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[donny2112]

What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, October 14th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: August 31-October 4, 2014 (5 weeks, August was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, October 16th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

Good/Bad Formatting

Good              Bad
[PS4] 300K       [PS4] 300 thousand
[PS4] 300,000    [PS4] 300.000
[PS4] 300000     [PS4] - 300000

Potential hardware impacting events in September:
Summary
XB1 free game with system purchase promotion - September 7-13 (7 days)
Destiny PS4/XB1 - September 9 (26 days)
White PS4/Destiny bundle ($450) - September 9 (26 days)
Super Smash Bros. themed 3DSXL Blue/Red ($200) - September 19 (16 days)
Super Smash Bros. for 3DS - October 3 (2 days)

Full Release List (thanks, Aquamarine!)
For future reference, here is a comprehensive list of the physical retail, console releases (excluding accessories) within the September 2014 NPD Reporting Period (August 31st, 2014 through October 4th, 2014).

A special thanks to Aquamarine who compiled this list.




PS4 RELEASES:

1) WARRIORS OROCHI 3 ULTIMATE (TECMO KOEI, RELEASED 2014-09-02, $59.99 MSRP, 33 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) NHL 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
3) NHL 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $69.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) DESTINY (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) DESTINY LIMITED EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $99.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) DESTINY GHOST EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $149.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
7) PLAYSTATION 4 HARDWARE GLACIER WHITE DESTINY BUNDLE (SONY + ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $449.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

8) AIR CONFLICTS VIETNAM ULTIMATE EDITION (MAJESCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $29.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)

9) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $74.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $149.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES PREMIUM VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $174.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK COLLECTOR'S EDITION (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $179.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) FIFA 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $59.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
14) FIFA 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $69.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) NATURAL DOCTRINE (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
16) NATURAL DOCTRINE (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $79.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) CRIMES & PUNISHMENTS SHERLOCK HOMES (FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

18) MIDDLE-EARTH SHADOW OF MORDOR (WB GAMES, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




XBO RELEASES:

1) WARRIORS OROCHI 3 ULTIMATE (TECMO KOEI, RELEASED 2014-09-02, $59.99 MSRP, 33 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) NHL 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
3) NHL 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $69.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) DESTINY (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) DESTINY LIMITED EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $99.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) DESTINY GHOST EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $149.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $74.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
8) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $149.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
9) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES PREMIUM VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $179.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) KILLER INSTINCT COMBO BREAKER PACK (MICROSOFT, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $19.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

11) FIFA 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $59.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) FIFA 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $69.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

13) CRIMES & PUNISHMENTS SHERLOCK HOMES (FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) FORZA HORIZON 2 (MICROSOFT, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
15) FORZA HORIZON 2 DAY ONE EDITION (MICROSOFT, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) MIDDLE-EARTH SHADOW OF MORDOR (WB GAMES, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




360 RELEASES:

1) NHL 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
2) NHL 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $69.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) DESTINY (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
4) DESTINY LIMITED EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $99.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) DESTINY GHOST EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $149.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) NARUTO SHIPPUDEN ULTIMATE NINJA STORM REVOLUTION (BANDAI NAMCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $49.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)
7) NARUTO SHIPPUDEN ULTIMATE NINJA STORM REVOLUTION DAY ONE EDITION (BANDAI NAMCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $49.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)

8) XBOX 360 HARDWARE 500GB HOLIDAY VALUE BUNDLE (MICROSOFT + ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $249.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)

9) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $74.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
10) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $149.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
11) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES PREMIUM VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $179.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

12) FIFA 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $59.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
13) FIFA 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $69.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

14) FALLING SKIES THE GAME (MAJESCO, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $39.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

15) CRIMES & PUNISHMENTS SHERLOCK HOMES (FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $49.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) PERSONA 4 ARENA ULTIMAX (ATLUS, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) FORZA HORIZON 2 (MICROSOFT, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $49.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




PS3 RELEASES:

1) NHL 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
2) NHL 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $69.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) DESTINY (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $59.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
4) DESTINY LIMITED EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $99.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) DESTINY GHOST EDITION (ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $149.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) PLAYSTATION 3 HARDWARE 500GB DESTINY BUNDLE (SONY + ACTIVISION, RELEASED 2014-09-09, $269.99 MSRP, 26 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

7) NARUTO SHIPPUDEN ULTIMATE NINJA STORM REVOLUTION (BANDAI NAMCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $49.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)
8) NARUTO SHIPPUDEN ULTIMATE NINJA STORM REVOLUTION DAY ONE EDITION (BANDAI NAMCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $49.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)

9) FAIRY FENCER F (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $49.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)
10) FAIRY FENCER F LIMITED EDITION (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $74.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF TRACKING)

11) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $74.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
12) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $149.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
13) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES PREMIUM VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $174.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
14) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK COLLECTOR'S EDITION (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $179.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
15) PLAYSTATION 3 HARDWARE 12 GB DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 BUNDLE (SONY + DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $249.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

16) ARCANA HEART 3 LOVE MAX (AKSYS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $39.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

17) AR NOSURGE ODE TO AN UNBORN STAR (TECMO KOEI, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $49.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
18) AR NOSURGE ODE TO AN UNBORN STAR LIMITED EDITION (TECMO KOEI, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $64.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

19) FIFA 15 (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $59.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
20) FIFA 15 ULTIMATE EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $69.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

21) FALLING SKIES THE GAME (MAJESCO, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $39.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

22) NATURAL DOCTRINE (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $39.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
23) NATURAL DOCTRINE LIMITED EDITION (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $69.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

24) CRIMES & PUNISHMENTS SHERLOCK HOMES (FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $49.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

25) PERSONA 4 ARENA ULTIMAX (ATLUS, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




WII U RELEASES:

1) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES STARTER PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $74.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
2) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $149.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
3) DISNEY INFINITY 2.0 MARVEL SUPER HEROES PREMIUM VALUE PACK (DISNEY INTERACTIVE, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $179.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) WII U HARDWARE 32 GB SUPER MARIO 3D WORLD + NINTENDO LAND DELUXE BUNDLE (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-26, $299.99 MSRP, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) WII U HARDWARE 32 GB MARIO KART 8 + NINTENDO LAND DELUXE BUNDLE (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-26, $299.96 MSRP, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) HYRULE WARRIORS (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-26, $59.99 MSRP, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
7) HYRULE WARRIORS LIMITED EDITION (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-26, $59.99 MSRP, 9 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




WII RELEASES:

1) FIFA 15 LEGACY EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $29.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




3DS RELEASES:

1) COOKING MAMA 5 BON APPETIT (MAJESCO, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $29.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

2) THEATRHYTHM FINAL FANTASY CURTAIN CALL (SQUARE ENIX, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $39.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
3) THEATRHYTHM FINAL FANTASY CURTAIN CALL LIMITED EDITION (SQUARE ENIX, RELEASED 2014-09-16, $39.99 MSRP, 19 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) NINTENDO 3DS XL HARDWARE RED SUPER SMASH BROS. EDITION (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-19, $199.99 MSRP, 16 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
5) NINTENDO 3DS XL HARDWARE BLUE SUPER SMASH BROS. EDITION (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-19, $199.99 MSRP, 16 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

6) NINTENDO 2DS HARDWARE CRIMSON RED MARIO KART 7 BUNDLE (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-22, $129.99 MSRP, 13 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
7) NINTENDO 2DS HARDWARE ELECTRIC BLUE MARIO KART 7 BUNDLE (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-22, $129.99 MSRP, 13 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
8) NINTENDO 2DS HARDWARE SEA GREEN MARIO KART 7 BUNDLE (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-09-22, $129.99 MSRP, 13 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

9) FIFA 15 LEGACY EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $29.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

10) SUPER SMASH BROS. FOR 3DS (NINTENDO, RELEASED 2014-10-03, $39.99 MSRP, 2 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




PSV RELEASES:

1) DANGANRONPA 2 GOODBYE DESPAIR (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-02, $39.99 MSRP, 33 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
2) DANGANRONPA 2 GOODBYE DESPAIR LIMITED EDITION (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-02, $59.99 MSRP, 33 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

3) ARCANA HEART 3 LOVE MAX (AKSYS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $39.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

4) FIFA 15 LEGACY EDITION (ELECTRONIC ARTS, RELEASED 2014-09-23, $39.99 MSRP, 12 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)

5) NATURAL DOCTRINE (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $39.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)
6) NATURAL DOCTRINE LIMITED EDITION (NIS AMERICA, RELEASED 2014-09-30, $59.99 MSRP, 5 DAYS OF NPD TRACKING)




DS RELEASES:

NONE




*Note: The accompanying pictures do not comprehensively represent every minor Limited Edition release. And, the list does not include retailer bundles created independently of the manufacturer.


August's Results - thanks to various angles

PS4 - ~190K
XB1 - ~160k
3DS - ~91k
Wii U - ~59k
360 - ~50k
PS3 - ~27k

August 2013 NPD thread
September 2013 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

 

[Krakn3Dfx]

[360] 42k
[3DS] 85k
[PS3] 29k
[PS4] 260k
[WIU] 64k
[XB1] 170k

 

[Mory Dunz]

Hyrule warriors isn't listed as notably hardware impacting?

Poor Wii U.

Spoiler

lol

 

[ferrasvansen]

Will give this a try, I'm not the best at predictions but maybe one day I might get close.


[360] 48k
[3DS] 79k
[PS3] 35k
[PS4] 425k
[WIU] 44k
[XB1] 250k

 

[stryke]

[360] 42k
[3DS] 85k
[PS3] 29k
[PS4] 260k
[WIU] 64k
[XB1] 170k

This would be a terrible September.

 

[Duxxy3]

[360] 60k
[3DS] 150k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 350k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 250k

Going out on a limb with that 3DS number. PS4 number could be too low.

 

[shwimpy]

This would be a terrible September.

Seriously. He thinks everything bombed.

 

[Cess007]

[PS4] 390k
[XB1] 280k
[3DS] 100k
[WIU] 63k
[360] 40k
[PS3] 35k


I think this month is too hard to predict, but i'll give it a try : )

 

[Chobel]

[360] 65k
[3DS] 110k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 410k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 330k

[360] 42k
[3DS] 85k
[PS3] 29k
[PS4] 260k
[WIU] 64k
[XB1] 170k

You know September has 5 weeks of tracking, right?

 

[Chobel]

Sorry, double post.

 

[Aquamarine]

[360] 65K
[3DS] 125K
[PS3] 37K
[PS4] 408K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 267K

 

[RE_Player]

[360] 50k
[3DS] 80k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 433k
[WIU] 30k
[XB1] 220k

 

[mejin]

[360] 70k
[3DS] 80k
[PS3] 50k
[PS4] 470k
[WIU] 65k
[XB1] 265k

 

[Welfare]

[360] 65K
[3DS] 149K
[PS3] 34K
[PS4] 510K
[WIU] 79K
[XB1] 328K

Fuck it. 79k is the final number!

 

[GifGafIsTheBestGaf]

[PS4] 490K
[XB1] 300K
[3DS] 100K
[PS3] 32K
[WIU] 100K
[360] 55K

will update the others later

 

[Megadragon15]

[360] 60K
[3DS] 100K
[PS3] 40K
[PS4] 430K
[WIU] 65K
[XB1] 280K

 

[TheCarrotKiller]

[PS4] 498k
[XB1] 327k
[3DS] 108k
[WIU] 71k
[360] 72k
[PS3] 42k

Honestly I can't say if my numbers are too high or too low (like +-125k for PS4), extremely difficult month!

 

[GamerJM]

[360] 48k
[3DS] 100k
[PS3] 29k
[PS4] 390k
[WIU] 65k
[XB1] 200k

 

[Bgamer90]

Have a feeling that many people are going to be off by a lot this month (heh).

[PS4] 425K
[XB1] 240K
[3DS] 110K
[WIU] 68K
[360] 60K
[PS3] 38K

 

[Lexxism]

[360] 61k
[3DS] 135k
[PS3] 42k
[PS4] 435k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 279k

 

[AngryMoth]

I'll have a go since it's a pretty interesting month

[360] 60k
[3DS] 110k
[PS3] 45k
[PS4] 425k
[WIU] 55k
[XB1] 265k

Thing I'm probably most curious about is the current vs last gen split on destiny, hope we get a leak on that. My guess is 2/3 current gen

 

[SwiftDeath]

[PS4] 432k
[XB1] 265k
[3DS] 128k
[WIU] 70k
[360] 66k
[PS3] 35k

I really don't know this month. Will be updating a hell of a lot probably

 

[Blanquito]

Yay, here we go again!

Amazon analysis for September:

[3] - SSB 3DS
[5] - Destiny PS4
[6] - White PS4 + Destiny
[7] - Destiny XBO
[8] - Hyrule Warriors
[9] - Destiny 360
[11] - PS4
[15] - Shadow of Mordor PS4
[17] - FIFA 15 PS4
[21] - TLoU Remaster
[28] - XBO
[29] - Bloodborne CE (wow!)
[41] - Shadow of Mordor XBO
[56] - GTA5 PS4
[57] - MCC
[71] - Forza Horizon 2 XBO
[84] - CoD AW XBO
[85] - Vita + Borderlands
[90] - CoD AW PS4

No 360 or PS3 charting in top 100 (unless I missed it).

Important Notes about Amazon

• Preorders show up in Amazon rankings in the month they were preordered. So preorders made in Aug for PS4+Destiny show up in Aug and do not affect Sept sales rankings
• Destiny+White PS4 have outsold XBO on Amazon in each month that it was available (useful for trying to predict Sept total white PS4 sales??)
• PS4+Destiny has sold more than any other XBO SKU in yearly sales, though it's not a good comparison because there have been tons of different XBO SKUs.

This is going to be a hard month to predict. If black PS4 numbers stayed true to August weekly sales rates, then just the black PS4 would have sold 237.5k in Sept (due to 5 weeks). And since it appears that the White PS4 outsold the black PS4 in Sept sales alone (not including preorders from previous months), then... potential for big numbers?

Edit: just for fun (personally I think I'm going to be way off, which is why I hardly put up predictions anyway)

[PS4] 600k
[XB1] 250k

 

[zulux21]

is there a reason why the vita isn't included at all in these predictions?

anyways
[360] 60k
[3DS] 195k
[PS3] 42k
[PS4] 490k
[WIU] 111k
[XB1] 310k

 

[Welfare]

is there a reason why the vita isn't included at all in these predictions?

Ridiculously low sales?

 

[Jimmyfenix]

[360] 68k
[3DS] 110k
[PS3] 66k
[PS4] 450k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 300k

 

[plainr_]

[PS4] 395k
[XB1] 275k
[3DS] 130k
[WIU] 80k
[360] 70k
[PS3] 40k

 

[HORRORSHØW]

[ps4] 390k
[xb1] 300k
[3ds] 100k
[wiu] 90k
[360] 75k
[ps3] 35k

 

[theprodigy]

Yay, here we go again!

Amazon analysis for September:

[3] - SSB 3DS
[5] - Destiny PS4
[6] - White PS4 + Destiny
[7] - Destiny XBO
[8] - Hyrule Warriors
[9] - Destiny 360
[11] - PS4
[15] - Shadow of Mordor PS4
[17] - FIFA 15 PS4
[21] - TLoU Remaster
[28] - XBO
[29] - Bloodborne CE (wow!)
[41] - Shadow of Mordor XBO
[56] - GTA5 PS4
[57] - MCC
[71] - Forza Horizon 2 XBO
[84] - CoD AW XBO
[85] - Vita + Borderlands
[90] - CoD AW PS4

just to get more insight on the new stuff this month, here's the ones that appear on the yearly list (i.e. counts preorders, most notably for Destiny, regular hardware and games that came out in previous months obviously excluded for being there the whole year):
[13] - Destiny PS4
[14] - Destiny XB1
[23] - Super Smash Bros. 3DS
[34] - PS4 Destiny bundle
[57] - Destiny 360
[65] - Hyrule Warriors

everything else either isn't in the top 100 or already come out previously, also note that September NPD actually ends October 4 so Smash 3DS in particular could still move up a spot or two

 

[Rymuth]

[PS4] 395k
[XB1] 234k
[3DS] 120k
[WIU] 85k
[360] 71k
[PS3] 43k

 

[Aquamarine]

[ps4] 390k
[xbone] 300k
[3ds] 100k
[wiiu] 90k
[360] 75k
[ps3] 35k

The OP (donny2112) uses an algorithm to capture all of our predictions at the end of the month and rank them.

It doesn't account for discrepancies like "[xbone]" and "[wiiu]," so please be sure to use the proper formatting as specified in the first post.


Basically, you should change "[xbone]" to "[XB1] and "[wiiu]" to "[WIU]"

 

[SwiftDeath]

It should be [XB1] not [XBO] or [Xbone]

 

[Orthogonal]

[PS4] 440k
[XB1] 330k
[3DS] 120k
[WIU] 80k
[360] 70k
[PS3] 55k

Tough month to predict. Lots of big releases. I think hardware does well but not great.

 

[djplaeskool]

[29] - Bloodborne CE (wow!)

Geez.
The hype is real.

 

[SwiftDeath]

Hmm I wouldn't read too much into CE/LE sales rankings on Amazon simply because they are a fantastic place to order from for resellers. No money upfront, ability to change the shipping address to the person they sell it to a few days before release, easy cancellation. Amazon is a reseller of CE's wet dreams

I am not a reseller of CE's if that somehow matters

 

[Zero-Crescent]

[360] 91k
[3DS] 260k
[PS3] 80k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 348k
[PS4] 460k

 

[Orthogonal]

I'll edit this post with my predictions later, once some more retail insights come in.

Do it blind like the rest of us plebs.

 

[MasterSheen]

[360] 62k
[3DS] 150k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 375k
[WIU] 73k
[XB1] 250k

 

[pip77]

[360] 40k
[3DS] 88k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 251k
[WIU] 60k
[XB1] 200k

 

[Godzilla's Left Toe]

[360] 40k
[3DS] 75k
[PS3] 30k
[PS4] 350k
[WIU] 60k
[XB1] 200k

 

[vicissitudes]

First time playing. Fun month.

[360] 62k
[3DS] 133k
[PS3] 32k
[PS4] 420k
[WIU] 78k
[XB1] 255k

I adjusted my PS4/XB1 numbers a bit after hearing retail impressions, but I have trouble thinking PS4 doubled XB1 sales or more in such a high volume month, so this is about as high as I'm willing to go.

 

[Radec]

[PS4] 500K
[XB1] 300K
[3DS] 100K
[WIU] 70K
[360] 70K
[PS3] 40K

Fun month.

 

[Abdiel]

Hello all, Abdiel's Best Buy snapshot.

So, I had expected the ps4 to do well, but it did very, very well. The white bundle brought in a ton of new consumers, and even some current owners (like myself, actually) bought the white one as well (I sold my launch unit to a friend who struggles with finances, letting him pay me back over time, haha). We actually cleared our stock in almost over store in our district at least once, and needed replenishment. Crazy stuff. I remain keenly interested to see how other chains reflect this, though I know the game stop near my home did impressive numbers as well.

The XB1 still sold well, and certainly didn't lose momentum from the previous month, but there was a distinct gap in sales. Very distinct. Though I don't think anyone assumed the XB1 would win Destiny month.

Destiny continued to sell pretty Damn well after launch, though some consumers were clearly wavering as they considered. Word of mouth and friends pushing friends to join in the online chaos clearly did wonders.

Wii U is really struggling. The parents buying games for kids group seems largely in the dark now that the MK8 push has faded. Not sure how it will work out.

So yeah. Hope this still ends up on the first page.

 

[astrogamer]

[360] 60k
[3DS] 121k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 385k
[WIU] 80k
[XB1] 225k

 

[1st Course]

[360] 60k
[3DS] 150k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 370k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 230k

 

[SwiftDeath]

Thanks Abdiel. As always much appreciated!

You really should've gone for a Oreo PS4 setup though

Not my photo, but another gaffers

 

[Road]

[360] 66k
[3DS] 144k
[PS3] 33k
[PS4] 444k
[WIU] 77k
[XB1] 277k

 

[Miles X]

How do you even begin to estimate this month ...

[360] 85k
[3DS] 120k
[PS3] 60k
[PS4] 420k
[WIU] 85k
[XB1] 320k

 

[Boke1879]

Hello all, Abdiel's Best Buy snapshot.

So, I had expected the ps4 to do well, but it did very, very well. The white bundle brought in a ton of new consumers, and even some current owners (like myself, actually) bought the white one as well (I sold my launch unit to a friend who struggles with finances, letting him pay me back over time, haha). We actually cleared our stock in almost over store in our district at least once, and needed replenishment. Crazy stuff. I remain keenly interested to see how other chains reflect this, though I know the game stop near my home did impressive numbers as well.

The XB1 still sold well, and certainly didn't lose momentum from the previous month, but there was a distinct gap in sales. Very distinct. Though I don't think anyone assumed the XB1 would win Destiny month.

Destiny continued to sell pretty Damn well after launch, though some consumers were clearly wavering as they considered. Word of mouth and friends pushing friends to join in the online chaos clearly did wonders.

Wii U is really struggling. The parents buying games for kids group seems largely in the dark now that the MK8 push has faded. Not sure how it will work out.

So yeah. Hope this still ends up on the first page.

Thank you for this insight.

 

[IAmRandom31]

[360] 90k
[3DS] 110k
[PS3] 100k
[PS4] 650k
[WIU] 55k
[XB1] 180k