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(Hardware) August 2010 NPD Predictions - Closes Sept. 6

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
[Nintex] said:
Isn't Madden down again? I remember the 360 version selling more than a million copies last year.
Nope.

2009:
Madden NFL 10 (360) / Electronic Arts / 928,000
Madden NFL 10 (PS3) / Electronic Arts/ 665,000

2010:
Madden NFL 11 (Electronic Arts, Xbox 360) -- 920,800
Madden NFL 11 (Electronic Arts, PlayStation 3) -- 893,600

People in the software sales thread were largely predicting large drops despite me posting a press release saying that sales were up year over year however, so this month won't be going so well for them. :p
 

Snuggles

erotic butter maelstrom
Someone might have to make the thread since Evillord is in Aruba or some shit.
I need Other M numbers :(
 
That Madden PS3 campaign seems to have worked. Really well integrated. It humiliated all those weakass years where the 360 got the branding and squandered it. There was a PS3, a PS3 controller, or a stack of PS3 copies of the game (or all three) in every second of that campaign. Fucking brilliant.
 

Road

Member
Sho_Nuff82 said:
I stand corrected...guesses to the 5 games?

Madden, Mafia, Red Dead, Kane & Lynch 2...Modern Warfare 2?
You're either joking or trapped in a reality 5min delayed from the rest of the Earth.
 

[Nintex]

Member
Nirolak said:
Nope.

2009:
Madden NFL 10 (360) / Electronic Arts / 928,000
Madden NFL 10 (PS3) / Electronic Arts/ 665,000

2010:
Madden NFL 11 (Electronic Arts, Xbox 360) -- 920,800
Madden NFL 11 (Electronic Arts, PlayStation 3) -- 893,600
Sales actually went up, good news for Peter :)
 

Penguin

Member
Snuggler said:
Someone might have to make the thread since Evillord is in Aruba or some shit.
I need Other M numbers :(

This NPD won't cover Other M's release date.

Some odd period, but it will be counted in September.
 

Snuggles

erotic butter maelstrom
Penguin said:
This NPD won't cover Other M's release date.

Some odd period, but it will be counted in September.

Alright. It's for the better since it'll have a better chance of placing in the top 10 that way. I wanna see some numbers ASAP, though.
You should make the thread, though, I'm not worthy of it.
 

farnham

Banned
Snuggler said:
Alright. It's for the better since it'll have a better chance of placing in the top 10 that way. I wanna see some numbers ASAP, though.
You should make the thread, though, I'm not worthy of it.
its not going to
 

Road

Member
Oh, that's right. I forgot about his vacations (even though I'm reading his thread in the OT haha).
 

Snuggles

erotic butter maelstrom
farnham said:
its not going to

We'll see. I wouldn't count it out, I think it has a chance of an ass end spot but there will be Madden again and Halo to take up a lot of the list.
 

antonz

Member
if #5 on the list only managed to sell 110K units this month I would think Metroid has a pretty good chance at breaing into the top 10 next month. It would have to epic bomb to not
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
jvm said:
[360] | 385K - 356.7K | = 28.3K
[NDS] | 380K - 342.7K | = 37.3K
[WII] | 260K - 244.3K | = 15.7K
[PS3] | 220K - 226K | = 6K
[PSP] | 85K - 79.4K | = 5.6K
Total = 92.9K
Also nailed the order, I think. Finally. :p
 

Jesse2040

Member
NDS 365 342.7 22.3
360 390 356.7 33.3
Wii 240 244.3 4.3
PS3 230 226 4
PSP 80 79.4 0.6

Total 64.5


oooh going to be a good month for EEDAR!
 

Osuwari

Member
[360] 360k - 356,700 = 3.3k
[NDS] 400k - 342,700 = 56.3k
[PS3] 240k - 226,000 = 14k
[PSP] 80k - 79,400 = 0.6k
[WII] 255k - 244,300 = 10.7k

total error = 84.9k

this has to be my best month ever. almost predicted 360 and PSP perfectly and was soo close on PS3 and Wii. only the DS broke it.
btw, funny how i still overestimated everything despite lowballing like mad.
 

RobertM

Member
[360]370k-356,700=13,300
[NDS]400k-342,700=57,300
[PS3]230k-226,000=4,000
[PSP]90k- 79,400=10,600
[WII]270k-244,300=25,700

110,900

Not bad, but haven't done this in quite a while.
 

donny2112

Member
Jesse2040 said:
Total 64.5


oooh going to be a good month for EEDAR!

*in voice of warden guy from The Mummy*

Apparently they had a very good month.


August 2010 NPD Prediction Results

Units

1. Jesse2040 - 64,500
2. Averon - 69,100
3. Osuwari - 85,900
4. manzo - 87,900
5. jvm - 92,900
6. Road - 95,100
7. timetokill - 95,700
8. operon - 96,700
9. Brakara - 101,700
10. RobertM - 110,900
11. lowlylowlycook - 112,900
12. Saiyar - 117,900
13. GAF_Agg - 118,800
14. Ydahs - 120,700
15. SuperBanjo - 122,900
15. andy_lhc - 122,900
17. doicare - 125,900
18. Rekwest - 127,100
19. skedar897 - 130,100
19. Pachter - 130,100
21. N.A - 130,900
22. NeoUltima - 132,300
23. Jokeropia - 132,900
24. Jonsoncao - 135,900
25. confuziz - 136,700
26. scottnak - 137,700
27. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 139,700
28. KuwabaraTheMan - 141,300
29. jj984jj - 144,900
30. pitseleh - 145,900
31. modulaire - 155,900
31. SonicX_Zero - 155,900
31. Zero-Crescent - 155,900
34. swanlee597 - 157,100
35. Scott32020 - 161,700
36. Strike - 162,900
37. Aad - 166,700
38. Megadragon15 - 167,900
39. rostocker - 168,900
40. donny2112 - 173,900
40. Sadist - 173,900
42. Orgen - 178,700
43. dragct - 185,900
44. archnemesis - 187,900
44. miladesn - 187,900
46. bakemono - 207,900
47. VegaShinra - 210,300
48. sciplore - 210,500
49. perfectchaos007 - 246,700
50. duk - 260,900
50. seady - 260,900
52. crazy monkey - 275,300
53. Mojojo - 293,100
54. Gamemaster_ca_2003 - 300,900


Points

Code:
     August 2010                 Last 3 Months                Overall 2010
1.   Jesse2040         122.97    doicare             306.04   Hiro_Kunimi_80      759.71
2.   Averon            117.08    Strike              299.51   doicare             738.53
3.   manzo             111.99    confuziz            288.82   Jesse2040           725.54
4.   jvm               110.01    Hiro_Kunimi_80      288.23   confuziz            714.79
5.   operon            105.21    Jesse2040           284.61   Strike              705.49
6.   Osuwari           105.2     jvm                 282.57   bakemono            694.54
7.   SuperBanjo        102.52    Brakara             278.26   Pachter             694.5
8.   N.A               101.88    bakemono            269.83   dragct              687
9.   Rekwest           100.19    Averon              268.51   Brakara             684.34
10.  Strike             99.54    rostocker           266.2    jvm                 676.82
11.  pitseleh           99.26    donny2112           264.31   Jokeropia           676.66
12.  Hiro_Kunimi_80     99.22    Pachter             263.08   Jonsoncao           674.84
13.  SonicX_Zero        98.78    N.A                 259.29   Saiyar              674.37
14.  Aad                98.67    Jonsoncao           258.63   rostocker           669.26
15.  rostocker          98.41    archnemesis         258.15   donny2112           666.48
16.  swanlee597         98.02    Jokeropia           257.36   N.A                 665.88
17.  timetokill         97.47    timetokill          255.2    timetokill          656.62
18.  donny2112          97.44    pitseleh            254.19   scottnak            655.34
19.  Sadist             97.42    jj984jj             251.98   modulaire           649.05
20.  miladesn           97.24    Sadist              250.14   Orgen               645.3
21.  archnemesis        95.71    Saiyar              249.27   NeoUltima           638.34
22.  bakemono           95.68    Aad                 248.85   andy_lhc            633.85
23.  Road               95.19    Osuwari             248.74   Aad                 633.66
24.  Brakara            94.72    Orgen               247.08   jj984jj             633.55
25.  VegaShinra         94.21    andy_lhc            246.4    Osuwari             628.93
26.  lowlylowlycook     91.91    lowlylowlycook      245.1    Megadragon15        623.27
27.  RobertM            91.78    dragct              244.3    Scott32020          622.92
28.  doicare            91.77    NeoUltima           244.19   Sadist              620.8
29.  Ydahs              91.43    Scott32020          242.97   archnemesis         612.4
30.  Jokeropia          91.12    SonicX_Zero         242.86   starship            608.61
31.  Pachter            90.71    scottnak            242.65   BLaZiN PRopHeT      601.61
32.  scottnak           90.63    modulaire           242.45   Ydahs               601.05
33.  confuziz           90.51    miladesn            240.07   skedar897           600.71
34.  Jonsoncao          90.36    skedar897           236.33   boontje             596.23
35.  Saiyar             90.36    Megadragon15        232.98   user_nat            591.61
36.  andy_lhc           90.22    Ydahs               227.19   SuperBanjo          591.42
37.  jj984jj            89.47    seady               222.39   lowlylowlycook      591.25
38.  skedar897          89.46    perfectchaos007     218.7    JoshuaJSlone        588.76
39.  Megadragon15       89.43    manzo               197.84   Road                581.41
40.  seady              89.25    starship            188.78   SonicX_Zero         570.07
41.  modulaire          89.1     boontje             185.88   Averon              568.83
42.  NeoUltima          89.08    Road                181.38   Gamemaster_ca_2003  567.62
43.  Zero-Crescent      88.62    operon              181.33   seady               558.15
44.  Orgen              87.87    VegaShinra          181.29   WaltJay             557.13
45.  KuwabaraTheMan     87.07    Zero-Crescent       175.73   VegaShinra          546.34
46.  Scott32020         86.51    SuperBanjo          175.36   perfectchaos007     527.24
47.  dragct             86.08    JoshuaJSlone        164.35   pitseleh            505.28
48.  perfectchaos007    82.45    KuwabaraTheMan      163.34   botticus            503.06
49.  sciplore           82.38    Hyllian             163.13   sciplore            476.63
50.  crazy monkey       81.87    user_nat            161.87   KuwabaraTheMan      467.06

Congratulations, Jesse2040/EEDAR! :D
 
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