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Wkd Box Office 0219-2116 - Two godmen, a mermaid, and a pizza place?
- Thread starter xaosslug
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Vault Dweller 111
Member
So i'm overrating Civil War, rather than you guys underrating it?
<$400 million seems low to me.
I think it will beat everything except maybe Rogue One this year.
<$400 million seems low to me.
I think it will beat everything except maybe Rogue One this year.
Wait, the new movie is just going to be called Jason Bourne? It's not going to be another "The Bourne __________"?
I liked those titles.
I wouldn't be surprised if both McAvoy and Fassbender re-sign for another few movies -- at least to ensure the new group of kids can hold their own. They both enjoy making the films and are good friends.
Avengers: Age of Ultron made $460 million domestic last summer, though its reception was somewhat middling compared to the previous film in the series. Civil War is basically being marketed as an unofficial Avengers film, so I think, account for a bit of bleed-off for the lack of the name (and Thor and the Hulk), around $400 million is a solid place to peg it for now.
WhiteRabbitEXE
Member
Nah, higher for sure. For comparison's sake, Jurassic World still had ~$15 million left in it at this point (66 days) and Star Wars is currently clearing 2-3 times as much daily (and sometimes more) when release-aligned. $935 should be the absolute minimum, with mid-$940's being a pretty safe bet methinks. Upper bound in the mid-$950's. Personally I just want to see $948.5 so that it can edge out Snow White for #10 all-time adjusted for inflation. That would be crazy.
So fucking close to $1b domestic. I wonder how long it will be until something finally does it and what it will be. No way is VIII hitting TFA numbers, even if it's universally considered to be better, and I doubt Avatar 2 could touch even Avatar's domestic haul.
Edit: Shit, I forgot to take into account Jurassic World's minor reissue push near the end. Still, even then I'm thinking it should clear $935m.
After some consideration, I think it's time we put your ass where your mouth is. Let's do a twerk bet Chamber. I have to make you pay for your confidence.
If Apocalypse grosses higher than Days domestically, you need to show your twerking skills to us all. If not, then naturally I shall have to put up a video or suffer the punishment for dishonouring the gamble.
What say you?
I think CW is genuinely a tough call to make. It's not an Avengers movie but it's got the cast of one. But the last Avengers film underperformed relative to expectations and Winter Soldier only made $260M DOM. I'm expecting right around $400M +/-$15M but I'm not too confident with that either.
You people lack faith in Iron Man. He's all over the marketing so he should be able to get it into the high 300s at least. Balee in Tony Stark, even if I want Mr. Rogers to beat him up.
WhiteRabbitEXE
Member
They should call it:
The Bourne, Jason
or for maximum effect:
The Bourne, Jason Bourne
This one is good, just need to add The Name's Bourne, Jason Bourne for greatness.
Sho_Nuff82
Member
Aside from his powers-origin story, it's pretty much a laugh-a-minute comedy that never takes itself too seriously.
The R-rated action scenes were mostly icing, and they were rather well done considering the budget.
The others used titles from the Bourne series of books. They have to make up new titles because there were only a few books.
Im happy for Ryan Reynolds, it's nice to see him star in a big blockbuster. Dude is too charming and talented to keep appearing in shit movies.
I'm looking forward to seeing how hard 'Gods of Egypt' bombs.
The trailers couldn't be less exciting if they tried. It's just B and C list actors talking in front of a green screen. Fucking yawn-fest.
I'm looking forward to seeing how hard 'Gods of Egypt' bombs.
The trailers couldn't be less exciting if they tried. It's just B and C list actors talking in front of a green screen. Fucking yawn-fest.
I don't know... the trailer seemed to show off an interesting concept that could attract an audience.
Mister Wilhelm
Member
I think one thing a lot of people are missing is that Deadpool had a sub-60 million budget.
It's outperforming movies in the same genre that cost three to nearly four times more while also being rated R. Madness.
It's outperforming movies in the same genre that cost three to nearly four times more while also being rated R. Madness.
I love that the trimming of the budget before filiming lead to the forgetting of the guns scene.
Goes to show, necessity is the mother of invention.
OG_Original Gamer
Member
Saw Dead Pool, this Saturday and loved every moment. Ticket sales are definitely deserved.
CosmicGroinPull
Member
So happy for deadpool.
When I found out about Zoolander having a sequel, I wondered: who asked for this? Thankfully, the answer is: VERY few people.
When I found out about Zoolander having a sequel, I wondered: who asked for this? Thankfully, the answer is: VERY few people.
ElBoxyBrown
Banned
A lot of people wanted a sequel.....................15 years ago. They took too long and the interest diminished not to mention the movie is just bad all around.
igordennis
Member
Oh man i didn't know about this. Maximum effort.
1st Course
Member
This is crazy. Any idea what the expected final numbers will be like?
I think it's more up to Tom Cruise, last I read there was a script made for his Tropic Thunder character back in 2011. But yea it's probably more pipedream than passion project
I thought the first one was great, but it was great in a way that is really difficult to recreate. Same with 'Dumb and Dumber' and 'Anchorman'. None of these 3 movies had any business getting a sequel. They stand on their own perfectly, and the sequels were completely unnecessary and added nothing (except another paycheck for the actors).
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Viacom seeking minority investor for Paramount Pictures
I mean, with Legendary Pictures selling at $3.5B with Wanda, why wouldn't they - probably China.
http://seekingalpha.com/news/3129966-viacom-5-percent-confirms-paramount-investment-feelers
I mean, with Legendary Pictures selling at $3.5B with Wanda, why wouldn't they - probably China.
http://seekingalpha.com/news/3129966-viacom-5-percent-confirms-paramount-investment-feelers
The Mermaid is now sitting at around $440M in China after making an estimated $8.3M today. The film should be around $475M by the end of the week. Chinese box office can cool down quickly for a particular film as newer films launch, but I don't see how the Mermaid misses $500M.
He must be grinning from ear to ear just knowing that this movie has vindicated him in his pursuit of making a Deadpool movie. The people at Fox much feel like idiots for not green lighting this movie sooner.
The number one X-Men movie domestically and number two worldwide. An R-Rated X-Men movie staring Deadpool that only cost 50+ million to produce. This movie is already changing the comic book movie landscape.
Very happy for ryan my guess he is doing it everytime he walks into fox "told ya so!" out loud.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Looks like Deadpool should pass half-a-billion worldwide today, its 10th day of release.
Also: Looking at Force Awakens worldwide numbers, the only other movies to rank in the top 25 with less than 60% of the total being international:
#5) The Avengers, 59%
#16) The Dark Knight RIses, 58%
#21) The Phantom Menace, 53%
#25) The Dark Knight, 46.8%
Force Awakens is #3, with 54% of that coming from international. Everything else has international counting for at least 60% or more of their worldwide total, with most of the top 25 settling somewhere in the 65-75% range.
Also: Looking at Force Awakens worldwide numbers, the only other movies to rank in the top 25 with less than 60% of the total being international:
#5) The Avengers, 59%
#16) The Dark Knight RIses, 58%
#21) The Phantom Menace, 53%
#25) The Dark Knight, 46.8%
Force Awakens is #3, with 54% of that coming from international. Everything else has international counting for at least 60% or more of their worldwide total, with most of the top 25 settling somewhere in the 65-75% range.
Can Crusher
Banned
Expecting Suicide Squad to make as much money as Civil War on the back of Deadpool being such a massive hit is looney math.
Boxoffice.com's final weekend prediction for Gods of Egypt is $10.5M. Obviously, Deadpool is expected to threepeat.
The Dark Knight is getting bumped off that list this year. I think it will be the last film to ever appear on the WW top 25 without taking at least 50% of its gross overseas. The cut off is just getting to be too high for domestic to pick up the slack.
I don't think we have 5 movies with the potential to break $1B worldwide this year to boot TPM, but by the summer of 2017, we might be looking at a Top 25 where The Force Awakens is the most domestic skewed title on there. I guess it will depend on how Rogue One does, but I would imagine that it will end up doing proportionally overseas (assuming it hits $1B). If only because of China.
The Dark Knight is getting bumped off that list this year. I think it will be the last film to ever appear on the WW top 25 without taking at least 50% of its gross overseas. The cut off is just getting to be too high for domestic to pick up the slack.
I don't think we have 5 movies with the potential to break $1B worldwide this year to boot TPM, but by the summer of 2017, we might be looking at a Top 25 where The Force Awakens is the most domestic skewed title on there. I guess it will depend on how Rogue One does, but I would imagine that it will end up doing proportionally overseas (assuming it hits $1B). If only because of China.
If we are making domestic gross predictions, I think the box office is going to explode this year in an unprecedented way.
Rogue One: 650M
Civil War: 500M (That spider-man bump)
ID4: 400M
B vs. Superman: 350M
Suicide Squade: 300M
The Secret Life of Pets: 300M
Dr. Strange: 225M
Apocalypse: 220M
Star Trek: 200M
Warcraft: 115M (big overseas though)
Bombas:
Jungle Book
Egyptian Game of Thrones Movie
Ghostbusters
Rogue One: 650M
Civil War: 500M (That spider-man bump)
ID4: 400M
B vs. Superman: 350M
Suicide Squade: 300M
The Secret Life of Pets: 300M
Dr. Strange: 225M
Apocalypse: 220M
Star Trek: 200M
Warcraft: 115M (big overseas though)
Bombas:
Jungle Book
Egyptian Game of Thrones Movie
Ghostbusters
NOLA_Gaffer
Banned
20 minutes ago I had no idea "The Mermaid" existed, but now after some googling and messaging between the girlfriend and I, it looks like we have movie plans tonight.
Friday Studio Estimates:
1) Deadpool - $8.95M - $263M total
2) Gods of Egypt - $4.8M
3) Triple 9 - $2.1M
4) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $2.0M - $121M total
5) Risen - $1.9M - $18M total
6) Eddie the Eagle - $1.9M
7) How to be Single - $1.6M - $36M total
8) The Witch - $1.5M - $13M total
9) Race - $1.2M - $11M total
10) The Revenant - $970k - $168M total
Shitty weekend as was expected.
Deadpool dropped 45% on Friday which isn't too bad. It should be over $280M by Sunday, which puts it on track to cross $300M next weekend.
Gods of Egypt will be the only new release to cross $10M, and I am expecting $11-12M out of it after this start. Less than 10% of its production budget.
1) Deadpool - $8.95M - $263M total
2) Gods of Egypt - $4.8M
3) Triple 9 - $2.1M
4) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $2.0M - $121M total
5) Risen - $1.9M - $18M total
6) Eddie the Eagle - $1.9M
7) How to be Single - $1.6M - $36M total
8) The Witch - $1.5M - $13M total
9) Race - $1.2M - $11M total
10) The Revenant - $970k - $168M total
Shitty weekend as was expected.
Deadpool dropped 45% on Friday which isn't too bad. It should be over $280M by Sunday, which puts it on track to cross $300M next weekend.
Gods of Egypt will be the only new release to cross $10M, and I am expecting $11-12M out of it after this start. Less than 10% of its production budget.
frankie_baby
Member
Star Wars out of the top 10, though guess it may edge past revenant with sat/sun
cj_iwakura
Member
Hope Mermaid releases nearby, it looks great.
Saucycarpdog
Member
And the movie news sites were saying gods of Egypt just had to make $15 million opening weekend to prevent from being a bomba.
Lol.
The Revenant was ahead by almost $300k on Friday, so I don't think that will end up happening. The Revenant should have strong Saturday business as people try to catch the film ahead of the Oscars on Sunday. I expect Star Wars to be ahead on Sunday, but not by enough to make a difference.
Yeah, I am seeing it with 4 people before the Oscars.
The Mermaid is now past $470M in China.
Kung Fu Panda 3 is at $147M and should at least pass the $150M mark.
EDIT: The Mermaid sort of puts Star Wars' popularity in China into perspective. The film will end up grossing about 4x as much as Star Wars (which is already #5 for the year after two months, and has no shot at remaining in the top 10 for 2016).
Kung Fu Panda 3 is at $147M and should at least pass the $150M mark.
EDIT: The Mermaid sort of puts Star Wars' popularity in China into perspective. The film will end up grossing about 4x as much as Star Wars (which is already #5 for the year after two months, and has no shot at remaining in the top 10 for 2016).
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