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[donny2112]

What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Tuesday, December 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: November 2-29, 2014 (4 weeks, October was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, December 11th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

Good/Bad Formatting

Good              Bad
[PS4] 1000K       [PS4] 1m
[PS4] 1,000,000   [PS4] 1.000.000
[PS4] 1000000     [PS4] - 1000000

Potential hardware impacting events in November:
Summary
XB1 Holiday $50 price drop Nov. 2-Jan. 3 (28 days)
Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4/XB1) - November 3 (27 days)
XB1 CoD: AW bundle ($449) - November 3 (27 days)
Halo: The Master Chief Collection - November 11 (19 days)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4) - November 18 (12 days)
Super Smash Bros. for Wii U - November 21 (9 days)
Pokemon ORAS (3DS) - November 21 (9 days)
PS4 GTAV/TLOU bundle ($399) - November 27 (3 days)
BLACK FRIDAY - November 27 (3 days)

COMPREHENSIVE LIST OF USA RETAIL CONSOLE RELEASES IN THE NOVEMBER 2014 NPD REPORTING PERIOD (2014-11-02 THROUGH 2014-11-29)

Note: Because of the massive amount of releases this month, there may be a few errors in this list. If you find any, please notify either Aquamarine or donny2112. Thank you.


LIST COMPILED BY AQUAMARINE FOR NEOGAF


SONY PLAYSTATION 4:

1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE DAY ZERO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS LIMITED EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $79.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS PRO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) DISNEY INFINITY TOY BOX STARTER PACK 2.0 EDITION (2014-11-04, DISNEY INTERACTIVE, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) MOTOGP 14 (2014-11-04, BANDAI NAMCO, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) ROCKSMITH 2014 EDITION WITH CABLE (2014-11-04, UBISOFT, $79.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) THE WOLF AMONG US (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY COLLECTOR'S EDITION (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $129.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2015 (2014-11-11, KONAMI, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
9) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION DELUXE EDITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $69.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) FAR CRY 4 (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) FAR CRY 4 KYRAT EDITION (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $129.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) GRAND THEFT AUTO V (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) PLAYSTATION 4 500GB SYSTEM BLACK FRIDAY BUNDLE WITH GRAND THEFT AUTO V AND THE LAST OF US REMASTERED (2014-11-27, SCEA + TAKE-TWO, $399.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) LITTLEBIGPLANET 3 (2014-11-18, SCEA, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) LITTLEBIGPLANET 3 DAY ONE EDITION (2014-11-18, SCEA, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) LITTLEBITPLANET 3 PLUSH EDITION (2014-11-18, SCEA, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) MONOPOLY FAMILY FUN PACK (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $29.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) MXGP 14 THE OFFICIAL MOTORCROSS VIDEOGAME (2014-11-18, BANDAI NAMCO, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) RABBIDS INVASION THE INTERACTIVE TV SHOW (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) WWE 2K15 (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
16) WWE 2K15 HULKAMANIA EDITION (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $99.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) AKIBA'S TRIP UNDEAD & UNDRESSED (2014-11-25, XSEED, $49.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

18) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



MICROSOFT XBOX ONE:

1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE DAY ZERO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS LIMITED EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $79.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS PRO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) XBOX ONE LIMITED EDITION CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE BUNDLE (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $449.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) DISNEY INFINITY TOY BOX STARTER PACK 2.0 EDITION (2014-11-04, DISNEY INTERACTIVE, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) ROCKSMITH 2014 EDITION WITH CABLE (2014-11-04, UBISOFT, $79.99), 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) THE WOLF AMONG US (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99), 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY COLLECTOR'S EDITION (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $129.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) XBOX ONE ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY BUNDLE (2014-11-02, MICROSOFT + UBISOFT, $349.99, 28 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) XBOX ONE ASSASSIN'S CREED UNITY BUNDLE KINECT SENSOR EDITION (2014-11-02, MICROSOFT + UBISOFT, $449.99, 28 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) HALO THE MASTER CHIEF COLLECTION (2014-11-11, MICROSOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2015 (2014-11-11, KONAMI, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) SHAPE UP (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION DELUXE EDITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $69.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) FAR CRY 4 (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) FAR CRY 4 KYRAT EDITION (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $129.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) GRAND THEFT AUTO V (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) MINECRAFT XBOX ONE EDITION (2014-11-18, MICROSOFT, $19.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) MONOPOLY FAMILY FUN PACK (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $29.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) RABBIDS INVASION THE INTERACTIVE TV SHOW (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) WWE 2K15 (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
16) WWE 2K15 HULKAMANIA EDITION (2014-11-18, TAKE-TWO, $99.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



MICROSOFT XBOX 360:

1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE DAY ZERO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS LIMITED EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $79.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS PRO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) BIOSHOCK INFINITE THE COMPLETE EDITION (2014-11-04, TAKE-TWO, $39.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) DISNEY INFINITY TOY BOX STARTER PACK 2.0 EDITION (2014-11-04, DISNEY INTERACTIVE, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) MOTOGP 14 (2014-11-04, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) THE WOLF AMONG US (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) ASSASSIN'S CREED ROGUE (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) DIGIMON ALL-STAR RUMBLE (2014-11-11, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $49.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) PAYDAY 2 SAFECRACKER EDITION (2014-11-11, 505 GAMES, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2015 (2014-11-11, KONAMI, $39.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) TROPICO 5 LIMITED SPECIAL EDITION (2014-11-11, KALYPSO, $49.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) ADVENTURE TIME THE SECRET OF THE NAMELESS KINGDOM (2014-11-18, LITTLE ORBIT, $39.99)

13) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
13) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION DELUXE EDITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $69.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) ESCAPE DEAD ISLAND (2014-11-18, DEEP SILVER, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) FAR CRY 4 (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
15) FAR CRY 4 KYRAT EDITION (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $129.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) MIDDLE EARTH SHADOW OF MORDOR (2014-11-18, WARNER BROS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) MXGP 14 THE OFFICIAL MOTORCROSS VIDEOGAME (2014-11-18, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

18) RABBIDS INVASION THE INTERACTIVE TV SHOW (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $29.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

19) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



SONY PLAYSTATION 3:

1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE DAY ZERO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $59.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS LIMITED EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $79.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
1) CALL OF DUTY ADVANCED WARFARE ATLAS PRO EDITION (2014-11-03, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 27 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) BIOSHOCK INFINITE THE COMPLETE EDITION (2014-11-04, TAKE-TWO, $39.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) DISNEY INFINITY TOY BOX STARTER PACK 2.0 EDITION (2014-11-04, DISNEY INTERACTIVE, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) MOTOGP 14 (2014-11-04, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) THE WOLF AMONG US (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) ASSASSIN'S CREED ROGUE (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $59.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) DIGIMON ALL-STAR RUMBLE (2014-11-11, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $49.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
8) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM + THE SLY COLLECTION PLAYSTATION 3 500GB BUNDLE (2014-11-11, SCEA + WARNER BROS, $269.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) PAYDAY 2 SAFECRACKER EDITION (2014-11-11, 505 GAMES, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2015 (2014-11-11, KONAMI, $39.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) ADVENTURE TIME THE SECRET OF THE NAMELESS KINGDOM (2014-11-18, LITTLE ORBIT, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) DRAGON AGE INQUISITION DELUXE EDITION (2014-11-18, ELECTRONIC ARTS, $69.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) ESCAPE DEAD ISLAND (2014-11-18, DEEP SILVER, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) FAR CRY 4 (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
14) FAR CRY 4 KYRAT EDITION (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $129.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) HATSUNE MIKU PROJECT DIVA F 2ND (2014-11-18, SEGA, $49.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) LITTLEBIGPLANET 3 (2014-11-18, SCEA, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) MIDDLE EARTH SHADOW OF MORDOR (2014-11-18, WARNER BROS, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

18) MXGP 14 THE OFFICIAL MOTORCROSS VIDEOGAME (2014-11-18, BANDAI NAMCO, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

19) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



NINTENDO WII U:

1) DISNEY INFINITY TOY BOX STARTER PACK 2.0 EDITION (2014-11-04, DISNEY INTERACTIVE, $59.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) DISNEY PLANES FIRE & RESCUE (2014-11-04, LITTLE ORBIT, $39.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $49.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) SONIC BOOM RISE OF LYRIC (2014-11-11, SEGA, $49.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) WATCH_DOGS (2014-11-18, UBISOFT, $59.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) SUPER SMASH BROS FOR WII U (2014-11-21, NINTENDO, $59.99, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) SUPER SMASH BROS FOR WII U BUNDLE (2014-11-21, NINTENDO, $99.99, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (2014-11-25, LITTLE ORBIT, $39.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



NINTENDO WII:

1) DISNEY PLANES FIRE & RESCUE (2014-11-04, LITTLE ORBIT, $39.9926 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (2014-11-25, LITTLE ORBIT, $29.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) SKYLANDERS TRAP TEAM SUPER BUNDLE PACK (2014-11-27, ACTIVISION, $119.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



NINTENDO 3DS:

1) DISNEY PLANES FIRE AND RESCUE (2014-11-04, LITTLE ORBIT, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) HARVEST MOON THE LOST VALLEY (2014-11-04, NATSUME, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) HELLO KITTY & SANRIO FRIENDS 3D RACING (2014-11-11, MAJESCO, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) SONIC BOOM SHATTERED CRYSTAL (2014-11-11, SEGA, $39.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES DANGER OF THE OOZE (2014-11-11, ACTIVISION, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) TETRIS ULTIMATE (2014-11-11, UBISOFT, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) WINX CLUB SAVING ALFEA (2014-11-11, LITTLE ORBIT, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) ADVENTURE TIME SECRET OF THE NAMELESS KINGDOM (2014-11-18, LITTLE ORBIT, $29.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) POKEMON OMEGA RUBY (2014-11-21, NINTENDO, $39.99, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) POKEMON ALPHA SAPPHIRE (2014-11-21, NINTENDO, $39.99, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) POKEMON OMEGA RUBY + POKEMON ALPHA SAPPHIRE DUAL PACK (2014-11-21, NINTENDO, $79.98, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) PERSONA Q SHADOW OF THE LABYRINTH (2014-11-25, ATLUS, $49.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) PERSONA Q SHADOW THE LABYRINTH THE WILD CARDS PREMIUM EDITION (2014-11-25, ATLUS, $79.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) NINTENDO 3DS XL GAMESTOP EXCLUSIVE PERSONA Q EDITION (2014-11-25, NINTENDO + ATLUS, $199.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (2014-11-25, LITTLE ORBIT, $29.99, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) NINTENDO 3DS XL WITH MARIO PARTY ISLAND TOUR BUNDLE (2014-11-27, NINTENDO, $199.99, 3 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



SONY PLAYSTATION VITA:

1) THE WALKING DEAD SEASON TWO (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) THE WOLF AMONG US (2014-11-04, TELLTALE GAMES, $29.99, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) LEGO BATMAN 3 BEYOND GOTHAM (2014-11-11, WARNER BROS, $29.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) HATSUNE MIKU PROJECT DIVA F 2ND (2014-11-18, SEGA, $39.99, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



NINTENDO DS:

1) WINX CLUB SAVING ALFEA (2014-11-11, LITTLE ORBIT, $19.99, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)



Prediction Format: (repeating to emphasize to use this format)

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

October's Results - estimates for Wii U, PS4, XB1
1. PS4 - 280-295K
2. XB1 - 170K
...
x. WIU - 68K

Winner of October predictions, for reference.

While we don't know how close it was, might as well highlight what the best prediction turned out to be:

[360] 63k
[3DS] 150k
[PS3] 35k
[PS4] 299k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 179k

October 2013 NPD thread
November 2013 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive


Company Holiday PR:
Microsoft:

...since the new price took effect on Nov. 2. Compared to the previous week, Xbox One sales in the US have more than tripled, which is exciting as more and more friends will be playing together this holiday. As we head into the busy holiday season Xbox One led generation 8 console sales in the US for the past two weeks.

Nintendo:

Super Smash Bros. for Wii U is now the fastest-selling Wii U title ever in the U.S. market (dethroning Mario Kart 8), with more than 490,000 physical and digital units combined sold during the three-day period of Nov. 21 through Nov. 23.

 

[BlackBuzzard]

Oh boy the big one.

 

[Wildarmsjecht]

Awwwwan it begins!!!

[360] 400k
[3DS] 800k
[PS3] 250k
[PS4] 1350k
[WIU] 450k
[XB1] 1200k


I think this will be a surprising month!

Edit- upping my numbers

 

[Chocolate & Vanilla]

I'm all tingly inside

 

[Chobel]

[360] 243k
[3DS] 325k
[PS3] 133k
[PS4] 600k
[WIU] 290k
[XB1] 799k

 

[Devilgunman]

[360] 80K
[3DS] 500K
[PS3] 60K
[PS4] 1000K
[WIU] 300K
[XB1] 700K

 

[Daviii]

Shit_just_got_real_greatness_awaits_deep_breathing_intensifies.gif

 

[rokkerkory]

Will probably have to edit later but first guess:

[360] 240k
[3DS] 390k
[PS3] 190k
[PS4] 830k
[WIU] 440k
[XB1] 890k

 

[GnawtyDog]

[PS4] 1000K
[XB1] 1200k
[Wii U] 250k
[360] 100K
[PS3] 65k

 

[Markitron]

One way or another we are guaranteed a good meltdown in the NPD thread, so in the end we all win.

For what it's worth I think the PS4 and XB1 will be neck and neck.

 

[pharmboy044]

The moment of truth........

 

[Daviii]

[360] 75k
[3DS] 180k
[PS3] 70k
[PS4] 950k
[WIU] 300k
[XB1] 940k

 

[HORRORSHØW]

[360] 75K
[3DS] 110K
[PS3] 50K
[PS4] 750K
[WIU] 250K
[XB1] 900K

 

[Jamix012]

[360] 345k
[3DS] 502k
[PS3] 169k
[PS4] 880k
[WIU] 437k
[XB1] 970k

 

[Brew124]

[360] 310k
[3DS] 560k
[PS3] 170k
[PS4] 920k
[WIU] 400k
[XB1] 890k

 

[BlackBuzzard]

[360] 75K
[3DS] 110K
[PS3] 50K
[PS4] 650K
[WIU] 250K
[XB1] 9000K

Dayum XB1 just closed the gap in 1 month.

 

[rokkerkory]

[360] 75K
[3DS] 110K
[PS3] 50K
[PS4] 650K
[WIU] 250K
[XB1] 9000K

hmmm

 

[Elandyll]

This month will be ... interesting

[360] 75k
[3DS] 300k
[PS3] 48k
[PS4] 750k
[WIU] 290k
[XB1] 900k

 

[Anth0ny]

oh god it begins.

hard to compare to last year with PS4/Xbone since the consoles launched, but Wii U was 220k with 3D World launch. I have to imagine it'll do better than that with Smash Bros launch and Mario Kart being out.

360 did 647K last year. 3DS did 770K with Link Between Worlds launch. You'd think that would be up this year thanks to Pokemon, but 3DS HW is down overall from last year, so I wouldn't be surprised if it was about the same, if not lower.

I'd have to say Xbone edges out PS4 just because it was way cheaper. So here we go:

[360] 300k
[3DS] 700k
[PS3] 200k
[PS4] 750k
[WIU] 400k
[XB1] 800k

 

[FinalStageBoss]

PS4 and Xbox number are going to be tough to predict. I expect Xbox to slightly edge out PS4 though, but the difference will be minimal.

 

[NormalFish]

[360] 72k
[3DS] 340k
[PS3] 50k
[PS4] 600k
[WIU] 250k
[XB1] 700k

I'm not very confident, though. Some of the releases have had very mixed reception, and very few totally new games.

 

[HORRORSHØW]

Dayum XB1 just closed the gap in 1 month.

hmmm

you guys clearly haven't seen all the empty pallets of xbones in target.

 

[FullMetaltech]

[360] 73K
[3DS] 130K
[PS3] 47K
[PS4] 710K
[WIU] 275K
[XB1] 890K

 

[spatenfloot]

[360] 170k
[3DS] 422k
[PS3] 90k
[PS4] 867,530
[Vita] 9
[WIU] 333k
[XB1] 888k

I will be updating these again.

 

[BlackBuzzard]

you guys clearly haven't seen all the empty pallets of xbones in target.

So how many is it in pallets?

 

[driver116]

you guys clearly haven't seen all the empty pallets of xbones in target.

9million stuffed?

 

[1st Course]

[360] 220k
[3DS] 450k
[PS3] 140k
[PS4] 850k
[WIU] 350k
[XB1] 800k

 

[mephixto]

[360] 200k
[3DS] 500k
[PS3] 100k
[PS4] 950k
[WIU] 600k
[XB1] 850k

I was willing to give november to the X1, but if the top sellers in amazon is indicative of something it seems that the PS4 got this at the end.

 

[TomShoe]

I'll do what I always do and steal numbers from some of the top point-getters, then change them a little. 3rdamention got me top 40 last time.

 

[Markitron]

you guys clearly haven't seen all the empty pallets of xbones in target.

Do you not realise what they are referring to or do you really think the XB1 sold 9 million in one month?

 

[Vena]

[360] 90k
[3DS] 600k
[PS3] 50k
[PS4] 850k
[WIU] 600k
[XB1] 1000k

Seems fairly good, may tweak later.

 

[WhiskerFrisker]

[360] 70k
[3DS] 270k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 905k
[WIU] 220k
[XB1]890k

I still think the PS4 will end up selling better than the X1, but not by much. The X1 had incredible deals which increased sales for the X1. The Wii U saw the release of Smash Bros. which has been very popular, even among non-gamers with some history with the series. I believe Smash will be the best selling first party title by a large margin this month. I predict second or third place in all format charts. As for the rest, I expect a modest bump in sales as a result of the slashes in price. This NPD will be so good.

 

[Welfare]

Fuck it. Going big.

[360] 275K
[3DS] 585K
[PS3] 85K
[PS4] 1050K
[WIU] 300K
[XB1] 1300K

 

[theprodigy]

I'll do what I always do and steal numbers from some of the top point-getters, then change them a little. 3rdamention got me top 40 last time.

lmao that's my Media Create strat cause wtf are all those random ass games, I generally rely on myself more for NPD though

preliminary predictions:
[XB1] 888k
[PS4] 777k
[3DS] 500k
[WIU] 333k
[360] 300k
[PS3] 200k

 

[Stilton Disco]

[360] 250k
[3DS] 750k
[PS3] 150k
[PS4] 1300k
[WIU] 300k
[XB1] 1200k

 

[Patapwn]

[360] 250k
[3DS] 450k
[PS3] 150k
[PS4] 850k
[WIU] 400k
[XB1] 950k

Giving the win to xbox by 100k

 

[tesla246]

[360]115k
[3DS]312k
[PS3]139k
[PS4]830k
[WiiU]476k
[XB1]632k

EDIT: first timer here. We'll see how it goes...

 

[GamerJM]

[360] 250k
[3DS] 400k
[PS3] 105k
[PS4] 680k
[WIU] 256k
[XB1] 940k

 

[psrock]

[360] 530k
[3DS] 650k
[PS3] 350k
[PS4] 900k
[WIU] 450k
[XB1] 1100k

 

[donny2112]

you guys clearly haven't seen all the empty pallets of xbones in target.

I would throw out your prediction, as-is. Just FYI. Highest monthly total ever was Wii at < 4m in December 2009. Highest November ever was Wii at ~2m in 2008 (December stock moved to November, December was actually < November, as a result). For reference.

 

[Patapwn]

I would throw out your prediction, as-is. Just FYI. Highest monthly total ever was Wii at < 4m in December 2009. Highest November ever was Wii at ~2m in 2008 (December stock moved to November, December was actually < November, as a result). For reference.

Internet, meet my friend sarcasm

 

[Ty4on]

Very interesting month indeed. Even if we ignore the two elephants what will Nintendo's holiday boost look like with the WiiU doing much better than last year and the 3DS doing way worse. Then we have last gen which had been doing really poorly, but started improving lately.

 

[donny2112]

Internet, meet my friend sarcasm

I don't include obviously joking or sarcastic predictions in the results. It would unnecessarily throw the averages off.

 

[apmusson]

My first go at this. Here we go.

[360] 425k
[3DS] 700k
[PS3] 325k
[PS4] 786k
[WIU] 532k
[XB1] 1076k

Based on nothing more than the discussions I have seen on GAF.

 

[JaguarCROW]

[360] 120k
[3DS] 450k
[PS3] 125k
[PS4] 1120k
[WIU] 242k
[XB1] 980k

 

[Chobel]

Amazon best sellers for November:

#3 XB1 AC bundle Kinectless
#17 PS4 GTA V bundle (out of stock now)
#20 PS4 (Default SKU)
#56 XB1 AC Bundle with Kinect
#65 PS4 Destiny bundle
#70 XB1 COD:AW bundle

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-11/videogames?tag=viglink20241-20#1

 

[StoopKid]

I think xbone and ps4 will be close to a million.

 

[Canis lupus]

[360] 350k
[3DS] 540k
[PS3] 240k
[PS4] 1300k
[WIU] 370k
[XB1] 1450k

 

[Conduit]

[PS4] 800k
[XB1] 700k
[PS3] 100k
[360] 200k
[WIU] 350k
[3DS] 150k
[PSV] 70k

Gifs :

Joker-herewego.gif
Breaking bad - saymyname.gif

will be ready if PS4 wins November.

 

[Welfare]

Amazon best sellers for November:

#3 XB1 AC bundle Kinectless
#17 PS4 GTA V bundle (out of stock now)
#20 PS4 (Default SKU)
#53 XB1 AC Bundle with Kinect
#65 PS4 Destiny bundle
#70 XB1 COD:AW bundle

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-11/videogames?tag=viglink20241-20#1

Oh jeez that #3 spot.