day one sold out is a safe bet yeah?
End of 2020. So 3 yrs 10 months
Vita tv?A large part of GAF also thought the 3DS would flop due to no second stick. Don't even get me started on the Vita TV.
Even 10 million by 2020 seems impossible. The reaction on GAF is what, 90-95% fiercely negative? You keep seeing people over and over say they are cancelling their preorders even. No way the first day will sell through with all those cancellations either at this point honestly.
1-1.5 mil of the initial 2 million day one sold out is a safe bet yeah?
It's a hybrid...it has a different appeal.The PS4 and XB1 are the Switch's competition in the west.
and so, do you think non gaming hobbyists care if it's a hypbrid??
Animal Crossing needs to be a thing and it needs to be marketed hardcore. I really think the momentum of the Switch will hinge entirely on how good BoTW does. If it starts out with a bang, followed by Mario Odyssey being good, plus Animal Crossing and Pokemon potentially being announced at E3, that may be enough to propel the Switch into steady sales. Nintendo really needs to do a 180 though and make street pass a thing for the Switch. Recipe for success. The online cost, combined with requiring a smartphone is gonna hurt Nintendo big time though. Will be interesting to see the reception of that.This, plus Animal Crossing and Switch essentially becoming 'nu-Vita' for digital indie content. 3DS' natural decline will help too.
3DS was at 50M after the same period (end of 2014).
40M seems optimistic given the price differences and sales of 3DS after the first 3 years (42.7M by the end of 2013).
Other forecasts by them:
PS4 (2020): 100 mill.
Xbox One (2020): 100 mill.
By 2020.
Meaning january 1st. So 2 years 10 months.
And? It's a hybrid system and those aren't.
Through.By 2020.
Meaning january 1st. So 2 years 10 months.
Other forecasts by them:
PS4 (2020): 100 mill.
Xbox One (2020): 100 mill.
Even 10 million by 2020 seems impossible.
No chance in hell. I'm guessing 15 million worldwide by 2020.
Traders are already sceptical of Nintendo: The Wii U, Nintendos previous console was a notorious flop, selling only 13 million units in its five-year lifespan. For comparison, the original Wii sold 101 million units in its lifetime.
Not to mention if this thing gets off to a similar start as the 3DS, it will absolutely not still be $300 this holiday even.3DS was at 50M after the same period (end of 2014).
40M seems optimistic given the price differences and sales of 3DS after the first 3 years (42.7M by the end of 2013).
Other forecasts by them:
PS4 (2020): 100 mill.
Xbox One (2020): 100 mill.
3DS also launched at a time where the mobile gaming market wasn't as strong as it is today.
Seems like extremely wishful thinking to me. The overall reaction to the console has been negative everywhere that I've seen, even here where half of us are diehard Nintendo fan boys. Nintendo isn't trying to compete with Sony or Microsoft, and the Switch is just too expensive for the casual market to pickup as a secondary console. I really hope that it sells 40mm, but I'm certainly not expecting it.
"Through 2020"By 2020.
Meaning january 1st. So 2 years 10 months.
Im not sure if much of gaf should be discerning this if they cant understand even what through 2020 means =p
PS4 (2020): 100 mill. Possible?
Xbox One (2020): 100 mill. Nope
3DS also launched at a time where the mobile gaming market wasn't as strong as it is today.
Anyone who thinks pokemon alone is enough is Naive,
Even 10 million by 2020 seems impossible. The reaction on GAF is what, 90-95% fiercely negative
It's a hybrid...it has a different appeal.
You never know, but I could see it.
So Nintendo is going to exit the hardware business? Consolidating their handheld and home lines and doing only a fraction of their typical handheld business would end Nintendo as we know it.
They aren't saying 40 Million at $300. There will be price drops or bundles or revisions etc. It looks like the launch shipments will sell out at $300, and its sales trajectory will determine the holiday 2017 bundles/price drops.
Through.
40m in less than 3 yrs would be insane.
The quote is actually "through" 2020, which would be December 31st, 2020. So 3.75 years.
You are aware GAF is a minority right?
Even 10 million by 2020 seems impossible. The reaction on GAF is what, 90-95% fiercely negative? You keep seeing people over and over say they are cancelling their preorders even. No way the first day will sell through with all those cancellations either at this point honestly.
1-1.5 mil of the initial 2 million day one sold out is a safe bet yeah?